Alonzo Richardson

Alonzo Richardson P Lake County Captains

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 177 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2029

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 67 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 157149vR 141

ERA6.53

FIP6.53

K%10.8%

BB%17.6%

K-BB%-6.8%

ROS IP67

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL2525

CMD2020

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Indians	12	8	31	153	35	18	8	67%	2.6	15.6%	14.7%	0.8%	4.9%	8.42	6.35	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL Indians	12	8	31	153	35	18	8	67%	2.6	22.9%	11.8%	11.1%	5.2%	8.42	5.94	—
2022	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	10	70	301	61	25	9	67%	4.7	14.3%	10.0%	4.3%	4.0%	4.09	5.35	—
2022	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	10	70	301	61	25	9	67%	4.7	20.3%	8.3%	12.0%	3.0%	4.09	4.10	—
2023	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	26	24	124	539	73	52	10	92%	4.8	10.0%	11.4%	-1.4%	2.4%	4.79	5.00	—
2023	20	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	26	24	124	539	73	52	10	92%	4.8	13.5%	9.6%	3.9%	1.9%	4.79	4.23	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	20	114	487	73	43	8	87%	5.0	11.2%	10.4%	0.8%	2.2%	4.03	4.69	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	20	114	487	73	43	8	87%	5.0	11.2%	10.4%	0.8%	2.2%	4.03	4.69	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	20	114	487	73	43	8	87%	5.0	15.0%	8.8%	6.2%	1.6%	4.03	3.86	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	0	68	302	47	40	11	0%	2.5	11.8%	17.1%	-5.3%	5.0%	5.32	7.00	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	0	68	302	47	40	11	0%	2.5	11.8%	17.1%	-5.3%	5.0%	5.32	7.00	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	0	68	302	47	40	11	0%	2.5	15.6%	13.2%	2.3%	3.6%	5.32	5.60	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	CLE	10	10	67	283	30	50	9	100%	6.7	10.8%	17.6%	-6.8%	3.2%	6.53	6.53	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CLE	10	10	68	287	39	46	9	100%	6.8	13.5%	16.0%	-2.5%	3.1%	6.17	6.08	-0.9
2029	26	MLB MLE	CLE	10	10	68	287	43	44	9	100%	6.8	15.1%	15.4%	-0.3%	3.1%	5.93	5.86	-0.7
2030	27	MLB MLE	CLE	10	10	67	283	44	43	9	100%	6.7	15.5%	15.2%	0.3%	3.2%	5.84	5.82	-0.7
2031	28	MLB MLE	CLE	10	10	65	274	43	42	9	100%	6.5	15.6%	15.2%	0.4%	3.3%	5.84	5.87	-0.7
2028	25	MLB CTX	CLE	4	4	29	122	17	20	4	100%	7.2	13.5%	16.0%	-2.5%	3.1%	6.17	6.08	-0.4
2029	26	MLB CTX	CLE	7	7	45	190	29	29	6	100%	6.4	15.1%	15.4%	-0.3%	3.1%	5.93	5.86	-0.5
2030	27	MLB CTX	CLE	8	8	52	220	34	33	7	100%	6.5	15.5%	15.2%	0.3%	3.2%	5.84	5.82	-0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	CLE	8	8	55	232	36	35	8	100%	6.9	15.6%	15.2%	0.4%	3.3%	5.84	5.87	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		28	28	181	764	115	117	24	100%	6.5	15.1%	15.4%	-0.3%	3.2%	5.92	5.51	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		30	30	200	844	127	129	27	100%	6.6	15.1%	15.4%	-0.3%	3.2%	5.92	5.51	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		103	62	407	1782	211	216	58	60%	4.0	11.8%	12.1%	-0.3%	3.3%	4.82	5.43	-3.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	30	200	876	104	106	29	60%	4.0	11.8%	12.1%	-0.3%	3.3%	4.82	5.43	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alonzo Richardson (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.53	10.8%	17.6%	3.2%	—	5.92	14.7%	-0.8%	203	-0.61	—	—	—
Andrew Thurman R 2016 · 6.31 FIP	24	SP-	6.31	14.4%	16.9%	4.2%	.291	2.59	16.8%	9.6%	25	-3.72	2.59	264	83
Oscar Verdugo R 2015 · 6.33 FIP	25	SP-	6.33	10.5%	13.9%	4.3%	.241	5.78	10.8%	-1.8%	74	-0.55	5.01	144	81
Mitchell Boggs R 2008 · 5.80 FIP	24	SP-	5.80	7.9%	13.4%	3.0%	.298	3.63	18.0%	8.6%	186	-2.17	3.21	330	79
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	78
Cobi Johnson R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	16.0%	14.8%	3.5%	.257	4.54	19.9%	1.4%	41	-0.98	4.54	140	78
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	76
Orlando Gonzalez R 2024 · 6.34 FIP	21	SP-	6.34	13.8%	18.8%	3.7%	.155	4.18	18.9%	4.9%	71	-2.16	3.83	114	75
Tyler Brashears R 2017 · 5.47 FIP	23	SW	5.47	12.1%	13.0%	3.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	156	75
Johnny Hellweg R 2013 · 5.63 FIP	24	SP	5.63	5.6%	16.0%	1.8%	.298	5.82	9.6%	-8.1%	82	+0.19	2.98	140	74
John Maine R 2005 · 6.04 FIP	24	SP-	6.04	13.0%	13.0%	4.3%	.242	4.20	20.9%	11.4%	421	-1.84	3.91	582	74
Drew Gagnon R 2015 · 5.56 FIP	25	SP-	5.56	11.6%	12.6%	3.4%	.313	4.02	20.4%	12.2%	311	-1.54	3.71	534	73
Jorge Sosa R 2002 · 5.77 FIP	25	SW	5.77	11.1%	12.4%	3.7%	.228	4.55	15.7%	5.5%	362	-1.22	4.06	773	72
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	72
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	72
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	71
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	71
Bryce Conley R 2019 · 5.40 FIP	24	SP-	5.40	17.0%	16.0%	3.1%	.227	4.28	17.4%	5.6%	142	-1.12	4.22	560	71
David Whitehead R 2016 · 6.00 FIP	24	SW	6.00	10.7%	19.2%	2.5%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	4.35	217	70
Kevin Biondic R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	8.6%	11.0%	3.2%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	5.52	100	70
Lauro Ramirez R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	25	SP-	5.80	9.5%	10.1%	4.1%	.382	4.99	7.2%	-3.4%	90	-0.81	4.99	140	69

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	14.1%	15.9%	1.22	6.06
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37