Jordan Weems — OGILVIE

Jordan Weems P Oklahoma City Comets

Age 33 RHP 6'4" / 211 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 34 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 107

ERA4.70

FIP4.76

K%21.0%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%10.7%

ROS IP34

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

CU (2%)

SL-1.3 (29%)

FB-1.7 (58%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	23	ROK MLE	GCL Red Sox	8	0	17	57	10	4	0	0%	2.1	11.9%	8.8%	3.2%	0.0%	1.06	3.20	—
2016	23	ROK RAW	GCL Red Sox	8	0	17	57	10	4	0	0%	2.1	17.5%	7.0%	10.5%	0.0%	1.06	2.63	—
2017	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	1	53	226	46	24	5	4%	2.2	15.1%	13.7%	1.3%	3.6%	4.10	5.52	—
2017	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	1	53	226	46	24	5	4%	2.2	20.4%	10.6%	9.7%	2.2%	4.10	3.95	—
2018	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	43	0	59	257	63	33	4	0%	1.4	19.0%	12.0%	7.0%	1.6%	3.36	3.90	—
2018	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	43	0	59	257	63	33	4	0%	1.4	24.5%	12.8%	11.7%	1.6%	3.36	3.52	—
2019	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	1	56	248	69	32	2	2%	1.4	22.9%	14.1%	8.9%	0.9%	4.37	3.46	—
2019	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	1	56	248	69	32	2	2%	1.4	27.8%	12.9%	14.9%	0.8%	4.37	2.81	—
2020	27	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	9	0	14	58	18	7	1	0%	1.6	31.0%	12.1%	19.0%	1.9%	3.21	3.05	+0.3
2020	27	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	9	0	14	58	18	7	1	0%	1.6	31.0%	12.1%	19.0%	1.7%	3.21	2.96	+0.3
2021	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	34	156	33	19	11	0%	0.9	18.2%	11.7%	6.5%	8.2%	8.74	7.55	-1.2
2021	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	34	156	33	19	11	0%	0.9	21.2%	12.2%	9.0%	7.1%	8.74	7.04	-1.0
2022	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	65	0	80	323	90	23	11	0%	1.2	26.0%	7.3%	18.7%	3.4%	3.95	3.71	+0.8
2022	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	65	0	80	323	90	23	11	0%	1.2	27.9%	7.1%	20.7%	3.4%	3.95	3.50	+1.0
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	73	0	79	329	84	36	11	0%	1.1	24.3%	10.5%	13.7%	3.4%	3.66	4.23	+0.3
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	73	0	79	329	84	36	11	0%	1.1	24.3%	10.5%	13.7%	3.4%	3.66	4.23	+0.3
2023	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	73	0	79	329	84	36	11	0%	1.1	25.5%	10.9%	14.6%	3.3%	3.66	4.16	+0.4
2024	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	55	257	50	30	8	0%	1.0	18.5%	11.4%	7.0%	3.2%	6.09	4.72	-0.1
2024	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	55	257	50	30	8	0%	1.0	18.5%	11.4%	7.0%	3.2%	6.09	4.72	-0.1
2024	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	0	55	257	50	30	8	0%	1.0	19.5%	11.7%	7.8%	3.1%	6.09	4.82	-0.2
2025	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	51	229	49	26	5	0%	1.2	19.7%	10.0%	9.7%	2.8%	5.29	4.23	+0.2
2025	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	51	229	49	26	5	0%	1.2	19.7%	10.0%	9.7%	2.8%	5.29	4.23	+0.2
2025	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	51	229	49	26	5	0%	1.2	21.4%	11.4%	10.0%	2.2%	5.29	3.98	+0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			144	0	160	705	161	73	26	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.4%	12.5%	3.7%	5.51	4.57	-0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	33	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	17	0	14	77	9	16	4	0%	0.8	9.7%	18.7%	-9.0%	5.7%	9.22	7.79	—
YTD	33	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	17	0	14	77	9	16	4	0%	0.8	9.7%	18.7%	-9.0%	5.7%	9.22	7.79	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	33	AAA RAW	LAD	17	0	14	77	9	16	4	0%	0.8	11.7%	20.8%	-9.1%	5.2%	9.22	7.60	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	LAD	30	0	31	132	27	14	5	0%	1.0	20.1%	10.8%	9.3%	3.5%	4.92	5.07	-0.2
2027	34	MLB CTX	LAD	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	20.1%	10.8%	9.3%	3.6%	5.00	5.15	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		146	0	162	712	162	74	26	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.4%	12.4%	3.7%	5.51	4.51	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		180	0	200	881	200	92	32	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.4%	12.4%	3.7%	5.51	4.51	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		413	2	510	2217	457	252	69	0%	1.2	20.6%	11.4%	9.2%	3.1%	4.61	4.52	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		162	1	200	869	179	99	27	0%	1.2	20.6%	11.4%	9.2%	3.1%	4.61	4.52	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jordan Weems (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	21.0%	10.3%	3.2%	—	5.07	20.1%	9.3%	31	+0.31	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	82
Ryan Brasier R 2021 · 4.85 FIP	33	SU	4.85	18.0%	8.0%	4.1%	.286	3.16	23.7%	17.9%	150	-1.69	2.31	426	77
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	33	SU	5.42	14.3%	10.4%	4.0%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.07	148	76
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	75
Jumbo Diaz R 2017 · 4.17 FIP	33	SU	4.17	20.0%	9.7%	2.8%	.302	2.90	24.2%	15.4%	98	-1.27	2.80	284	75
Matt Bush R 2018 · 4.72 FIP	32	SU	4.72	17.6%	13.0%	2.7%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	249	75
Clayton Mortensen R 2017 · 4.59 FIP	32	SU	4.59	23.2%	14.2%	3.0%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	221	75
Chris Hatcher R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	18.0%	9.6%	4.6%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	176	74
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	74
Arquimedes Caminero R 2019 · 4.62 FIP	32	SU	4.62	18.6%	11.1%	3.1%	.248	—	—	—	—	—	3.54	173	74
Radhames Liz R 2018 · 4.45 FIP	34	SU	4.45	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.343	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	110	73
Nate Jones R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	32	SU	4.09	23.4%	10.9%	2.9%	.279	5.85	21.4%	13.8%	38	+1.76	2.57	157	73
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	73
Junichi Tazawa R 2019 · 4.16 FIP	33	SU	4.16	17.0%	8.4%	2.6%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	227	72
Jonathan Broxton R 2017 · 4.34 FIP	33	SU	4.34	20.5%	11.5%	2.8%	.412	—	—	—	—	—	3.67	137	72
Wade Davis R 2019 · 4.82 FIP	33	SU	4.82	20.4%	14.1%	3.0%	.344	5.18	20.0%	10.0%	43	+0.36	2.00	320	71
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	71
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	71
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	70
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	33	20.5%	10.5%	1.29	4.80
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50