Justin Crawford

CF Philadelphia Phillies

Age 23 L/R 6'2" / 188 lbs MLB HR +14% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

MLB40-MANFG #120Pre-ArbFA 2033

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	20	A+PHI	317	.301/.350/.438	6	27	83	—	.264/.299/.391
2025	21	AAAPHI	506	.334/.413/.452	7	46	126	—	.331/.385/.438
2026	22	MLBPHI	465	.264/.312/.353	3	17	85	0.3
2027PROJ	23	MLBPHI	572	.260/.314/.354	5	35	88	0.6
2028PROJ92% MLB	24	MLBPHI	502	.264/.318/.369	6	31	93	0.8
2029PROJ92% MLB	25	MLBPHI	543	.266/.321/.378	8	33	96	1.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.3 · Next 3 projected WAR 2.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.000First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$4M2031Arb-2$7M2032Arb-3$9M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

Speed90

xwOBA29

Avg EV24

Bat Spd22

Barrel%10

Form.260/.311/.354 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .259/.311/.352

CompsMichael Bourn (age 25) · Micah Johnson (age 23) · Johan Rojas (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.260 / .314 / .354

PA572

HR5

SB35

K%18

BB%6

BABIP312

ISO95

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$24M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT55

xAVG

570.257

POWER40

Barrel%

102.0

Avg EV

2487.1

Bat Spd

2268.4

EYE37

scouting grade only

SPEED71

Sprint

9029.6

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%18%·18% over 79 PA (60d) · proj 18%

BB%6%·6% over 79 PA (60d) · proj 7%

ISO.095·.097 over 72 AB (60d) · proj .094

HR/BB1.3%·1.7% over 59 BBE (60d) · proj 1.1%

BABIP.310·.293 over 58 BIP (60d) · proj .311

SLASH.260/.311/.354·proj .259/.311/.352

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$8M	+$7M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$6M
2030	Arb-1	$4M	+1.1	$7M	+$4M
2031	Arb-2	$7M	+1.1	$6M	+$2M
2032	Arb-3	$9M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$13M		$34M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	23	21	3	0	0	0	2	9	0	2	1	143	217	143	360		250	39	9	179	-26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	43	37	11	0	1	0	5	6	1	8	3	297	395	351	747	54	355	14	12	346	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	82	73	21	6	2	0	7	16	2	7	1	288	366	425	791	137	368	20	9	354	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	308	276	95	16	6	3	25	53	2	40	7	344	403	478	881	134	413	17	8	386	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	180	165	55	11	0	3	11	29	2	15	1	333	382	455	837	121	388	16	6	370	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	317	292	88	14	4	6	21	64	1	27	8	301	350	438	789	137	368	20	7	348	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	506	440	147	23	4	7	58	91	1	46	11	334	413	452	865	118	407	18	11	383	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	465	425	112	19	5	3	27	82	3	17	4	264	312	353	665	89	317	18	6	294	85	-8	+2	-2	+2	+10	0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	465	425	112	19	5	3	27	82	3	17	4	264	312	353	665	89	317	18	6	294	85	-8	+2	-2	+2	+10	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	23	22	2	0	0	0	1	12	0	2	1	91	130	91	221		242	52	4	130	-26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	43	39	9	0	1	0	3	9	1	8	3	231	302	282	584	51	299	21	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	82	75	19	5	2	0	5	21	2	7	1	253	317	373	690	120	336	26	6	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	308	283	94	14	6	2	18	71	2	40	7	332	376	445	821	113	418	23	6	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	180	168	55	10	0	2	8	36	2	15	1	327	365	423	788	95	402	20	4	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	317	299	79	12	4	6	14	82	1	27	8	264	299	391	691	127	335	26	4	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	506	459	152	21	5	6	39	110	1	46	11	331	385	438	823	107	414	22	8	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	465	425	112	19	5	3	27	82	3	17	4	264	312	353	665	89	317	18	6	293	85	-8	+2	-2	+2	+10	0.3
2022	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	66	60	12	0	1	0	5	21	1	10	4	200	273	233	506	33	308	32	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	66	58	14	0	1	0	7	15	1	10	4	241	333	276	609	34	326	23	11	288	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	390	359	111	19	7	2	22	92	4	47	8	309	356	418	774	109	407	24	6	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	390	349	116	22	8	3	32	69	4	47	8	332	395	467	862	135	404	18	8	379	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	497	467	134	22	4	8	22	118	3	42	9	287	323	403	726	116	367	24	4	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	497	457	143	25	4	9	32	93	3	42	9	313	362	444	806	131	375	19	6	356	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	506	459	152	21	5	6	39	110	1	46	11	331	385	438	823	107	423	22	8	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	506	440	147	23	4	7	58	91	1	46	11	334	413	452	865	118	407	18	11	383	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	465	425	112	19	5	3	27	82	3	17	4	264	312	353	665	89	317	18	6	293	85	-8	+2	-2	+2	+10	0.3
2026	22	MLB RAW	Philadelphia Phillies	—	465	425	112	19	5	3	27	82	3	17	4	264	312	353	665	89	317	18	6	294	85	-8	+2	-2	+2	+10	0.3
