Anderson MachadoSS ACL Athletics
Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK HR -6%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 1.0 · 2031
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .263 / .288
PA47
HR1
K%31
BB%7
MLB%0%
BAT: -2.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.0peak
2031

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.9M+0.9$4M+$3M
2033Ext / FA-deal$1.0M+0.8$4M+$3M
2034Ext / FA-deal$1.0M+0.6$3M+$2M
2035Ext / FA-deal$0.6M+0.3$2M+$1.0M
2036Ext / FA-deal$5M
2037Ext / FA-deal$0.6M
Totals $9M $11M +$2M
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Athletics 9688 14300 7291 21 .159.229.193.422 .034.237 307 .198 10 -10 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.6
202218 ROKDSL Athletics 170150 30410 93910 11 .200.290.240.530 .040.268 235 .232 36 -12 -0 +0 +2 +5 -0.6
202319 ROKACL Athletics 8982 7100 5351 10 .085.148.098.245 .012.146 396 .122 -48 -15 +0 +0 +1 +3 -1.1
202521 ROKACL Athletics 3432 3100 1181 00 .094.147.125.272 .031.214 533 .091 -72 -7 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.5
▸ 2026 Season
202622 MLBOAK 4744 9201 3150 10 .205.255.318.574 .114.287 326 .253 52 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202723 MLB 11%OAK 123112 23412 9371 20 .205.270.312.583 .107.289 307 .272 66 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.0
202824 MLB 26%OAK 249225 48825 20722 41 .213.283.333.617 .120.291 298 .284 75 -7 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.3
202925 MLB 43%OAK 331298 651128 27943 51 .218.290.349.639 .131.292 288 .291 81 -7 +1 +0 +4 +9 0.7
203026 MLB 58%OAK 385346 7713310 321094 61 .223.296.364.660 .142.293 288 .296 85 -7 +1 +0 +4 +11 0.9
203127 MLB 76%OAK 413371 8314311 351174 61 .224.298.367.664 .143.293 288 .296 85 -7 +1 +0 +4 +12 1.0
203228 MLB 84%OAK 428384 8615311 371224 51 .224.299.365.663 .141.293 299 .295 84 -8 +1 -1 +5 +12 0.9
203329 MLB 90%OAK 429385 8615311 371244 50 .223.298.364.662 .140.292 299 .293 82 -9 +1 -1 +5 +12 0.8
203430 MLBOAK 426382 8314310 371254 40 .217.293.348.641 .131.290 299 .289 80 -10 +1 -2 +5 +12 0.6
203531 MLBOAK 417374 8014210 361244 20 .214.290.342.632 .128.289 309 .286 77 -11 +0 -3 +4 +12 0.3
203632 MLBOAK 401360 761329 341214 00 .211.286.333.620 .122.287 308 .281 73 -12 +0 -4 +4 +11 0.0
203733 MLBOAK 374336 701228 321153 00 .208.283.327.610 .119.286 319 .276 69 -13 +0 -4 +4 +11 -0.3
203834 MLBOAK 330296 611027 281053 00 .206.281.324.606 .118.284 328 .269 64 -13 +0 -5 +4 +9 -0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 47424265 90115429103 389140153 447 .211.285.333.619 .122.287 308 .278 71 -154 +6 -20 +51 +134 1.7
/ 162G 650585 12321414 531927 61 .210.284.332.615 .121.285 308 .278 71 -21 +1 -3 +7 +18 0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Athletics 9683 18400 12201 21 .217.323.265.588 .048.286 2112 .280 73 -3 +0 +3 -0.0
202218 ROKDSL Athletics 170144 37510 152610 11 .257.367.306.672 .049.311 159 .317 101 +0 -0 +5 0.5
202319 ROKACL Athletics 8979 10200 8251 10 .127.216.152.368 .025.182 289 .181 -3 -10 +0 +3 -0.8
202521 ROKACL Athletics 3432 4100 1121 00 .125.176.156.333 .031.200 353 .160 -20 -5 +0 +1 -0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Anderson Machado (OGILVIE) 22 .199/.263/.288 .089.287 11 31% 7% 52 -0.1
Jose Sibrian
2021 · A
22 42 37→50 48→30 39 .199/.255/.274 .075.282 55 30% 5% 44 -2.1 .205/.260/.284 .079.273 53 26% 5% 49 -1.8 .204/.263/.299.095.2589024%5%51-0.5
Ezequiel Duran
2021 · A
22 38→48 39→55 52→50 33 .186/.233/.270 .084.294 78 38% 4% 33 -2.9 .226/.276/.390 .164.313 1914 33% 6% 84 +0.6 .235/.283/.404.168.313191430%5%88+0.7
Corey Joyce
2021 · A
22 44 40→45 50 40 .212/.268/.307 .095.307 88 32% 6% 58 -1.2 .203/.290/.313 .110.295 1112 32% 9% 70 -0.3 .212/.315/.318.105.30191429%10%80+0.2
Ramon Mendoza
2023 · A
22 41→48 37→45 48→45 45 .193/.269/.270 .078.280 47 31% 8% 50 -1.8 .211/.284/.310 .099.294 85 29% 8% 66 -0.6 .219/.298/.332.113.29411327%9%76+0.0
Brandon Barnes
2008 · A
22 37→47 38→55 46→50 37 .181/.232/.260 .079.269 57 34% 5% 30 -3.1 .197/.236/.309 .112.291 116 35% 4% 45 -2.1 .244/.289/.369.125.331121629%5%80+0.3
Aaron McKeithan
2022 · A
22 41 39→40 49→40 40 .198/.263/.282 .084.277 67 29% 6% 50 -1.7 .218/.296/.304 .086.283 84 24% 7% 70 -0.3 .219/.302/.289.070.2807122%7%69-0.2
Tucker Mitchell
2022 · A
21 43 39→50 51→45 39 .202/.262/.293 .090.301 67 33% 6% 52 -1.6 .193/.267/.305 .112.296 138 37% 7% 59 -1.1 .178/.253/.291.113.25315734%7%47-0.8
Daniel Schneemann
2019 · A
22 39→49 40→50 50 43 .189/.254/.283 .094.277 76 33% 8% 46 -2.0 .211/.272/.298 .087.290 78 28% 7% 57 -1.2 .226/.305/.377.151.297151328%10%89+0.7
Wynton Bernard
2013 · A
22 44→54 39→45 52→60 42 .208/.269/.296 .088.301 610 31% 7% 56 -1.3 .242/.293/.332 .090.318 519 24% 6% 75 -0.0 .270/.315/.362.092.32952819%6%86+0.7
James McCann
2012 · A
22 41→51 42→50 49→45 39 .203/.260/.306 .103.288 97 32% 6% 55 -1.4 .223/.261/.310 .087.291 66 24% 4% 55 -1.4 .254/.315/.415.161.33120428%7%104+1.1
Eric Fryer
2008 · A
22 39→49 40→45 45→50 42 .195/.249/.284 .089.258 77 27% 6% 44 -2.1 .241/.298/.354 .113.308 910 24% 6% 82 +0.5 .247/.311/.365.118.317101123%7%87+0.6
Jonathan Ornelas
2022 · A
22 41→51 41→45 48→50 38 .204/.251/.304 .100.277 99 29% 5% 50 -1.7 .233/.286/.332 .099.320 1011 29% 6% 72 -0.2 .231/.292/.316.084.32291229%7%67-0.4
Javier Valdes
2021 · A
22 40 37→55 50→30 45 .190/.266/.263 .073.266 47 28% 8% 47 -1.9 .209/.291/.323 .114.277 125 27% 8% 74 -0.1 .207/.303/.355.148.25618326%9%85+0.3
Francisco Acuna
2022 · A
22 39→47 39→40 48→50 44 .186/.276/.275 .089.270 610 31% 8% 56 -1.3 .202/.273/.299 .097.277 711 28% 6% 59 -1.1 .213/.285/.313.100.28291626%7%64-0.4
Glenn Santiago
2023 · A
22 41 41→40 46→45 40 .203/.258/.301 .098.286 88 31% 6% 52 -1.6 .200/.266/.289 .089.294 89 32% 7% 53 -1.5 .183/.256/.260.077.2697832%8%40-1.1
Zach Green
2016 · A
22 42→43 41→60 49→40 39 .207/.246/.303 .096.275 87 28% 5% 47 -1.9 .203/.257/.334 .131.315 143 38% 5% 61 -1.0 .196/.262/.382.186.29923141%7%74-0.0
Ashton McGee
2021 · A
22 41 39→50 50→40 41 .194/.258/.283 .089.288 55 33% 7% 48 -1.9 .206/.290/.322 .116.364 113 42% 10% 72 -0.2 .191/.284/.307.117.34612244%11%63-0.4
Blaze Alexander
2021 · A
22 45→48 42→50 51→50 43 .218/.284/.328 .110.300 911 29% 7% 71 -0.3 .204/.275/.332 .128.317 1412 38% 7% 69 -0.4 .220/.308/.345.126.328131034%8%84+0.4
Felix Reyes
2023 · A
22 37→47 43→50 46→45 35 .188/.235/.293 .105.267 118 34% 4% 40 -2.4 .221/.258/.346 .125.263 157 22% 4% 64 -0.8 .241/.274/.386.144.27517819%4%81+0.2
Javier Castillo
2006 · A
22 39→49 38→45 47→45 37 .190/.237/.268 .078.270 56 31% 5% 34 -2.8 .220/.263/.328 .108.289 97 26% 5% 61 -1.0 .239/.282/.359.121.30710625%5%74-0.0