Diego Guzman — OGILVIE

Diego GuzmanSS Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 200 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION81 act + 83 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†8

AVG/OBP/SLG.156 / .217 / .195

PA83

HR0

K%37

BB%6

BABIP261

ISO39

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	ACL Royals Blue	—	100	90	12	2	0	1	7	58	2	3	2	133	212	189	401	56	355	58	7	175	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	ACL Royals Blue	—	100	85	19	4	0	1	12	40	2	3	2	224	333	306	639	82	409	40	12	297	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Royals	—	124	116	15	2	2	1	7	63	1	3	3	129	185	207	392	78	269	51	6	163	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Royals	—	124	111	22	3	3	1	12	43	1	3	3	198	282	306	589	108	313	35	10	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	96	89	13	3	1	1	5	24	0	2	2	146	191	236	427	90	182	25	5	174	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	96	86	17	4	1	1	8	17	0	2	2	198	266	302	568	105	229	18	8	254	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	2 teams	—	200	192	26	8	2	4	5	90	2	6	2	135	166	260	426	125	224	45	2	180	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	2 teams	—	200	188	38	12	3	5	9	61	2	6	2	202	246	378	624	176	270	30	4	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	2 teams	—	197	172	27	5	1	0	12	87	2	9	4	157	220	198	418	41	307	44	6	179	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	2 teams	—	197	169	33	6	1	0	15	63	2	9	4	195	269	243	511	47	303	32	8	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	KC	—	81	75	6	2	0	0	6	45	0	2	1	80	148	107	255	27	200	56	7	120	-50	-14	+0	+0	+1	+2	-1.1
YTD	22	A+	KC	—	81	73	9	3	0	0	8	33	0	2	1	123	210	164	374	41	225	41	10	183	-1	-9	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.6
ROS	22	A+	KC	0%	83	77	12	3	0	0	5	31	1	2	1	156	217	195	412	39	257	37	6	196	8	-9	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.6
ROS	22	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		254	—	—	189	3	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A+	KC	—	81	76	6	2	0	0	6	45	0	2	1	79	148	105	253	26	194	56	7	120	-50	-14	+0	+0	+1	+2	-1.1
TOT	22	A+	KC	—	164	152	18	5	0	0	11	76	1	4	2	118	183	151	334	33	237	46	7	158	-21	-22	+0	+0	+2	+5	-1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	KC	35%	235	217	37	8	1	2	14	84	2	5	2	171	227	244	472	74	262	36	6	216	24	-20	+0	+0	+3	+7	-1.1
2028	24	MLB	KC	46%	333	307	55	12	1	4	21	115	2	7	2	179	236	264	500	85	265	35	6	230	34	-25	+1	+0	+4	+9	-1.1
2027	23	MLB	KC	35%	81	75	13	3	0	1	5	29	1	2	1	173	235	253	488	80	259	36	6	209	18	-8	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
2028	24	MLB	KC	46%	154	143	25	5	1	2	9	53	1	3	1	175	229	266	494	91	262	34	6	222	28	-13	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	235	219	38	8	1	3	14	82	2	5	2	174	231	260	491	87	259	35	6	217	25	-20	+0	+0	+3	+7	-1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	606	105	22	3	8	39	227	6	14	6	173	232	259	491	86	259	35	6	217	25	-55	+0	+0	+7	+18	-3.0
Career	—			—	1368	1260	197	43	8	13	76	552	12	37	18	156	211	234	446	78	262	40	6	197	9	-141	+0	+0	+15	+39	-8.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	599	93	20	4	6	36	262	6	18	9	155	211	232	443	77	260	40	6	197	9	-67	+0	+0	+7	+18	-4.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	ACL Royals Blue	—	100	85	19	4	0	1	12	40	2	3	2	224	333	306	639	82	409	40	12	297	86	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.1
2022	18	ROK	ACL Royals	—	124	111	22	3	3	1	12	43	1	3	3	198	282	306	589	108	313	35	10	270	65	-5	-1	—	—	+4	-0.2
2023	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	96	86	17	4	1	1	8	17	0	2	2	198	266	302	568	105	229	18	8	254	52	-5	-0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	128	121	15	4	1	2	6	42	0	3	0	124	165	223	388	99	169	33	5	175	-8	-16	+1	—	—	+4	-1.2
2024	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	72	67	23	8	2	3	3	19	2	3	2	343	389	657	1.046	313	444	26	4	449	202	+8	-0	—	—	+2	1.0
2025	21	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	175	151	30	6	1	0	14	58	1	8	4	199	271	252	523	53	316	33	8	232	36	-13	+0	—	—	+5	-0.8
2025	21	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	22	18	3	0	0	0	1	5	1	1	0	167	250	167	417		214	23	5	189	3	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	15	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.3	10.9
	/162	664	12	3	194	253	300	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	236	3	5	177	230	263	+3	+3	-0.9	-0.5
	/162	664	8	14	177	230	263	+7.1	+8.4	-2.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Diego Guzman (OGILVIE)	22	25	20	55	35	118/183/151	33	237	0	4	46%	7%	-21	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Omar Hernandez 2023 · A	21	35	36→30	52→55	34	170/211/232	62	264	3	12	36%	4%	13	-4.3	188/237/249	61	261	4	17	28%	5%	30	-3.1	204/241/253	48	273	4	23	25%	4%	29	-1.3
✕Felix Cabrera 2011 · A	22	35	34→30	51→50	44	165/257/217	52	256	1	15	33%	8%	32	-3.0	196/250/265	69	281	4	13	29%	6%	39	-2.5	220/261/284	65	299	3	19	26%	5%	46	-0.5
✕Sandy Mota 2019 · A	22	38	37→30	48→55	39	184/237/257	72	267	4	14	31%	6%	32	-3.0	198/252/286	88	312	6	11	36%	6%	46	-2.0	164/214/265	102	276	10	13	42%	5%	22	-0.8
✕Jonathan Guzmán 2022 · A	22	35→40	38→30	52→50	37	178/220/253	75	254	6	16	32%	5%	23	-3.6	167/212/234	67	249	5	11	33%	5%	15	-4.1	147/192/199	52	218	4	9	33%	5%	-6	-2.3
✕Neil Walton 2007 · A	23	36→32	35→30	48→50	35	176/222/234	57	271	3	12	35%	5%	19	-3.9	198/242/272	74	292	4	11	32%	5%	37	-2.6	200/244/274	74	288	3	10	30%	5%	34	-1.6
✕Gionti Turner 2023 · A	22	39	37→30	47→55	41	189/255/258	69	263	5	13	29%	6%	40	-2.4	187/246/254	67	298	5	15	37%	5%	36	-2.7	164/223/213	48	276	4	19	39%	5%	12	-1.5
✕Jamaal Hawkins 2011 · A	22	38	36→30	49→50	41	183/246/248	65	273	3	9	32%	7%	33	-2.9	196/260/265	69	313	3	10	35%	6%	44	-2.1	185/252/246	60	307	1	12	37%	6%	33	-1.6
✕Joey Paciorek 2011 · A	22	39	36→30	48→50	41	185/252/250	65	277	3	10	32%	7%	37	-2.7	203/257/288	85	296	6	5	31%	6%	48	-1.9	198/251/285	87	280	7	2	30%	6%	43	-0.6
✕Chris Proctor 2019 · A	22	35	37→30	53→45	40	174/226/247	72	249	5	10	31%	6%	24	-3.5	193/238/263	70	268	5	8	28%	6%	33	-2.9	173/221/224	51	251	4	6	31%	6%	14	-1.5
✕Alfredo Reyes 2017 · A	23	36	36→30	57→55	35	178/218/236	57	272	4	20	35%	5%	17	-4.0	197/250/262	65	326	4	24	38%	6%	38	-2.6	193/254/252	59	326	4	28	39%	7%	34	-1.5
✕Ogui Diaz 2008 · A	22	39	37→30	50→55	31	188/213/255	67	287	4	16	36%	3%	19	-3.9	201/224/270	69	270	5	16	27%	2%	28	-3.2	196/212/250	53	257	4	18	25%	2%	15	-1.6
✕Jesus Graterol 2018 · A	21	35	34→30	47→45	36	172/217/226	54	251	1	9	31%	4%	14	-4.2	193/248/264	71	297	4	8	34%	6%	38	-2.6	170/230/225	56	272	4	5	37%	5%	19	-0.7
✕Carlos Jean 2016 · A	22	38	35→30	49→50	39	181/246/232	52	285	3	16	35%	7%	30	-3.1	194/256/253	59	290	3	15	31%	7%	39	-2.5	162/231/197	35	237	0	22	29%	8%	13	-1.2
✕Jalen Harris 2013 · A	21	36	35→30	51→45	36	171/222/229	59	288	2	8	40%	6%	17	-4.0	197/249/265	68	334	3	7	39%	6%	38	-2.6	194/243/248	54	337	2	5	41%	5%	28	-1.1
✕Brandon Diaz 2017 · A	22	37	36→30	48→55	38	170/241/230	60	300	4	16	42%	8%	27	-3.3	186/252/268	82	357	6	15	45%	8%	41	-2.3	144/220/222	77	307	7	26	51%	9%	14	-0.8
✕Erik Miller 2010 · A	22	41	36→30	49→50	35	195/240/254	59	289	4	14	33%	4%	31	-3.0	189/234/255	66	272	3	10	30%	4%	30	-3.1	153/195/199	46	222	0	8	29%	3%	-3	-2.8
✕Sander Mora 2022 · A	21	39	37→30	52→55	44	185/262/260	74	275	5	12	32%	8%	44	-2.1	178/254/260	82	312	7	9	41%	9%	41	-2.3	127/218/192	65	228	7	11	43%	10%	7	-1.9
✕Angel Rojas 2014 · A	21	37	34→30	47→50	39	177/234/230	53	260	2	9	31%	6%	24	-3.6	201/253/269	68	288	3	6	29%	5%	42	-2.3	195/242/237	42	275	0	2	27%	4%	26	-0.6
✕Miguel Eladio 2017 · A	21	37	34→40	50→55	33	178/218/231	53	282	2	11	36%	4%	16	-4.1	207/237/285	78	324	6	5	36%	3%	37	-2.6	209/233/286	78	322	6	2	36%	3%	32	-1.4
✕Edwin Lora 2018 · A	22	39→42	37→40	51→50	35	183/236/261	77	290	3	13	36%	5%	33	-2.9	181/236/250	69	313	4	10	41%	5%	30	-3.1	126/182/161	35	253	0	8	47%	4%	-18	-2.2