2022	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	66	60	12	0	1	0	5	21	1	10	4	200	273	233	506	33	279	32	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	390	361	111	19	7	2	22	92	4	47	8	307	356	416	771	108	401	24	6	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	497	469	134	22	4	8	22	118	3	42	9	286	323	401	724	115	359	24	4	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	506	461	152	21	5	6	39	110	1	46	11	330	385	436	821	106	414	22	8	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	465	432	112	19	5	3	27	82	3	17	4	259	312	347	659	88	317	18	6	293	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	497	469	134	22	4	8	22	118	3	42	9	286	323	401	724	115	359	24	4	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	506	461	152	21	5	6	39	110	1	46	11	330	385	436	821	106	414	22	8	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	465	432	112	19	5	3	27	82	3	17	4	259	312	347	659	88	317	18	6	293	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PHI	100%	572	526	137	24	6	5	37	104	4	35	6	259	313	353	666	94	311	18	6	299	88	-8	+5	-6	+2	+12	1.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	PHI	100%	572	526	137	23	6	5	37	104	4	35	6	260	314	354	668	95	312	18	6	300	88	-8	+5	-6	+2	+12	0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	PHI	92%	546	501	132	23	5	6	36	98	4	34	6	263	317	367	684	104	313	18	7	306	93	-4	+4	-5	+2	+12	0.9
2029	25	MLB MLE	PHI	92%	590	542	143	24	6	8	39	105	4	36	6	265	320	375	695	110	313	18	7	310	96	-3	+5	-6	+2	+13	1.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	PHI	92%	590	541	144	24	6	9	40	105	4	36	6	266	321	380	700	114	313	18	7	312	98	-2	+5	-6	+2	+13	1.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	PHI	92%	585	537	142	24	6	8	39	105	4	35	6	265	320	377	697	112	313	18	7	311	97	-2	+5	-6	+2	+13	1.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	PHI	92%	577	529	140	24	5	8	39	105	4	32	5	263	318	373	691	110	312	18	7	309	95	-3	+4	-6	+2	+13	0.9
2033	29	MLB MLE	PHI	92%	565	518	135	23	5	7	38	104	4	27	5	261	315	367	682	106	311	18	7	305	93	-5	+3	-7	+2	+12	0.6
2034	30	MLB MLE	PHI	92%	553	509	132	22	5	7	36	104	3	23	4	258	312	360	672	102	310	19	7	301	90	-7	+3	-8	+2	+12	0.3
2035	31	MLB MLE	PHI	92%	538	495	127	21	5	6	35	103	3	16	3	254	307	350	658	96	307	19	7	295	86	-9	+2	-8	+2	+12	-0.2
2036	32	MLB MLE	PHI	92%	519	478	119	19	4	5	33	102	3	10	2	249	301	338	639	89	304	20	6	287	81	-12	+1	-9	+2	+11	-0.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	PHI	92%	502	460	121	20	5	6	33	90	4	31	5	264	318	369	687	105	313	18	7	307	93	-4	+4	-5	+2	+11	0.8
2029	25	MLB CTX	PHI	92%	543	498	133	22	5	8	36	97	4	33	6	266	321	378	699	112	313	18	7	312	96	-2	+4	-5	+2	+12	1.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	PHI	92%	543	498	133	22	5	9	36	97	4	33	6	267	322	383	705	116	313	18	7	314	98	-2	+4	-5	+2	+12	1.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	PHI	92%	538	493	131	22	5	8	36	97	4	32	5	266	321	381	701	115	313	18	7	313	97	-2	+4	-5	+2	+12	1.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	PHI	92%	531	487	129	21	5	8	36	97	3	29	5	264	319	376	695	112	312	18	7	310	95	-3	+4	-6	+2	+12	0.8
2033	29	MLB CTX	PHI	92%	520	477	125	20	5	7	35	96	3	25	4	262	316	370	686	108	311	18	7	307	93	-5	+3	-6	+2	+11	0.6
2034	30	MLB CTX	PHI	92%	509	467	122	20	5	7	34	96	3	21	4	259	313	363	675	103	310	19	7	302	90	-6	+3	-7	+2	+11	0.2
2035	31	MLB CTX	PHI	92%	495	457	116	19	4	6	32	95	3	15	3	255	308	353	661	98	308	19	6	296	86	-8	+2	-7	+2	+11	-0.2
2036	32	MLB CTX	PHI	92%	477	442	110	17	4	5	30	94	2	9	2	250	302	340	642	91	304	20	6	288	81	-11	+1	-8	+2	+10	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5123	4704	1232	202	48	67	335	941	33	245	44	262	315	368	683	106	313	18	7	305	95	-52	+31	-58	+18	+111	5.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	157	26	6	9	43	119	4	31	6	263	317	372	689	109	313	18	7	305	95	-7	+4	-7	+2	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	7559	6946	1872	309	75	88	487	1458	49	446	85	270	322	374	695	104	328	19	6	308	95	-63	+39	-68	+22	+132	6.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	161	27	6	8	42	125	4	38	7	270	322	375	697	106	327	19	6	308	95	-7	+4	-7	+2	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	8.8	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
/162	664	19	34	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#2Ron LeFlore'74-'82 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,872 PA	7.3	4,872	59	455	284*	343*	424*	-1	-14	20.9	21.0
/162	664	8	62	-0.1	-1.9	2.8	pk7: 21
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	8.6	5,695	66	282	262	312	364	+20	-23	15.2	13.7
/162	664	8	33	+2.4	-2.6	1.8	pk7: 12
#3Rajai Davislast yr '18 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,564 PA	6.9	4,564	61	414	263	311	380	-3	-25	10.5	10.3
/162	664	9	60	-0.4	-3.6	1.5	pk7: 10
#4Dave Robertslast yr '08 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,910 PA	4.4	2,910	21	231	268	346	370	-9	-7	10.3	10.3
