Greiber Mendez

P Bradenton Marauders

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 150 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	MIX2 levels	25	0	49	3.49	4.06	24.9%	11.7%	—	K 17.5% · BB 14.4% · FIP 5.58
2025	21	APIT	35	3	75	3.50	3.66	20.8%	12.8%	—	K 15.4% · BB 15.1% · FIP 4.69
2026	22	MIX2 levels	37	0	62	5.55	4.64	19.3%	7.1%	—	K 14.5% · BB 8.4% · FIP 5.70
2027PROJ	23	MLBPIT	59	0	62	5.82	5.82	13.9%	13.6%	-0.9
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBPIT	28	0	29	5.57	5.50	16.0%	12.7%	-0.3
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBPIT	44	0	46	5.38	5.31	17.2%	12.1%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control30Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsEverhett Hazelwood (age 23) · Jacinto Arredondo (age 23) · Brett Lockwood (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144136vR 127

ERA5.82

FIP5.82

K%13.9%

BB%13.6%

K-BB%0.3%

Proj IP62

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	1	0	0	6	1	0	0	0%	0.3	16.7%	0.0%	16.7%	0.0%	27.00	1.69	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL PIT Gold	1	0	0	6	1	0	0	0%	0.3	16.7%	0.0%	16.7%	0.0%	27.00	-2.90	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Black	16	0	33	152	35	14	3	0%	2.1	15.7%	11.5%	4.1%	3.1%	3.78	4.92	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL PIT Black	16	0	33	152	35	14	3	0%	2.1	23.0%	9.2%	13.8%	2.0%	3.78	3.43	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	16	1	28	118	33	11	1	6%	1.8	19.0%	11.7%	7.4%	1.2%	1.27	3.64	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	16	1	28	118	33	11	1	6%	1.8	28.0%	9.3%	18.6%	0.8%	1.27	2.39	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	49	213	53	25	6	0%	2.0	17.5%	14.4%	3.1%	3.9%	3.49	5.58	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	49	213	53	25	6	0%	2.0	17.5%	14.4%	3.1%	3.9%	3.49	5.58	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	0	49	213	53	25	6	0%	2.0	24.9%	11.7%	13.1%	2.8%	3.49	4.06	—
2025	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	35	3	75	313	65	40	4	9%	2.1	15.4%	15.1%	0.3%	1.8%	3.50	4.69	—
2025	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	35	3	75	313	65	40	4	9%	2.1	15.4%	15.1%	0.3%	1.8%	3.50	4.69	—
2025	21	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	35	3	75	313	65	40	4	9%	2.1	20.8%	12.8%	8.0%	1.3%	3.50	3.66	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	62	280	54	20	11	0%	1.7	14.5%	8.4%	6.1%	5.0%	5.55	5.70	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	62	280	54	20	11	0%	1.7	14.5%	8.4%	6.1%	5.0%	5.55	5.70	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	62	280	54	20	11	0%	1.7	19.3%	7.1%	12.1%	3.9%	5.55	4.64	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	PIT	59	0	62	262	36	36	9	0%	1.1	13.9%	13.6%	0.3%	3.3%	5.82	5.82	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	PIT	66	0	69	291	46	37	9	0%	1.0	16.0%	12.7%	3.3%	3.2%	5.57	5.50	-0.7
2029	25	MLB MLE	PIT	66	0	70	295	51	36	9	0%	1.1	17.2%	12.1%	5.0%	3.2%	5.38	5.31	-0.6
2030	26	MLB MLE	PIT	66	0	70	295	52	35	9	0%	1.1	17.8%	11.9%	5.8%	3.2%	5.27	5.23	-0.5
2031	27	MLB MLE	PIT	66	0	69	290	52	35	9	0%	1.0	17.9%	11.9%	6.0%	3.2%	5.24	5.24	-0.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	PIT	64	0	67	282	50	34	9	0%	1.0	17.8%	12.1%	5.7%	3.3%	5.29	5.33	-0.6
2033	29	MLB MLE	PIT	61	0	64	269	47	33	9	0%	1.0	17.5%	12.3%	5.2%	3.5%	5.39	5.46	-0.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	PIT	28	0	29	122	20	16	4	0%	1.0	16.0%	12.7%	3.3%	3.2%	5.57	5.50	-0.3
2029	25	MLB CTX	PIT	44	0	46	194	33	24	6	0%	1.0	17.2%	12.1%	5.0%	3.2%	5.38	5.31	-0.4
2030	26	MLB CTX	PIT	52	0	55	232	41	28	7	0%	1.1	17.8%	11.9%	5.8%	3.2%	5.27	5.23	-0.4
2031	27	MLB CTX	PIT	56	0	59	249	45	30	8	0%	1.1	17.9%	11.9%	6.0%	3.2%	5.24	5.24	-0.5
2032	28	MLB CTX	PIT	56	0	59	249	44	30	8	0%	1.1	17.8%	12.1%	5.7%	3.3%	5.29	5.33	-0.5
2033	29	MLB CTX	PIT	55	0	58	245	43	30	8	0%	1.1	17.5%	12.3%	5.2%	3.5%	5.39	5.46	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		292	0	307	1296	227	157	42	0%	1.1	17.5%	12.1%	5.4%	3.3%	5.34	4.95	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	148	102	27	0%	1.0	17.5%	12.1%	5.4%	3.3%	5.34	4.95	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		130	4	247	1082	173	133	34	3%	1.9	16.0%	12.3%	3.7%	3.1%	3.82	5.03	-3.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		105	3	200	875	140	107	28	3%	1.9	16.0%	12.3%	3.7%	3.1%	3.82	5.03	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Greiber Mendez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.82	13.9%	13.6%	3.3%	—	5.35	17.0%	4.7%	208	-0.47	—	—	—
Everhett Hazelwood R 2022 · 5.23 FIP	23	SU	5.23	13.8%	12.2%	3.2%	.306	6.51	18.7%	2.9%	63	+1.28	5.23	117	93
Jacinto Arredondo R 2021 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	14.4%	12.7%	2.6%	.310	4.89	15.7%	5.0%	50	-0.04	4.89	101	91
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	90
Simon Mercedes R 2015 · 4.86 FIP	23	SU	4.86	14.3%	11.7%	2.7%	.309	4.94	16.4%	3.9%	60	+0.08	4.86	139	89
Cole Percival R 2022 · 5.21 FIP	23	SU	5.21	15.4%	14.5%	2.9%	.297	4.27	17.9%	5.9%	182	-0.94	3.58	327	88
Cole Hillier R 2024 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	16.9%	14.7%	2.0%	.297	4.45	18.1%	4.5%	111	-0.19	3.80	169	87
Jake Johansen R 2015 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	15.8%	12.8%	3.6%	.351	4.14	13.6%	3.0%	114	-1.20	3.65	162	87
Taylor Grover R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SU	5.03	15.1%	12.9%	2.9%	.229	4.30	18.7%	9.1%	150	-0.73	3.68	239	87
Taylor Lewis R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	15.4%	11.7%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	2.47	142	86
Randy Messenger R 2005 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	16.3%	12.9%	2.8%	.281	3.93	13.8%	7.1%	137	-0.97	3.56	174	86
Mark McLaughlin R 2024 · 4.80 FIP	23	SU	4.80	15.8%	13.3%	2.5%	.247	4.16	18.9%	9.4%	84	-0.64	3.95	196	86
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	86
Jared Southard R 2024 · 4.94 FIP	23	SU	4.94	15.8%	13.2%	2.7%	.252	3.90	19.3%	11.2%	140	-1.04	3.82	252	85
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	85
Dylan Rheault R 2015 · 5.75 FIP	23	SU	5.75	6.5%	14.9%	2.4%	.288	4.11	14.1%	4.8%	96	-1.64	3.88	198	85
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	85
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	85
Noah Takacs R 2024 · 5.77 FIP	22	SU	5.77	12.5%	16.4%	3.0%	.301	5.68	13.4%	-2.3%	91	-0.09	5.25	130	85
Rafael Dolis R 2012 · 5.19 FIP	24	SU	5.19	13.9%	12.7%	3.0%	.287	4.02	15.8%	1.5%	66	-1.17	2.80	200	85
Mark Ecker R 2018 · 5.04 FIP	23	SU	5.04	16.6%	13.3%	3.0%	.230	4.09	16.7%	5.1%	59	-0.95	3.23	180	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	67	16.9%	12.4%	1.26	5.42
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Jesus Colome ('10)	2.1	53	17.3%	11.7%	1.03	4.69
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*