Anderson MachadoSS ACL Athletics
Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj PA
wRC+†34
AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .244 / .253
PA47
HR0
K%34
BB%6
ISO67
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.3-0.42628
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Athletics 9688 14300 7291 21 159229193422 34237 307 198 10
202117 ROKDSL Athletics 9683 18400 12201 21 217323265588 48286 2112 280 73
202218 ROKDSL Athletics 170150 30410 94110 11 200290240530 40273 245 231 35
202218 ROKDSL Athletics 170144 37510 152610 11 257367306672 49311 159 317 101
202319 ROKACL Athletics 8982 7100 5351 10 8514898245 12146 396 122 -48
202319 ROKACL Athletics 8979 10200 8251 10 127216152368 25182 289 181 -3
202521 ROKACL Athletics 3432 3100 1181 00 94147125272 31214 533 91 -72
202521 ROKACL Athletics 3432 4100 1121 00 125176156333 31200 353 160 -20
▸ 2026 Season
202622 MLBOAK 4744 7100 3160 00 159213182395 23285 346 230 34 -4 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBOAK 34% 123113 22411 8401 10 195254274528 80287 337 243 44 -8 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.3
202824 MLBOAK 46% 249228 45813 16793 21 197259281540 83289 326 251 51 -14 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.4
202723 MLBOAK 34% 4239 7100 3140 00 179238205443 26285 337 233 37 -3 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
202824 MLBOAK 46% 115105 21411 8371 10 200263286549 86287 327 242 43 -7 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 157144 28511 11511 10 194256264520 69290 327 240 42 -10 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.4
/ 162G 650596 1162144 462114 40 195257263520 69291 327 240 42 -43 +1 +0 +7 +18 -1.7
Career 808737 1282234 4925817 73 174242228470 54259 326 217 24 -69 +0 +0 +9 +23 -3.8
/ 162G 650593 1031823 3920814 62 174241226467 52260 326 217 24 -56 +0 +0 +7 +18 -3.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Athletics 9683 18400 12201 21 217323265588 48286 2112 280 73 -3 +0 +3 -0.0
202218 ROKDSL Athletics 170144 37510 152610 11 257367306672 49311 159 317 101 +0 -0 +5 0.5
202319 ROKACL Athletics 8979 10200 8251 10 127216152368 25182 289 181 -3 -10 +0 +3 -0.8
202521 ROKACL Athletics 3432 4100 1121 00 125176156333 31200 353 160 -20 -5 +0 +1 -0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
220422198255281+2+6-0.5-0.2
/16266477+7.1+19.5-1.6pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Anderson Machado (OGILVIE) 22 186/244/253 67285 00 34% 6% 34 -0.2
David Masters
2015 · A
22 38→36 36→45 47→40 40 182/248/249 67278 38 34% 7% 35 -2.8 175/232/242 67239 64 28% 6% 27 -3.3 194/263/33113726618133%7%59-0.5
Justin Twine
2018 · A
22 35→31 36→45 46→50 30 172/213/238 66275 47 38% 3% 16 -4.1 211/251/299 88302 610 31% 4% 48 -1.9 216/252/3139732181434%3%50-1.0
Fabian Pertuz
2023 · A
22 37→33 41→40 49→55 33 185/229/278 92285 89 37% 4% 33 -2.9 172/223/263 91273 912 38% 5% 28 -3.2 143/198/2238022791340%5%4-2.5
Mikell Granberry
2018 · A
22 39 39→45 47→45 38 186/242/277 91282 46 34% 6% 40 -2.4 215/284/323 108302 87 29% 8% 69 -0.4 225/307/35513029913727%10%85+0.2
Chris Hess
2018 · A
23 39→34 37→45 49→30 38 187/245/270 83282 35 33% 6% 39 -2.5 194/251/308 114284 114 34% 4% 52 -1.6 181/239/30912825714134%4%46-1.6
Frank Veliz
2022 · A
22 39 38→30 47→55 37 188/240/264 76290 57 36% 6% 35 -2.8 192/252/277 85327 66 40% 7% 43 -2.2 129/202/202722446046%7%1-0.9
Julio Carrion
2021 · A
22 39 38→40 50→45 38 186/255/265 79301 66 38% 7% 43 -2.2 180/259/263 83314 75 41% 7% 44 -2.1 156/236/234782908345%7%25-1.3
Alberto Espinosa
2009 · A
22 38 37→40 45→40 39 185/229/254 69260 44 30% 5% 27 -3.3 203/257/280 77289 45 29% 6% 46 -2.0 202/259/279772842228%6%43-0.9
Chuck Moorman
2016 · A
22 36 39→40 44→30 32 176/227/256 80293 75 40% 4% 27 -3.3 191/228/270 79271 53 30% 4% 30 -3.1 181/219/257762595031%4%21-1.8
Will Banfield
2022 · A
22 31→35 40→50 48→30 34 163/215/254 91259 84 39% 5% 22 -3.7 193/230/321 128266 153 33% 4% 46 -2.0 194/236/29610226912032%4%39-1.2
Wilkin Grullon
2022 · A
22 40 37→30 46→45 41 189/263/263 74280 54 32% 7% 46 -2.0 197/259/295 98320 85 38% 7% 51 -1.7 156/214/26010425511042%6%20-0.7
Edwin Díaz
2018 · A
22 33→31 40→50 47→40 37 170/225/259 88261 83 37% 6% 27 -3.3 174/236/291 117279 124 40% 7% 41 -2.3 158/222/31015223522442%7%38-1.2
Arturo De Freitas
2023 · A
22 35 39→45 45→40 34 173/222/254 81276 74 39% 5% 24 -3.5 183/241/264 81308 85 40% 6% 36 -2.7 115/169/126122240046%5%-33-1.4
Jairo De La Rosa
2008 · A
22 37→33 39→40 43→45 31 184/217/268 84284 78 37% 4% 25 -3.5 206/242/301 95306 96 34% 4% 45 -2.1 207/238/2979029810333%4%38-1.2
Chris Okey
2018 · A
23 34 38→45 48→40 36 169/228/242 73279 65 40% 6% 24 -3.5 181/236/284 103274 124 36% 6% 39 -2.5 203/255/30710428610231%5%49-0.5
Miguel Hernandez
2021 · A
22 40→37 38→40 47→45 37 197/228/276 79265 66 28% 4% 32 -3.0 216/258/295 79295 67 27% 5% 50 -1.8 219/261/291722937627%5%46-0.7
Kelvin Melean
2021 · A
22 40 38→40 49→45 37 194/238/275 81277 69 32% 5% 37 -2.7 202/261/283 81266 67 25% 6% 49 -1.8 193/256/265722516524%6%40-1.3
Joel Licon
2013 · A
22 41 38→40 49→30 39 196/257/276 81289 58 32% 6% 46 -2.0 198/252/265 67293 36 31% 6% 40 -2.4 186/237/235502742431%6%23-1.1
Michael Mosby
2011 · A
21 37 37→45 46→40 37 179/246/249 70277 45 35% 6% 35 -2.8 188/251/284 96273 85 32% 6% 46 -2.0 179/243/275962639434%6%37-1.0
Sebastián Rivero
2021 · A
22 39 38→45 44→40 36 192/233/268 76267 65 30% 4% 33 -2.9 198/249/299 101277 95 30% 5% 48 -1.9 184/234/2841002489229%5%37-1.0