Juan Gonzalez
C Birmingham Barons| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | ACWS | 95 | .188/.309/.212 | 0 | 1 | 19 | — | .145/.245/.157 |
| 2025 | 24 | A+CWS | 64 | .086/.172/.086 | 0 | 1 | -43 | — | .068/.141/.068 |
| 2026 | 25 | AACWS | 20 | .235/.350/.294 | 0 | 1 | 56 | — | .235/.350/.294 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 26 | MLBCWS | 2 | .201/.269/.294 | 0 | 0 | 59 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 27 | MLBCWS | 35 | .202/.271/.297 | 1 | 1 | 61 | -0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | — | 42 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 176 | 300 | 265 | 565 | 88 | 207 | 17 | 10 | 257 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 103 | 84 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 202 | 330 | 274 | 604 | 71 | 271 | 26 | 9 | 283 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | — | 43 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 349 | 278 | 627 | 56 | 296 | 21 | 9 | 302 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 143 | 116 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 34 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 267 | 401 | 379 | 781 | 112 | 358 | 24 | 12 | 360 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 95 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 188 | 309 | 212 | 521 | 25 | 288 | 31 | 12 | 255 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 64 | 58 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 86 | 172 | 86 | 258 | 125 | 28 | 3 | 138 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 20 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 350 | 294 | 644 | 59 | 364 | 30 | 5 | 308 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 42 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 139 | 225 | 222 | 447 | 83 | 162 | 24 | 5 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 103 | 87 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 184 | 290 | 253 | 543 | 69 | 249 | 35 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 43 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 279 | 189 | 468 | 27 | 238 | 30 | 7 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 143 | 121 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 215 | 331 | 306 | 637 | 91 | 315 | 32 | 8 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 95 | 83 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 145 | 245 | 157 | 401 | 12 | 268 | 42 | 8 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 64 | 59 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 68 | 141 | 68 | 208 | 117 | 39 | 2 | 104 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 20 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 350 | 294 | 644 | 59 | 333 | 35 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 42 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 139 | 225 | 222 | 447 | 83 | 179 | 24 | 5 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK RAW | FCL Blue Jays | — | 42 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 176 | 300 | 265 | 565 | 88 | 207 | 17 | 10 | 257 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 146 | 124 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 49 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 169 | 280 | 226 | 506 | 56 | 260 | 34 | 6 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 146 | 120 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 36 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 208 | 336 | 275 | 611 | 67 | 279 | 25 | 9 | 288 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 143 | 121 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 215 | 331 | 306 | 637 | 91 | 324 | 32 | 8 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A RAW | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 143 | 116 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 34 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 267 | 401 | 379 | 781 | 112 | 358 | 24 | 12 | 360 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 95 | 83 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 145 | 245 | 157 | 401 | 12 | 273 | 42 | 8 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A RAW | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 95 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 188 | 309 | 212 | 521 | 25 | 288 | 31 | 12 | 255 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 64 | 59 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 68 | 141 | 68 | 208 | 118 | 39 | 2 | 104 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ RAW | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 64 | 58 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 86 | 172 | 86 | 258 | 125 | 28 | 3 | 138 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 20 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 350 | 294 | 644 | 59 | 400 | 35 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA RAW | Birmingham Barons | — | 20 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 350 | 294 | 644 | 59 | 364 | 30 | 5 | 308 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 42 | 38 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 132 | 225 | 211 | 436 | 79 | 162 | 24 | 5 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 146 | 126 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 49 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 280 | 222 | 502 | 56 | 246 | 34 | 6 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 143 | 121 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 215 | 331 | 306 | 637 | 91 | 315 | 32 | 8 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 95 | 84 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 143 | 245 | 155 | 399 | 12 | 268 | 42 | 8 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 64 | 59 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 68 | 141 | 68 | 208 | 117 | 39 | 2 | 104 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 20 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 350 | 294 | 644 | 59 | 333 | 35 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 95 | 84 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 143 | 245 | 155 | 399 | 12 | 268 | 42 | 8 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 64 | 59 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 68 | 141 | 68 | 208 | 117 | 39 | 2 | 104 | -43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 20 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 350 | 294 | 644 | 59 | 333 | 35 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | CWS | 2% | 200 | 181 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 63 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 200 | 268 | 292 | 560 | 92 | 285 | 32 | 6 | 256 | 59 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | CWS | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 269 | 294 | 563 | 93 | 286 | 50 | 0 | 257 | 59 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | CWS | 27% | 130 | 118 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 201 | 270 | 295 | 565 | 94 | 285 | 31 | 7 | 258 | 61 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | CWS | 27% | 35 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 202 | 271 | 297 | 568 | 95 | 286 | 31 | 6 | 259 | 61 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 35 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 219 | 286 | 344 | 629 | 125 | 300 | 31 | 6 | 259 | 43 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 594 | 131 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 37 | 204 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 221 | 288 | 348 | 636 | 128 | 302 | 31 | 6 | 259 | 43 | -30 | +4 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 724 | 634 | 111 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 48 | 243 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 175 | 270 | 240 | 509 | 65 | 267 | 34 | 7 | 231 | 43 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 569 | 99 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 43 | 218 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 174 | 269 | 237 | 506 | 63 | 266 | 34 | 7 | 231 | 43 | -31 | +1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AABirmingham Barons · 20 PAwOBA .301 → .251 (−50)K% 30.0% → 36.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 3.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 10.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 8.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 25.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 8.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .301 → .251; ISO .059 → .050; BABIP .364 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 64 PAwOBA .135 → .104 (−31)K% 28.1% → 38.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.12% | ÷0.955 | ×1.310 | — | — | 38.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.12% | ÷0.949 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 1.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.25% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 4.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷0.942 | ×0.870 | ×1.030 | ×0.988 | 11.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.780 | ×1.030 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.850 | ×1.030 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.923 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 88, 2B 97, 3B 109, K 91, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .135 → .104; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .125 → .117. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 95 PAwOBA .252 → .196 (−56)K% 30.5% → 41.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.53% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 41.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.58% | ÷0.957 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 8.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.16% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 2.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.49% | ÷0.980 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×0.990 | 24.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.92% | ÷1.056 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | ×0.990 | 3.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.022 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.820 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 96, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 98, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .252 → .196; ISO .025 → .018; BABIP .288 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 143 PAwOBA .354 → .284 (−71)K% 23.8% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.78% | ÷1.004 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.89% | ÷0.951 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.29% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 4.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.83% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | — | 24.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.54% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | — | 6.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.44% | ÷0.861 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.27% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 100, 2B 110, 3B 98, K 101, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .354 → .284; ISO .112 → .090; BABIP .358 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ADunedin Blue Jays · 103 PAwOBA .284 → .234 (−50)K% 26.2% → 35.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.21% | ÷1.017 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.74% | ÷1.050 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 5.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.80% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 5.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.81% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×1.015 | 21.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.983 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×1.015 | 4.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.75% | ÷0.916 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.55% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .284 → .234; ISO .071 → .061; BABIP .271 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 43 PAwOBA .295 → .213 (−83)K% 20.9% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.93% | ÷1.013 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.30% | ÷0.970 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 5.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.98% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 4.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.981 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 18.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷0.953 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 5.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.904 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 96, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 103, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .295 → .213; ISO .056 → .039; BABIP .296 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 42 PAwOBA .263 → .195 (−68)K% 16.7% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 24.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 5.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.76% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 3.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 12.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .263 → .195; ISO .088 → .066; BABIP .207 → .162. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).