Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD
24
AMLE
CIN
—
188
154
18
5
0
1
20
97
11
1
0
117
265
169
434
52
304
52
11
217
33
-15
+0
+0
+3
+4
-0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD
24
ARAW
CIN
—
188
148
27
7
0
2
26
68
11
1
0
182
346
270
616
88
321
36
14
296
33
—
—
—
—
—
—
ROS
24
AMLE
CIN
0%
28
25
4
1
0
0
2
11
1
0
0
160
250
200
450
40
290
39
7
249
55
-2
+0
+0
+0
+1
-0.0
TOT
24
AMLE
CIN
—
216
179
22
6
0
1
22
108
12
1
0
123
263
173
436
50
300
50
10
221
36
-16
+0
+0
+4
+5
-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027
25
MLBMLE
CIN
30%
381
334
60
12
2
6
33
145
11
4
1
180
275
281
557
102
292
38
9
260
62
-17
+0
+0
+7
+8
-0.2
2028
26
MLBMLE
CIN
44%
467
410
77
15
2
9
41
173
13
5
1
188
282
300
582
112
292
37
9
266
66
-19
+1
+0
+8
+10
0.0
2029
27
MLBMLE
CIN
49%
519
454
86
17
2
10
46
188
14
5
1
189
284
302
586
112
292
36
9
269
68
-19
+1
+0
+9
+11
0.2
2030
28
MLBMLE
CIN
51%
520
455
86
17
2
10
46
188
14
5
1
189
283
301
585
112
291
36
9
270
69
-19
+1
-1
+9
+11
0.1
2031
29
MLBMLE
CIN
51%
520
454
86
17
2
10
47
189
14
5
1
189
285
302
587
112
290
36
9
268
67
-20
+1
-1
+9
+11
-0.0
2032
30
MLBMLE
CIN
51%
520
454
84
17
2
9
47
190
14
4
1
185
282
291
572
106
289
37
9
265
66
-21
+0
-2
+9
+11
-0.3
2027
25
MLBCTX
CIN
30%
115
101
18
4
0
2
10
44
3
1
0
178
272
277
549
99
295
38
9
243
62
-5
+0
+0
+2
+2
-0.0
2028
26
MLBCTX
CIN
44%
206
180
34
7
1
4
18
76
6
2
1
189
284
306
590
117
295
37
9
250
66
-8
+0
+0
+4
+4
-0.0
2029
27
MLBCTX
CIN
49%
254
223
43
9
1
5
22
92
7
3
1
193
286
309
595
117
295
36
9
254
68
-10
+0
+0
+5
+6
0.1
2030
28
MLBCTX
CIN
51%
268
235
46
9
1
6
24
97
7
3
1
196
289
319
609
123
295
36
9
255
69
-10
+0
-0
+5
+6
0.0
2031
29
MLBCTX
CIN
51%
268
235
44
9
1
5
24
97
7
2
1
187
282
298
580
111
293
36
9
253
67
-10
+0
-1
+5
+6
-0.1
2032
30
MLBCTX
CIN
51%
268
235
44
9
1
5
24
98
7
2
1
187
282
298
580
111
292
37
9
250
66
-11
+0
-1
+5
+6
-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
A+C
—
1379
1209
229
47
5
27
122
504
37
13
5
189
284
304
587
114
295
37
9
252
67
-54
+1
-2
+25
+30
-0.1
/ 162G
—
A+C
—
650
570
108
22
2
13
58
238
17
6
2
189
284
304
587
114
295
37
9
252
67
-26
+0
-1
+12
+14
-0.1
Career
—
MLE
—
2955
2586
483
96
12
54
262
1084
81
28
6
187
282
296
578
109
293
37
9
267
67
-118
+3
-4
+53
+64
-0.2
/ 162G
—
MLE
—
650
569
107
21
3
12
58
238
18
6
1
188
284
299
583
111
294
37
9
267
67
-26
+1
-1
+12
+14
-0.0
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 493 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection