Alan Espinal
C Spokane Indians| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | INTLGigantes de C… | 29 | .222/.276/.259 | 0 | 1 | 55 | — | |
| 2025 | 23 | A/INTL2 orgs | 278 | .173/.246/.258 | 4 | 7 | -3 | — | .132/.190/.191 |
| 2026 | 24 | A+COL | 341 | .236/.340/.377 | 8 | 9 | 45 | — | .167/.249/.262 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBCOL | 1 | .194/.261/.300 | 0 | 0 | 50 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 26 | MLBCOL | 62 | .198/.265/.310 | 1 | 1 | 54 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | INTL | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 29 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 276 | 259 | 535 | 37 | 353 | 34 | 3 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 257 | 229 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 83 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 183 | 258 | 271 | 529 | 87 | 262 | 32 | 7 | 241 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | INTL | Criollos de Caguas | — | 21 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 100 | 105 | 205 | 53 | 91 | 38 | 5 | 94 | -50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 341 | 292 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 102 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 236 | 340 | 377 | 717 | 140 | 330 | 30 | 13 | 324 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 23 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 257 | 235 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 119 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 132 | 190 | 191 | 382 | 60 | 227 | 46 | 4 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 341 | 305 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 138 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 167 | 249 | 262 | 511 | 95 | 273 | 40 | 9 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | INTL MLE | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 29 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 276 | 259 | 535 | 37 | 353 | 34 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | INTL RAW | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 29 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 276 | 259 | 535 | 37 | 353 | 34 | 3 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 278 | 255 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 128 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 129 | 184 | 188 | 372 | 59 | 236 | 46 | 4 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 278 | 248 | 43 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 91 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 173 | 246 | 258 | 504 | 85 | 250 | 33 | 6 | 230 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 341 | 305 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 138 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 167 | 249 | 262 | 511 | 95 | 274 | 40 | 9 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ RAW | Spokane Indians | — | 341 | 292 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 102 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 236 | 340 | 377 | 717 | 140 | 330 | 30 | 13 | 324 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 278 | 259 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 128 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 127 | 184 | 185 | 369 | 58 | 227 | 46 | 4 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 341 | 305 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 138 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 167 | 249 | 262 | 511 | 95 | 273 | 40 | 9 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 278 | 259 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 128 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 127 | 184 | 185 | 369 | 58 | 227 | 46 | 4 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 341 | 305 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 138 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 167 | 249 | 262 | 511 | 95 | 273 | 40 | 9 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | COL | 0% | 380 | 346 | 65 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 121 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 184 | 252 | 279 | 530 | 94 | 262 | 32 | 7 | 242 | 50 | -23 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +8 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | COL | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 261 | 300 | 560 | 106 | 275 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 50 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | COL | 30% | 205 | 186 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 64 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 188 | 256 | 288 | 544 | 100 | 264 | 31 | 7 | 248 | 54 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | COL | 30% | 62 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 198 | 265 | 310 | 575 | 112 | 276 | 31 | 8 | 260 | 54 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 62 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 179 | 258 | 268 | 526 | 89 | 250 | 31 | 8 | 260 | 31 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 587 | 104 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 52 | 199 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 177 | 255 | 264 | 519 | 87 | 249 | 31 | 8 | 260 | 31 | -36 | +2 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1034 | 937 | 156 | 29 | 3 | 15 | 70 | 398 | 14 | 23 | 11 | 166 | 235 | 252 | 487 | 85 | 265 | 38 | 7 | 214 | 31 | -22 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +8 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 589 | 98 | 18 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 250 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 166 | 235 | 250 | 485 | 83 | 266 | 38 | 7 | 214 | 31 | -37 | +1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Spokane Indians · 341 PAwOBA .319 → .234 (−85)K% 29.9% → 40.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.91% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 40.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 8.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 20.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 5.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 3.45% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .319 → .234; ISO .140 → .101; BABIP .330 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AFresno Grizzlies · 257 PAwOBA .238 → .170 (−68)K% 32.3% → 46.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.30% | ÷0.951 | ×1.360 | — | — | 46.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.61% | ÷1.096 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 4.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.33% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.55% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×0.990 | 18.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.48% | ÷1.055 | ×0.830 | ×1.003 | ×0.990 | 4.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.910 | ×1.003 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.74% | ÷0.870 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 2.49% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 111, 3B 103, K 90, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .238 → .170; ISO .087 → .063; BABIP .262 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .