Christian Olivo

SS South Bend Cubs

Age 23 R/R 5'9" / 168 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	ACHC	348	.240/.367/.337	3	28	55	—	.193/.286/.275
2026	22	A+CHC	306	.221/.339/.345	5	18	56	—	.186/.280/.283
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBCHC	2	.200/.281/.284	0	0	61	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBCHC	102	.206/.287/.302	1	3	68	-0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBCHC	174	.210/.290/.314	3	5	72	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed90

Z-Con%77

K%76

Whiff%70

BB%58

Chase%56

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsNick Sinay (age 23) · Christian Cairo (age 23) · Jacob Young (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .281 / .284

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%8

BABIP265

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	15	14	1	0	0	0	0	8	1	0	0	71	133	71	205		167	53	0	109	-75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	107	88	17	1	1	0	12	20	5	10	2	193	324	227	551	34	250	19	11	267	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	111	91	24	7	0	1	16	23	3	7	3	264	391	374	765	110	343	21	14	351	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	51	47	4	0	0	0	3	13	0	0	0	85	140	85	225		118	25	6	112	-51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	334	293	66	5	2	3	29	82	4	20	4	225	304	287	590	61	297	25	9	269	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	57	48	8	0	0	1	6	14	1	2	1	167	273	229	502	62	212	25	11	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	348	288	69	17	1	3	47	64	11	28	10	240	367	337	704	97	296	18	14	328	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	306	258	57	13	2	5	38	59	8	18	1	221	339	345	684	124	265	19	12	314	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	15	14	0	0	0	0	0	12	1	0	0		67		67		140	80	0	57	-75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	107	93	14	1	1	0	7	29	5	10	2	151	248	183	430	32	200	27	7	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	111	97	18	5	0	1	10	33	3	7	3	186	282	268	550	82	255	30	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	51	48	4	0	0	0	2	16	0	0	0	83	120	83	203		114	31	4	93	-51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	334	302	55	4	1	3	20	113	4	20	4	182	242	232	474	50	265	34	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	348	306	59	14	1	3	29	91	11	28	10	193	286	275	561	82	255	26	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	306	269	50	10	2	4	27	75	8	18	1	186	280	283	562	97	234	25	9	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	15	14	0	0	0	0	0	12	1	0	0		67		67			80	0	57	-75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	15	14	1	0	0	0	0	8	1	0	0	71	133	71	205		167	53	0	109	-75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	107	93	14	1	1	0	7	29	5	10	2	151	248	183	430	32	219	27	7	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	107	88	17	1	1	0	12	20	5	10	2	193	324	227	551	34	250	19	11	267	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	111	97	18	5	0	1	10	33	3	7	3	186	282	268	550	82	270	30	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	111	91	24	7	0	1	16	23	3	7	3	264	391	374	765	110	343	21	14	351	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	442	401	68	4	2	3	25	149	5	22	5	170	227	212	439	42	257	34	6	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	442	388	78	5	2	4	38	109	5	22	5	201	281	255	536	54	265	25	9	246	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	348	306	59	14	1	3	29	91	11	28	10	193	286	275	561	82	262	26	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	348	288	69	17	1	3	47	64	11	28	10	240	367	337	704	97	296	18	14	328	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	306	269	50	10	2	4	27	75	8	18	1	186	280	283	562	97	240	25	9	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	—	306	258	57	13	2	5	38	59	8	18	1	221	339	345	684	124	265	19	12	314	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	15	14	0	0	0	0	0	12	1	0	0		67		67		140	80	0	57	-75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	107	94	14	1	1	0	7	29	5	10	2	149	248	181	428	32	200	27	7	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	111	97	18	5	0	1	10	33	3	7	3	186	282	268	550	82	255	30	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	442	409	68	4	2	3	25	149	5	22	5	166	227	208	435	42	245	34	6	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	348	305	59	14	1	3	29	91	11	28	10	193	286	275	562	82	255	26	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	306	268	50	10	2	4	27	75	8	18	1	187	280	284	563	97	234	25	9	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	442	409	68	4	2	3	25	149	5	22	5	166	227	208	435	42	245	34	6	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	348	305	59	14	1	3	29	91	11	28	10	193	286	275	562	82	255	26	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	306	268	50	10	2	4	27	75	8	18	1	187	280	284	563	97	234	25	9	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	416	371	74	15	2	4	34	104	8	14	3	198	279	280	560	82	261	25	8	258	61	-19	+2	+0	+4	+9	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	CHC	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	281	284	565	84	265	50	0	260	61	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CHC	30%	335	299	60	12	1	4	27	83	6	10	2	204	285	299	584	95	264	25	8	268	68	-13	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	CHC	44%	393	350	73	14	2	6	33	96	7	12	2	208	289	311	600	103	266	24	8	274	72	-13	+2	+0	+4	+9	0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	CHC	51%	429	382	81	16	2	7	36	105	8	12	3	210	291	319	610	108	267	24	8	278	74	-13	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	446	398	84	16	2	8	37	109	8	12	3	211	291	321	612	110	268	24	8	279	75	-13	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	452	404	85	16	2	8	38	111	7	11	2	211	291	321	612	110	268	25	8	279	75	-14	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	449	402	84	16	2	8	37	111	7	9	2	209	288	315	603	106	267	25	8	275	72	-15	+1	-1	+5	+10	-0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	442	396	82	16	2	7	36	111	7	8	2	206	285	308	593	101	266	25	8	271	69	-16	+1	-2	+5	+10	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	CHC	30%	102	91	19	4	1	1	8	25	2	3	1	206	287	302	589	96	267	25	8	270	68	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	CHC	44%	174	155	33	6	1	3	14	43	3	5	1	210	290	314	604	104	269	25	8	276	72	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	CHC	51%	218	194	41	8	1	4	18	53	4	6	1	212	292	321	613	109	270	24	8	279	74	-7	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	234	208	44	9	1	4	20	57	4	6	1	213	293	323	616	110	271	24	9	280	75	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	241	215	45	9	1	4	20	59	4	6	1	213	292	323	615	110	271	24	8	280	75	-7	+1	-0	+3	+5	0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	236	210	45	9	1	4	20	59	4	5	1	211	290	317	607	106	270	25	8	277	72	-8	+1	-1	+3	+5	-0.0
2034	30	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	230	205	42	8	1	3	19	58	4	4	1	208	286	310	596	102	268	25	8	272	69	-8	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1435	1278	269	53	7	23	119	354	25	35	7	210	290	317	607	106	271	25	8	277	61	-47	+4	-2	+15	+31	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	121	24	3	10	54	160	11	16	3	209	289	313	601	104	269	25	8	277	61	-21	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4575	4078	811	151	20	62	366	1190	89	169	39	199	279	291	571	92	263	26	8	259	61	-111	+10	-4	+35	+70	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	115	21	3	9	52	169	13	24	6	199	280	292	571	93	262	26	8	259	61	-22	+2	-1	+7	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#5Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.2	1,436	24	35	210	287	316	+15	+9	1.3	1.3
/162	664	11	16	+7.1	+4.2	0.6	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christian Olivo (OGILVIE)	23	40	25	60	55	197/277/278	81	261	3	10	25%	8%	61	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Sinay 2017 · A	23	44	35→30	56→60	48	201/311/261	60	278	3	23	26%	9%	71	-0.8	204/317/262	58	288	3	20	28%	7%	74	-0.5	179/318/210	31	266	2	26	28%	7%	62	-0.7
✕Christian Cairo 2024 · A	23	42→49	39→40	51→60	53	197/301/281	84	282	6	16	29%	12%	71	-0.8	218/307/294	76	305	4	26	27%	10%	76	-0.4	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Jacob Young 2022 · A	23	43→53	38→40	57→60	44	204/256/283	80	261	5	21	23%	6%	53	-2.1	240/302/316	76	303	4	31	20%	7%	77	-0.3	242/306/331	89	291	7	29	18%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Najee Gaskins 2021 · A	23	49	37→30	56→50	48	228/307/308	80	301	3	18	24%	8%	78	-0.3	209/272/285	76	343	4	10	38%	6%	60	-1.6	199/266/262	63	345	4	9	40%	5%	51	-0.7
✕Kurtis Muller 2012 · A	23	46	36→40	55	45	214/286/282	68	269	3	19	20%	6%	64	-1.3	228/290/333	105	275	8	20	19%	6%	78	-0.3	246/302/374	128	281	10	28	16%	5%	88	+0.2
✕Blake Rambusch 2023 · A	23	47	37→30	52→65	42	219/286/293	74	316	4	14	30%	7%	67	-1.1	231/319/297	66	315	3	29	25%	9%	80	-0.1	237/325/293	56	311	2	37	22%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Gabriel Mejia 2018 · A	23	48	35→30	52→70	44	225/272/282	56	286	2	22	21%	6%	57	-1.8	209/260/269	60	291	3	13	27%	6%	51	-2.3	207/262/251	44	268	0	10	21%	6%	46	-0.6
✕Levi Michael 2014 · A	23	42→52	37→45	55	49	199/278/277	78	266	4	13	25%	9%	60	-1.6	225/292/310	85	297	5	16	24%	7%	72	-0.7	226/291/335	109	312	10	11	29%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Kristopher Negrón 2009 · A	23	46→49	40→45	57→55	43	220/279/317	97	278	7	19	23%	6%	70	-0.9	225/284/324	99	290	8	20	24%	6%	73	-0.6	217/277/337	120	309	13	14	32%	6%	71	-0.6
✕Cam Coursey 2022 · A	23	44	38→40	52→55	48	208/273/289	81	264	5	16	22%	8%	60	-1.6	214/296/293	79	279	4	10	23%	10%	70	-0.8	207/308/266	60	270	2	4	21%	12%	69	-0.4
✕David Kandilas 2014 · A	23	45→44	39→45	55	45	215/275/304	90	283	7	19	26%	7%	65	-1.2	210/271/308	98	277	7	16	25%	7%	64	-1.3	195/259/302	107	251	7	17	24%	6%	56	-1.2
✕Armand Gaerlan 2006 · A	23	46	38→30	54→55	44	217/276/297	81	294	5	16	27%	7%	63	-1.3	203/255/315	112	264	10	11	26%	6%	60	-1.6	123/164/268	145	133	14	3	22%	4%	13	-0.8
✕Erik Wetzel 2010 · A	23	49	39→30	55	49	233/297/316	83	291	7	17	22%	8%	76	-0.4	230/278/279	49	296	2	15	21%	6%	59	-1.7	234/279/261	28	301	0	17	21%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Cade Gotta 2015 · A	23	40→50	39→45	54→55	46	193/267/282	90	272	5	16	29%	8%	57	-1.8	217/266/317	100	285	7	21	25%	6%	64	-1.3	240/299/336	96	305	5	36	21%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Alfredo Rodriguez 2017 · A	23	40→50	36→30	55→45	44	191/256/256	65	252	3	14	24%	6%	47	-2.5	215/255/269	54	276	3	10	22%	4%	48	-2.5	230/269/285	55	290	2	9	21%	4%	55	-1.3
✕Erick Brito 2024 · A	22	45→44	35→30	54→55	47	209/273/269	60	262	3	20	20%	7%	56	-1.9	217/274/287	70	279	3	20	22%	6%	60	-1.6	221/277/288	67	285	3	23	22%	6%	58	-0.8
✕Jeron Williams 2024 · A	23	46	38→50	57→60	50	216/300/293	77	293	6	20	26%	9%	72	-0.7	215/268/325	110	275	9	29	24%	6%	67	-1.1	212/259/325	114	264	9	36	23%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Mike Brownstein 2011 · A	23	48	36→30	50→55	53	223/295/290	68	271	2	15	18%	9%	69	-0.9	221/284/294	73	295	4	12	24%	8%	65	-1.2	221/286/281	60	293	3	14	24%	8%	61	-0.8
✕Tyreace House 2011 · A	23	46	34→30	52→55	56	213/314/264	51	283	2	20	23%	12%	72	-0.7	195/268/245	50	274	2	18	27%	8%	49	-2.4	166/227/182	17	240	0	22	29%	7%	17	-3.2
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2008 · A	22	43	38→40	52→55	50	203/279/280	77	258	5	18	22%	8%	61	-1.5	191/249/259	68	294	4	11	34%	5%	45	-2.7	132/178/179	47	218	4	5	40%	2%	-1	-1.1

Christian Olivo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps