Poncho Ruiz — OGILVIE

Poncho RuizC Wichita Wind Surge

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 210 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION89 act + 227 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .280 / .284

PA227

HR2

K%26

BB%10

BABIP261

ISO90

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.4M
2033	Arb-2	$5M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	ROK	2 teams	—	62	57	4	1	0	0	4	16	0	0	0	70	131	88	219	18	95	26	6	117	-52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	2 teams	—	62	56	9	1	0	1	5	12	0	0	0	161	230	232	462	71	182	19	8	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	3 teams	—	510	450	84	27	0	5	49	134	5	6	2	187	274	280	554	93	250	26	10	254	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	3 teams	—	510	437	116	31	0	5	62	91	5	6	2	265	363	371	734	105	321	18	12	332	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	3 teams	—	454	388	76	22	0	1	51	128	3	1	1	196	294	260	554	64	286	28	11	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	3 teams	—	454	375	93	26	0	2	64	88	3	1	1	248	362	333	695	85	316	19	14	315	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	MIN	—	89	80	14	2	1	2	7	22	1	3	0	175	250	300	550	125	211	25	8	238	40	-6	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
YTD	24	AA	MIN	—	89	77	15	2	1	2	10	17	1	3	0	195	295	325	620	130	220	19	11	282	74	-3	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.2
ROS	24	AA	MIN	2%	227	201	39	10	1	2	22	58	2	3	0	194	280	284	564	90	261	26	10	261	58	-11	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.0
ROS	24	MLB	MIN	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		261	20	0	254	52	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	MIN	—	94	85	15	2	1	2	7	23	1	3	0	176	247	294	541	118	213	24	7	239	41	-6	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
TOT	24	AA	MIN	—	316	281	53	12	2	4	29	80	3	6	0	189	272	288	560	100	246	25	9	254	53	-17	+1	+0	+6	+9	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	MIN	31%	349	309	62	15	1	5	34	88	3	3	1	201	286	304	590	104	265	25	10	272	67	-13	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.3
2028	26	MLB	MIN	45%	393	347	71	17	1	6	39	98	4	4	1	205	292	311	604	107	268	25	10	279	72	-13	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.6
2029	27	MLB	MIN	49%	411	363	76	18	1	7	41	103	4	4	1	209	297	322	619	113	269	25	10	281	74	-12	+0	+0	+7	+12	0.7
2030	28	MLB	MIN	52%	419	370	77	18	1	7	42	105	4	4	1	208	296	319	615	111	269	25	10	281	74	-13	+0	-1	+7	+12	0.7
2031	29	MLB	MIN	52%	416	367	76	18	1	7	42	105	4	4	1	207	295	319	614	112	268	25	10	280	72	-13	+0	-1	+7	+12	0.5
2032	30	MLB	MIN	52%	412	364	74	18	1	6	41	105	4	3	1	203	291	308	599	104	267	25	10	277	70	-14	+0	-2	+7	+12	0.3
2033	31	MLB	MIN	51%	388	342	69	16	1	6	39	100	4	3	1	202	291	307	598	105	264	26	10	273	67	-15	+0	-3	+7	+11	0.1
2027	25	MLB	MIN	31%	108	95	19	5	0	1	11	27	1	1	0	200	290	284	574	84	265	25	10	265	61	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2028	26	MLB	MIN	45%	175	154	33	8	1	3	17	44	2	2	0	214	301	338	638	123	268	25	10	272	66	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2029	27	MLB	MIN	49%	202	178	37	9	1	3	20	50	2	2	0	208	295	320	615	112	269	25	10	274	68	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2030	28	MLB	MIN	52%	216	191	40	9	1	4	21	54	2	2	0	209	294	330	624	120	269	25	10	274	68	-8	+0	-0	+4	+6	0.2
2031	29	MLB	MIN	52%	214	189	39	9	1	3	21	54	2	2	0	206	292	312	605	106	268	25	10	273	67	-8	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.2
2032	30	MLB	MIN	52%	212	187	38	9	1	3	21	54	2	2	0	203	290	310	601	107	267	25	10	270	65	-8	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.1
2033	31	MLB	MIN	51%	200	176	35	8	0	3	20	52	2	1	0	199	288	295	583	97	264	26	10	266	62	-9	+0	-1	+4	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1332	1175	242	57	5	20	131	336	13	12	0	206	293	314	607	108	269	25	10	271	66	-52	+2	-4	+24	+38	0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	118	28	2	10	64	164	6	6	0	206	292	314	606	108	269	25	10	271	66	-25	+1	-2	+12	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	4041	3558	708	180	8	52	404	1040	37	35	10	199	287	298	585	99	263	26	10	268	63	-167	+3	-7	+72	+114	1.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	113	29	1	8	65	167	6	6	2	198	286	294	580	96	262	26	10	268	63	-27	+0	-1	+12	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	ROK	FCL Twins	—	32	28	3	1	0	3	6	0	0	0	107	194	143	336	36	130	19	9	162	-18	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	21	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	30	28	6	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	214	267	321	588	107	238	20	7	267	62	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	77	66	12	3	0	10	19	0	0	0	182	289	227	517	45	250	25	13	246	47	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2024	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	300	253	67	21	4	38	50	5	3	1	265	372	395	767	130	310	17	13	345	122	+8	+0	—	—	+8	1.7
2024	22	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	133	118	37	7	1	14	22	0	3	1	314	386	398	785	85	379	17	11	354	129	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2025	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	210	175	40	13	1	30	41	3	0	1	229	351	320	671	91	289	20	14	312	97	-1	-0	—	—	+6	0.5
2025	23	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	132	108	32	10	0	24	27	0	1	0	296	424	389	813	93	395	20	18	375	145	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2025	23	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	112	92	21	3	1	10	20	0	0	0	228	304	293	597	65	278	18	9	253	52	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,335	21	12	207	291	316	+24	+12	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	10	6	207	291	316	+11.9	+6.0	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Poncho Ruiz (OGILVIE)	24	40	30	40	60	189/272/288	100	246	4	6	25%	9%	53	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Taylor Krick 2012 · A	24	47	36→30	40	48	217/303/275	58	294	4	5	26%	8%	66	-0.6	231/316/301	70	322	3	5	27%	8%	78	+0.2	238/330/299	62	337	1	3	26%	9%	80	+0.1
✕Kawika Emsley-Pai 2013 · A	24	43	36→30	46→40	53	198/292/268	70	276	3	7	27%	11%	59	-1.1	195/288/272	77	280	6	7	29%	11%	59	-1.1	161/272/222	60	234	6	4	30%	12%	39	-0.7
✕Stephen McGee 2015 · A	24	42	37→40	44→30	48	197/281/263	66	269	4	4	27%	9%	53	-1.5	202/281/291	89	289	7	4	30%	9%	61	-1.0	196/283/297	101	281	10	1	31%	10%	60	-0.4
✕Jonathan Diaz 2009 · AA	24	44→47	36→30	42→50	59	204/318/277	73	257	3	6	20%	12%	74	-0.1	206/294/270	64	259	3	6	19%	9%	60	-1.0	219/300/269	50	278	3	14	20%	9%	60	-0.8
✕Adam Weisenburger 2013 · AA	24	42	36→40	43→30	45	197/271/262	65	269	3	5	26%	7%	49	-1.8	214/294/304	90	284	7	4	25%	8%	69	-0.4	213/299/301	87	276	6	2	23%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Chris Clare 2019 · A	24	42→45	37→30	46→40	49	198/278/268	70	258	4	5	24%	8%	53	-1.5	194/266/265	71	270	4	7	28%	7%	47	-1.9	146/222/176	30	221	0	3	31%	6%	3	-1.5
✕Bryan Johns 2013 · A	24	44	35→30	43→45	48	205/281/267	62	284	2	7	27%	9%	54	-1.4	202/269/283	81	288	6	8	30%	7%	53	-1.5	150/216/208	58	216	7	5	32%	5%	10	-1.1
✕Micah Gibbs 2012 · A	24	45	37→30	43→45	49	212/288/287	75	285	5	4	26%	9%	62	-0.9	193/275/270	77	291	6	6	32%	9%	53	-1.5	180/240/265	85	254	6	4	30%	7%	34	-0.6
✕Micael Ramirez 2023 · A	24	45	36→30	45→40	50	211/281/277	66	266	4	5	21%	8%	56	-1.3	211/273/287	76	268	7	5	22%	7%	55	-1.4	206/268/271	65	257	7	2	21%	7%	46	-0.7
✕James Guerrero 2008 · A	24	45→46	39→40	40→45	53	212/297/295	83	256	6	7	19%	9%	68	-0.5	206/290/295	89	269	7	9	24%	10%	66	-0.6	140/254/210	69	188	4	10	25%	12%	28	-0.8
✕Sean McCraw 2010 · A	24	43	36→30	44→30	48	200/280/269	69	282	4	4	28%	9%	54	-1.4	200/268/286	86	277	6	4	28%	8%	53	-1.5	185/253/266	81	251	6	1	27%	8%	37	-0.8
✕Yhoxian Medina 2014 · A	24	48→53	36→30	41→50	48	222/289/291	69	283	3	8	22%	8%	63	-0.9	237/287/302	65	297	3	11	20%	6%	64	-0.8	240/285/299	59	295	2	11	18%	5%	59	-0.6
✕Jairo Rodriguez 2013 · A	24	47	37→30	46→30	43	221/268/290	69	282	4	4	23%	5%	53	-1.5	210/253/267	57	258	3	4	19%	5%	40	-2.4	192/229/227	35	229	0	1	15%	3%	18	-1.1
✕J.J. Franco 2016 · A	24	46	37→30	38→45	42	218/272/287	69	290	5	6	26%	6%	54	-1.4	206/269/263	57	283	2	5	26%	8%	46	-2.0	214/294/251	37	301	0	4	26%	10%	52	-0.5
✕Kyle Knudson 2013 · A	25	44	36→30	41→30	44	206/274/270	64	291	3	3	29%	7%	51	-1.7	219/276/288	69	298	3	3	26%	6%	56	-1.3	222/271/281	59	300	2	0	25%	4%	49	-0.7
✕Adam Ricks 2007 · A	24	48→46	37→30	43→30	52	224/299/291	67	281	4	3	21%	9%	67	-0.5	214/281/292	78	274	5	5	22%	8%	59	-1.1	204/273/277	73	259	4	4	21%	8%	50	-0.5
✕Brian Ward 2011 · A	25	40	36→40	43→45	48	192/273/255	63	265	4	6	27%	9%	48	-1.9	220/287/306	86	274	6	8	20%	8%	66	-0.6	227/292/315	88	275	6	8	19%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Chad Zurcher 2013 · A	24	48	36→30	47→45	50	222/288/291	69	266	3	9	17%	7%	62	-0.9	227/311/289	62	295	2	7	21%	10%	72	-0.2	235/337/268	33	301	0	6	19%	12%	75	-0.0
✕Francisco Diaz 2014 · A	24	45	37→30	42→40	45	212/273/284	72	278	4	3	24%	7%	54	-1.4	215/266/291	76	262	5	5	19%	6%	53	-1.5	225/283/270	45	279	2	1	19%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Chris Gutierrez 2008 · A	24	45→55	36→40	42→45	50	212/286/282	70	261	3	4	19%	8%	59	-1.1	224/299/299	75	303	3	5	25%	9%	69	-0.4	235/316/298	63	324	1	6	25%	10%	73	-0.1