Luke Heyman

C Greenville Drive

Age 24 R/R 6'4" / 220 lbs A+ HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP40OGV rank#334ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	23	A+/ABOS	433	.234/.357/.448	20	0	69	—	.182/.269/.352
2027PROJMLE	24	MLBBOS	1	.229/.305/.405	0	0	96	0.0
2028PROJ42% MLB	25	MLBBOS	107	.230/.306/.407	4	1	97	0.4
2029PROJ62% MLB	26	MLBBOS	184	.231/.307/.407	7	1	97	0.7

Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.8M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

ISO80

BB%56

wOBA54

wRC+52

K%50

Chase%43

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 2.5, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 91%

CompsMichael McKenry (age 24) · Tyler Ogle (age 25) · Kyle Wilson (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†96

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .305 / .405

PA1

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP283

ISO176

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$27M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.1M
2035	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	279	240	58	9	1	14	34	67	2	0	0	242	341	463	803	221	272	24	12	352	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	Salem RidgeYaks	—	154	119	26	6	0	6	31	36	2	0	0	218	388	420	808	202	253	23	20	363	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	279	254	48	7	1	12	20	88	2	0	0	189	254	366	620	177	222	32	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	—	154	129	22	5	0	5	21	49	2	0	0	171	296	326	622	155	211	32	14	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	433	382	69	11	1	17	42	137	4	0	0	181	269	348	617	168	223	32	10	269	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	433	359	84	15	1	20	65	103	4	0	0	234	357	448	806	214	266	24	15	356	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	433	384	69	11	1	17	42	137	4	0	0	180	269	346	615	167	218	32	10	269	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	433	384	69	11	1	17	42	137	4	0	0	180	269	346	615	167	218	32	10	269	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	380	340	76	13	2	14	34	104	3	4	1	223	300	399	698	175	274	27	9	310	96	-2	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	BOS	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	229	305	405	709	176	283	0	0	314	96	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BOS	42%	251	225	50	9	1	9	22	68	2	2	1	225	301	401	702	176	275	27	9	311	97	-1	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.9
2029	26	MLB MLE	BOS	62%	297	265	59	10	1	11	27	80	3	2	1	226	302	401	703	175	275	27	9	312	97	-1	+0	-1	+5	+6	1.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	BOS	69%	316	282	63	11	1	12	28	84	3	2	1	225	302	398	700	173	276	27	9	311	97	-1	+0	-1	+6	+7	1.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	BOS	72%	324	289	66	12	1	12	29	87	3	2	1	225	301	394	695	169	275	27	9	309	95	-2	+0	-1	+6	+7	1.0
2032	29	MLB MLE	BOS	72%	319	285	63	11	1	11	28	85	3	1	1	223	299	388	688	165	275	27	9	306	93	-3	-0	-2	+6	+7	0.8
2033	30	MLB MLE	BOS	72%	312	280	62	11	1	11	27	85	2	1	2	220	295	380	676	160	273	27	9	301	90	-4	-1	-3	+6	+7	0.5
2034	31	MLB MLE	BOS	72%	283	254	55	10	1	9	25	78	2	1	2	216	290	370	661	155	269	28	9	295	86	-5	-1	-3	+5	+6	0.2
2035	32	MLB MLE	BOS	72%	248	223	47	8	1	8	21	69	2	1	2	211	284	358	642	147	265	28	8	287	81	-6	-1	-4	+4	+5	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	BOS	42%	107	95	21	4	0	4	10	29	1	1	0	230	306	407	713	177	284	27	9	316	97	-0	+0	-0	+2	+2	0.4
2029	26	MLB CTX	BOS	62%	184	164	38	7	1	7	16	49	2	1	0	231	307	407	714	176	285	27	9	317	97	-1	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.7
2030	27	MLB CTX	BOS	69%	217	194	46	9	1	8	19	58	2	2	0	231	307	405	712	174	285	27	9	316	97	-1	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.8
2031	28	MLB CTX	BOS	72%	234	209	48	9	1	8	21	63	2	1	1	230	306	401	707	170	285	27	9	314	95	-1	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.7
2032	29	MLB CTX	BOS	72%	230	206	47	9	1	8	20	62	2	1	1	229	304	395	699	166	284	27	9	311	93	-2	-0	-2	+4	+5	0.6
2033	30	MLB CTX	BOS	72%	224	200	45	9	1	7	20	61	2	1	1	226	300	387	688	162	282	27	9	306	90	-3	-0	-2	+4	+5	0.4
2034	31	MLB CTX	BOS	72%	203	181	40	8	1	6	18	56	2	1	2	221	295	377	673	156	279	28	9	300	86	-3	-1	-2	+4	+4	0.2
2035	32	MLB CTX	BOS	72%	178	160	35	7	1	5	15	50	1	1	1	216	289	364	653	148	274	28	8	292	81	-4	-0	-3	+3	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1577	1409	320	62	7	53	139	428	14	9	6	227	303	394	697	167	285	27	9	309	89	-15	-1	-11	+28	+34	3.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	133	26	3	22	57	176	6	4	2	229	304	398	702	169	288	27	9	309	89	-6	-0	-5	+12	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2993	2672	576	100	10	108	268	830	26	14	12	216	293	382	675	166	267	28	9	300	89	-23	-2	-16	+46	+55	6.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	125	22	2	23	58	180	6	3	3	216	293	379	673	164	268	28	9	300	89	-6	-1	-4	+12	+14	1.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Greenville Drive · 279 PAwOBA .347 → .267 (−80)K% 24.0% → 31.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.01%	÷1.000	×1.310	—	—	31.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.19%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.998	7.30%
HBP% /PA	0.72%	—	×0.770	—	×0.998	0.55%
Singles /BIP	19.65%	÷1.000	×0.870	×0.973	×0.998	16.60%
Doubles /BIP	5.20%	÷1.000	×0.780	×0.973	×0.998	3.94%
Triples /BIP	0.58%	÷1.000	×0.850	×0.973	×0.998	0.48%
Home runs /BIP	8.09%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×0.998	7.11%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .347 → .267; ISO .221 → .185; BABIP .272 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ASalem RidgeYaks · 154 PAwOBA .360 → .274 (−85)K% 23.4% → 31.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.38%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	31.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.13%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.990	13.75%
HBP% /PA	1.30%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	1.00%
Singles /BIP	16.87%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.959	×0.990	14.73%
Doubles /BIP	7.23%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.959	×0.990	5.70%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.959	×0.990	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.23%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.990	5.73%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .360 → .274; ISO .202 → .158; BABIP .253 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#2Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	3.9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
/162	664	21	1	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9
#3Bob Tillman'62-'70 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,585 PA	3.9	2,585	79	1	235*	304*	401*	+46	+0	8.8	8.5
/162	664	20	0	+11.9	+0.0	2.3	pk7: 8
#4George Mitterwald'66-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,919 PA	4.4	2,919	76	14	235*	294*	396*	+47	-1	6.5	7.4
/162	664	17	3	+10.7	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Devin Mesoracolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,574 PA	2.4	1,574	58	4	232	309	406	+28	-13	6.0	6.2
/162	664	24	2	+11.9	-5.3	2.5	pk7: 6
#6Tim Laudner'81-'89 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,268 PA	3.4	2,268	77	3	222*	292*	409*	+34	-1	6.0	6.1
/162	664	23	1	+9.8	-0.3	1.8	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.4	1,579	55	9	222	295	388	+28	-10	5.5	5.3
/162	664	23	4	+11.9	-4.2	2.3	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luke Heyman (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	221/297/395	174	274	8	2	27%	9%	96	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael McKenry 2009 · A	24	42→47	52→55	38→40	47	222/296/395	173	273	20	4	27%	8%	95	+0.9	222/285/357	135	279	14	3	25%	8%	81	-0.1	248/321/426	177	294	23	2	23%	9%	111	+0.8
✕Tyler Ogle 2016 · A	25	41→43	50	36→30	50	215/293/365	150	260	19	2	25%	9%	86	+0.3	211/278/346	135	271	15	5	27%	7%	76	-0.4	174/243/288	114	217	12	0	25%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Kyle Wilson 2006 · A	23	46	55→60	38→30	38	239/286/424	185	309	24	4	31%	5%	98	+1.2	216/259/333	117	277	12	4	26%	4%	66	-1.1	194/230/280	86	245	7	0	24%	2%	40	-1.4
✕Marcos Castañon 2023 · A	24	38→48	51→50	38→40	46	201/294/355	155	278	19	2	33%	10%	86	+0.3	220/281/359	139	288	16	3	28%	7%	80	-0.1	222/277/356	134	285	15	2	27%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Austin Allen 2019 · AA	25	46→53	53→60	35→40	41	239/283/406	168	286	22	2	25%	5%	93	+0.8	241/281/431	190	289	25	3	26%	5%	97	+1.1	237/280/421	184	287	24	0	26%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Ian Rice 2018 · AA	24	39→40	51→50	41→30	50	208/291/361	154	264	19	3	29%	10%	85	+0.2	201/283/316	115	282	12	3	31%	9%	72	-0.7	183/271/276	93	265	9	1	32%	9%	58	-0.9
✕Chris Gimenez 2008 · AA	25	40→50	52→50	41→45	45	215/292/384	169	257	21	5	25%	7%	91	+0.7	232/307/373	141	297	16	4	26%	9%	93	+0.8	230/308/359	129	296	14	2	25%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2024 · MLB	24	45→48	57→55	43→45	49	240/314/434	193	269	26	6	22%	8%	110	+2.1	233/291/394	161	295	22	4	28%	7%	93	+0.8	226/283/371	144	289	20	2	28%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Nick Hundley 2008 · AA	24	41→45	50→55	39→40	45	214/272/365	151	255	17	3	24%	7%	78	-0.3	223/279/378	155	271	18	4	24%	7%	84	+0.1	252/317/421	169	318	16	4	25%	8%	108	+1.0
✕Wilin Rosario 2013 · MLB	24	45→54	59→60	39→45	40	244/281/444	200	280	28	5	25%	5%	101	+1.4	257/288/428	171	301	22	5	22%	4%	99	+1.2	259/286/416	157	305	19	4	22%	3%	95	+0.7
●Tom Murphy 2015 · AA	24	40→38	51→65	43→45	41	209/276/368	158	288	19	5	33%	7%	81	-0.1	212/259/381	169	304	20	5	36%	5%	77	-0.3	247/319/462	214	314	30	2	30%	9%	119	+1.2
✕Juan Yepez 2022 · AAA	24	44→49	57→60	39→45	47	237/307/438	201	277	26	4	25%	8%	109	+2.0	234/292/406	172	275	21	3	23%	7%	95	+1.0	232/290/385	153	271	19	3	22%	7%	88	+0.4
●Devin Mesoraco 2012 · MLB	24	46→50	53→60	42→40	45	239/295/416	177	281	20	3	23%	6%	99	+1.2	237/293/397	160	272	19	3	20%	7%	94	+0.9	235/319/433	198	264	26	1	22%	9%	112	+1.1
✕Justin Foscue 2023 · AA	24	46→48	53→55	40→50	46	239/305/417	178	277	21	4	22%	7%	103	+1.6	232/316/389	157	262	16	9	18%	9%	101	+1.4	235/311/400	165	268	19	6	20%	9%	98	+0.8
✕Sergio Pedroza 2008 · A	24	45→46	56→60	38→45	45	231/314/427	196	301	23	3	30%	8%	109	+2.0	226/294/352	126	306	12	11	29%	7%	84	+0.1	216/285/314	97	281	9	12	25%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2023 · AAA	25	44	50	35→45	37	229/263/382	153	275	18	2	24%	3%	79	-0.2	219/271/352	133	259	17	4	22%	5%	75	-0.5	205/264/324	119	239	16	2	22%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Andy Marte 2006 · MLB	22	45→49	53→55	37→40	52	233/305/408	175	268	20	3	22%	10%	101	+1.4	228/278/386	158	268	18	3	22%	6%	85	+0.2	240/289/401	161	270	19	2	19%	6%	92	+0.4
✕Chris Wallace 2012 · AA	24	44→41	52→55	43→45	38	227/280/392	165	293	20	4	30%	5%	88	+0.4	222/273/340	118	318	12	4	32%	5%	72	-0.7	225/274/321	96	336	8	3	34%	5%	67	-0.4
✕Zach Lutz 2011 · AAA	25	48	51→55	39→30	47	240/313/402	162	305	19	3	27%	8%	102	+1.5	244/315/399	155	334	18	2	30%	8%	102	+1.5	240/314/384	145	333	16	0	31%	9%	96	+0.6
✕Kenny Holmberg 2007 · A	24	45→46	48→50	41→40	48	229/296/368	140	276	15	5	23%	8%	88	+0.4	216/297/317	101	271	10	4	23%	9%	77	-0.3	207/297/294	87	259	9	2	22%	10%	71	-0.5

Luke Heyman

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps