Clayton Gray — OGILVIE

Clayton GrayOF Fresno Grizzlies

Age 24 L/R 5'10" / 181 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION289 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP315

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 31 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT31

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	15	15	2	0	0	0	0	6	0	1	0	133	133	133	267		222	40	0	121	-32	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2025	23	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	63	48	13	1	0	0	14	14	0	3	0	271	435	292	727	21	371	22	22	348	122	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	15	15	1	0	0	0	0	8	0	1	0	67	67	67	133		198	53	0	76	-62	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	63	53	11	1	0	0	9	20	0	3	0	208	323	226	549	19	296	32	14	249	55	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	23	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	78	68	12	1	0	0	9	29	0	4	0	176	273	191	464	15	300	37	12	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	78	63	15	1	0	0	14	20	0	4	0	238	377	254	631	16	341	26	18	304	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	78	69	12	1	0	0	9	29	0	4	0	174	273	188	461	14	277	37	12	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	78	69	12	1	0	0	9	29	0	4	0	174	273	188	461	14	277	37	12	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	A MLE	COL	—	289	251	59	9	2	4	33	86	3	8	2	235	331	335	666	100	340	30	11	303	91	-3	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	ROK RAW	COL	—	20	12	5	0	1	0	6	1	1	2	0	417	632	583	1.215	167	455	5	30	508	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	A RAW	COL	—	188	155	49	9	0	3	30	44	2	4	2	316	433	432	865	116	422	23	16	392	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	A+ RAW	COL	—	81	68	15	3	2	2	13	18	0	2	0	221	346	412	757	191	271	22	16	340	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	A MLE	COL	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		299	30	10	284	79	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	A MLE	COL	—	299	260	60	9	2	4	34	89	3	8	2	231	327	327	654	96	333	30	11	302	91	-3	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	30%	251	221	50	9	2	4	26	69	2	4	1	226	313	339	653	113	299	27	10	291	83	-5	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	44%	325	286	64	11	2	6	33	88	3	6	1	224	311	339	650	115	298	27	10	295	86	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	49%	359	316	71	12	2	7	37	97	3	6	2	225	312	342	654	117	298	27	10	296	87	-6	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	COL	51%	380	335	74	13	2	7	39	102	3	7	2	221	308	334	642	113	297	27	10	296	86	-6	+1	-1	-2	+8	-0.0
2031	29	MLB MLE	COL	51%	384	339	75	13	2	7	39	104	3	6	2	221	307	333	640	112	296	27	10	294	85	-7	+0	-1	-2	+8	-0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	COL	51%	386	340	75	13	2	7	40	106	3	6	2	221	308	332	640	112	295	27	10	291	83	-8	+0	-2	-2	+8	-0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	30%	75	66	16	3	1	1	8	21	1	1	0	242	333	364	697	121	316	28	11	300	83	-1	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	44%	143	127	29	5	1	3	14	39	1	2	1	228	310	354	664	126	315	27	10	304	86	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	49%	176	154	37	7	1	4	18	47	2	3	1	240	328	377	704	136	314	27	10	305	87	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	COL	51%	196	172	40	7	1	4	20	53	2	3	1	233	320	355	674	122	314	27	10	305	86	-3	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	COL	51%	198	174	40	7	1	4	20	54	2	3	1	230	316	351	667	121	313	27	10	303	85	-3	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	COL	51%	199	175	40	7	1	4	20	55	2	3	1	229	315	349	663	120	311	28	10	300	83	-4	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	987	868	202	36	6	20	100	269	10	15	5	233	319	357	676	124	312	27	10	303	83	-17	+1	-2	-6	+21	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	133	24	4	13	66	177	7	10	3	233	320	357	677	124	312	27	10	303	83	-11	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2173	1914	422	72	12	38	224	598	17	39	10	220	308	330	638	110	298	28	10	291	83	-37	+3	-4	-13	+45	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	127	22	4	11	67	179	5	12	3	222	309	332	641	110	300	28	10	291	83	-11	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.7	1,133	20	19	221	304	334	-7	+0	0.3	0.4
/162	664	12	11	-4.0	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Clayton Gray (OGILVIE)	24	31	36	48	61	215/303/312	97	299	2	3	28%	10%	79	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A	24	41→39	42→45	46→55	56	196/304/308	112	272	9	11	28%	13%	78	-0.3	197/295/308	111	251	10	20	24%	12%	75	-0.5	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Gage Green 2017 · A	24	42	40→45	46→50	40	206/268/295	88	284	8	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	204/262/292	88	281	7	8	28%	6%	57	-1.8	172/221/235	63	228	0	0	23%	4%	30	-0.7
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	40→38	45→40	55→50	46	202/283/328	125	257	12	15	26%	8%	75	-0.5	216/303/308	92	269	8	14	21%	9%	78	-0.3	215/312/285	70	264	6	15	19%	9%	74	-0.3
✕Brian O'Grady 2016 · A	24	39→38	43→55	54→50	48	196/273/312	116	263	10	14	28%	9%	67	-1.1	193/273/316	123	270	11	13	31%	9%	68	-1.0	208/271/384	177	275	20	15	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Tanner Allen 2022 · A	24	40	42→45	44→45	43	200/253/300	100	251	9	7	24%	6%	56	-1.9	203/258/301	98	251	9	7	22%	6%	58	-1.7	200/259/296	96	246	9	7	22%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Matt Rudick 2022 · A	24	45→42	39→45	56→50	49	217/284/308	92	271	6	11	22%	8%	69	-0.9	210/297/315	105	263	8	14	22%	9%	76	-0.4	205/296/315	110	257	9	15	22%	9%	74	-0.4
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A	24	43	41→45	50→30	42	210/261/306	96	282	8	8	28%	6%	60	-1.6	213/275/308	95	322	7	3	33%	7%	65	-1.2	206/272/297	91	310	6	1	33%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/263/305	106	283	9	12	32%	6%	61	-1.5	183/253/275	92	279	7	13	35%	7%	51	-2.2	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Devin Foyle 2021 · A	24	42→39	40→45	48→45	45	200/277/295	94	297	8	12	33%	9%	64	-1.3	211/279/330	119	274	12	8	26%	8%	73	-0.6	202/274/322	119	256	12	6	25%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Jake Thomas 2017 · A	24	43	37→30	48→50	45	201/269/273	72	281	4	7	28%	8%	55	-1.9	213/302/287	74	322	3	9	31%	11%	72	-0.7	209/322/267	58	327	1	10	31%	14%	73	-0.4
✕Nick Maton 2021 · AA	24	43→42	41→50	45	44	209/271/304	95	284	8	9	28%	7%	63	-1.3	210/292/333	123	284	11	7	28%	9%	78	-0.3	208/300/350	141	261	16	4	25%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Preston Beck 2015 · A	24	43→44	42→45	48→45	49	210/286/317	107	271	9	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	215/273/320	105	269	8	7	22%	7%	68	-1.0	218/268/320	101	275	8	3	23%	5%	63	-0.9
✕Brian Conley 2010 · A	24	41→49	39→45	47→50	51	200/277/288	88	254	7	7	23%	9%	63	-1.4	223/300/325	102	288	8	13	23%	10%	80	-0.2	232/312/339	107	294	8	15	22%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Austin Murr 2023 · A	24	45→42	37→50	49→50	52	212/285/284	72	259	3	9	19%	9%	65	-1.2	209/277/326	117	261	9	11	23%	7%	72	-0.7	215/283/367	152	270	14	15	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→45	44→50	51→40	43	210/272/331	121	280	12	9	28%	7%	70	-0.8	225/283/368	143	295	17	5	29%	6%	83	+0.1	222/283/366	144	287	17	3	28%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Jonny Butler 2023 · A	24	43→33	40→50	53→55	43	205/266/301	96	298	7	10	32%	8%	61	-1.5	190/261/305	115	269	10	17	31%	8%	61	-1.5	172/251/288	116	240	10	18	31%	8%	50	-1.2
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	41	42→45	48→55	46	196/275/302	106	285	8	8	32%	9%	65	-1.2	214/296/317	103	297	10	14	29%	8%	76	-0.4	217/300/310	94	291	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Danny Payne 2010 · A	24	43→42	41→45	47→50	52	201/297/302	101	296	8	13	32%	12%	74	-0.6	194/281/311	117	302	9	17	35%	10%	70	-0.9	179/270/301	121	279	10	19	36%	10%	62	-1.1
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A	23	45	40→45	51→55	44	215/280/315	101	289	7	13	27%	7%	69	-0.9	208/260/300	92	298	6	11	30%	6%	58	-1.7	173/207/222	50	261	0	15	32%	4%	18	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps