Clayton Gray — OGILVIE

Clayton GrayOF Fresno Grizzlies

Age 24 L/R 5'10" / 181 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION164 act + 109 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .305 / .304

PA109

HR2

K%30

BB%11

BABIP293

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT32

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE66

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	ROK	2 teams	—	78	68	12	1	0	0	9	29	0	4	0	176	273	191	464	15	300	37	12	212	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK	2 teams	—	78	63	15	1	0	0	14	20	0	4	0	238	377	254	631	16	341	26	18	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A	COL	—	164	140	37	6	0	3	21	51	2	4	2	264	368	371	740	107	391	31	13	327	108	+2	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.5
YTD	24	A	COL	—	164	132	42	8	0	3	29	38	2	4	2	318	448	447	895	129	424	23	18	404	167	+12	+0	+0	-1	+5	1.6
ROS	24	A	COL	0%	109	95	20	3	0	2	12	33	1	2	1	210	305	304	609	94	305	30	11	284	75	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
ROS	24	MLB	COL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		328	—	—	294	83	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	24	A	COL	—	164	141	37	6	0	3	21	51	2	4	2	262	368	369	737	106	386	31	13	327	108	+2	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.5
TOT	24	A	COL	—	273	235	57	9	0	5	33	84	3	6	3	242	343	344	687	102	351	31	12	310	95	-1	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	COL	30%	235	207	46	8	1	4	24	69	2	4	1	222	309	329	638	106	304	29	10	288	79	-6	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.0
2028	26	MLB	COL	44%	313	275	61	11	1	6	32	90	3	6	2	222	310	335	644	113	303	29	10	291	81	-7	+0	+0	-2	+9	0.1
2029	27	MLB	COL	49%	351	309	69	12	1	7	36	100	3	6	2	223	310	337	647	113	302	28	10	293	82	-7	+0	+0	-2	+10	0.1
2030	28	MLB	COL	51%	374	328	73	13	1	7	39	107	4	7	2	223	313	332	645	110	301	29	10	293	82	-8	+1	-1	-2	+11	0.1
2027	25	MLB	COL	30%	71	63	14	3	0	1	7	21	1	1	0	222	310	317	627	95	326	30	10	299	87	-1	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.1
2028	26	MLB	COL	44%	138	122	29	5	1	3	14	40	1	2	1	238	321	369	690	131	325	29	10	303	90	-2	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.2
2029	27	MLB	COL	49%	172	150	37	7	1	4	18	49	2	3	1	247	335	387	722	140	325	28	10	305	91	-2	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.2
2030	28	MLB	COL	51%	193	169	40	7	1	4	20	55	2	3	1	237	325	361	686	124	324	28	10	304	91	-2	+0	-0	-1	+5	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	574	505	120	22	3	12	59	165	6	9	3	238	325	364	689	127	326	29	10	303	90	-6	+1	-0	-3	+16	0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	136	25	3	14	67	187	7	10	3	238	326	365	691	128	326	29	10	303	90	-7	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	1460	1282	281	48	4	26	152	428	13	29	8	219	308	324	632	104	305	29	10	287	78	-37	+3	-1	-9	+41	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	125	21	2	12	68	191	6	13	4	219	309	326	635	107	304	29	10	287	78	-16	+1	-0	-4	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	15	15	2	0	0	0	0	6	0	1	0	133	133	133	267		222	40	0	121	-49	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2025	23	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	63	48	13	1	0	0	14	14	0	3	0	271	435	292	727	21	371	22	22	348	124	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	710	12	13	217	301	324	-4	+0	-0.2	-0.0
