Emerson Talavera

P ACL White Sox

Age 24 RHP 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	19	ROKCWS	17	26	2.77	2.18	35.3%	2.9%	—	K 24.0% · BB 3.7% · FIP 3.47
2023	20	ACWS	32	50	6.48	5.56	18.2%	13.0%	—	K 13.5% · BB 15.3% · FIP 7.14
2024	21	MIX2 levels	20	41	5.98	4.03	22.2%	7.6%	—	K 16.2% · BB 9.4% · FIP 4.38
2027PROJ	24	MLBCWS	19	20	4.38	4.38	22.8%	9.2%	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBCWS	9	9	4.33	4.30	23.2%	9.0%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsRicardo Velez (age 24) · Grant Balfour (age 25) · Stolmy Pimentel (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.38

FIP4.38

K%22.8%

BB%9.2%

K-BB%13.5%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	17	5	51	213	47	22	2	29%	3.0	15.0%	12.9%	2.1%	1.1%	2.47	4.10	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	17	5	51	213	47	22	2	29%	3.0	22.1%	10.3%	11.7%	0.9%	2.47	3.06	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	17	0	26	102	36	3	3	0%	1.5	24.0%	3.7%	20.3%	3.5%	2.77	3.47	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	17	0	26	102	36	3	3	0%	1.5	35.3%	2.9%	32.4%	2.9%	2.77	2.18	—
2023	20	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	32	0	50	231	42	30	9	0%	1.6	13.5%	15.3%	-1.9%	5.9%	6.48	7.14	—
2023	20	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	32	0	50	231	42	30	9	0%	1.6	18.2%	13.0%	5.2%	3.9%	6.48	5.56	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	41	185	41	14	6	0%	2.0	16.2%	9.4%	6.8%	2.7%	5.98	4.38	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	41	185	41	14	6	0%	2.0	16.2%	9.4%	6.8%	2.7%	5.98	4.38	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	41	185	41	14	6	0%	2.0	22.2%	7.6%	14.6%	3.2%	5.98	4.03	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	CWS	19	0	20	84	19	8	3	0%	1.1	22.8%	9.2%	13.5%	3.0%	4.38	4.38	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CWS	19	0	20	84	20	8	3	0%	1.1	23.2%	9.0%	14.2%	3.0%	4.33	4.30	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	CWS	9	0	9	38	9	3	1	0%	1.0	23.2%	9.0%	14.2%	3.0%	4.33	4.30	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	3	1	0%	1.1	23.2%	9.0%	14.2%	3.0%	4.33	3.92	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	70	23	0%	1.1	23.2%	9.0%	14.2%	3.0%	4.33	3.92	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		86	5	168	731	117	84	25	6%	1.9	16.1%	11.5%	4.6%	3.4%	4.56	5.04	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		103	6	200	872	140	100	29	6%	1.9	16.1%	11.5%	4.6%	3.4%	4.56	5.04	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Emerson Talavera (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.38	22.8%	9.2%	3.0%	—	4.30	23.2%	14.2%	20	-0.08	—	—	—
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	88
Grant Balfour R 2003 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	26.1%	10.4%	3.5%	.275	3.79	24.4%	12.8%	39	-0.34	2.04	533	87
Stolmy Pimentel R 2014 · 4.13 FIP	24	SU	4.13	25.7%	9.5%	3.6%	.319	4.17	14.8%	4.3%	143	+0.04	3.87	176	87
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	87
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	86
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	86
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	86
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	86
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	86
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.35	22.4%	13.7%	185	+0.62	3.73	223	86
Kyle Martin R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	21.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.345	3.51	22.4%	12.5%	172	-0.10	3.01	214	85
Garrett Mock R 2008 · 3.57 FIP	25	SU	3.57	25.6%	11.1%	2.2%	.300	4.06	17.1%	7.4%	91	+0.49	3.57	132	85
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	85
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	84
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	84
Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2021 · 3.52 FIP	24	SU	3.52	23.4%	8.2%	2.5%	.262	6.05	20.5%	11.4%	128	+2.53	3.52	207	84
Trey McLoughlin R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	23.7%	8.4%	3.0%	.295	4.55	20.8%	8.6%	123	+0.76	3.77	245	84
Mitchell Stumpo R 2021 · 3.97 FIP	25	SU	3.97	25.6%	8.0%	3.7%	.299	5.27	22.4%	6.8%	121	+1.30	3.97	158	84
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	84
Luke Bell R 2024 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	20.4%	9.9%	1.8%	.295	5.69	13.1%	1.3%	66	+2.07	3.62	110	84