Alan EspinalC
Spokane Indians
Age 24
R/R
6'0" / 214 lbs
A+
H +10%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.4 · 2029
wRC+†41
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .248 / .298
PA204
HR4
K%34
BB%6
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
30→30
SPD
45→45
EYE
37↘25
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | -$0.5M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $-2M | -$6M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | INTL | Gigantes de Carolina | 29 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .222 | .276 | .259 | .535 | .037 | .353 | 34 | 3 | — | — | — | — | +0 | +1 | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | 2 teams | 278 | 254 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 125 | 6 | 7 | 3 | .138 | .195 | .209 | .404 | .071 | .242 | 45 | 4 | .179 | -5 | -33 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +8 | -2.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 47 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .186 | .255 | .326 | .581 | .140 | .467 | 57 | 9 | .204 | 14 | -5 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | COL | 157 | 144 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 57 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .194 | .256 | .306 | .562 | .111 | .289 | 36 | 6 | .250 | 49 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.2 |
| TOT | 24 | MLB | COL | 204 | 187 | 36 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 84 | 2 | 2 | 2 | .193 | .256 | .310 | .566 | .118 | .320 | 41 | 7 | .239 | 41 | -14 | -0 | +0 | +4 | +6 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 10% | COL | 254 | 231 | 47 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 75 | 3 | 4 | 2 | .203 | .270 | .320 | .590 | .117 | .273 | 30 | 7 | .267 | 62 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 25% | COL | 325 | 294 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 94 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .207 | .276 | .330 | .606 | .122 | .275 | 29 | 7 | .273 | 67 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 43% | COL | 362 | 328 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 104 | 4 | 6 | 2 | .207 | .276 | .329 | .605 | .122 | .276 | 29 | 7 | .275 | 69 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 52% | COL | 383 | 347 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 111 | 4 | 6 | 2 | .207 | .276 | .334 | .611 | .127 | .276 | 29 | 8 | .275 | 69 | -13 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 63% | COL | 389 | 352 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 113 | 4 | 6 | 2 | .207 | .277 | .332 | .610 | .125 | .275 | 29 | 8 | .273 | 67 | -14 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 73% | COL | 391 | 354 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 115 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .203 | .273 | .319 | .592 | .116 | .274 | 29 | 8 | .270 | 65 | -15 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 81% | COL | 371 | 335 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 111 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .203 | .274 | .322 | .597 | .119 | .272 | 30 | 8 | .266 | 62 | -16 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | COL | 345 | 313 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 105 | 3 | 4 | 2 | .198 | .266 | .313 | .579 | .115 | .271 | 30 | 8 | .262 | 59 | -16 | +0 | -4 | +6 | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | COL | 308 | 279 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 96 | 3 | 3 | 2 | .194 | .262 | .305 | .567 | .111 | .269 | 31 | 7 | .257 | 54 | -16 | -0 | -4 | +6 | +9 | -0.6 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | COL | 261 | 237 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 83 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .190 | .259 | .295 | .554 | .105 | .267 | 32 | 8 | .250 | 50 | -15 | +0 | -5 | +5 | +7 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3853 | 3495 | 691 | 122 | 20 | 79 | 279 | 1199 | 44 | 57 | 23 | .198 | .266 | .312 | .577 | .114 | .273 | 31 | 7 | .258 | 56 | -192 | +2 | -20 | +69 | +109 | -3.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 590 | 116 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 47 | 202 | 7 | 10 | 4 | .197 | .264 | .308 | .572 | .112 | .272 | 31 | 7 | .258 | 56 | -32 | +0 | -3 | +12 | +18 | -0.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | INTL | Gigantes de Carolina | 29 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .222 | .276 | .259 | .535 | .037 | .353 | 34 | 3 | .250 | 49 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 257 | 229 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 83 | 6 | 7 | 3 | .183 | .258 | .271 | .529 | .087 | .262 | 32 | 7 | .241 | 43 | -17 | +0 | — | — | +7 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 23 | INTL | Criollos de Caguas | 21 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .053 | .100 | .105 | .205 | .053 | .091 | 38 | 5 | .094 | -70 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Alan Espinal (OGILVIE) | 24 | 20 | 30 | 45 | 25 | .190/.248/.298 | .107 | .278 | 4 | 3 | 34% | 6% | 48 | -0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A |
24 | 37 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 44 | .183/.260/.264 | .081 | .271 | 8 | 14 | 33% | 9% | 45 | -2.1 | .205/.286/.296 | .091 | .292 | 7 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.301/.305 | .094 | .293 | 5 | 13 | 27% | 10% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Rylan Sandoval 2012 · A |
24 | 39 | 40 | 45 | 37 | .190/.256/.282 | .091 | .284 | 8 | 5 | 34% | 5% | 47 | -1.9 | .206/.258/.300 | .094 | .302 | 8 | 6 | 33% | 5% | 52 | -1.6 | .213/.261/.298 | .086 | .310 | 7 | 6 | 32% | 5% | 48 | -0.7 |
|
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A |
24 | 37→35 | 43→45 | 49→55 | 37 | .190/.236/.299 | .109 | .254 | 11 | 9 | 30% | 4% | 43 | -2.2 | .194/.260/.318 | .124 | .282 | 14 | 15 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .230/.309/.359 | .129 | .323 | 13 | 18 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.4 |
|
✕Xorge Carrillo 2013 · A |
24 | 42 | 43→40 | 50→30 | 41 | .211/.258/.321 | .110 | .276 | 11 | 8 | 28% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .240/.292/.325 | .085 | .299 | 7 | 4 | 21% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .242/.299/.328 | .086 | .289 | 8 | 1 | 18% | 5% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Payton Henry 2021 · A |
24 | 39→31 | 43→45 | 42→30 | 32 | .188/.252/.291 | .103 | .318 | 11 | 3 | 42% | 5% | 48 | -1.9 | .221/.284/.326 | .105 | .332 | 11 | 3 | 35% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .246/.293/.382 | .135 | .322 | 19 | 1 | 29% | 4% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A |
24 | 35 | 44→45 | 51→40 | 35 | .177/.247/.290 | .113 | .289 | 12 | 7 | 41% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .195/.252/.305 | .110 | .307 | 10 | 5 | 38% | 5% | 52 | -1.6 | .196/.250/.311 | .115 | .294 | 10 | 0 | 35% | 4% | 49 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A |
24 | 37→39 | 46→45 | 43→45 | 37 | .192/.258/.321 | .130 | .283 | 14 | 3 | 36% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .202/.276/.318 | .116 | .274 | 12 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .195/.276/.303 | .107 | .255 | 12 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 60 | -0.7 |
|
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A |
24 | 33→40 | 43→45 | 47→45 | 44 | .172/.252/.279 | .107 | .245 | 11 | 6 | 33% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .191/.275/.301 | .110 | .267 | 11 | 5 | 30% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .177/.269/.279 | .102 | .246 | 10 | 3 | 30% | 10% | 50 | -0.8 |
|
✕Juan Uriarte 2021 · A |
23 | 38 | 41→45 | 48→30 | 32 | .190/.229/.285 | .095 | .284 | 9 | 6 | 36% | 4% | 36 | -2.7 | .195/.244/.278 | .083 | .290 | 6 | 6 | 33% | 4% | 40 | -2.4 | .151/.199/.200 | .049 | .234 | 0 | 0 | 33% | 2% | -2 | -1.2 |
|
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA |
24 | 38 | 43→50 | 49→40 | 38 | .190/.248/.301 | .111 | .281 | 11 | 5 | 35% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .209/.266/.343 | .134 | .276 | 14 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .206/.268/.347 | .141 | .262 | 15 | 2 | 27% | 6% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Cadyn Grenier 2021 · A |
24 | 40→37 | 41→40 | 48→50 | 38 | .191/.256/.294 | .103 | .311 | 8 | 7 | 39% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .191/.271/.289 | .098 | .300 | 8 | 12 | 36% | 9% | 56 | -1.3 | .176/.264/.267 | .091 | .272 | 8 | 13 | 35% | 9% | 45 | -1.5 |
|
✕Tyler Grimes 2013 · A |
23 | 38 | 42→40 | 47→40 | 41 | .187/.266/.294 | .107 | .282 | 9 | 8 | 35% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .206/.282/.301 | .095 | .307 | 7 | 5 | 33% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .207/.285/.293 | .087 | .311 | 6 | 2 | 32% | 7% | 60 | -0.6 |
|
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA |
24 | 37→29 | 42→45 | 48→50 | 42 | .191/.254/.286 | .095 | .257 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .192/.267/.310 | .118 | .259 | 14 | 15 | 30% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .186/.266/.299 | .113 | .246 | 14 | 14 | 29% | 9% | 54 | -0.9 |
|
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2022 · A |
24 | 37→44 | 42→45 | 42→50 | 40 | .183/.254/.294 | .110 | .274 | 9 | 8 | 35% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .203/.278/.295 | .092 | .278 | 9 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .202/.282/.286 | .084 | .266 | 9 | 14 | 26% | 8% | 57 | -0.7 |
|
✕Alejandro Torres 2012 · A |
23 | 38 | 37→40 | 45→40 | 35 | .185/.221/.256 | .071 | .265 | 5 | 5 | 32% | 4% | 24 | -3.6 | .204/.259/.277 | .073 | .307 | 4 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .207/.273/.237 | .030 | .325 | 0 | 0 | 33% | 7% | 41 | -0.4 |
|
✕Mat Nelson 2023 · A |
24 | 40→31 | 42→45 | 47→40 | 35 | .187/.255/.287 | .100 | .316 | 10 | 5 | 41% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .185/.267/.304 | .119 | .267 | 15 | 5 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .173/.265/.293 | .120 | .233 | 17 | 3 | 32% | 8% | 53 | -0.9 |
|
✕D' Vontrey Richardson 2011 · A |
23 | 42→40 | 40 | 45→50 | 38 | .200/.260/.298 | .098 | .310 | 7 | 10 | 36% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .230/.277/.322 | .092 | .327 | 5 | 11 | 29% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | .249/.288/.338 | .090 | .325 | 5 | 16 | 24% | 4% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A |
23 | 36 | 40→45 | 52→50 | 36 | .183/.218/.281 | .098 | .255 | 7 | 9 | 31% | 4% | 30 | -3.1 | .212/.258/.297 | .085 | .293 | 5 | 9 | 28% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .233/.289/.308 | .075 | .313 | 4 | 8 | 25% | 7% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Chad Stevens 2023 · A |
24 | 35→45 | 44→45 | 47→50 | 34 | .178/.233/.285 | .107 | .296 | 12 | 11 | 42% | 6% | 38 | -2.6 | .188/.255/.307 | .119 | .307 | 12 | 15 | 40% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .192/.262/.316 | .124 | .298 | 13 | 16 | 37% | 7% | 56 | -1.1 |
|
✕Johnny Adams 2019 · A |
24 | 38→34 | 42→40 | 46→45 | 39 | .191/.244/.289 | .097 | .273 | 10 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .180/.232/.271 | .091 | .274 | 9 | 7 | 36% | 6% | 33 | -2.9 | .149/.202/.224 | .075 | .230 | 9 | 5 | 38% | 5% | 6 | -3.5 |