John Michael Faile
C Dayton Dragons| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | A+/ROKCIN | 149 | .282/.369/.519 | 7 | 1 | 49 | — | .176/.242/.307 |
| 2025 | 25 | A+CIN | 365 | .233/.292/.406 | 13 | 1 | 38 | — | .178/.223/.292 |
| 2026 | 26 | A+CIN | 362 | .278/.357/.479 | 14 | 1 | 80 | — | .226/.289/.382 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 27 | MLBCIN | 380 | .208/.261/.345 | 10 | 3 | 69 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ26% MLB | 28 | MLBCIN | 18 | .210/.264/.352 | 1 | 0 | 69 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | — | 68 | 65 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 265 | 477 | 742 | 246 | 297 | 35 | 3 | 322 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | ROK | ACL Reds | — | 81 | 66 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 333 | 457 | 561 | 1.017 | 227 | 514 | 32 | 15 | 448 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | — | 365 | 335 | 78 | 19 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 102 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 233 | 292 | 406 | 698 | 173 | 293 | 28 | 7 | 309 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | — | 362 | 317 | 88 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 76 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 357 | 479 | 836 | 202 | 318 | 21 | 9 | 364 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 68 | 66 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 176 | 288 | 464 | 136 | 250 | 44 | 1 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | ROK MLE | ACL Reds | — | 81 | 71 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 197 | 296 | 324 | 620 | 127 | 372 | 47 | 9 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 365 | 343 | 61 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 130 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 178 | 223 | 292 | 515 | 114 | 249 | 36 | 4 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 362 | 327 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 97 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 289 | 382 | 672 | 156 | 268 | 27 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 149 | 137 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 68 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 248 | 321 | 569 | 139 | 323 | 46 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 149 | 131 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 282 | 369 | 519 | 888 | 237 | 405 | 34 | 9 | 390 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 365 | 343 | 61 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 130 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 178 | 223 | 292 | 515 | 114 | 256 | 36 | 4 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ RAW | Dayton Dragons | — | 365 | 335 | 78 | 19 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 102 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 233 | 292 | 406 | 698 | 173 | 293 | 28 | 7 | 309 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 362 | 327 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 97 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 289 | 382 | 672 | 156 | 280 | 27 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | A+ RAW | Dayton Dragons | — | 362 | 317 | 88 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 76 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 357 | 479 | 836 | 202 | 318 | 21 | 9 | 364 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 149 | 136 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 68 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 184 | 248 | 324 | 572 | 140 | 316 | 46 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 365 | 342 | 61 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 130 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 178 | 223 | 292 | 516 | 114 | 249 | 36 | 4 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 362 | 330 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 97 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 289 | 379 | 668 | 155 | 268 | 27 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 149 | 136 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 68 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 184 | 248 | 324 | 572 | 140 | 316 | 46 | 5 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 365 | 342 | 61 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 130 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 178 | 223 | 292 | 516 | 114 | 249 | 36 | 4 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 362 | 330 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 97 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 289 | 379 | 668 | 155 | 268 | 27 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | CIN | 0% | 380 | 351 | 73 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 111 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 208 | 261 | 345 | 606 | 137 | 269 | 29 | 6 | 270 | 69 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +8 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | CIN | 26% | 68 | 63 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 262 | 343 | 605 | 135 | 269 | 29 | 6 | 270 | 69 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | CIN | 26% | 18 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 264 | 352 | 616 | 142 | 270 | 28 | 6 | 274 | 69 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 18 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 471 | 748 | 235 | 273 | 28 | 6 | 274 | 59 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 614 | 144 | 36 | 0 | 36 | 36 | 181 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 277 | 469 | 746 | 235 | 272 | 28 | 6 | 274 | 59 | -24 | +0 | -7 | +12 | +14 | -0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1010 | 931 | 186 | 40 | 3 | 27 | 54 | 334 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 200 | 256 | 336 | 593 | 136 | 275 | 33 | 5 | 255 | 59 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 120 | 26 | 2 | 17 | 35 | 215 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 200 | 257 | 336 | 593 | 135 | 277 | 33 | 5 | 255 | 59 | -24 | +1 | -3 | +12 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Dayton Dragons · 362 PAwOBA .360 → .286 (−75)K% 21.0% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.99% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 26.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 6.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.93% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 1.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.992 | ×0.968 | 19.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.992 | ×0.968 | 5.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.992 | ×0.968 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 4.50% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .360 → .286; ISO .202 → .155; BABIP .318 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Dayton Dragons · 365 PAwOBA .302 → .225 (−77)K% 27.9% → 35.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.95% | ÷0.999 | ×1.270 | — | — | 35.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.58% | ÷1.006 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 4.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.74% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | ×0.966 | ×0.978 | 17.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.15% | ÷0.928 | ×0.810 | ×0.966 | ×0.978 | 6.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.966 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.58% | ÷1.124 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 3.88% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 97, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .302 → .225; ISO .173 → .118; BABIP .293 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Reds · 81 PAwOBA .437 → .267 (−170)K% 32.1% → 46.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.10% | ÷0.989 | ×1.440 | — | — | 46.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.81% | ÷1.005 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 8.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.70% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 2.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.50% | ÷0.970 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 26.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.00% | ÷1.144 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 9.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.144 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.50% | ÷1.063 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 5.26% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 94, 2B 129, 3B 129, K 98, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .437 → .267; ISO .227 → .128; BABIP .514 → .372. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Dayton Dragons · 68 PAwOBA .312 → .208 (−104)K% 35.3% → 44.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.29% | ÷1.006 | ×1.270 | — | — | 44.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.94% | ÷0.976 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 2.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.51% | ÷1.023 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 17.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.88% | ÷0.941 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 4.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.030 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.76% | ÷1.285 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 6.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 105, 2B 88, 3B 106, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .312 → .208; ISO .246 → .143; BABIP .297 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).