Justin Bench — OGILVIE

Justin BenchSS San Jose Giants

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 185 lbs A HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 118 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .260 / .283

PA9

HR0

K%27

BB%6

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE39

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	23	A	San Jose Giants	—	56	48	17	0	0	0	4	8	4	5	0	354	446	354	801		425	14	7	377	141	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	23	ROK	ACL Giants Orange	—	58	46	17	5	1	1	7	5	3	1	1	370	482	587	1.069	217	381	9	12	453	192	+6	-0	—	—	+1	0.8
2024	24	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	71	64	13	3	0	0	2	15	3	2	0	203	261	250	511	47	265	21	3	232	43	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	24	A	San Jose Giants	—	189	161	37	10	0	2	16	44	10	3	1	230	337	329	666	99	304	23	8	308	94	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	23	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	56	49	14	0	0	0	3	11	4	5	0	286	375	286	661		369	20	5	299	88	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	23	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	—	58	49	15	4	1	1	4	7	3	1	1	306	393	490	883	184	289	12	7	345	120	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	24	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	—	71	65	10	2	0	0	1	22	3	2	0	154	203	185	388	31	221	31	1	171	2	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	24	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	189	165	30	7	0	2	12	62	10	3	1	182	278	261	539	79	262	33	6	235	45	-12	+0	—	—	+4	-0.8
2023	23	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	114	98	29	4	1	1	7	18	7	6	1	296	384	388	772	92	346	16	6	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	114	94	34	5	1	1	11	13	7	6	1	362	464	468	932	106	402	11	10	416	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	260	230	40	9	0	2	13	83	13	5	1	174	258	239	497	65	262	32	5	218	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A RAW	2 teams	—	260	225	50	13	0	2	18	59	13	5	1	222	316	307	623	84	293	23	7	287	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	114	99	29	4	1	1	7	18	7	6	1	293	384	384	768	91	328	16	6	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	260	232	40	9	0	2	13	83	13	5	1	172	258	237	495	65	251	32	5	218	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	114	99	29	4	1	1	7	18	7	6	1	293	384	384	768	91	328	16	6	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	260	232	40	9	0	2	13	83	13	5	1	172	258	237	495	65	251	32	5	218	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	26	MLB MLE	SF	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		269	22	11	250	55	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	SF	26%	134	123	26	5	1	2	8	36	2	2	1	211	271	317	588	106	271	27	6	258	60	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	SF	26%	35	32	6	1	0	0	2	9	1	1	0	188	257	219	476	31	266	26	6	240	60	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	35	32	6	1	0	0	2	9	1	1	0	188	257	219	476	31	261	26	6	240	56	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	112	19	0	0	37	167	19	19	0	189	258	221	479	32	262	26	6	240	56	-31	+4	+0	+7	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	517	459	96	18	2	5	29	139	22	13	3	209	288	290	578	81	286	27	6	252	56	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	121	23	3	6	36	175	28	16	4	210	289	291	580	81	287	27	6	252	56	-31	+0	+0	+7	+14	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin Bench (OGILVIE)	26	30	33	47	39	198/260/283	84	269	1	2	27%	6%	55	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37→38	37→40	43→45	44	179/255/251	73	251	5	8	29%	7%	47	-2.6	194/257/270	76	290	5	7	32%	7%	51	-2.3	168/234/218	51	258	3	3	33%	7%	28	-2.1
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	183/248/269	86	262	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	15	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Angelo Castellano 2021 · AA	26	39→44	39→45	47→50	41	192/246/277	85	255	7	12	27%	6%	48	-2.5	199/261/296	97	255	10	12	25%	7%	58	-1.7	201/270/309	108	245	12	14	23%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→30	40→45	48→60	36	177/241/266	89	277	7	11	37%	6%	45	-2.7	186/269/301	115	281	11	21	35%	9%	63	-1.4	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Seaver Whalen 2021 · A	26	40	40→50	48→50	40	197/266/289	91	267	8	6	28%	5%	59	-1.6	206/275/328	122	265	12	10	26%	4%	72	-0.7	172/249/306	133	210	14	10	25%	3%	57	-0.7
✕Matt Whatley 2022 · AA	26	40→38	38→40	45→50	45	194/267/268	75	278	6	14	31%	8%	54	-2.0	189/250/280	91	266	10	9	31%	6%	51	-2.3	166/228/249	83	225	11	8	31%	6%	34	-1.3
✕Mark Thomas 2014 · AA	26	38→41	42→45	48→45	38	192/238/297	105	260	9	6	29%	5%	49	-2.4	174/227/294	120	256	12	5	35%	6%	45	-2.7	145/197/276	131	201	15	3	36%	5%	27	-1.5
✕Stephen McGee 2017 · AAA	26	40	38→40	44→30	45	194/269/271	78	275	6	4	30%	8%	56	-1.9	204/290/309	105	310	9	4	34%	10%	73	-0.6	190/290/293	103	292	10	0	35%	12%	67	-0.4
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	40	41→40	44→45	42	196/258/292	96	269	8	6	29%	7%	56	-1.9	194/248/291	97	281	9	6	32%	6%	52	-2.2	151/202/238	87	213	10	0	34%	5%	19	-1.4
✕Ryan Gridley 2021 · A	26	45→44	39→40	45	44	216/268/304	88	269	7	8	22%	6%	62	-1.4	217/280/301	84	274	5	12	21%	6%	66	-1.1	202/277/248	45	250	0	18	17%	6%	50	-0.5
✕Stuart Levy 2019 · A	26	36	38→40	44→40	38	176/245/251	75	269	7	5	35%	6%	42	-2.9	191/252/281	90	304	8	7	37%	6%	51	-2.2	147/204/228	81	243	8	3	41%	6%	18	-0.9
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	37→39	42→45	45→50	39	185/255/296	111	276	9	10	35%	7%	57	-1.8	191/270/296	105	294	8	13	35%	8%	62	-1.4	163/254/261	99	255	6	16	35%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA	26	39	41→45	45	43	195/255/293	98	270	8	9	30%	7%	55	-1.9	181/266/305	124	275	14	6	37%	10%	63	-1.4	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	32	42→40	49→45	41	168/229/263	95	238	11	5	34%	7%	38	-3.2	192/259/282	90	264	8	8	28%	8%	54	-2.0	175/250/251	77	232	6	7	26%	9%	40	-1.1
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	188/250/263	74	259	6	6	29%	7%	46	-2.6	203/267/280	77	271	6	7	26%	7%	57	-1.8	197/264/256	59	255	4	5	23%	8%	47	-1.2
✕Erick Castillo 2019 · AA	26	42	37→30	46→30	41	203/249/273	70	254	6	4	22%	5%	47	-2.5	208/263/281	73	264	6	5	22%	5%	55	-1.9	198/267/228	29	252	1	0	20%	5%	43	-0.8
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	41→45	48→30	43	190/254/280	91	265	9	6	31%	7%	52	-2.2	214/281/329	115	298	12	3	30%	8%	73	-0.6	208/278/322	114	287	13	1	30%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Justin Twine 2021 · AA	25	46→32	38→40	48→50	37	217/258/299	82	300	5	10	29%	4%	57	-1.8	208/251/313	105	359	9	17	42%	4%	57	-1.8	188/220/292	104	356	9	25	48%	2%	40	-1.3
✕Olivier Basabe 2022 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	45	43	195/252/288	93	250	9	7	26%	6%	53	-2.1	208/270/304	96	287	10	10	29%	7%	63	-1.4	195/263/272	78	273	9	10	30%	7%	50	-1.1
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	34→25	41→50	45→50	35	172/236/266	94	276	10	6	40%	6%	42	-2.9	201/258/317	116	289	11	10	33%	5%	62	-1.4	201/254/329	128	278	11	11	31%	4%	60	-0.5