Manuel Mejias — OGILVIE

Manuel MejiasC Lynchburg Hillcats

Age 22 S/R 5'7" / 166 lbs A K +5%HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.5 · 2031

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .277 / .318

PA158

HR3

K%28

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35↗40

PWR

30↗35

SPD

45↗50

EYE

46↗51

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.5peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.5	$14M	+$13M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+1.4	$13M	+$12M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.3	$13M	+$12M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+1.0	$10M	+$8M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.8	$4M	+$2M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.5	$3M	+$0.7M
Totals		$9M		$57M	+$48M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Indians Blue	131	118	22	3	0	2	9	20	2	0	1	.186	.256	.263	.519	.076	.204	15	7	.239	41	-9	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
2022	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	120	110	23	5	0	1	8	21	2	0	0	.209	.275	.282	.557	.073	.250	18	7	.241	43	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2023	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	129	120	18	4	0	0	6	39	1	0	0	.150	.197	.183	.380	.033	.217	30	5	.177	-6	-15	+0	+0	+2	+4	-1.0
2024	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	307	281	48	11	0	1	21	91	2	3	0	.171	.234	.221	.454	.050	.245	30	7	.211	20	-28	+1	+0	+5	+9	-1.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	CLE	158	144	31	6	1	3	12	44	1	3	1	.215	.280	.333	.614	.118	.281	28	8	.271	66	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 11%	CLE	180	161	36	7	1	4	15	48	2	3	1	.224	.298	.354	.652	.130	.283	27	8	.283	75	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2028	24	MLB 26%	CLE	301	270	60	12	1	7	25	79	3	6	1	.222	.295	.352	.647	.130	.284	26	8	.290	80	-7	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.8
2029	25	MLB 43%	CLE	378	338	76	15	2	9	33	98	4	7	1	.225	.301	.361	.662	.136	.285	26	9	.295	84	-7	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.2
2030	26	MLB 58%	CLE	426	381	86	17	2	10	38	110	4	8	2	.226	.303	.360	.662	.134	.286	26	9	.297	86	-7	+1	+0	+8	+12	1.4
2031	27	MLB 76%	CLE	453	406	91	18	2	11	40	117	4	8	2	.224	.300	.360	.660	.135	.286	26	9	.297	86	-7	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.5
2032	28	MLB 84%	CLE	465	416	93	18	2	11	42	121	4	8	1	.224	.301	.356	.657	.132	.285	26	9	.296	85	-8	+1	-1	+8	+13	1.4
2033	29	MLB 90%	CLE	466	417	92	18	2	11	42	123	4	8	1	.221	.298	.353	.651	.132	.285	26	9	.294	83	-9	+1	-1	+8	+13	1.3
2034	30	MLB	CLE	463	414	91	17	2	11	42	124	4	7	1	.220	.298	.350	.648	.130	.283	27	9	.291	81	-10	+1	-2	+8	+13	1.0
2035	31	MLB	CLE	439	392	85	16	2	10	40	119	4	6	0	.217	.296	.344	.640	.128	.282	27	9	.287	78	-11	+1	-3	+8	+12	0.8
2036	32	MLB	CLE	411	367	79	15	2	9	37	114	4	5	0	.215	.294	.341	.635	.125	.280	28	9	.283	74	-12	+1	-4	+7	+12	0.5
2037	33	MLB	CLE	373	334	69	13	1	7	33	106	3	5	0	.207	.284	.314	.598	.108	.278	28	9	.277	70	-13	+1	-4	+7	+11	0.2
2038	34	MLB	CLE	322	287	58	11	1	6	29	94	3	4	0	.202	.282	.310	.592	.108	.277	29	9	.271	65	-13	+1	-5	+6	+9	-0.2
2039	35	MLB	CLE	266	239	48	9	1	5	23	80	2	4	0	.201	.277	.310	.586	.109	.274	30	9	.263	60	-12	+1	-6	+5	+8	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5788	5195	1106	215	22	118	495	1548	53	85	12	.213	.288	.331	.619	.118	.277	27	9	.279	72	-186	+12	-25	+103	+164	7.0
/ 162G	—			650	583	123	24	2	13	56	174	6	10	1	.211	.287	.326	.613	.115	.275	27	9	.279	72	-21	+2	-3	+12	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Indians Blue	131	112	27	4	2	15	16	2	0	1	.241	.341	.330	.671	.089	.260	12	11	.307	93	-1	-0	—	—	+4	0.2
2022	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	120	104	28	7	1	14	15	2	0	0	.269	.367	.365	.732	.096	.307	12	12	.337	116	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2023	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	129	116	20	5	0	10	27	1	0	0	.172	.244	.216	.460	.043	.220	21	8	.215	23	-11	+0	—	—	+4	-0.8
2024	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	307	266	57	13	1	36	63	2	3	0	.214	.312	.274	.587	.060	.273	21	12	.275	68	-11	+1	—	—	+9	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Manuel Mejias (OGILVIE)	22	35→40	30→35	45→50	51	.209/.277/.318	.109	.281	3	3	28%	8%	66	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	48	.209/.289/.317	.108	.281	9	6	28%	9%	70	-0.3	.221/.304/.311	.090	.312	8	6	29%	9%	75	-0.0	.236/.329/.308	.072	.330	7	6	28%	11%	83	+0.2
✕David Martin 2023 · A	22	45	39→30	49→30	42	.213/.285/.304	.091	.300	6	7	29%	6%	66	-0.6	.223/.305/.293	.070	.278	5	4	20%	9%	71	-0.3	.243/.334/.302	.059	.291	5	1	16%	10%	83	+0.3
✕Charlie Valerio 2013 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	47	.212/.278/.307	.095	.264	9	8	23%	8%	63	-0.9	.210/.265/.293	.083	.306	5	5	31%	7%	53	-1.5	.200/.247/.282	.082	.297	5	0	33%	6%	42	-0.8
✕Luis Lara 2017 · A	22	48	42→45	52→45	50	.232/.293/.343	.110	.273	9	8	18%	8%	78	+0.2	.210/.273/.306	.096	.274	7	5	25%	8%	60	-1.0	.174/.244/.247	.073	.238	6	1	28%	8%	29	-0.8
✕Roger Tomas 2008 · A	22	43	40→30	50→45	43	.207/.256/.299	.091	.264	7	6	24%	6%	50	-1.7	.225/.268/.285	.060	.282	3	6	20%	5%	51	-1.7	.234/.271/.267	.033	.288	1	6	19%	4%	46	-0.6
✕Jose Lobatón 2007 · A	22	44	42→45	43→30	47	.212/.290/.319	.108	.298	9	5	30%	9%	71	-0.3	.217/.282/.343	.126	.297	13	3	29%	8%	74	-0.1	.241/.325/.370	.129	.305	12	0	23%	11%	94	+0.6
✕Shawn Zarraga 2011 · A	22	48	38→40	49→45	46	.224/.303/.301	.077	.314	5	6	28%	8%	72	-0.2	.241/.298/.333	.092	.298	7	8	20%	6%	78	+0.2	.272/.340/.355	.083	.316	4	2	14%	7%	101	+0.6
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	39→40	49→40	40	.198/.263/.282	.084	.277	6	7	29%	6%	50	-1.7	.218/.296/.304	.086	.283	8	4	24%	7%	70	-0.3	.219/.302/.289	.070	.280	7	1	22%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Carlos Alvarez 2008 · A	22	44	36→40	49→45	49	.206/.285/.274	.068	.268	3	8	23%	8%	57	-1.2	.226/.305/.314	.088	.269	4	8	16%	8%	76	+0.1	.231/.320/.325	.095	.269	5	9	15%	9%	83	+0.2
✕Marcus Littlewood 2014 · A	22	41	40→45	47→45	48	.197/.270/.292	.096	.274	7	5	29%	9%	56	-1.3	.207/.273/.320	.113	.269	10	5	26%	8%	64	-0.8	.205/.272/.318	.112	.262	10	4	25%	8%	60	-0.5
●Colin Walsh 2012 · A	22	43→53	41→45	50	53	.208/.288/.312	.103	.252	8	9	20%	10%	69	-0.4	.234/.305/.358	.124	.289	12	7	22%	9%	87	+0.8	.212/.320/.332	.121	.306	11	7	31%	13%	85	+0.5
✕Taylor Krick 2011 · A	23	43	39→30	48→40	49	.206/.285/.289	.084	.266	7	7	24%	9%	62	-0.9	.224/.308/.287	.063	.307	4	5	26%	8%	71	-0.3	.233/.323/.283	.051	.326	2	2	26%	8%	73	-0.0
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A	22	44	40→45	50	40	.212/.268/.307	.095	.307	8	8	32%	6%	58	-1.2	.203/.290/.313	.110	.295	11	12	32%	9%	70	-0.3	.212/.315/.318	.105	.301	9	14	29%	10%	80	+0.2
✕Elih Marrero 2019 · A	22	46	36→40	49→55	47	.214/.278/.283	.069	.280	3	5	24%	8%	56	-1.3	.212/.271/.291	.079	.283	5	9	25%	7%	55	-1.4	.207/.287/.272	.066	.304	3	27	30%	10%	55	-0.5
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	45→48	42→50	51→50	43	.218/.284/.328	.110	.300	9	11	29%	7%	71	-0.3	.204/.275/.332	.128	.317	14	12	38%	7%	69	-0.4	.220/.308/.345	.126	.328	13	10	34%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Skye Bolt 2017 · A	23	41→39	40→50	47→50	42	.198/.260/.294	.095	.271	7	9	28%	6%	52	-1.6	.200/.260/.327	.127	.289	12	10	33%	7%	60	-1.0	.234/.302/.369	.135	.310	15	12	28%	8%	86	+0.3
✕Trent Woodward 2015 · A	23	43	41→45	47→30	47	.209/.286/.311	.102	.282	7	6	27%	8%	68	-0.5	.220/.287/.309	.089	.311	7	4	29%	8%	67	-0.5	.218/.288/.304	.087	.309	9	1	30%	8%	63	-0.3
✕Oliver Dominguez 2011 · A	22	43	41→40	51→45	48	.210/.277/.310	.100	.270	9	15	25%	8%	63	-0.8	.198/.269/.291	.093	.276	7	11	28%	9%	55	-1.4	.183/.255/.274	.091	.261	6	8	30%	8%	42	-1.1
✕Patrick Bailey 2022 · A	23	44→49	45	50→45	43	.213/.278/.336	.122	.306	12	8	33%	8%	70	-0.3	.213/.279/.336	.123	.289	13	5	29%	8%	71	-0.3	.229/.288/.338	.110	.303	11	4	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Michael Papierski 2019 · A	23	38→41	40	48→40	55	.186/.291/.272	.085	.244	8	6	25%	12%	61	-1.0	.189/.280/.274	.085	.266	8	4	29%	10%	56	-1.3	.198/.288/.298	.100	.256	11	0	25%	10%	63	-0.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)