Luke Heyman — OGILVIE

Luke HeymanC Greenville Drive

Age 23 R/R 6'4" / 220 lbs A+ HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION433 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP264

ISO171

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$56M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED30

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$8M	+$7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+1.0	$5M	+$3M
2034	Arb-2	$4M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$4M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$28M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	23	A+ MLE	BOS	—	433	382	70	12	1	16	42	141	4	0	0	183	271	346	617	162	235	33	10	271	70	-16	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A RAW	BOS	—	154	119	26	6	0	6	31	36	2	0	0	218	388	420	808	202	253	23	20	363	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ RAW	BOS	—	279	240	58	9	1	14	34	67	2	0	0	242	341	463	803	221	272	24	12	352	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A+ MLE	BOS	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		259	33	11	294	85	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	23	A+ MLE	BOS	—	442	390	71	12	1	16	43	144	4	0	0	182	270	341	611	159	234	33	10	272	70	-16	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BOS	45%	468	418	88	15	2	17	43	134	4	3	1	211	290	378	668	167	264	29	9	300	89	-6	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.3
2028	25	MLB MLE	BOS	66%	505	448	97	17	2	19	47	141	5	4	1	217	298	391	689	174	266	28	9	303	91	-5	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2029	26	MLB MLE	BOS	76%	520	462	101	18	2	19	48	144	5	4	1	219	299	390	689	171	268	28	9	305	93	-5	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2030	27	MLB MLE	BOS	78%	520	461	101	18	2	19	49	144	5	4	1	219	301	390	691	171	268	28	9	306	93	-4	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2031	28	MLB MLE	BOS	79%	520	461	100	18	2	19	49	144	5	4	1	217	299	388	687	171	267	28	9	305	92	-5	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.6
2032	29	MLB MLE	BOS	78%	520	461	100	18	2	19	49	145	5	4	1	217	299	388	687	171	266	28	9	303	91	-6	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	BOS	77%	520	461	98	17	2	18	49	147	5	4	1	213	295	375	670	163	265	28	9	300	89	-7	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.3
2034	31	MLB MLE	BOS	77%	504	447	93	16	2	17	48	144	4	3	1	208	291	367	657	159	262	29	10	296	86	-8	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.9
2035	32	MLB MLE	BOS	77%	489	436	88	15	1	16	46	141	4	3	1	202	284	351	635	149	259	29	9	290	83	-10	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.6
2036	33	MLB MLE	BOS	77%	473	421	83	14	1	15	45	139	4	3	1	197	281	342	623	145	255	29	10	283	78	-12	+0	-4	+8	+10	0.2
2037	34	MLB MLE	BOS	72%	437	390	74	12	1	13	41	131	3	2	1	190	272	326	598	136	249	30	9	275	72	-14	+0	-5	+8	+9	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	BOS	45%	211	188	41	7	1	8	19	60	2	1	0	218	297	394	690	176	269	28	9	295	89	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	BOS	66%	333	296	65	12	1	12	31	93	3	2	1	220	300	389	689	169	271	28	9	298	91	-3	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	BOS	76%	394	351	76	14	1	14	36	109	4	3	1	217	297	382	678	165	273	28	9	300	93	-3	+0	+0	+7	+9	1.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	BOS	78%	407	362	79	15	1	14	38	112	4	3	1	218	300	381	681	163	273	28	9	300	93	-3	+0	+0	+7	+9	1.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	BOS	79%	413	367	80	15	1	15	39	115	4	3	1	218	300	387	687	169	273	28	9	299	92	-4	+0	-0	+7	+9	1.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	BOS	78%	406	360	77	14	1	14	39	113	4	3	1	214	298	375	673	161	272	28	10	298	91	-4	+0	-1	+7	+9	1.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	BOS	77%	403	358	77	14	1	14	38	114	4	3	1	215	297	377	675	162	270	28	9	295	89	-5	+0	-2	+7	+9	1.0
2034	31	MLB CTX	BOS	77%	388	345	73	13	1	13	37	111	3	3	1	212	294	368	662	157	268	29	10	291	86	-6	+0	-2	+7	+8	0.7
2035	32	MLB CTX	BOS	77%	375	333	69	12	1	12	36	108	3	2	1	207	290	357	648	150	264	29	10	286	83	-8	+0	-3	+7	+8	0.5
2036	33	MLB CTX	BOS	77%	362	322	65	11	1	11	34	106	3	2	1	202	284	345	629	143	260	29	9	279	78	-9	+0	-3	+6	+8	0.2
2037	34	MLB CTX	BOS	72%	315	280	54	9	1	9	29	95	3	2	0	193	276	329	604	136	253	30	9	270	72	-10	+0	-3	+6	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4007	3562	756	136	11	136	376	1136	37	27	9	212	294	371	665	159	268	28	9	292	87	-60	+2	-14	+72	+87	8.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	123	22	2	22	61	184	6	4	1	213	295	372	667	159	269	28	9	292	87	-10	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5485	4874	1024	178	19	191	515	1557	49	38	11	210	292	372	664	162	264	28	9	297	87	-82	+3	-18	+98	+119	12.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	121	21	2	23	61	185	6	5	1	209	291	372	663	163	263	28	9	297	87	-10	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#5Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.0	4,009	140	27	211	290	374	+72	-16	11.9	10.7
/162	664	23	4	+11.9	-2.6	2.0	pk7: 10
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luke Heyman (OGILVIE)	23	40	55	30	60	204/285/368	164	259	12	2	29%	9%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kyle Wilson 2006 · A	23	46	56→60	38→30	38	240/288/426	186	311	24	4	31%	5%	99	+1.2	217/260/335	118	279	12	4	26%	4%	67	-1.1	196/233/283	87	248	8	0	24%	2%	42	-1.4
✕Michael McKenry 2009 · A	24	42→48	52→55	38→40	47	222/296/395	173	274	20	4	27%	8%	95	+0.9	221/284/354	133	278	14	3	25%	8%	80	-0.1	251/325/430	179	297	23	2	23%	9%	110	+0.8
✕Marcos Castañon 2023 · A	24	39→49	53→50	38→40	47	207/302/378	171	280	22	2	33%	10%	93	+0.8	222/284/365	143	292	17	3	29%	7%	83	+0.1	224/279/359	135	291	15	2	27%	6%	77	-0.3
✕Tyler Ogle 2016 · A	25	42→43	50	36→30	50	218/297/371	152	264	19	2	25%	9%	89	+0.5	214/280/350	136	275	15	5	27%	7%	78	-0.3	179/248/294	115	224	12	0	25%	6%	52	-0.6
✕Michael Wing 2012 · A	23	49→53	47→55	35→40	41	245/291/380	135	306	14	4	24%	5%	88	+0.5	215/255/334	119	282	11	5	27%	4%	64	-1.3	231/273/389	158	295	17	4	27%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Kenny Holmberg 2006 · A	23	51→47	50	43→40	46	258/311/415	157	301	19	4	21%	7%	104	+1.6	224/301/345	121	277	13	4	23%	9%	84	+0.2	208/298/306	98	259	10	3	22%	10%	74	-0.4
✕Tom Murphy 2014 · AA	23	41→38	50→65	42→45	39	211/275/365	155	299	17	5	34%	6%	80	-0.2	209/263/374	165	291	20	5	34%	6%	78	-0.3	247/319/462	215	314	30	2	30%	9%	117	+1.1
✕Phillip Cuadrado 2007 · A	23	49→51	48→50	37→40	43	247/303/388	140	299	16	4	23%	5%	95	+1.0	225/284/351	126	291	13	5	26%	6%	80	-0.2	183/249/299	115	239	12	0	28%	6%	52	-0.6
✕Ian Rice 2018 · AA	24	39→40	50	41→30	50	207/291/358	151	264	19	3	29%	10%	84	+0.2	201/284/314	113	282	12	3	31%	9%	72	-0.7	184/273/274	91	266	9	1	32%	9%	57	-0.9
✕Ryan Lavarnway 2011 · AA	23	45→46	51→55	44→30	44	231/300/391	161	300	19	2	29%	8%	95	+1.0	230/293/372	142	283	17	2	24%	7%	88	+0.4	228/290/359	131	274	15	1	22%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Travis Denker 2007 · A	21	44→52	48→50	37→45	54	224/307/363	140	262	17	3	22%	10%	91	+0.7	226/294/349	123	276	12	5	21%	8%	82	+0.0	229/306/370	141	260	15	0	18%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Sergio Pedroza 2007 · A	23	42→47	56→60	38→45	47	220/314/415	194	293	24	3	32%	10%	106	+1.8	229/303/387	158	305	17	7	29%	8%	95	+1.0	228/299/376	148	295	16	7	27%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Nick Hundley 2008 · AA	24	41→46	49→55	39→40	45	214/272/364	150	257	17	3	24%	7%	78	-0.3	222/278/375	153	270	17	4	24%	7%	83	+0.1	252/320/419	167	318	16	4	25%	8%	104	+0.9
✕Jon Still 2008 · A	23	47→46	54→55	45→30	55	242/336/422	180	296	21	3	25%	12%	115	+2.4	214/283/374	160	279	18	2	29%	8%	84	+0.2	198/262/355	157	258	18	1	30%	7%	71	-0.7
✕Kellen Kulbacki 2009 · A	23	47→46	56→60	38→30	50	248/319/434	185	284	25	4	22%	8%	112	+2.2	220/275/335	115	265	12	6	21%	7%	72	-0.7	193/235/261	68	234	4	5	19%	5%	36	-0.8
✕Max Stassi 2014 · AA	23	43	51→55	44→40	39	227/277/388	161	283	20	4	27%	5%	86	+0.3	206/251/326	120	285	14	3	32%	5%	61	-1.5	215/301/376	160	280	21	0	29%	10%	91	+0.3
✕Nathan Hickey 2023 · A	23	43→39	54→50	43→40	50	221/318/403	183	306	22	3	33%	11%	105	+1.7	199/280/347	148	284	17	4	34%	9%	78	-0.3	183/261/317	134	259	15	3	34%	9%	62	-1.1
●Mark Vientos 2023 · MLB	23	46→50	54→60	37→30	40	234/290/409	175	325	24	2	35%	7%	95	+1.0	243/301/435	192	315	25	2	30%	7%	105	+1.7	243/303/441	198	304	26	1	28%	7%	106	+1.5
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2023 · MLB	23	44→48	52→55	45	50	232/308/392	160	264	21	7	21%	8%	98	+1.2	235/298/411	176	286	24	5	26%	7%	99	+1.3	229/284/404	175	286	26	2	29%	6%	91	+0.4
✕Travis Scott 2008 · A	23	44	50→55	43→40	44	225/284/373	148	289	18	3	28%	7%	84	+0.2	224/278/380	156	289	18	5	28%	7%	84	+0.1	218/272/379	160	276	18	3	27%	6%	80	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps