Ryan Stafford

C Frederick Keys

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs A+ HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	A+Aberdeen Iron…	332	.178/.311/.248	0	22	19	—	.140/.239/.193
2026	23	A+BAL	169	.179/.303/.257	2	10	23	—	.149/.236/.216
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBBAL	1	.192/.269/.262	0	0	51	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBBAL	60	.197/.275/.282	1	2	57	-0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBBAL	126	.201/.279/.296	2	3	62	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Z-Con%78

Whiff%69

K%67

Chase%65

Speed55

BB%52

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsNick Meyer (age 24) · Dylan Neuse (age 24) · Rand Smith (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .269 / .262

PA1

HR0

K%26

BB%7

BABIP258

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	19	17	2	0	0	0	1	8	0	1	0	118	167	118	284		200	42	5	132	-48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	63	49	16	3	0	0	9	12	3	9	1	327	459	388	847	61	410	19	14	383	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	332	270	48	15	2	0	41	82	11	22	4	178	311	248	559	70	249	25	12	263	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Frederick Keys	—	169	140	25	5	0	2	20	35	5	10	5	179	303	257	560	79	219	21	12	263	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	19	17	1	0	0	0	1	11	0	1	0	59	111	59	170		168	58	5	97	-48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	63	52	15	2	0	0	6	16	3	9	1	288	393	327	720	38	369	25	10	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	332	285	40	11	2	0	26	106	11	22	4	140	239	193	432	53	203	32	8	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	169	148	22	4	0	2	12	46	5	10	5	149	236	216	453	68	186	27	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	82	69	16	2	0	0	7	26	3	10	1	232	329	261	590	29	348	32	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	82	66	18	3	0	0	10	20	3	10	1	273	392	318	711	45	367	24	12	324	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	332	285	40	11	2	0	26	106	11	22	4	140	239	193	432	53	217	32	8	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	332	270	48	15	2	0	41	82	11	22	4	178	311	248	559	70	249	25	12	263	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	169	148	22	4	0	2	12	46	5	10	5	149	236	216	453	68	196	27	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Frederick Keys	—	169	140	25	5	0	2	20	35	5	10	5	179	303	257	560	79	219	21	12	263	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	82	72	16	2	0	0	7	26	3	10	1	222	329	250	579	28	322	32	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	332	292	40	11	2	0	26	106	11	22	4	137	239	188	427	51	203	32	8	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	169	150	22	4	0	2	12	46	5	10	5	147	236	213	450	67	186	27	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	82	72	16	2	0	0	7	26	3	10	1	222	329	250	579	28	322	32	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	332	292	40	11	2	0	26	106	11	22	4	137	239	188	427	51	203	32	8	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	169	150	22	4	0	2	12	46	5	10	5	147	236	213	450	67	186	27	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	219	196	37	8	1	1	17	56	4	6	2	189	267	257	524	68	255	26	8	244	51	-13	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	BAL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	192	269	262	531	70	258	0	0	246	51	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BAL	30%	198	177	34	7	1	2	15	50	4	5	1	194	272	277	549	82	257	25	8	253	57	-10	+1	+0	+4	+4	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	BAL	44%	285	256	50	11	1	3	22	72	5	7	2	198	276	290	566	92	259	25	8	260	62	-13	+1	+0	+5	+6	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	BAL	49%	333	298	59	13	1	4	26	84	6	8	2	200	277	293	570	94	260	25	8	262	63	-15	+1	+0	+6	+7	-0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	362	325	65	14	1	5	28	92	6	8	3	200	277	294	572	94	261	25	8	262	63	-16	+0	-1	+6	+8	-0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	BAL	51%	374	336	67	14	1	5	29	95	6	8	3	200	276	294	570	94	261	25	8	261	63	-16	+0	-1	+7	+8	-0.3
2033	30	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	380	341	67	14	1	5	30	98	6	7	3	197	273	286	559	89	259	26	8	257	60	-18	+0	-2	+7	+8	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	BAL	30%	60	54	10	2	0	1	5	15	1	2	0	197	275	282	557	85	261	25	8	256	57	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	BAL	44%	126	113	24	5	1	2	10	32	2	3	1	201	279	296	575	95	263	25	8	263	62	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	BAL	49%	163	146	29	6	1	2	13	41	3	4	1	203	280	300	579	97	264	25	8	265	63	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	186	166	34	7	1	3	15	47	3	4	1	203	280	301	581	97	264	25	8	266	63	-8	+0	-0	+3	+4	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	BAL	51%	193	173	35	7	1	3	15	49	3	4	1	203	279	300	580	97	265	25	8	265	63	-8	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	212	191	39	8	1	3	16	55	3	4	2	200	276	292	568	92	263	26	8	260	60	-10	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	940	843	171	35	5	14	74	239	15	21	6	203	279	306	585	103	264	25	8	263	54	-43	+2	-2	+17	+20	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	118	24	3	10	51	165	10	15	4	202	278	305	583	103	263	25	8	263	54	-29	+1	-2	+12	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2639	2347	442	95	9	27	204	701	54	88	25	188	269	271	540	83	253	27	8	248	54	-95	+3	-4	+37	+45	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	109	23	2	7	50	173	13	22	6	189	268	272	540	83	253	27	8	248	54	-30	+1	-1	+12	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#6Sam Agnew'13-'19 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,711 PA	2.6	1,711	2	29	204*	262*	314*	+31	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	11	+11.9	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.4	941	12	21	200	273	292	+17	+12	0.1	0.2
/162	664	8	15	+11.9	+8.5	0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Stafford (OGILVIE)	24	25	25	60	50	187/264/255	68	255	1	3	26%	8%	51	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	177/235/240	63	250	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	215/285/296	81	280	8	14	24%	8%	67	-1.1	210/285/284	74	270	8	16	24%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Rand Smith 2011 · A	24	41→39	37→30	53→50	45	196/259/263	67	264	5	15	26%	7%	49	-2.4	208/270/280	72	293	5	10	28%	8%	57	-1.8	193/262/233	41	282	1	4	30%	8%	41	-1.1
✕Mike Martin 2017 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	44	209/274/269	60	285	4	14	27%	7%	57	-1.8	226/276/298	72	285	4	18	21%	5%	63	-1.3	236/281/294	58	290	2	27	18%	5%	61	-0.8
✕Eduardo Torrealba 2023 · A	24	44	39→30	54→50	44	211/263/291	80	254	6	17	20%	5%	57	-1.8	209/267/282	73	262	5	14	21%	6%	57	-1.8	203/264/251	48	253	3	15	20%	6%	48	-1.3
✕Erlin Cerda 2017 · A	23	42	35→40	51→55	43	197/259/263	67	264	2	11	25%	6%	50	-2.3	194/237/265	71	300	3	8	34%	4%	41	-3.0	162/195/205	44	254	0	8	35%	3%	7	-1.3
✕Matt Whatley 2021 · A	25	39→37	38→40	52→50	46	189/263/263	75	259	5	15	28%	8%	52	-2.2	193/256/274	81	275	8	10	31%	7%	51	-2.2	172/233/253	81	229	10	8	29%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Oliver Marmol 2010 · A	24	37	37→40	51→55	38	177/252/249	72	262	4	15	32%	5%	45	-2.7	199/280/298	99	306	7	12	35%	7%	67	-1.1	165/264/278	113	272	8	12	38%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Grant Little 2021 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	46	208/267/277	69	268	3	8	23%	7%	55	-1.9	216/296/292	76	302	5	18	28%	8%	71	-0.8	204/300/252	48	293	2	28	28%	9%	61	-0.6
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	38→42	38→40	53→55	43	184/250/264	80	271	5	13	32%	8%	47	-2.6	201/277/290	89	292	6	20	30%	9%	63	-1.4	207/270/292	85	284	7	22	28%	7%	58	-1.0
✕Jacob Zanon 2019 · A	24	41→36	36→40	53→55	43	192/251/261	69	267	2	22	27%	7%	46	-2.6	194/247/274	80	279	6	15	31%	6%	47	-2.5	177/228/250	73	254	7	15	32%	6%	34	-2.7
✕Casio Grider 2012 · A	24	40→39	38→40	57→55	37	192/249/276	84	286	4	20	33%	5%	49	-2.4	196/252/280	84	292	5	22	33%	5%	51	-2.3	185/241/264	79	281	5	27	34%	5%	40	-1.4
✕Alfredo González 2015 · A	23	42	38→40	52→45	43	203/263/284	81	270	6	9	26%	6%	55	-1.9	233/294/296	63	311	4	6	24%	7%	70	-0.9	228/290/283	56	297	4	5	23%	7%	63	-0.7
✕Rob Henry 2019 · A	24	42	37→40	54→55	49	196/289/273	77	284	4	18	30%	10%	64	-1.3	185/270/264	79	327	6	12	41%	8%	55	-1.9	149/243/213	64	290	6	12	46%	8%	31	-2.4
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→30	50→45	40	185/239/261	76	255	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	210/271/302	92	296	8	10	30%	7%	63	-1.4	202/270/282	80	285	9	12	31%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→32	37→45	48→50	42	194/258/268	74	273	4	7	29%	6%	51	-2.3	203/269/323	120	290	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	184/253/304	120	257	14	15	33%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Cobie Fletcher-Vance 2022 · A	24	45→46	37→40	53→45	49	213/292/286	73	277	4	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	214/269/294	80	275	5	5	23%	6%	60	-1.6	208/256/283	74	264	5	1	22%	5%	50	-1.3
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2013 · A	23	40	36→40	52→50	47	191/257/261	70	242	3	7	22%	7%	49	-2.4	205/279/287	82	275	6	8	26%	8%	63	-1.4	201/280/279	79	269	6	8	26%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Jordan Sprinkle 2024 · A	23	40	37→30	54→65	40	193/252/263	71	286	6	16	33%	7%	47	-2.5	190/254/251	61	269	4	36	29%	7%	45	-2.7	186/252/236	50	259	3	50	27%	7%	39	-1.8
✕Justin Johnson 2024 · A	24	43→40	36→45	49→50	45	203/272/269	66	275	3	11	26%	7%	56	-1.9	193/265/285	92	255	8	13	26%	8%	57	-1.8	177/250/279	102	230	10	13	27%	7%	49	-1.5

Ryan Stafford

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps