Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 5 | 2 | 19 | 70 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 40% | 3.8 | 24.3% | 6.7% | 17.6% | 0.0% | 0.47 | 1.90 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 5 | 2 | 19 | 70 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 40% | 3.8 | 32.9% | 5.7% | 27.1% | 0.0% | 0.47 | 1.31 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 21 | 21 | 108 | 445 | 104 | 25 | 14 | 100% | 5.2 | 18.0% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 3.82 | 5.50 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 21 | 21 | 108 | 445 | 104 | 25 | 14 | 100% | 5.2 | 23.4% | 5.6% | 17.8% | 3.1% | 3.82 | 3.55 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 19 | 8 | 53 | 218 | 53 | 6 | 3 | 42% | 2.8 | 18.1% | 2.8% | 15.2% | 1.9% | 4.39 | 2.98 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 19 | 8 | 53 | 218 | 53 | 6 | 3 | 42% | 2.8 | 24.3% | 2.8% | 21.6% | 1.4% | 4.39 | 2.18 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 4 | 4 | 23 | 96 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.7 | 22.7% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.22 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 4 | 4 | 22 | 93 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 22.6% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 1 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 8.0 | 22.6% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 4.31 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 8.1 | 22.6% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 3.93 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 198 | 74 | 25 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.6% | 8.5% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 3.93 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 45 | 31 | 181 | 733 | 136 | 40 | 29 | 69% | 4.0 | 18.6% | 5.4% | 13.2% | 4.0% | 3.64 | 4.41 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 34 | 200 | 811 | 151 | 44 | 32 | 69% | 4.0 | 18.6% | 5.4% | 13.2% | 4.0% | 3.64 | 4.41 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Scott Randall (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.22 | 22.7% | 8.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.31 | 22.6% | 14.1% | 22 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Preston Johnson R 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 82 |
| Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 77 |
| Chase Whitley R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.04 | 19.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | .217 | 3.24 | 18.0% | 11.8% | 81 | -0.80 | 3.11 | 159 | 76 |
| Raynel Espinal R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.76 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .313 | 3.72 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 224 | -0.04 | 2.53 | 507 | 75 |
| Rubby De La Rosa R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.02 | 24.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% | .248 | 4.01 | 27.6% | 18.3% | 42 | -0.01 | 3.97 | 281 | 74 |
| Chad Dallas R 2025 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.8% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 322 | 72 |
| Connor Grey R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.88 | 22.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .286 | 4.32 | 16.2% | 7.0% | 104 | +0.44 | 2.81 | 461 | 71 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 71 |
| Justin Topa R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.05 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 2.2% | .374 | 2.66 | 19.2% | 12.6% | 40 | -1.39 | 2.66 | 259 | 71 |
| Stephen Fife R 2028 · 3.20 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.20 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 1.2% | .329 | 3.62 | 14.1% | 8.3% | 152 | +0.42 | 3.20 | 179 | 70 |
| Sam Lewis R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 69 |
| Connor Schultz R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.85 | 21.5% | 10.9% | 4.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 171 | 69 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2025 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 69 |
| Hector Noesí R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 68 |
| Burch Smith R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 68 |
| Isaac Coffey R 2025 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.95 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 2.9% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 287 | 68 |
| Tylor Megill R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.70 | 25.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | .302 | 3.90 | 22.9% | 12.5% | 359 | +0.20 | 3.01 | 603 | 67 |
| Markus Solbach R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.61 | 16.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.76 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 111 | +1.15 | 3.25 | 391 | 67 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 67 |
| Blake Wehunt R 2024 · 3.98 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.98 | 26.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 209 | 66 |