John Michael Faile

John Michael FaileC Dayton Dragons

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 218 lbs A+ HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION193 act + 128 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .243 / .270

PA128

HR2

K%34

BB%5

BABIP271

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	24	ROK	2 teams	—	149	136	23	4	1	3	9	70	4	1	0	169	242	279	521	110	317	47	6	234	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	ROK	2 teams	—	149	131	37	8	1	7	14	50	4	1	0	282	369	519	888	237	405	34	9	390	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	365	342	61	16	0	8	17	138	4	1	1	178	226	295	521	117	268	38	5	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	365	335	78	19	0	13	24	102	4	1	1	233	292	406	698	173	293	28	7	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	A+	CIN	—	193	175	35	5	1	1	11	62	3	1	0	200	259	257	516	57	293	32	6	230	34	-14	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.5
YTD	26	A+	CIN	—	193	171	42	7	1	1	15	46	3	1	0	246	317	316	633	70	320	24	8	286	77	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
ROS	26	A+	CIN	0%	128	118	22	4	0	2	7	44	2	1	0	185	243	270	512	84	279	34	5	239	41	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
ROS	26	MLB	CIN	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						281	0	0	233	36	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	A+	CIN	—	194	176	35	5	1	1	11	62	3	1	0	199	258	256	514	57	291	32	6	230	34	-14	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.5
TOT	26	A+	CIN	—	321	293	57	9	1	3	18	106	5	2	0	194	253	262	515	68	285	33	6	234	37	-23	+0	+0	+6	+9	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	CIN	26%	111	103	20	4	0	2	6	37	1	1	0	194	245	291	537	97	281	33	5	247	48	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	28	MLB	CIN	39%	214	198	40	8	1	4	12	69	2	2	1	202	255	313	568	111	282	32	6	252	51	-12	+0	-1	+4	+6	-0.3
2027	27	MLB	CIN	26%	29	27	6	1	0	1	2	10	0	0	0	222	276	370	646	148	284	34	7	242	43	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	28	MLB	CIN	39%	84	78	16	3	0	2	5	27	1	1	0	205	262	321	582	115	284	32	6	246	47	-5	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	114	106	22	4	0	3	7	37	1	1	0	208	263	330	593	123	288	32	6	245	46	-7	+0	-0	+2	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	604	126	23	0	17	40	211	6	6	0	209	265	331	596	123	290	32	6	245	46	-40	+1	-2	+12	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	967	897	166	36	2	19	51	358	13	6	2	185	239	293	532	108	280	37	5	237	40	-66	+0	-1	+17	+27	-2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	603	111	24	1	13	34	240	9	4	1	184	238	292	530	108	278	37	5	237	40	-44	+0	-0	+12	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	24	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	68	65	15	2	1	4	2	24	1	0	0	231	265	477	742	246	297	35	3	322	104	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	24	ROK	ACL Reds	—	81	66	22	6	0	3	12	26	3	1	0	333	457	561	1.017	227	514	32	15	448	201	+9	+0	—	—	+2	1.2
2025	25	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	365	335	78	19	0	13	24	102	4	1	1	233	292	406	698	173	293	28	7	309	95	-2	-0	—	—	+10	0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
John Michael Faile (OGILVIE)	26	35	50	40	30	194/253/262	68	285	3	2	33%	6%	37	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Arden Pabst 2021 · AA	26	37	46→50	42→30	34	194/230/323	129	266	14	5	33%	4%	46	-2.0	184/229/322	138	283	18	5	40%	5%	46	-2.0	134/187/259	125	200	19	0	44%	6%	9	-1.4
