Bryson Hammer

P Spokane Indians

Age 25 LHP 6'1" / 186 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	MIX2 levels	44	0	64	1.54	2.73	22.8%	10.7%	—	K 17.0% · BB 12.5% · FIP 3.51
2025	23	MIX3 levels	38	0	45	3.77	3.36	24.5%	12.0%	—	K 16.6% · BB 15.1% · FIP 4.44
2026	24	MIX2 levels	26	20	110	4.51	3.39	23.4%	10.7%	—	K 18.2% · BB 12.1% · FIP 4.22
2027PROJ	25	MLBCOL	55	0	58	4.92	4.92	18.4%	12.3%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBCOL	40	0	42	4.82	4.80	19.3%	11.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBCOL	58	0	61	4.79	4.79	19.5%	11.6%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 93%

CompsMark Manfredi Sr. (age 24) · Luis Perez (age 26) · Nick Dombkowski (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110119vR 127

ERA4.92

FIP4.92

K%18.4%

BB%12.3%

K-BB%6.0%

Proj IP58

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	5	0	5	25	6	2	0	0%	1.1	24.0%	8.0%	16.0%	0.0%	5.06	2.09	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	5	0	5	25	6	2	0	0%	1.1	24.0%	8.0%	16.0%	0.0%	5.06	1.98	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	64	272	62	29	1	0%	1.5	17.0%	12.5%	4.5%	0.5%	1.54	3.51	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	64	272	62	29	1	0%	1.5	17.0%	12.5%	4.5%	0.5%	1.54	3.51	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	64	272	62	29	1	0%	1.5	22.8%	10.7%	12.1%	0.4%	1.54	2.73	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	45	208	51	25	3	0%	1.2	16.6%	15.1%	1.4%	1.5%	3.77	4.44	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	45	208	51	25	3	0%	1.2	16.6%	15.1%	1.4%	1.5%	3.77	4.44	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	0	45	208	51	25	3	0%	1.2	24.5%	12.0%	12.5%	1.4%	3.77	3.36	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	20	110	487	114	52	8	77%	4.2	18.2%	12.1%	6.1%	2.0%	4.51	4.22	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	20	110	487	114	52	8	77%	4.2	18.2%	12.1%	6.1%	2.0%	4.51	4.22	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	20	110	487	114	52	8	77%	4.2	23.4%	10.7%	12.7%	1.6%	4.51	3.39	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	COL	55	0	58	245	45	30	6	0%	1.1	18.4%	12.3%	6.0%	2.6%	4.92	4.92	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	94	0	99	417	81	49	11	0%	1.1	19.3%	11.8%	7.5%	2.6%	4.82	4.80	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	93	0	97	410	80	48	11	0%	1.0	19.5%	11.6%	7.9%	2.7%	4.79	4.79	-0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	COL	90	0	94	398	78	46	11	0%	1.0	19.5%	11.6%	8.0%	2.8%	4.82	4.85	-0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	COL	86	0	90	380	74	44	11	0%	1.0	19.3%	11.7%	7.6%	3.0%	4.90	4.97	-0.4
2032	30	MLB MLE	COL	81	0	85	358	68	43	11	0%	1.0	19.0%	12.0%	7.0%	3.2%	5.05	5.14	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	40	0	42	177	34	21	5	0%	1.1	19.3%	11.8%	7.5%	2.6%	4.82	4.80	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	58	0	61	258	50	30	7	0%	1.1	19.5%	11.6%	7.9%	2.7%	4.79	4.79	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	COL	68	0	71	300	59	35	8	0%	1.0	19.5%	11.6%	8.0%	2.8%	4.82	4.85	-0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	COL	70	0	73	308	60	36	9	0%	1.0	19.3%	11.7%	7.6%	3.0%	4.90	4.97	-0.3
2032	30	MLB CTX	COL	70	0	73	308	59	37	10	0%	1.0	19.0%	12.0%	7.0%	3.2%	5.05	5.14	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		305	0	320	1353	262	159	39	0%	1.1	19.3%	11.7%	7.6%	2.9%	4.88	4.55	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	99	24	0%	1.1	19.3%	11.7%	7.6%	2.9%	4.88	4.55	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		113	20	225	992	175	127	14	18%	2.0	17.7%	12.8%	4.9%	1.4%	3.53	4.02	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		101	18	200	883	156	113	13	18%	2.0	17.7%	12.8%	4.9%	1.4%	3.53	4.02	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Bryson Hammer (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.92	18.4%	12.3%	2.6%	—	4.81	19.5%	7.8%	290	-0.11	—	—	—
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	81
Luis Perez L 2011 · 4.35 FIP	26	SU	4.35	18.4%	8.8%	3.1%	.317	3.32	22.3%	13.2%	42	-1.03	3.32	173	80
Nick Dombkowski L 2024 · 4.92 FIP	25	SW	4.92	16.5%	10.9%	3.3%	.273	5.17	18.2%	10.6%	183	+0.25	3.71	425	80
Connor Oliver L 2024 · 4.34 FIP	23	SW	4.34	17.3%	12.1%	2.1%	.314	6.07	19.2%	3.4%	165	+1.73	4.34	244	80
Brad Mills L 2010 · 4.22 FIP	25	SW	4.22	18.4%	12.2%	2.0%	.273	5.37	19.8%	7.7%	18	+1.15	4.22	243	79
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	79
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	79
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	79
Paul Fry L 2017 · 4.66 FIP	25	SU	4.66	21.2%	11.7%	3.4%	.338	3.43	24.6%	14.6%	159	-1.23	1.78	560	78
Braulio Lara L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SU	3.96	16.7%	8.7%	2.1%	.367	5.20	18.9%	3.9%	67	+1.24	3.96	118	78
Kyle Hunter L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	26	SW	4.32	12.5%	11.5%	1.5%	.258	4.49	12.6%	4.6%	144	+0.17	4.32	188	78
Adam Wolf L 2022 · 3.91 FIP	25	SW	3.91	19.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.292	4.18	16.8%	5.9%	109	+0.27	3.91	383	78
Nick Maronde L 2015 · 3.85 FIP	25	SW	3.85	18.3%	8.9%	2.1%	.359	3.62	16.3%	8.9%	48	-0.23	3.62	133	77
Russell Smith L 2024 · 4.00 FIP	25	SU	4.00	19.0%	13.9%	1.4%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	175	77
Matt Tracy L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SW	3.96	14.4%	9.8%	1.5%	.306	4.10	14.7%	5.5%	208	+0.14	3.24	298	77
Michael Heesch L 2015 · 3.79 FIP	25	SU	3.79	14.0%	10.3%	1.1%	.284	4.56	11.1%	2.8%	44	+0.77	3.79	109	77
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	76
Trent Szkutnik L 2019 · 4.38 FIP	25	SU	4.38	18.4%	11.8%	2.5%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	429	76
Alec Gamboa L 2022 · 5.36 FIP	25	SW	5.36	14.8%	13.1%	3.4%	.287	3.92	16.3%	4.4%	169	-1.44	1.46	444	75
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.6	87	19.2%	11.8%	1.10	4.88
Charlie Puleo ('81-'89, 1 WAR*)	3.2	90	18.5%*	11.5%*	1.22*	4.73*
Jake Wade ('36-'46, -1 WAR*)	3.3	84	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.08*	5.03*
Ralph Hamner ('46-'49, -1 WAR*)	1.1	73	18.6%*	11.7%*	0.98*	5.21*
Steven Brault ('22)	1.8	59	18.8%	11.3%	0.97	4.73
Victor Zambrano ('07)	3.5	101	16.6%	12.7%	0.99	4.64
Jeff Juden ('99)	2.7	107	18.8%	10.5%	1.23	4.81