Kevin BazzellC Wilmington Blue Rocks
Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 205 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
2026 ROS PROJECTION161 act + 159 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .297 / .301
PA159
HR1
K%21
BB%7
BABIP284
ISO77
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -9.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +5.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: +0.60+0.6WAR
0.00.91.90.00.81.11.31.41.31.1+$41M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED30
scouting grade only
DEFENSE55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2027
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.8$3M+$2M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.1$8M+$7M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.3$8M+$8M
2030Arb-1$3M+1.4$8M+$7M
2031Arb-2$4M+1.3$7M+$5M
2032Arb-3$5M+1.1$6M+$3M
Totals $15M $40M +$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 AFredericksburg Nationals — 6049 12310 6133 12 245362347709 102316 2210 321 104 — — — — — —
202421 AFredericksburg Nationals — 6044 12310 11103 12 273448386835 114333 1718 376 146 — — — — — —
202522 AFredericksburg Nationals — 335297 59600 224912 81 199281219500 20234 157 231 35 — — — — — —
202522 AFredericksburg Nationals — 335285 68800 343212 81 239344267611 28265 1010 290 80 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 A+WSH — 161144 35603 11335 41 243319347666 104294 207 289 79 -4 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.4
YTD23 A+WSH — 161139 40704 16255 41 288381424806 137324 1610 363 136 +6 +0 +0 +3 +5 1.5
ROS23 A+WSH 0% 159143 32611 11344 31 224297301598 77282 217 276 69 -6 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.2
ROS23 MLBWSH 0% 11 0000 000 00 282 00 258 56 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL23 A+WSH — 162145 35603 11335 41 241317345662 103291 207 289 79 -4 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.4
TOT23 A+WSH — 320287 671214 22679 72 233308324632 91289 217 282 74 -9 +1 +0 +6 +9 0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBWSH 30% 364327 751415 26788 41 229302324626 95282 217 284 75 -10 +0 +0 +7 +10 0.8
202825 MLBWSH 44% 415374 871627 30898 41 233303342646 110283 217 290 80 -9 +0 +1 +7 +12 1.1
202926 MLBWSH 51% 448403 941728 33969 41 233306345651 112284 217 293 83 -9 +0 +1 +8 +13 1.3
203027 MLBWSH 52% 461414 961728 351009 41 232306341646 109284 228 294 83 -9 +0 +1 +8 +13 1.4
203128 MLBWSH 53% 465417 971828 361019 41 233307343650 110283 228 293 82 -9 +0 -0 +8 +13 1.3
203229 MLBWSH 53% 461413 951728 361019 31 230306339645 109283 228 291 81 -10 +0 -1 +8 +13 1.1
203330 MLBWSH 52% 454407 931718 351019 31 229304334638 106281 228 288 79 -11 +0 -2 +8 +13 0.9
202724 MLBWSH 30% 11099 22401 8242 10 222294293587 71282 227 268 63 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.1
202825 MLBWSH 44% 184164 39713 14394 20 238313348661 110283 218 275 69 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.3
202926 MLBWSH 51% 227203 48914 17495 21 236311350661 113284 227 279 71 -7 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.3
203027 MLBWSH 52% 242217 50914 18525 21 230304336641 106284 217 280 72 -8 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.4
203128 MLBWSH 53% 248222 51914 19545 21 230305333638 104283 228 279 71 -8 +0 -0 +4 +7 0.3
203229 MLBWSH 53% 242216 50914 19535 20 231308338646 106283 228 277 70 -8 +0 -0 +4 +7 0.3
203330 MLBWSH 52% 237212 49914 18535 20 231306340646 108281 228 274 68 -9 +0 -1 +4 +7 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 14911334 30956624 11332431 133 232306337643 105287 228 276 70 -51 +1 -0 +27 +42 1.9
/ 162G— — 650582 13424310 4914114 61 230306333639 103286 228 276 70 -22 +1 -0 +12 +18 0.9
Career— — 36223244 7401311453 27076280 3811 228303326629 98280 217 285 76 -97 +3 -0 +65 +103 7.5
/ 162G— — 650582 13424310 4813714 72 230304333637 103282 217 285 76 -17 +1 -0 +12 +18 1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 AFredericksburg Nationals — 6044 12310 11103 12 273448386835 114333 1718 376 146 +3 -1 — — +2 0.4
202522 AFredericksburg Nationals — 335285 68800 343212 81 239344267611 28265 1010 290 80 -8 +1 — — +9 0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA
93,1271105235308414+56-1014.114.8
/162664231+11.9-2.13.0pk7: 16
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA
83,3508521246300398+33+3814.214.8
/162664174+6.6+7.62.8pk7: 15
#4Derek Norrislast yr '17
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA
62,1956326230304380+39+5013.713.7
/162664198+11.9+15.14.1pk7: 14
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,4912513232302338+27+63.73.7
/162664116+11.9+2.71.6pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Kevin Bazzell (OGILVIE) 23 30→45 25→30 30 50 233/308/324 91289 47 21% 7% 74 +0.6 ————————— —————————
✕Brian Serven
2018 · A 		23 42 37→45 40→30 45 200/257/277 77250 46 21% 6% 46 -2.0 189/243/292 103253 94 28% 5% 44 -2.1 224/307/3331093279131%9%79+0.1
✕Taylor Krick
2012 · A 		24 47 36→30 40 48 217/303/275 58294 45 26% 8% 66 -0.6 231/316/301 70322 35 27% 8% 78 +0.2 238/330/299623371326%9%80+0.1
✕James Guerrero
2007 · A 		23 43→46 39→40 39→45 53 204/284/288 84238 66 17% 9% 61 -1.0 206/293/291 85259 68 21% 10% 66 -0.6 196/294/272752505822%11%59-0.5
✕Travis Harrison
2016 · AA 		23 45→48 39→40 37→45 46 213/290/302 89294 54 28% 8% 67 -0.5 184/268/265 81282 59 33% 8% 49 -1.8 157/249/2277125151036%9%29-2.2
✕Christian Kelley
2017 · A 		23 42 36→40 36→30 41 201/249/263 62269 43 26% 5% 38 -2.6 200/261/283 83272 82 28% 6% 50 -1.8 192/255/30010725312028%6%49-0.8
✕J.J. Franco
2015 · A 		23 49 37→30 39→45 44 234/290/302 68299 56 23% 6% 66 -0.6 208/265/268 60282 35 25% 7% 46 -2.0 214/294/251373010426%10%52-0.5
✕Radames Nazario
2010 · A 		23 44 39→40 34→40 40 211/263/302 91265 65 22% 4% 55 -1.4 216/269/303 87298 55 28% 5% 57 -1.2 216/279/288723015228%7%54-0.7
✕Donny Sands
2019 · A 		23 47 38→45 39→40 39 226/267/307 81300 54 26% 5% 57 -1.2 208/256/311 103276 94 27% 5% 54 -1.4 227/287/34712127614222%7%75-0.0
✕Alfredo Rodriguez
2013 · A 		23 46→51 35→30 40→50 46 216/280/278 63275 27 22% 7% 56 -1.3 223/286/281 58273 310 18% 7% 59 -1.1 225/290/2734827131217%7%55-0.9
✕Stephen Wickens
2012 · A 		23 45→44 36→40 40→55 49 207/280/282 75258 25 20% 8% 57 -1.2 227/302/302 75282 312 19% 8% 72 -0.2 223/296/2926927731519%7%65-0.4
✕Matt Kennelly
2012 · AA 		23 44 39→40 36→40 43 215/268/299 84286 73 27% 6% 56 -1.3 219/270/298 79274 56 21% 6% 56 -1.3 212/267/261492631219%6%42-1.1
✕James Roberts
2015 · A 		23 47 37→30 37→40 41 224/279/288 64294 63 25% 5% 58 -1.2 220/272/291 71281 67 23% 5% 56 -1.3 216/266/279622715821%5%47-0.8
✕Corey Kemp
2009 · A 		23 43→49 38→40 41→40 42 206/268/282 76272 63 26% 6% 52 -1.6 223/287/308 85296 54 24% 8% 66 -0.6 230/298/316863014223%8%70-0.2
✕Kyler Castillo
2022 · A 		24 48 37→30 40 47 225/282/301 76285 37 22% 7% 62 -0.9 234/313/303 69319 35 25% 9% 76 +0.1 239/334/295563293325%10%81+0.2
✕Emerson Landoni
2013 · A 		24 46→56 38→40 38→45 40 221/263/300 78281 66 23% 4% 53 -1.5 244/289/324 80298 55 19% 5% 70 -0.3 263/307/339753144416%5%78+0.1
✕David Urias
2008 · AAA 		23 43 39→40 37→45 37 211/243/292 81265 76 23% 3% 43 -2.2 236/269/312 76286 49 18% 4% 58 -1.2 290/316/372823357615%3%90+0.4
✕Anderson Hidalgo
2012 · A 		23 48 41→45 35→50 42 232/281/340 108301 83 25% 6% 72 -0.2 206/259/297 91274 74 26% 6% 52 -1.6 172/228/242702255125%5%23-1.9
✕Blake Ochoa
2009 · A 		23 44 40→45 40 45 213/266/308 96269 85 24% 6% 57 -1.2 237/296/383 146289 165 23% 7% 90 +1.0 247/310/42217429022222%7%106+0.7
✕Elijah Rumler
2009 · A 		24 43→41 36→30 36→40 43 201/274/267 66271 44 26% 6% 51 -1.7 196/259/272 76247 56 22% 5% 46 -2.0 169/228/232622035518%4%20-2.2
✕Chris Gutierrez
2007 · A 		23 45→55 36→40 42→45 49 209/280/281 71265 35 21% 8% 56 -1.3 214/289/288 74277 33 22% 8% 63 -0.9 235/316/298633241625%10%73-0.1