Troy Taylor
P
Tacoma Rainiers
Age 24
RHP
6'0" / 205 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2027
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 37 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 108
ERA4.54
FIP4.76
K%24.0%
BB%13.5%
K-BB%10.5%
ROS IP37
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
CH (1%)
SL-1.6 (38%)
FB-3.6 (61%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 45 | 200 | 62 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 1.1% | 3.38 | 3.46 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 45 | 200 | 62 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.0% | 10.5% | 20.5% | 0.5% | 3.38 | 2.04 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 61 | 0 | 62 | 244 | 70 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 16.9% | 2.1% | 2.03 | 3.21 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 61 | 0 | 62 | 244 | 70 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.7% | 8.6% | 20.1% | 1.6% | 2.03 | 2.70 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 51 | 245 | 56 | 32 | 9 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.8% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 7.54 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 51 | 245 | 56 | 32 | 9 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.9% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 7.54 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 34 | 0 | 33 | 157 | 42 | 24 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 16.1% | 7.5% | 1.4% | 4.96 | 3.91 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | SEA | 35 | 0 | 37 | 155 | 37 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | SEA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 69 | 312 | 79 | 45 | 6 | — | — | 25.4% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 2.1% | 4.74 | 4.36 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 20 | 85 | 20 | 11 | 2 | — | — | 24.0% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 52 | 0 | 55 | 233 | 57 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 52 | 0 | 55 | 233 | 57 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.52 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 52 | 0 | 54 | 229 | 56 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.54 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 41 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 47 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 4.52 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 49 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.54 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 175 | 0 | 180 | 766 | 185 | 89 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 3.3% | 4.73 | 4.33 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 195 | 0 | 200 | 854 | 206 | 99 | 28 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 3.3% | 4.73 | 4.33 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 193 | 0 | 191 | 846 | 202 | 110 | 16 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 1.9% | 4.33 | 3.77 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 202 | 0 | 200 | 884 | 211 | 115 | 17 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 1.9% | 4.33 | 3.77 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Troy Taylor (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.76 | 24.0% | 13.5% | 2.9% | — | 4.55 | 24.4% | 12.3% | 164 | -0.21 | — | — | — |
| Bruce Rondón R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.84 | 23.5% | 11.8% | 2.2% | .336 | 3.42 | 26.7% | 14.0% | 140 | -0.42 | 3.31 | 184 | 83 |
| Zach Maxwell R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.03 | 23.6% | 14.8% | 3.7% | .290 | 4.62 | 23.7% | 6.7% | 35 | -0.41 | 2.81 | 200 | 80 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 79 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 79 |
| Chad Smith R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.43 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 2.3% | .274 | 3.82 | 25.2% | 12.6% | 86 | -0.61 | 3.26 | 258 | 79 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 79 |
| Cole Gordon R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 79 |
| Colin McKee R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.08 | 24.2% | 14.7% | 3.9% | .330 | 4.37 | 27.7% | 12.9% | 97 | -0.71 | 4.10 | 148 | 79 |
| José Cisnero R 2029 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 78 |
| Cre Finfrock R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.45 | 23.0% | 11.7% | 3.3% | .278 | 6.27 | 16.7% | -8.5% | 36 | +1.82 | 4.27 | 103 | 78 |
| Tayron Guerrero R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 20.9% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .260 | 4.30 | 21.9% | 9.1% | 139 | +0.14 | 2.18 | 355 | 78 |
| Cameron Gann R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 78 |
| Craig Schlitter R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.76 | 22.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .298 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 4.2% | 171 | -0.32 | 4.07 | 222 | 78 |
| Andrew McInvale R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.90 | 26.4% | 16.3% | 3.6% | .278 | 5.86 | 20.3% | 5.0% | 58 | +0.96 | 4.90 | 103 | 77 |
| Jay Driver R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.43 | 21.4% | 13.3% | 2.6% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 135 | 77 |
| Eduardo Herrera R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.32 | 25.5% | 15.7% | 2.5% | .284 | 4.44 | 16.7% | -5.0% | 31 | +0.12 | 4.32 | 127 | 77 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 24.0% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 104 | 77 |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.77 | 28.5% | 12.3% | 2.8% | .270 | 4.55 | 21.7% | 5.4% | 130 | +0.78 | 3.72 | 197 | 77 |
| Dakota Mekkes R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 15.4% | 2.6% | .290 | 4.81 | 16.7% | 1.8% | 70 | +0.30 | 2.99 | 246 | 77 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 50 | 24.3% | 12.3% | 1.13 | 4.53 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |