Myles Smith — OGILVIE

Myles SmithOF Dayton Dragons

Age 25 L/R 6'1" / 205 lbs A+ HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.161 / .255 / .229

PA1

HR0

K%32

BB%10

BABIP238

ISO57

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	163	133	17	3	0	1	25	45	2	3	2	128	275	173	448	45	182	28	15	225	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	102	83	16	3	0	1	15	15	4	11	3	193	343	265	608	72	224	15	15	296	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	163	140	16	3	0	1	18	57	2	3	2	114	225	157	382	43	170	35	11	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	102	87	15	2	0	1	11	20	4	11	3	172	294	230	524	57	210	20	11	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	265	228	30	5	0	1	28	77	6	14	5	132	244	167	411	35	192	29	11	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	265	216	33	6	0	2	40	60	6	14	5	153	302	208	510	56	200	23	15	252	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	265	229	30	5	0	1	28	77	6	14	5	131	244	166	410	35	185	29	11	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	265	229	30	5	0	1	28	77	6	14	5	131	244	166	410	35	185	29	11	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	315	277	43	8	1	2	31	101	4	6	2	160	255	226	481	66	238	32	10	228	41	-22	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	161	255	229	484	68	238	0	0	229	41	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CIN	30%	144	127	21	4	1	1	14	45	2	3	1	165	258	239	498	74	241	31	10	234	45	-9	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.7
2028	26	MLB CTX	CIN	30%	44	39	6	1	0	0	4	14	1	1	0	166	259	242	502	76	241	32	9	236	45	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	44	39	6	1	0	0	4	14	1	1	0	154	250	179	429	26	240	32	9	236	32	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	89	15	0	0	59	207	15	15	0	155	251	181	431	26	241	32	9	236	32	-43	+3	+0	-4	+14	-3.0
Career	—	MLE		—	529	461	67	12	1	3	54	160	9	19	7	145	248	195	443	50	213	30	10	216	32	-18	+0	+0	-2	+6	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	566	83	15	1	4	66	197	11	23	9	147	248	198	446	51	214	30	10	216	32	-44	+0	+0	-4	+14	-3.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Myles Smith (OGILVIE)	25	20	25	45	60	159/253/224	66	238	1	2	32%	10%	41	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Pearson 2023 · AA	25	38→39	40	50	44	189/254/282	93	253	8	19	28%	7%	53	-2.1	197/260/302	105	290	9	15	33%	7%	59	-1.6	131/193/248	117	214	11	13	43%	7%	18	-0.8
✕Kyle Marinconz 2021 · A	25	41→37	39→40	47→50	44	198/259/282	84	263	6	10	26%	7%	54	-2.0	205/267/295	90	271	8	11	26%	6%	60	-1.6	169/239/225	56	218	6	12	24%	6%	32	-1.0
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	48→50	41	192/258/288	96	263	8	14	29%	6%	55	-1.9	207/273/319	112	287	10	14	30%	7%	68	-1.0	180/253/308	127	261	11	20	33%	6%	55	-0.4
✕Scott Hurst 2021 · AA	25	42→32	39→40	44→50	41	202/259/288	86	292	7	6	32%	7%	55	-2.0	208/277/299	91	302	8	15	31%	8%	65	-1.2	209/284/299	90	295	9	17	30%	9%	64	-0.7
✕AJ Graffanino 2022 · A	25	41	36→30	44→45	44	197/253/259	62	265	3	9	26%	7%	46	-2.6	203/261/279	76	264	5	12	24%	7%	53	-2.1	181/238/238	57	222	5	18	20%	6%	34	-1.0
✕Cole Daily 2022 · AA	25	41	35→30	43→55	46	195/259/252	57	270	3	8	28%	8%	47	-2.6	196/260/265	69	300	4	16	33%	8%	50	-2.3	173/240/217	44	272	2	24	34%	8%	30	-1.9
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	187/248/261	74	257	6	6	29%	7%	45	-2.7	202/264/278	76	269	6	7	25%	7%	55	-1.9	194/260/252	58	250	4	5	23%	7%	45	-1.3
✕Richard Nunez 2019 · A	24	39	36→30	47→55	47	182/259/252	69	257	2	9	28%	9%	47	-2.5	206/271/297	91	286	6	6	28%	8%	62	-1.4	188/264/281	93	239	9	3	24%	9%	54	-0.3
✕Jared Carr 2023 · A	24	40→35	37→40	47→55	39	189/258/258	69	293	5	14	35%	7%	49	-2.4	196/259/277	81	299	6	17	34%	7%	53	-2.1	181/245/260	78	275	6	24	34%	7%	41	-1.9
✕Tim Susnara 2021 · A	25	36	39→40	47→40	40	175/240/253	77	276	7	5	37%	8%	40	-3.0	200/266/305	105	332	10	6	40%	7%	62	-1.4	164/241/273	109	265	13	0	40%	7%	45	-0.7
✕Garrison Schwartz 2021 · AA	25	40	38→40	44→45	39	188/252/264	76	300	5	7	37%	7%	47	-2.5	180/265/262	82	384	6	11	50%	8%	53	-2.1	48/181/78	30	157	3	14	62%	10%	-16	-1.3
✕Luke Brown 2023 · A	24	37	37→40	52→50	40	180/246/249	69	273	5	11	34%	7%	42	-2.9	182/248/290	108	274	12	15	36%	7%	53	-2.1	154/224/268	114	224	14	19	37%	7%	36	-1.3
✕Ryan Scott 2018 · A	25	38→34	41→40	50→45	37	190/250/290	100	279	9	8	34%	5%	53	-2.1	177/234/276	99	267	9	6	35%	6%	43	-2.8	132/188/218	87	196	8	2	36%	6%	11	-3.2
✕Blake Tiberi 2019 · A	24	41→40	38→40	50	47	198/266/278	81	265	6	6	26%	8%	56	-1.9	196/263/276	80	281	5	10	30%	8%	54	-2.0	189/256/255	66	261	3	12	26%	8%	45	-2.3
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA	25	39→36	41→40	42→45	42	192/264/290	98	282	8	6	33%	8%	58	-1.7	196/260/297	101	290	9	6	33%	7%	58	-1.7	195/256/298	103	279	10	4	32%	7%	55	-1.5
✕Matthew Morizio 2009 · A	25	40	37→40	48→50	47	191/262/267	76	254	5	9	26%	8%	52	-2.2	187/254/260	73	247	4	9	24%	7%	47	-2.5	115/190/137	22	150	0	3	21%	7%	-5	-1.3
✕Donta' Williams 2024 · AA	25	39→34	40	52→55	46	188/278/281	93	282	7	22	33%	9%	62	-1.4	189/266/267	78	286	5	16	33%	8%	54	-2.0	165/243/216	51	252	1	15	32%	8%	31	-1.1
✕D.K. Carey 2017 · A	25	38→37	41→40	39→45	47	187/261/280	93	251	9	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/268/283	89	290	7	6	33%	9%	58	-1.7	162/248/230	68	259	4	2	36%	10%	37	-1.4
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	36	40	48→45	44	180/253/265	85	263	8	6	33%	8%	49	-2.4	198/272/287	89	298	7	8	33%	8%	60	-1.6	159/252/213	54	251	3	7	34%	10%	34	-0.6
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37	38→40	43→45	43	178/254/252	74	250	5	8	29%	7%	46	-2.6	193/256/269	76	288	5	7	32%	7%	50	-2.3	166/232/216	50	256	3	3	33%	6%	27	-2.1