Troy Taylor — OGILVIE

Troy Taylor P Tacoma Rainiers

+0.0 WAR

INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 205 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2028

ERA4.22

FIP4.55

xFIP7.80

SIERA6.66

K%23.9%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%12.5%

IP38

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2028

STUF5050

CTRL3535

CMD4545

K†5560

FB Velo

p8597.0

Whiff%

p7729.6%

p9030.9%

xwOBA vs

p820.281

CH (1%)

SL-1.6 (38%)

FB-3.6 (61%)

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2023	21	A+	Everett AquaSox	40	0	45	200	62	21	1	23.4%	13.9%	0.9%	3.38	3.37	+0.8
2024	22	MLB	Seattle Mariners	61	0	62	244	70	21	4	25.4%	8.6%	2.1%	2.03	3.18	+1.3
2025	23	MLB	Seattle Mariners	58	0	51	245	56	32	9	22.8%	14.6%	3.0%	7.54	4.69	+0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	7	0	6	29	8	5	1	—	—	—	4.76	—	—
ROS	24	MLB	SEA	15	—	15	65	16	8	2	23.9%	12.5%	3.0%	4.36	4.69	+0.0
2026 Total	24	MLB	SEA	—	—	21	94	24	13	3	25.0%	13.9%	3.1%	4.47	3.43	+0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	25	MLB	SEA	39	—	39	165	40	19	5	24.2%	11.5%	3.0%	4.44	4.53	+0.2
2028	26	MLB	SEA	39	—	39	165	40	19	5	24.4%	11.3%	3.0%	4.46	4.49	+0.2
2029	27	MLB	SEA	39	—	39	163	40	18	5	24.3%	11.2%	3.0%	4.47	4.49	+0.2
2030	28	MLB	SEA	38	—	38	161	39	18	5	24.3%	11.2%	3.0%	4.49	4.51	+0.2
2031	29	MLB	SEA	37	—	37	157	37	18	5	23.8%	11.3%	3.1%	4.55	4.58	+0.2
2032	30	MLB	SEA	36	—	36	152	35	17	5	23.2%	11.4%	3.1%	4.63	4.68	+0.1
2033	31	MLB	SEA	35	—	35	147	33	17	5	22.7%	11.5%	3.2%	4.72	4.78	+0.1
2034	32	MLB	SEA	33	—	33	141	31	16	5	22.0%	11.6%	3.3%	4.83	4.90	+0.0
2035	33	MLB	SEA	32	—	32	135	29	16	5	21.4%	11.8%	3.4%	4.95	5.02	-0.0
2036	34	MLB	SEA	30	—	30	128	26	15	4	20.7%	12.0%	3.5%	5.08	5.16	-0.1
2037	35	MLB	SEA	29	—	29	121	24	15	4	19.9%	12.2%	3.6%	5.22	5.31	-0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			166	0	164	718	173	90	15	24.1%	12.5%	2.1%	4.22	3.82	+2.8
/ 200 IP	—			202	0	200	874	211	110	18	24.1%	12.5%	2.1%	4.22	3.82	+3.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Troy Taylor (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.69	23.9%	12.5%	3.0%	—	4.50	24.3%	13.0%	117	-0.19	—	—	—
Bruce Rondón R 2026 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	23.5%	11.8%	2.1%	.336	3.35	26.7%	14.0%	140	-0.44	3.30	184	84
Ricardo Velez R 2026 · 4.43 FIP	24	SU	4.43	22.4%	10.9%	3.3%	.261	3.88	20.1%	9.3%	114	-0.55	3.82	142	82
Jake Lee R 2026 · 4.64 FIP	24	SU	4.64	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.50	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.14	2.78	181	82
Cole Gordon R 2025 · 4.10 FIP	23	SU	4.10	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.09	4.10	112	80
Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.86 FIP	24	SU	4.86	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.51	18.6%	4.7%	123	-0.35	4.05	164	80
Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	3.00	24.2%	12.6%	70	-1.56	2.12	117	80
Colin McKee R 2026 · 5.04 FIP	24	SU	5.04	24.2%	14.7%	3.9%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.69	4.16	148	79
José Cisnero R 2029 · 4.50 FIP	27	SU	4.50	26.1%	11.7%	3.9%	.367	3.92	24.5%	13.3%	75	-0.58	2.26	279	79
Tyler Mitzel R 2025 · 4.31 FIP	23	SU	4.31	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.11	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.20	4.01	142	79
Will Vest R 2026 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	21.8%	8.5%	2.5%	.282	3.66	20.9%	11.9%	124	-0.05	2.53	421	79
Kyle Schepel R 2026 · 4.62 FIP	24	SU	4.62	23.1%	10.7%	3.8%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.98	3.54	156	79
Brandon Cunniff R 2028 · 4.25 FIP	26	SU	4.25	24.5%	13.2%	2.8%	.256	4.33	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.08	3.88	180	79
Stephen Jones R 2026 · 3.60 FIP	24	SU	3.60	23.8%	11.0%	2.0%	.304	4.61	21.9%	9.2%	142	+1.01	3.60	246	78
Cre Finfrock R 2025 · 4.69 FIP	23	SU	4.69	23.0%	11.7%	3.7%	.278	6.32	16.7%	-8.5%	36	+1.63	4.27	103	78
Zach Maxwell R 2026 · 4.81 FIP	24	SU	4.81	23.6%	14.8%	3.3%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.83	165	78
Cameron Gann R 2026 · 4.21 FIP	24	SU	4.21	21.4%	12.4%	2.4%	.296	5.37	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.16	3.60	146	78
Chad Smith R 2026 · 4.33 FIP	24	SU	4.33	19.8%	13.5%	2.2%	.274	3.90	25.2%	12.6%	86	-0.43	3.32	258	78
Zac Leigh R 2026 · 3.72 FIP	24	SU	3.72	28.5%	12.3%	2.7%	.270	4.50	21.7%	5.4%	130	+0.78	3.72	164	78
Ryan Garcia R 2026 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	23.2%	10.7%	2.2%	.239	5.62	20.0%	6.1%	278	+1.91	3.71	325	78
Austin Smith R 2025 · 3.85 FIP	23	SU	3.85	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.19	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.34	3.85	100	78

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.