✕Jorge Saez 2017 · AA	26	37	45	44→30	40	191/250/309	118	275	13	4	34%	7%	52	-1.6	208/275/344	136	298	17	5	34%	8%	72	-0.2	192/268/324	132	267	19	2	34%	9%	62	-0.3
✕Madison Stokes 2022 · AA	26	38→35	42→40	41→40	36	190/239/291	101	287	10	4	36%	5%	42	-2.3	182/255/286	104	302	9	9	39%	8%	48	-1.9	156/243/254	99	263	8	9	40%	9%	32	-1.5
✕David Maroul 2009 · AA	26	35→37	48→50	41→40	33	189/226/326	137	265	16	4	35%	4%	46	-2.0	198/243/326	128	308	14	6	39%	5%	53	-1.5	162/207/287	125	265	16	2	44%	4%	24	-1.2
✕Matt Spring 2011 · AA	26	36	46→50	46→45	36	189/238/312	124	270	14	4	35%	6%	47	-1.9	181/235/318	137	298	17	4	43%	6%	48	-1.9	166/218/321	155	252	19	0	41%	5%	40	-0.8
✕Todd Czinege 2021 · A	27	36	44→50	42→40	30	177/225/294	116	308	13	5	45%	5%	37	-2.7	194/252/303	109	350	11	7	45%	6%	50	-1.7	142/202/243	101	263	14	3	50%	6%	11	-1.0
✕Jake Anchia 2023 · AA	26	37	44→45	48→40	35	193/235/302	109	272	13	3	34%	4%	43	-2.2	192/238/323	131	269	16	5	34%	5%	50	-1.7	174/222/323	149	230	19	3	33%	4%	41	-1.1
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	33→24	41→55	45→50	34	169/233/260	91	279	9	6	41%	6%	32	-3.0	199/256/319	120	289	11	10	34%	5%	57	-1.2	200/252/336	136	277	13	11	32%	4%	56	-0.4
✕David Masters 2019 · A	26	37→36	40→45	38→40	43	186/256/272	86	260	8	2	30%	8%	45	-2.1	211/273/354	143	292	17	4	32%	7%	73	-0.1	201/257/381	180	262	26	2	34%	6%	69	-0.1
✕Tim Roberson 2015 · A	26	39→35	41→40	47→30	36	198/236/293	95	281	9	2	33%	5%	40	-2.4	218/253/309	91	312	8	3	31%	4%	52	-1.6	234/266/323	89	329	7	1	30%	4%	55	-0.5
✕Brent Diaz 2022 · AA	26	40	43→45	44→45	36	192/269/300	107	311	12	8	39%	6%	59	-1.1	219/284/356	137	303	16	9	32%	6%	79	+0.3	191/254/319	128	258	17	9	32%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Kellin Deglan 2018 · AA	26	37→36	45→50	42→40	32	188/236/305	116	303	14	5	42%	5%	44	-2.1	201/259/320	119	323	12	5	39%	6%	59	-1.1	174/241/288	114	278	13	2	40%	6%	40	-0.7
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA	26	39→42	44→45	48→50	36	200/246/316	117	282	12	9	33%	5%	51	-1.7	211/256/324	113	294	11	10	30%	5%	57	-1.2	209/254/319	110	274	10	10	27%	5%	52	-1.0
✕Jake Wald 2007 · AA	26	40→42	42→45	45→50	38	199/251/302	103	275	10	9	31%	5%	50	-1.8	200/260/300	100	285	8	10	31%	6%	53	-1.5	194/260/293	99	278	7	10	31%	6%	47	-1.2
✕Cael Brockmeyer 2018 · AAA	26	36→38	45	47→40	37	189/244/308	119	264	14	4	33%	5%	49	-1.8	215/272/313	98	325	9	8	35%	5%	62	-0.9	241/300/316	75	381	6	5	36%	5%	71	-0.1
✕Jordan Betts 2018 · AA	26	35→27	45	46→40	34	182/229/301	118	285	13	5	40%	6%	40	-2.4	198/246/305	107	298	12	5	36%	5%	48	-1.9	181/224/268	87	264	11	0	35%	4%	27	-2.0
✕Blake Whealy 2006 · A	26	37	44→45	41→40	36	185/252/299	113	297	13	6	40%	6%	50	-1.7	198/256/296	98	307	9	7	36%	6%	50	-1.7	164/208/220	56	254	5	0	36%	5%	7	-0.8
✕Chandler Seagle 2022 · AA	26	40	39→40	44→45	34	192/246/279	87	294	6	5	35%	4%	42	-2.3	189/241/273	84	303	7	6	38%	5%	37	-2.6	167/216/237	70	277	6	4	40%	5%	15	-1.5
✕Rylan Sandoval 2013 · AA	25	38	41→40	45	35	187/242/284	97	286	9	5	36%	5%	42	-2.3	210/261/294	84	310	6	8	32%	6%	52	-1.6	210/261/280	69	308	5	8	31%	5%	44	-0.8
✕Zach Cone 2016 · AA	26	37→36	46→45	46→45	33	191/238/313	121	292	14	6	39%	5%	47	-1.9	204/253/334	130	302	14	8	36%	5%	59	-1.1	163/208/301	138	231	17	7	37%	4%	30	-0.7