Jeison Pena

P Carolina Mudcats

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 165 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	19	MIX3 levels	24	2	46	3.30	2.69	31.2%	15.6%	—	K 23.9% · BB 15.5% · FIP 3.40
2023	20	ACarolina Mudc…	36	0	46	7.96	4.68	22.1%	17.7%	—	K 16.3% · BB 20.9% · FIP 5.53
2024	21	ACarolina Mudc…	30	0	43	5.02	3.59	18.7%	13.9%	—	K 13.9% · BB 16.4% · FIP 4.36
2027PROJ	24	MLBMIL	25	0	26	4.82	4.82	21.5%	12.0%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBMIL	10	0	11	4.69	4.63	22.1%	11.1%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsRicardo Velez (age 24) · Harrison Cohen (age 24) · Colby Morris (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 108

ERA4.82

FIP4.82

K%21.5%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%9.4%

Proj IP26

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	11	2	28	131	35	18	1	18%	2.5	18.2%	17.2%	1.0%	1.1%	5.14	4.35	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers Gold	11	2	28	131	35	18	1	18%	2.5	26.7%	13.7%	13.0%	0.8%	5.14	2.99	—
2022	19	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	2	46	205	64	32	1	8%	1.9	23.9%	15.5%	8.5%	0.7%	3.30	3.40	—
2022	19	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	2	46	205	64	32	1	8%	1.9	31.2%	15.6%	15.6%	0.5%	3.30	2.69	—
2023	20	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	36	0	46	231	51	41	4	0%	1.3	16.3%	20.9%	-4.6%	2.1%	7.96	5.53	—
2023	20	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	36	0	46	231	51	41	4	0%	1.3	22.1%	17.7%	4.3%	1.7%	7.96	4.68	—
2024	21	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	30	0	43	187	35	26	1	0%	1.4	13.9%	16.4%	-2.6%	0.6%	5.02	4.36	—
2024	21	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	30	0	43	187	35	26	1	0%	1.4	13.9%	16.4%	-2.6%	0.6%	5.02	4.36	—
2024	21	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	30	0	43	187	35	26	1	0%	1.4	18.7%	13.9%	4.8%	0.5%	5.02	3.59	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	MIL	25	0	26	110	24	13	3	0%	1.0	21.5%	12.0%	9.4%	3.0%	4.82	4.82	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIL	25	0	26	109	24	12	3	0%	1.0	22.1%	11.1%	11.0%	2.9%	4.69	4.63	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIL	10	0	11	46	10	5	1	0%	1.1	22.1%	11.1%	11.0%	2.9%	4.69	4.63	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	47	10	5	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	11.1%	11.0%	2.9%	4.69	4.25	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	90	18	0%	1.1	22.1%	11.1%	11.0%	2.9%	4.69	4.25	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		101	4	164	754	136	133	9	4%	1.6	18.1%	17.7%	0.4%	1.2%	5.39	4.45	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		123	5	200	921	167	163	11	4%	1.6	18.1%	17.7%	0.4%	1.2%	5.39	4.45	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeison Pena (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	21.5%	12.0%	3.0%	—	4.63	22.1%	11.0%	26	-0.19	—	—	—
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	91
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	91
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	90
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	89
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	89
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	89
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	88
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	88
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	87
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	87
Michael Bowden R 2011 · 4.93 FIP	24	SU	4.93	18.9%	12.2%	3.4%	.271	4.22	17.1%	8.1%	77	-0.71	3.21	269	86
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	86
Luis Vizcaino R 2000 · 4.11 FIP	25	SU	4.11	18.8%	11.5%	2.1%	.354	4.31	22.7%	14.9%	180	+0.20	3.07	564	86
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	86
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	86
Reid Schaller R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	20.2%	13.1%	2.8%	.298	3.89	22.0%	11.4%	90	-0.71	3.61	186	86
Alex Palsha R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	24	SU	3.84	20.6%	10.4%	2.1%	.288	3.83	15.3%	4.4%	77	-0.01	3.40	134	86
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	86
Todd Wellemeyer R 2003 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	24.6%	14.8%	4.1%	.290	4.56	18.9%	4.8%	135	-0.58	3.35	615	85
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.47	22.1%	12.1%	189	-0.47	3.35	250	85

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	21.8%	11.5%	1.14	4.75
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99