	/162	664	12	12	217	301	324	-4.0	+0.0	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Clayton Gray (OGILVIE)	24	32	36	49	66	242/343/344	102	351	5	6	31%	12%	95	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	39→36	44→40	55→50	44	196/275/315	119	256	11	15	27%	7%	64	-0.8	212/300/304	92	266	8	14	22%	9%	72	-0.2	211/311/283	71	261	6	15	19%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Devin Foyle 2021 · A	24	42→36	40→45	48→45	45	201/279/294	93	296	8	12	32%	9%	60	-1.0	209/277/348	139	270	16	8	28%	8%	73	-0.1	196/269/342	145	244	18	6	27%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A	24	40→39	42→50	46→55	56	195/303/310	115	269	9	11	28%	13%	76	+0.0	199/299/319	120	254	11	20	24%	12%	76	+0.0	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	39→29	42→45	51→60	39	193/259/298	104	285	9	12	34%	6%	53	-1.5	180/251/274	94	284	8	13	37%	7%	44	-2.1	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Gage Green 2017 · A	24	43	40→45	46→50	40	208/269/298	90	288	9	10	30%	6%	56	-1.3	205/262/294	89	283	7	8	29%	6%	53	-1.5	175/222/236	62	232	0	0	23%	4%	22	-0.7
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	193/273/296	103	282	8	8	32%	9%	58	-1.2	214/297/319	105	298	10	14	29%	9%	75	-0.0	219/304/318	98	295	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Tanner Allen 2022 · A	24	40	42→50	44→45	43	202/256/306	104	251	10	7	24%	6%	53	-1.5	204/260/310	106	250	10	7	22%	6%	56	-1.3	201/260/306	105	244	11	7	22%	6%	50	-0.8
✕Matt Rudick 2022 · A	24	45→44	39→45	56→50	49	215/284/308	92	270	6	11	22%	8%	66	-0.6	212/297/327	115	264	10	14	22%	9%	77	+0.1	206/302/338	132	254	15	16	24%	10%	78	+0.1
✕Jake Thomas 2017 · A	24	42	37→30	49→50	44	197/266/269	72	280	4	7	29%	8%	48	-1.9	212/297/284	72	324	3	9	31%	10%	65	-0.7	209/316/264	56	329	1	10	32%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Brian O'Grady 2016 · A	24	39→37	43→60	54→50	48	193/272/304	111	262	10	14	29%	9%	60	-1.0	191/270/313	122	269	12	13	31%	9%	62	-0.9	207/269/398	192	270	24	15	32%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Preston Beck 2015 · A	24	42→44	42→45	48→45	49	207/286/315	108	269	9	8	26%	9%	69	-0.4	212/271/319	107	265	9	7	22%	7%	63	-0.9	214/263/314	100	274	9	3	24%	5%	55	-0.9
✕Quincy Hamilton 2022 · A	24	46→44	40→50	51→50	46	220/295/307	87	301	7	15	28%	8%	70	-0.3	219/300/362	143	286	16	14	28%	9%	87	+0.8	207/292/361	154	264	18	14	28%	9%	80	+0.3
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Austin Davidson 2018 · A	25	43→40	40→45	45	45	209/273/307	97	268	7	7	24%	7%	60	-1.0	221/281/340	119	280	10	6	24%	7%	72	-0.2	221/283/352	131	272	12	3	22%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A	24	43	41→45	50→30	42	210/261/306	96	282	8	8	28%	6%	55	-1.4	214/275/307	93	325	6	3	33%	7%	61	-1.0	207/272/296	89	313	6	1	33%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Jonny Butler 2023 · A	24	43→31	41→45	53→55	43	207/268/306	98	300	8	10	32%	8%	57	-1.2	185/257/298	113	267	10	17	32%	8%	53	-1.5	165/245/279	113	234	10	18	32%	8%	39	-1.3
✕Nolan Fontana 2014 · A	23	42→43	39→40	52→50	58	198/312/287	89	285	6	14	30%	14%	73	-0.1	204/300/291	87	305	4	9	30%	12%	69	-0.4	184/288/308	124	252	11	12	29%	12%	68	-0.2
●Trei Cruz 2022 · A	24	36→46	39→45	52→50	52	171/280/262	92	279	6	14	37%	13%	54	-1.4	188/268/301	113	284	11	11	34%	10%	57	-1.2	223/300/348	125	306	12	10	29%	9%	81	+0.3
✕Nick Maton 2021 · AA	24	42	41→50	45	44	206/270/300	94	283	8	9	29%	8%	57	-1.2	211/291/339	128	285	12	7	28%	9%	77	+0.1	215/306/369	154	265	18	4	25%	10%	89	+0.6