/162	664	5	53	-2.2	-1.6	2.3	pk7: 10
#5Oddibe McDowell'85-'94 * career totals — 7 seasons, 3,172 PA	4.8	3,172	74	169	250*	322*	411*	+4	-12	9.2	9.2
/162	664	15	35	+0.8	-2.5	1.9	pk7: 9
#6Rudy Law'78-'86 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,647 PA	4.0	2,647	18	228	266*	325*	384*	-4	-3	6.5	6.5
/162	664	5	57	-0.9	-0.7	1.6	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin Crawford (OGILVIE)	23	44→55	32→40	70→71	37	257/311/350	93	311	5	35	18%	7%	88	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Michael Bourn 2008 · MLB	25	54→62	39→45	68→65	47	256/312/352	96	325	6	38	22%	7%	88	+0.5	253/315/341	88	321	5	46	21%	8%	87	+0.4	273/334/374	101	348	5	38	21%	8%	103	+1.7
✕Micah Johnson 2014 · AA	23	52→61	40→45	63→60	43	247/296/348	101	326	6	35	25%	6%	82	-0.0	261/306/358	97	336	6	28	23%	6%	88	+0.4	261/307/352	91	337	6	27	23%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Johan Rojas 2024 · MLB	23	51→60	43→45	64→65	42	246/291/366	120	307	9	37	23%	5%	84	+0.2	245/288/337	92	309	6	34	22%	5%	76	-0.4	243/284/316	73	306	4	40	21%	5%	69	-0.6
●Mallex Smith 2017 · MLB	24	57→64	40→45	65	48	269/329/372	103	342	6	44	22%	8%	100	+1.3	260/322/367	107	333	6	40	22%	8%	96	+1.0	257/323/363	105	330	5	46	22%	8%	95	+0.9
✕Roman Quinn 2017 · MLB	24	55→57	41→45	62→65	44	260/316/363	104	344	7	38	26%	7%	93	+0.8	250/305/368	118	341	9	33	27%	7%	90	+0.6	252/309/383	131	345	10	39	28%	7%	93	+0.3
●Desmond Jennings 2011 · MLB	24	55→61	42→50	65→60	51	261/325/381	119	308	7	37	17%	8%	101	+1.4	250/323/399	149	300	14	29	20%	9%	105	+1.7	246/325/404	158	293	16	28	21%	9%	107	+1.9
✕Jacob Young 2024 · MLB	25	52→57	38→40	63→60	47	247/306/329	82	304	4	33	20%	6%	82	-0.0	245/305/331	86	299	6	29	19%	7%	82	-0.0	242/306/331	89	291	7	29	18%	7%	83	+0.1
●Dee Strange-Gordon 2012 · MLB	24	58→68	36→40	64→65	43	273/307/344	71	328	2	42	17%	4%	84	+0.2	259/305/333	74	321	2	49	19%	6%	82	-0.0	311/342/389	78	362	3	52	14%	4%	108	+1.9
✕Billy Hamilton 2015 · MLB	24	52→62	39→40	71→70	45	246/292/340	94	307	5	64	21%	6%	78	-0.3	238/289/323	85	293	5	60	19%	7%	74	-0.6	242/301/327	85	311	4	55	22%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Victor Scott II 2024 · AA	23	52→55	41→40	70→65	45	246/304/351	104	306	7	50	21%	6%	86	+0.3	214/279/302	88	272	7	40	23%	7%	66	-1.1	197/269/275	78	252	7	40	23%	7%	56	-1.5
✕Myles Straw 2019 · AAA	24	57→60	35→40	63→60	51	263/329/325	62	340	2	37	22%	9%	88	+0.5	258/326/326	68	332	3	33	21%	9%	88	+0.4	251/326/314	63	310	2	27	18%	10%	85	+0.2
✕Vidal Bruján 2021 · AA	23	52→60	41→45	60→65	49	249/307/353	105	298	7	34	19%	7%	88	+0.4	226/286/340	114	274	10	36	20%	7%	78	-0.3	228/301/339	111	280	8	25	20%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Rey Fuentes 2015 · MLB	24	55→64	40	59→60	45	261/315/358	97	340	7	30	24%	7%	92	+0.7	261/306/347	86	340	6	27	24%	5%	85	+0.2	266/308/341	76	346	5	29	24%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Julio Borbon 2010 · MLB	24	60→63	39→45	58→60	47	286/330/372	86	322	6	34	13%	5%	100	+1.3	269/310/355	86	308	6	26	14%	5%	88	+0.5	269/308/358	88	308	6	24	14%	5%	86	+0.2
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2014 · AAA	23	54→59	39→40	60→55	47	252/309/349	97	323	5	27	22%	7%	87	+0.4	213/271/293	80	303	6	20	29%	7%	61	-1.5	201/259/269	69	292	5	20	31%	7%	48	-1.2
●Joey Gathright 2006 · MLB	25	58→66	37→30	67→60	46	269/323/352	83	338	3	47	21%	6%	93	+0.8	261/333/322	61	312	2	35	16%	8%	91	+0.6	284/345/321	37	331	0	35	13%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Josh Anderson 2006 · AA	23	55→63	36→40	60	42	257/292/329	72	309	2	33	18%	4%	76	-0.4	273/308/345	72	323	3	32	16%	4%	85	+0.2	284/319/355	72	333	3	35	15%	4%	89	+0.6
✕Ben Revere 2012 · MLB	24	59→64	35→40	59→65	49	276/319/331	55	304	2	34	10%	5%	86	+0.3	287/320/340	53	318	2	38	10%	4%	88	+0.4	300/329/359	59	330	1	38	9%	4%	96	+0.9
✕Delino DeShields 2016 · MLB	23	51→56	41→45	61→65	50	238/316/346	107	310	6	33	24%	9%	89	+0.5	233/311/325	92	311	7	31	25%	10%	83	+0.1	231/315/314	82	304	6	36	24%	10%	79	-0.2
●Ender Inciarte 2015 · MLB	24	55→62	38→45	58→60	47	259/299/341	82	294	5	28	14%	5%	81	-0.1	282/325/377	95	316	7	20	12%	6%	99	+1.3	292/338/390	98	325	7	19	12%	6%	107	+1.9

Justin Crawford

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps