Jose Aguirre prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Jose Aguirre P DSL Arizona Black

Age 22 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 102

ERA4.50

FIP4.50

K%23.2%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%12.6%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	11	1	17	82	10	13	1	9%	1.5	8.3%	19.8%	-11.5%	1.7%	8.64	5.85	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 2	11	1	17	82	10	13	1	9%	1.5	12.2%	15.9%	-3.7%	1.2%	8.64	5.02	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Red	13	7	40	167	38	18	2	54%	3.1	15.5%	13.5%	2.0%	1.7%	2.90	4.42	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs Red	13	7	40	167	38	18	2	54%	3.1	22.8%	10.8%	12.0%	1.2%	2.90	3.20	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	17	0	34	150	48	16	2	0%	2.0	21.8%	13.3%	8.4%	1.8%	3.71	3.94	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	17	0	34	150	48	16	2	0%	2.0	21.8%	13.3%	8.4%	1.8%	3.71	3.94	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	17	0	34	150	48	16	2	0%	2.0	32.0%	10.7%	21.3%	1.3%	3.71	2.45	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	22	MLB	ARI	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.2%	10.6%	12.6%	3.0%	4.50	4.50	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	ARI	20	0	21	89	21	9	3	0%	1.1	24.0%	9.8%	14.2%	2.9%	4.38	4.31	+0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	ARI	10	0	10	42	10	4	1	0%	1.0	24.0%	9.8%	14.2%	2.9%	4.38	4.31	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	44	10	4	1	0%	1.0	24.0%	9.8%	14.2%	2.9%	4.38	3.93	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	194	77	19	0%	1.1	24.0%	9.8%	14.2%	2.9%	4.38	3.93	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		41	8	91	399	65	59	7	20%	2.2	16.4%	14.7%	1.6%	1.7%	4.25	4.53	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	18	200	877	143	129	15	20%	2.2	16.4%	14.7%	1.6%	1.7%	4.25	4.53	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Aguirre (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.50	23.2%	10.6%	3.0%	—	4.31	24.0%	14.2%	21	-0.19	—	—	—
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	90
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	86
Cody Palmquist R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	21.9%	9.0%	3.5%	.278	6.02	14.7%	7.1%	62	+1.71	4.31	104	85
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	84
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	83
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	83
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	82
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	82
Michael Gomez R 2019 · 3.32 FIP	22	SU	3.32	22.6%	9.2%	1.8%	.283	3.81	17.9%	8.3%	110	+0.49	3.27	286	82
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	81
Addison Russ R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	22	SU	3.62	22.2%	7.9%	2.5%	.324	3.09	25.6%	17.5%	121	-0.53	3.08	194	81
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	81
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	81
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	81
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	81
Parker Curry R 2017 · 3.73 FIP	23	SU	3.73	22.5%	8.2%	2.7%	.341	4.62	18.6%	11.6%	193	+0.89	3.73	256	81
Troy Bacon R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	21.8%	10.0%	3.3%	.349	4.85	18.2%	5.7%	83	+0.54	3.34	203	81
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	80
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	80
Jacob Dorris R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	26.9%	12.4%	3.2%	.295	4.58	19.2%	8.8%	88	+0.42	4.16	130	80