Braedon Karpathios

OF San Antonio Missions

Age 24 L/L 5'11" / 186 lbs AA HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP42ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AASD	88	.225/.295/.425	3	0	68	—	.220/.273/.415
2025	22	A+SD	433	.254/.370/.410	12	9	75	—	.209/.300/.329
2026	23	AAASD	34	.103/.212/.103	0	0	-24	—	.100/.182/.100
2026	23	AASD	510	.268/.354/.444	17	6	83	—	.232/.295/.369
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBSD	6	.202/.275/.328	0	0	72	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	25	MLBSD	115	.206/.279/.338	3	1	76	-0.2
2029PROJ45% MLB	26	MLBSD	181	.208/.281/.344	5	2	78	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

wRC+73

Chase%73

wOBA67

ISO66

BB%64

Speed27

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 91%

CompsMickey Hall (age 24) · Roberto Ramos (age 24) · Mike Papi (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .275 / .328

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%17

BABIP297

ISO135

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	19	ROK	ACL Padres	—	21	19	4	0	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	211	286	368	654	158	231	24	10	295	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	161	116	21	6	2	0	44	50	1	2	3	181	410	267	677	86	318	31	27	336	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	ACL Padres	—	82	61	22	6	2	0	19	16	1	4	0	361	519	525	1.043	164	478	20	23	458	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	534	429	108	29	2	8	95	145	4	5	3	252	392	385	777	133	355	27	18	354	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	88	80	18	3	2	3	8	28	0	0	1	225	295	425	720	200	306	32	9	318	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	433	366	93	19	1	12	65	118	2	9	4	254	370	410	779	156	343	27	15	353	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	69	57	12	5	0	0	11	27	0	1	0	211	338	298	636	88	387	39	16	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	34	29	3	0	0	0	4	12	0	0	0	103	212	103	316		176	35	12	162	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	510	448	120	22	3	17	60	162	0	6	6	268	354	444	799	176	380	32	12	355	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	1	7	0	0	0	150	190	300	490	150	193	33	5	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	161	130	18	4	2	0	30	71	1	2	3	138	304	200	504	62	309	44	19	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	82	68	18	4	2	0	12	23	1	4	0	265	383	382	765	118	374	28	15	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	534	456	88	21	2	6	68	197	4	5	3	193	303	287	590	94	309	37	13	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	88	82	18	3	2	3	6	32	0	0	1	220	273	415	687	195	299	36	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	433	383	80	14	1	10	48	152	2	9	4	209	300	329	629	120	315	35	11	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	34	30	3	0	0	0	3	14	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		172	41	9	133	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	510	466	108	19	3	13	42	198	0	6	6	232	295	369	664	137	365	39	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	1	7	0	0	0	150	190	300	490	150	167	33	5	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	—	21	19	4	0	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	211	286	368	654	158	231	24	10	295	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	243	198	35	9	3	0	42	95	2	6	3	177	326	253	579	76	337	39	17	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	243	177	43	12	4	0	63	66	2	6	3	243	446	356	802	113	384	27	26	377	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	534	456	88	21	2	6	68	197	4	5	3	193	303	287	590	94	317	37	13	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	534	429	108	29	2	8	95	145	4	5	3	252	392	385	777	133	355	27	18	354	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	590	527	109	19	3	14	60	208	2	10	5	207	290	334	624	127	310	35	10	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	590	503	123	27	3	15	84	173	2	10	5	245	355	400	754	155	342	29	14	341	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	544	496	111	19	3	13	45	212	0	6	6	224	288	353	641	129	359	39	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	544	477	123	22	3	17	64	174	0	6	6	258	346	423	769	166	368	32	12	343	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	21	20	3	0	0	1	1	7	0	0	0	150	190	300	490	150	193	33	5	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	243	197	35	9	3	0	42	95	2	6	3	178	326	254	580	76	331	39	17	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	534	457	88	21	2	6	68	197	4	5	3	193	303	287	590	94	309	37	13	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	590	523	109	19	3	14	60	208	2	10	5	208	290	337	627	128	312	35	10	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	544	494	111	19	3	13	45	212	0	6	6	225	288	354	643	130	353	39	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	534	457	88	21	2	6	68	197	4	5	3	193	303	287	590	94	309	37	13	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	590	523	109	19	3	14	60	208	2	10	5	208	290	337	627	128	312	35	10	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	544	494	111	19	3	13	45	212	0	6	6	225	288	354	643	130	353	39	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SD	2%	380	342	70	12	2	9	34	134	1	4	3	205	277	332	609	127	303	35	9	274	72	-13	-0	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	SD	2%	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	202	275	328	603	126	297	33	17	272	72	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SD	31%	370	333	69	12	2	9	33	128	1	4	3	209	281	342	623	133	302	35	9	280	76	-11	-0	+0	-2	+8	-0.5
2029	26	MLB MLE	SD	45%	407	367	78	14	2	11	36	138	1	4	3	211	284	348	632	137	302	34	9	283	78	-11	-0	+0	-2	+9	-0.5
2030	27	MLB MLE	SD	49%	420	379	80	14	2	11	37	141	1	4	3	212	285	348	633	136	300	34	9	284	78	-11	-0	+0	-3	+9	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	SD	31%	115	104	22	4	1	3	10	40	0	1	1	206	279	338	617	133	297	35	9	278	76	-3	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	SD	45%	181	163	34	6	1	5	16	62	0	2	1	208	281	344	626	136	296	34	9	281	78	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	SD	49%	207	186	40	7	1	6	18	69	1	2	2	209	282	345	627	136	295	33	9	281	78	-5	-0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	503	453	96	17	3	14	44	171	1	5	4	212	283	355	639	143	303	34	9	280	74	-13	-1	+0	-3	+11	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	124	22	4	18	57	221	1	6	5	212	283	356	639	144	303	34	9	280	74	-17	-1	+0	-4	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3449	3064	633	119	19	73	350	1239	12	42	28	207	290	329	620	123	316	36	10	278	74	-43	-1	+1	-9	+33	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	120	22	4	14	66	234	2	8	5	208	291	333	624	125	319	36	10	278	74	-18	-1	+0	-4	+14	-0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dan Johnson'05-'15 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,625 PA	2.4	1,625	57	1	226*	330*	401*	-30	-3	2.2	2.8
/162	664	23	0	-12.2	-1.2	0.9	pk7: 3
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
#5Ray Coleman'47-'52 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,902 PA	2.9	1,902	20	19	249*	297*	399*	-12	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	7	7	-4.4	-0.4	-0.0	pk7: -0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.8	509	13	5	212	281	348	-3	+0	-0.3	-0.1
/162	664	17	6	-4.0	+0.0	-0.4	pk7: 0
#6Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Braedon Karpathios (OGILVIE)	24	40	50	42	54	203/275/329	125	303	8	3	35%	9%	72	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mickey Hall 2009 · AA	24	41→44	47→50	50→45	43	199/276/338	139	306	13	7	37%	9%	74	-0.6	202/279/314	112	293	10	9	32%	9%	69	-0.9	172/260/252	80	244	7	8	30%	10%	47	-1.3
✕Roberto Ramos 2019 · AA	24	41→45	48→50	45→40	38	208/264/347	139	305	16	5	36%	6%	72	-0.7	222/294/380	158	334	20	4	37%	8%	91	+0.6	196/281/353	157	301	21	0	39%	9%	77	-0.2
✕Mike Papi 2017 · AA	24	39→48	44→45	44→45	48	194/277/313	119	273	11	5	31%	10%	69	-0.9	219/296/332	113	293	11	5	27%	9%	80	-0.2	221/299/323	102	290	10	4	25%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Mitch Walding 2018 · AA	25	39→45	47→50	43→40	41	197/267/332	134	301	15	4	38%	8%	69	-0.9	202/294/355	153	334	18	4	41%	11%	85	+0.2	185/286/336	151	327	19	3	44%	11%	76	-0.2
✕Grant Lavigne 2024 · AA	24	44→50	44→45	45	46	214/294/332	118	307	11	4	32%	9%	79	-0.2	214/295/340	126	309	13	8	32%	9%	82	-0.0	202/291/326	124	293	13	9	33%	9%	76	-0.4
✕Gabe Matthews 2022 · AAA	24	41→42	43→50	50→40	42	199/278/312	114	300	10	7	35%	8%	70	-0.9	200/296/336	136	300	15	4	35%	10%	82	-0.0	189/294/324	135	282	15	2	35%	10%	77	-0.2
✕Brett Bonvechio 2007 · AA	24	43→42	46→50	42→30	45	209/288/344	135	317	14	3	36%	10%	80	-0.2	215/281/354	139	294	14	5	30%	8%	79	-0.2	206/271/361	155	258	17	1	27%	7%	76	-0.1
✕Richie Robnett 2008 · AAA	24	43→44	48→50	43→45	39	218/268/362	144	302	16	5	33%	6%	76	-0.4	214/264/326	112	300	9	8	30%	6%	65	-1.2	203/257/299	96	286	6	8	30%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Orlando Martinez 2022 · AA	24	43→48	46→50	45→50	38	217/261/349	131	294	14	7	31%	5%	70	-0.9	225/273/344	119	291	11	8	25%	6%	73	-0.6	223/280/330	107	273	9	7	21%	7%	71	-0.5
✕Drew Robinson 2016 · AAA	24	38→43	48→55	49→50	46	194/274/343	149	274	15	12	34%	9%	74	-0.5	212/288/380	168	308	18	12	35%	9%	88	+0.4	211/288/384	173	313	19	12	36%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Ben Rortvedt 2023 · MLB	25	39	46→45	46→40	39	199/262/323	124	288	15	4	35%	7%	65	-1.2	209/289/320	111	287	12	5	29%	9%	75	-0.5	198/286/289	91	268	9	2	27%	9%	67	-0.5
✕Drew Ward 2019 · AAA	24	46→48	45→50	40→30	45	221/294/345	124	317	13	2	32%	9%	82	-0.0	216/275/365	149	344	18	4	40%	7%	80	-0.2	200/254/358	158	328	21	2	44%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Ademar Rifaela 2019 · AA	24	47→45	45→50	43→45	37	228/273/353	126	322	13	5	33%	5%	76	-0.4	217/265/340	123	313	11	5	33%	5%	70	-0.9	196/242/329	133	282	12	1	34%	4%	57	-1.2
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2022 · MLB	25	43→45	50	48→50	41	221/278/371	151	301	18	9	32%	7%	82	-0.0	214/281/366	152	286	18	7	31%	7%	82	+0.0	199/269/355	156	259	19	5	30%	7%	72	-0.5
✕Aaron Zavala 2024 · AA	24	43→46	42→45	47→50	48	198/301/304	106	314	10	10	36%	11%	76	-0.4	200/281/302	102	309	9	9	35%	9%	68	-1.0	200/277/306	106	297	9	9	33%	8%	65	-1.1
✕Michael Burgess 2012 · AA	23	39→43	49→50	45	43	204/270/348	145	273	16	4	31%	7%	74	-0.5	209/264/349	140	267	15	3	27%	7%	72	-0.7	210/257/358	148	260	15	2	25%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Taylor Murphy 2017 · AA	24	44→47	43→45	40	42	211/279/322	111	311	11	5	34%	8%	71	-0.8	204/276/310	106	328	10	7	38%	8%	68	-1.0	181/269/263	82	268	11	11	34%	7%	53	-0.4
✕Nelson Perez 2013 · AA	25	42	46→50	44→40	36	205/262/335	131	323	13	6	39%	6%	68	-1.0	231/288/382	151	308	18	6	30%	7%	88	+0.4	256/314/436	180	301	25	0	23%	7%	111	+1.2
✕Caleb Roberts 2024 · AA	24	45→46	45→50	52→50	46	213/298/343	131	314	11	12	33%	9%	83	+0.1	205/286/332	127	282	12	11	30%	8%	76	-0.4	190/278/312	121	255	12	11	29%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Dustin Yount 2007 · AA	24	44	44→45	43→40	47	217/292/330	113	290	13	4	29%	9%	78	-0.3	210/282/316	106	283	11	6	28%	8%	71	-0.8	209/276/352	143	307	17	0	36%	8%	72	-0.1

Braedon Karpathios

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps