Clayton Gray

OF Fresno Grizzlies
Age 25 L/R 5'10" / 181 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202523A/ROKCOL78.238/.377/.2540426—.162/.247/.177
202624A+/A/ROKCOL289.294/.422/.4345887—.237/.332/.345
2027PROJMLE25MLBCOL339.202/.290/.3015670-0.2
2028PROJ30% MLB26MLBCOL51.215/.302/.3331172-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Chase%95
Z-Con%94
Speed89
Whiff%86
BB%83
ISO69
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsShayne Fontana (age 25) · River Town (age 25) · Jacob Rhinesmith (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 148 proj PA
wRC+†70
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .288 / .298
PA148
HR2
K%28
BB%10
ISO99
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +3.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 36
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT32
scouting grade only
POWER36
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED48
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202523 AFresno Grizzlies — 1515 2000 060 10 133133133267 222 400 121 -64 — — — — — —
202523 ROKACL Rockies — 6348 13100 14140 30 271435292727 21371 2222 348 48 — — — — — —
202624 A+Spokane Indians — 8168 15322 13180 20 221346412757 191271 2216 340 59 — — — — — —
202624 AFresno Grizzlies — 188155 49903 30442 42 316433432865 116422 2316 392 92 — — — — — —
202624 ROKACL Rockies — 2012 5010 611 20 4176325831.215 167455 530 508 153 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202523 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 1515 1000 090 10 676767133 196 600 74 -64 — — — — — —
202523 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 6354 10100 8200 30 185290204494 19283 3213 239 48 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLESpokane Indians — 8172 13222 9240 20 181272347619 167232 3011 255 59 — — — — — —
202624 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 188165 41702 20602 42 248337327664 79376 3211 304 92 — — — — — —
202624 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 2014 5010 411 20 3575265001.026 143344 520 394 153 — — — — — —
202523 ROK MLE2 teams — 7869 12100 8290 40 174260188448 14293 3710 207 26 — — — — — —
202523 ROK RAW2 teams — 7863 15100 14200 40 238377254631 16341 2618 304 26 — — — — — —
202624 A MLE3 teams — 289251 58924 33863 82 231328331658 100333 3011 296 87 — — — — — —
202624 A RAW3 teams — 289235 691235 49633 82 294422434856 140381 2217 385 87 — — — — — —
202523 ROK MLE2 teams — 7870 12100 8290 40 171260186445 14266 3710 207 26 — — — — — —
202624 A MLE3 teams — 289251 58924 33863 82 231328331658 100333 3011 296 87 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202523 ROK MLE2 teams — 7870 12100 8290 40 171260186445 14266 3710 207 26 — — — — — —
202624 A MLE3 teams — 289251 58924 33863 82 231328331658 100333 3011 296 87 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLECOL 0% 339298 601125 35953 61 202290301591 99274 2810 272 70 -12 +1 +0 -2 +7 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLECOL 30% 170150 31613 17471 31 204292308600 104275 2810 275 72 -6 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.3
202826 MLB CTXCOL 30% 5146 10201 5140 10 215302333635 118289 2710 288 72 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 5146 10201 5140 10 217294326620 109290 2710 288 73 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650586 12725013 641780 130 217294326620 109289 2710 288 73 -21 +3 +0 -4 +14 -0.9
Career— MLE — 685601 1282149 732035 184 213303306610 93303 3011 276 73 -11 +0 +0 -2 +7 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650570 1222049 691935 174 214304311615 96304 3011 276 73 -22 +1 +0 -4 +14 -1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFresno Grizzlies · 188 PAwOBA .385 → .304 (−81)K% 23.4% → 31.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.40%÷1.000×1.360——31.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.96%÷1.000×0.690—×0.97010.68%
HBP% /PA1.06%—×0.780—×0.9700.80%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷1.000×0.920×1.024×0.97030.46%
Doubles /BIP8.11%÷1.000×0.830×1.024×0.9706.68%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.024×0.9700.00%
Home runs /BIP2.70%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9702.10%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .385 → .304; ISO .116 → .089; BABIP .422 → .376. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Spokane Indians · 81 PAwOBA .332 → .255 (−77)K% 22.2% → 30.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.22%÷1.000×1.350——30.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.05%÷1.000×0.710—×0.97811.14%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.810—×0.9780.00%
Singles /BIP16.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.005×0.97814.31%
Doubles /BIP6.00%÷1.000×0.830×1.005×0.9784.89%
Triples /BIP4.00%÷1.000×0.820×1.005×0.9783.22%
Home runs /BIP4.00%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9783.25%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .332 → .255; ISO .191 → .148; BABIP .271 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKACL Rockies · 20 PAwOBA .498 → .394 (−104)K% 5.0% → 7.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA5.00%÷1.000×1.440——7.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA30.00%÷1.000×0.620—×0.94517.58%
HBP% /PA5.00%—×0.720—×0.9453.40%
Singles /BIP36.36%÷1.000×0.820—×0.94528.18%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9450.00%
Triples /BIP9.09%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9456.19%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9450.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .498 → .394; ISO .167 → .148; BABIP .455 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Rockies · 63 PAwOBA .346 → .239 (−107)K% 22.2% → 32.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.22%÷0.993×1.440——32.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.22%÷0.987×0.620—×0.95513.34%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9550.00%
Singles /BIP35.29%÷1.021×0.820—×0.95527.07%
Doubles /BIP2.94%÷0.991×0.720—×0.9552.04%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720—×0.9550.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.970×0.780—×0.9550.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .346 → .239; ISO .021 → .015; BABIP .371 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AFresno Grizzlies · 15 PAwOBA .117 → .074 (−43)K% 40.0% → 57.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA40.00%÷0.951×1.360——57.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷1.096×0.690—×0.9800.00%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×0.9800.00%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷1.022×0.920—×0.98019.61%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.055×0.830—×0.9800.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.017×0.910—×0.9800.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.870×0.800—×0.9800.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 111, 3B 103, K 90, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .117 → .074; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .222 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).