Alonzo RubalcabaC
Lakeland Flying Tigers
Age 26
R/R
5'10" / 210 lbs
A
HR +5%H +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.1 · 2027
wRC+†57
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .265 / .303
PA136
HR2
K%32
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2036 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $1M | $-10M | -$11M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 25 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .182 | .280 | .227 | .507 | .045 | .444 | 52 | 8 | .200 | 11 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | 2 teams | 58 | 52 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .115 | .207 | .192 | .399 | .077 | .217 | 48 | 9 | .191 | 4 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 30 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .138 | .000 | .138 | .000 | .000 | 57 | 10 | .088 | -74 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | DET | 136 | 124 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .202 | .267 | .298 | .565 | .097 | .290 | 32 | 7 | .260 | 57 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB 10% | DET | 209 | 190 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 65 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .205 | .271 | .316 | .586 | .111 | .291 | 31 | 7 | .266 | 62 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB 20% | DET | 276 | 250 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 85 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .208 | .277 | .320 | .597 | .112 | .290 | 31 | 8 | .269 | 64 | -11 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB 33% | DET | 310 | 280 | 60 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 95 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .214 | .283 | .332 | .616 | .118 | .290 | 31 | 8 | .270 | 65 | -12 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB 43% | DET | 333 | 301 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 102 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .206 | .276 | .316 | .591 | .110 | .288 | 31 | 8 | .268 | 63 | -14 | +1 | -2 | +6 | +9 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB 52% | DET | 320 | 290 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 100 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .203 | .271 | .307 | .578 | .103 | .287 | 31 | 8 | .264 | 61 | -14 | +0 | -3 | +6 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB 63% | DET | 300 | 271 | 55 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 95 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .203 | .273 | .310 | .583 | .107 | .285 | 32 | 8 | .260 | 57 | -15 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB 81% | DET | 268 | 244 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 87 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .193 | .259 | .283 | .542 | .090 | .284 | 32 | 7 | .255 | 53 | -14 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +8 | -0.6 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | DET | 224 | 203 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 74 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .192 | .261 | .281 | .542 | .089 | .282 | 33 | 8 | .249 | 48 | -13 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +6 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2489 | 2252 | 448 | 80 | 14 | 41 | 190 | 805 | 25 | 18 | 4 | .199 | .269 | .302 | .570 | .103 | .287 | 32 | 8 | .259 | 56 | -124 | +2 | -20 | +44 | +71 | -2.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 588 | 118 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 50 | 210 | 7 | 5 | 1 | .201 | .271 | .306 | .577 | .105 | .289 | 32 | 8 | .259 | 56 | -32 | +1 | -5 | +12 | +18 | -0.7 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 25 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .227 | .320 | .273 | .593 | .045 | .385 | 36 | 8 | .281 | 74 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 16 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .071 | .125 | .071 | .196 | .000 | .167 | 50 | 6 | .100 | -65 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +0 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 42 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .235 | .381 | .382 | .763 | .147 | .318 | 26 | 17 | .352 | 128 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 30 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .172 | .000 | .172 | .000 | .000 | 40 | 13 | .118 | -52 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Alonzo Rubalcaba (OGILVIE) | 26 | — | — | — | — | .201/.265/.303 | .101 | .290 | 2 | 2 | 32% | 7% | 57 | -0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA |
26 | 38 | 44→45 | 47→30 | 44 | .195/.260/.302 | .108 | .268 | 12 | 4 | 31% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .216/.284/.346 | .130 | .306 | 15 | 4 | 32% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .206/.279/.334 | .128 | .290 | 16 | 1 | 33% | 9% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA |
26 | 36→29 | 40→45 | 48→55 | 36 | .179/.243/.270 | .091 | .285 | 8 | 11 | 38% | 6% | 39 | -2.5 | .186/.268/.305 | .119 | .285 | 12 | 20 | 36% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .181/.273/.314 | .132 | .266 | 14 | 28 | 35% | 10% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA |
25 | 35 | 41→45 | 50→45 | 39 | .177/.239/.273 | .095 | .270 | 8 | 7 | 36% | 7% | 37 | -2.6 | .200/.266/.312 | .112 | .290 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.265/.302 | .110 | .270 | 10 | 5 | 31% | 8% | 52 | -0.8 |
|
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA |
26 | 37 | 39→45 | 50→55 | 40 | .183/.248/.270 | .087 | .268 | 6 | 14 | 32% | 6% | 40 | -2.4 | .194/.274/.324 | .130 | .304 | 14 | 16 | 38% | 9% | 67 | -0.5 | .179/.266/.318 | .140 | .290 | 17 | 19 | 41% | 9% | 60 | -0.7 |
|
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA |
26 | 38 | 42→45 | 43→45 | 44 | .190/.273/.285 | .095 | .272 | 10 | 5 | 32% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .226/.321/.370 | .144 | .293 | 15 | 10 | 26% | 11% | 98 | +1.6 | .221/.324/.370 | .149 | .286 | 16 | 11 | 27% | 12% | 97 | +0.8 |
|
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA |
26 | 35→37 | 45→50 | 47→50 | 39 | .184/.244/.304 | .120 | .244 | 14 | 10 | 30% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .203/.249/.336 | .133 | .277 | 16 | 10 | 32% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .205/.254/.334 | .129 | .270 | 15 | 10 | 29% | 5% | 57 | -0.6 |
|
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA |
25 | 39→33 | 44→45 | 48→45 | 42 | .196/.263/.315 | .118 | .271 | 12 | 9 | 31% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .204/.262/.318 | .114 | .295 | 12 | 7 | 33% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .195/.242/.316 | .121 | .282 | 13 | 0 | 35% | 5% | 50 | -0.5 |
|
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA |
26 | 40→43 | 44→45 | 48→50 | 36 | .203/.250/.319 | .116 | .288 | 12 | 9 | 33% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .216/.261/.332 | .116 | .297 | 11 | 10 | 30% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .216/.262/.331 | .115 | .289 | 11 | 10 | 28% | 5% | 58 | -0.8 |
|
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA |
26 | 38 | 43→45 | 51→50 | 40 | .188/.263/.297 | .108 | .296 | 12 | 13 | 38% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .201/.277/.307 | .106 | .299 | 10 | 14 | 34% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .196/.298/.302 | .106 | .259 | 11 | 24 | 26% | 10% | 67 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jason Delay 2021 · AA |
26 | 41 | 44→45 | 49→40 | 38 | .208/.261/.320 | .112 | .286 | 13 | 6 | 32% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .205/.252/.302 | .097 | .293 | 8 | 5 | 31% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .226/.285/.301 | .075 | .297 | 3 | 2 | 23% | 6% | 61 | -0.4 |
|
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA |
26 | 38 | 41→45 | 45 | 42 | .191/.251/.292 | .101 | .267 | 9 | 8 | 31% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .183/.267/.313 | .130 | .280 | 16 | 7 | 37% | 10% | 61 | -1.0 | .145/.237/.274 | .129 | .209 | 19 | 3 | 39% | 10% | 37 | -0.8 |
|
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA |
26 | 38→39 | 45 | 45→50 | 39 | .191/.258/.315 | .124 | .278 | 12 | 11 | 34% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .189/.266/.294 | .105 | .293 | 8 | 13 | 36% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .164/.257/.268 | .103 | .258 | 7 | 16 | 36% | 9% | 46 | -1.0 |
|
✕Cael Brockmeyer 2018 · AAA |
26 | 37→40 | 45 | 46→40 | 38 | .192/.248/.309 | .116 | .266 | 13 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .214/.272/.315 | .101 | .317 | 10 | 7 | 34% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .241/.302/.322 | .081 | .371 | 7 | 5 | 34% | 5% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA |
27 | 40→38 | 43→50 | 47→30 | 40 | .197/.265/.308 | .111 | .291 | 11 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .199/.260/.292 | .093 | .305 | 9 | 6 | 35% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .163/.224/.224 | .061 | .249 | 8 | 0 | 36% | 7% | 16 | -1.3 |
|
✕Mark Thomas 2014 · AA |
26 | 39→41 | 43→50 | 48→45 | 38 | .195/.241/.305 | .110 | .264 | 10 | 6 | 30% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .175/.226/.302 | .127 | .260 | 13 | 5 | 37% | 5% | 40 | -2.4 | .145/.196/.288 | .143 | .202 | 17 | 3 | 38% | 5% | 21 | -1.4 |
|
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA |
26 | 34→25 | 42→55 | 45→50 | 35 | .173/.235/.271 | .098 | .281 | 10 | 6 | 40% | 6% | 36 | -2.7 | .198/.254/.317 | .119 | .290 | 12 | 10 | 34% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .201/.254/.332 | .131 | .279 | 12 | 11 | 31% | 4% | 55 | -0.5 |
|
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA |
25 | 36 | 45→50 | 48→50 | 37 | .186/.248/.306 | .120 | .290 | 14 | 12 | 39% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .185/.245/.287 | .102 | .286 | 9 | 10 | 36% | 7% | 43 | -2.2 | .153/.212/.244 | .092 | .224 | 3 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 14 | -1.0 |
|
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA |
25 | 39 | 43→45 | 43→45 | 46 | .192/.280/.301 | .108 | .265 | 11 | 7 | 30% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .198/.277/.336 | .138 | .251 | 16 | 10 | 27% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .186/.266/.336 | .150 | .221 | 18 | 12 | 25% | 7% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA |
25 | 36 | 44→45 | 46→50 | 44 | .184/.253/.297 | .113 | .252 | 12 | 5 | 31% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .191/.266/.309 | .118 | .292 | 13 | 14 | 36% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .170/.258/.270 | .101 | .271 | 11 | 16 | 38% | 10% | 43 | -1.1 |
|
✕Brian Serven 2021 · AA |
26 | 38 | 45→50 | 43→30 | 40 | .195/.250/.317 | .122 | .255 | 13 | 5 | 28% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .193/.251/.326 | .133 | .244 | 17 | 4 | 28% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .182/.252/.278 | .096 | .251 | 12 | 0 | 31% | 7% | 42 | -0.9 |