Ryan Slater — OGILVIE

Ryan Slater P Eugene Emeralds

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 203 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.70

FIP4.70

K%17.5%

BB%9.8%

K-BB%7.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 41 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	San Jose Giants	33	0	71	287	70	22	2	0%	2.2	18.0%	9.0%	9.0%	0.7%	2.54	3.09	—
2025	23	A MLE	San Jose Giants	33	0	71	287	70	22	2	0%	2.2	18.0%	9.0%	9.0%	0.7%	2.54	3.09	—
2025	23	A RAW	San Jose Giants	33	0	71	287	70	22	2	0%	2.2	24.4%	7.7%	16.7%	0.7%	2.54	2.42	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	32	0	35	149	42	14	5	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.5%	12.3%	3.8%	4.63	4.58	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	32	0	35	149	42	14	5	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.5%	12.3%	3.8%	4.63	4.58	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	ROK RAW	SF	2	0	2	9	2	1	0	0%	1.0	22.2%	11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	0.00	2.63	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	SF	29	0	32	132	39	12	4	0%	1.1	29.5%	9.1%	20.5%	3.0%	3.66	3.42	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	SF	1	0	1	8	1	1	1	0%	1.0	12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	12.5%	45.00	10.49	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	SF	5	0	6	24	4	2	1	0%	1.1	17.5%	9.8%	7.8%	2.7%	4.70	4.70	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	SF	—	—	41	173	46	16	6	—	—	26.7%	9.4%	17.3%	3.3%	4.64	4.60	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SF	65	0	68	287	53	27	8	0%	1.0	18.5%	9.5%	9.0%	2.7%	4.62	4.60	-0.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	SF	65	0	68	287	55	27	8	0%	1.0	19.1%	9.4%	9.7%	2.7%	4.57	4.55	0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	SF	64	0	67	283	55	27	8	0%	1.0	19.3%	9.5%	9.8%	2.8%	4.57	4.58	-0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	SF	62	0	65	274	53	26	8	0%	1.0	19.3%	9.6%	9.6%	2.9%	4.62	4.66	-0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	SF	28	0	29	122	23	12	3	0%	1.0	18.5%	9.5%	9.0%	2.7%	4.62	4.60	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	SF	43	0	45	190	36	18	5	0%	1.0	19.1%	9.4%	9.7%	2.7%	4.57	4.55	0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	SF	50	0	52	220	42	21	6	0%	1.0	19.3%	9.5%	9.8%	2.8%	4.57	4.58	-0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	SF	52	0	55	232	45	22	7	0%	1.1	19.3%	9.6%	9.6%	2.9%	4.62	4.66	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		172	0	181	764	146	73	21	0%	1.1	19.1%	9.5%	9.6%	2.8%	4.59	4.22	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	161	81	23	0%	1.1	19.1%	9.5%	9.6%	2.8%	4.59	4.22	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		65	0	106	436	86	42	8	0%	1.6	19.7%	9.5%	10.1%	1.7%	3.23	3.60	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		123	0	200	823	162	78	14	0%	1.6	19.7%	9.5%	10.1%	1.7%	3.23	3.60	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Slater (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.70	17.5%	9.8%	2.7%	—	4.58	19.0%	9.5%	203	-0.12	—	—	—
Stephen Villines R 2019 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	16.8%	8.5%	2.2%	.280	3.15	20.6%	14.7%	40	-0.81	2.14	156	91
Matt Carasiti R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	24	SU	3.85	17.8%	9.8%	1.8%	.309	3.26	24.8%	15.5%	104	-0.59	2.80	312	91
Alex Hermeling R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	16.5%	8.1%	2.2%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	127	91
Josh Uhen R 2016 · 4.09 FIP	24	SU	4.09	16.1%	9.7%	2.0%	.303	4.02	15.6%	1.2%	82	-0.07	3.17	185	90
Bryan Pope R 2023 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	19.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.332	5.20	12.7%	-0.3%	22	+1.24	3.96	148	90
Rob Griswold R 2022 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	16.8%	8.3%	3.2%	.244	4.34	12.5%	6.2%	144	-0.13	3.57	203	90
Alex Palsha R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	24	SU	3.84	20.6%	10.4%	2.1%	.288	3.83	15.3%	4.4%	77	-0.01	3.40	134	90
Kyle Whitten R 2023 · 4.35 FIP	24	SU	4.35	18.0%	9.5%	2.9%	.296	5.17	17.6%	7.7%	37	+0.82	4.32	152	90
Brian Glowicki R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	16.4%	8.3%	3.0%	.275	3.92	26.0%	14.1%	62	-0.49	2.31	189	90
Brett McKinney R 2015 · 4.79 FIP	24	SU	4.79	17.1%	8.9%	3.6%	.335	4.02	18.1%	8.5%	129	-0.77	3.43	183	89
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	89
David Goforth R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	26	SU	3.98	17.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.287	4.58	14.1%	3.6%	184	+0.60	3.98	256	89
Blaze Pontes R 2023 · 3.61 FIP	23	SU	3.61	18.2%	9.4%	1.6%	.330	4.79	11.3%	-0.9%	187	+1.18	3.37	248	89
Dillon McNamara R 2016 · 3.91 FIP	24	SU	3.91	16.4%	9.3%	1.8%	.245	3.90	17.6%	7.8%	125	-0.01	1.73	244	89
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	89
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.37	3.84	181	88
Mick VanVossen R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	24	SU	4.25	18.6%	8.9%	2.9%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.25	141	88
Marcel Rentería R 2019 · 4.15 FIP	24	SU	4.15	17.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.301	4.09	25.9%	10.4%	19	-0.06	3.91	194	88
Pedro Echemendia R 2016 · 4.79 FIP	25	SU	4.79	15.0%	8.0%	3.5%	.286	4.31	11.0%	5.9%	72	-0.48	4.31	141	88
Matt Pierpont R 2015 · 4.21 FIP	24	SU	4.21	17.8%	7.1%	3.1%	.295	3.25	21.7%	13.8%	190	-0.96	2.76	280	88

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	18.7%	9.6%	1.06	4.62
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79