Troy Taylor — OGILVIE

Troy Taylor P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 205 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.51

FIP4.72

K%23.2%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%10.9%

ROS IP54

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL3535

CMD4545

K†5555

CH (1%)

SL-1.6 (38%)

FB-3.6 (61%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	45	200	62	21	1	0%	1.1	23.4%	13.9%	9.5%	0.9%	3.38	3.39	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	45	200	62	21	1	0%	1.1	23.4%	13.9%	9.5%	0.9%	3.38	3.39	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	45	200	62	21	1	0%	1.1	31.0%	10.5%	20.5%	0.5%	3.38	2.04	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	61	0	62	244	70	21	4	0%	1.0	25.4%	8.6%	16.9%	2.1%	2.03	3.18	+1.0
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	61	0	62	244	70	21	4	0%	1.0	25.4%	8.6%	16.9%	2.1%	2.03	3.18	+1.0
2024	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	61	0	62	244	70	21	4	0%	1.0	28.7%	8.6%	20.1%	1.6%	2.03	2.70	+1.4
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	51	245	56	32	9	0%	0.9	21.5%	12.5%	9.0%	3.1%	7.54	4.56	-0.0
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	51	245	56	32	9	0%	0.9	21.5%	12.5%	9.0%	3.1%	7.54	4.56	-0.0
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	58	0	51	245	56	32	9	0%	0.9	22.9%	13.1%	9.8%	3.7%	7.54	5.07	-0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			29	0	26	118	27	10	6	0%	0.9	22.9%	8.5%	14.4%	5.1%	5.88	5.18	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	52	0	55	258	62	34	5	0%	1.1	19.9%	11.9%	8.1%	2.1%	4.77	4.09	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	52	0	55	258	62	34	5	0%	1.1	19.9%	11.9%	8.1%	2.1%	4.77	4.09	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AAA RAW	SEA	52	0	55	258	62	34	5	0%	1.1	24.0%	13.2%	10.9%	1.9%	4.77	3.80	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SEA	54	0	56	239	56	27	7	0%	1.0	23.6%	11.3%	12.3%	3.0%	4.53	4.57	-0.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	SEA	54	0	56	239	57	27	7	0%	1.0	23.8%	11.1%	12.7%	3.0%	4.52	4.52	+0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	SEA	53	0	56	235	56	26	7	0%	1.1	23.8%	11.1%	12.7%	3.0%	4.54	4.55	0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	SEA	26	0	27	114	27	13	3	0%	1.0	23.6%	11.3%	12.3%	3.0%	4.53	4.57	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	SEA	37	0	39	165	39	18	5	0%	1.1	23.8%	11.1%	12.7%	3.0%	4.52	4.52	+0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	SEA	42	0	44	186	44	21	6	0%	1.0	23.8%	11.1%	12.7%	3.0%	4.54	4.55	0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		134	0	136	584	138	62	20	0%	1.0	23.6%	10.6%	12.9%	3.4%	4.79	4.34	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		197	0	200	856	202	91	29	0%	1.0	23.6%	10.6%	12.9%	3.4%	4.79	4.34	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		211	0	213	947	213	110	20	0%	1.0	22.5%	11.6%	10.9%	2.1%	4.35	3.83	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		198	0	200	888	200	103	19	0%	1.0	22.5%	11.6%	10.9%	2.1%	4.35	3.83	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Troy Taylor (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	23.2%	12.2%	3.0%	—	4.55	23.7%	12.5%	169	-0.17	—	—	—
Bruce Rondón R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	24	SU	3.77	23.5%	11.8%	2.1%	.336	3.39	26.7%	14.0%	140	-0.38	3.31	184	84
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	81
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	79
Will Vest R 2019 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	21.8%	8.5%	2.5%	.282	3.65	20.9%	11.9%	124	-0.06	2.56	448	79
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	79
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	79
José Cisnero R 2016 · 4.50 FIP	27	SU	4.50	26.1%	11.7%	3.9%	.367	3.90	24.5%	13.3%	75	-0.60	2.26	279	79
Chad Smith R 2019 · 4.32 FIP	24	SU	4.32	19.8%	13.5%	2.1%	.274	3.93	25.2%	12.6%	86	-0.39	3.31	258	79
Cre Finfrock R 2019 · 4.63 FIP	23	SU	4.63	23.0%	11.7%	3.6%	.278	6.31	16.7%	-8.5%	36	+1.68	4.27	103	78
Stephen Jones R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	24	SU	3.62	23.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.304	4.53	21.5%	9.8%	142	+0.91	3.62	309	78
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	78
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	78
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	78
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	78
R.J. Alvarez R 2015 · 4.79 FIP	24	SU	4.79	23.1%	11.3%	4.0%	.348	3.38	22.4%	10.7%	112	-1.41	3.01	302	78
Jackson McClelland R 2018 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	23.2%	11.6%	2.7%	.253	5.41	17.0%	2.6%	83	+1.30	3.02	174	78
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	77
Luis Ramirez R 2016 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	24.0%	12.6%	1.9%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.71	104	77
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	77
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	55	23.6%	11.4%	1.16	4.53
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19