Cade Austin

P Beloit Sky Carp

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 230 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	ANYY	37	1	53	3.08	3.54	25.1%	10.6%	—	K 18.6% · BB 12.5% · FIP 4.98
2026	24	A+MIA	7	1	12	3.09	5.24	26.5%	8.2%	—	K 26.5% · BB 8.2% · FIP 5.25
2027PROJ	25	MLBMIA	67	0	70	5.19	5.19	18.6%	12.6%	-0.5
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBMIA	29	0	30	5.09	5.08	19.2%	12.2%	-0.2
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBMIA	41	0	43	5.05	5.06	19.6%	12.1%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control40Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsNolan Riggs (age 25) · Chase Plymell (age 25) · Rhiner Cruz (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.19

FIP5.19

K%18.6%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%6.0%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	26	1	46	189	50	14	7	4%	1.8	19.6%	8.7%	10.8%	4.9%	3.69	5.25	—
2024	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	26	1	46	189	50	14	7	4%	1.8	19.6%	8.7%	10.8%	4.9%	3.69	5.25	—
2024	22	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	26	1	46	189	50	14	7	4%	1.8	26.5%	7.4%	19.0%	3.7%	3.69	3.81	—
2025	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	37	1	53	227	57	24	5	3%	1.4	18.6%	12.5%	6.1%	3.4%	3.08	4.98	—
2025	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	37	1	53	227	57	24	5	3%	1.4	18.6%	12.5%	6.1%	3.4%	3.08	4.98	—
2025	23	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	37	1	53	227	57	24	5	3%	1.4	25.1%	10.6%	14.5%	2.2%	3.08	3.54	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	7	1	12	49	13	4	3	14%	1.7	26.5%	8.2%	18.4%	6.1%	3.09	5.25	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	7	1	12	49	13	4	3	14%	1.7	26.5%	8.2%	18.4%	6.1%	3.09	5.25	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	7	1	12	49	13	4	3	14%	1.7	26.5%	8.2%	18.4%	6.1%	3.09	5.24	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	MIA	67	0	70	296	55	37	9	0%	1.0	18.6%	12.6%	6.0%	3.1%	5.19	5.19	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIA	67	0	70	296	57	36	9	0%	1.0	19.2%	12.2%	7.0%	3.0%	5.09	5.08	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIA	66	0	69	291	57	35	9	0%	1.0	19.6%	12.1%	7.5%	3.1%	5.05	5.06	-0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIA	64	0	67	282	55	34	9	0%	1.0	19.6%	12.1%	7.5%	3.2%	5.07	5.10	-0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	MIA	61	0	64	270	53	33	9	0%	1.0	19.5%	12.2%	7.2%	3.3%	5.15	5.22	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIA	29	0	30	127	24	15	4	0%	1.0	19.2%	12.2%	7.0%	3.0%	5.09	5.08	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIA	41	0	43	182	35	22	6	0%	1.0	19.6%	12.1%	7.5%	3.1%	5.05	5.06	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIA	48	0	50	211	41	26	7	0%	1.0	19.6%	12.1%	7.5%	3.2%	5.07	5.10	-0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	MIA	50	0	52	220	43	27	7	0%	1.0	19.5%	12.2%	7.2%	3.3%	5.15	5.22	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		167	0	176	742	145	90	24	0%	1.1	19.5%	12.1%	7.4%	3.2%	5.09	4.74	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	165	102	27	0%	1.1	19.5%	12.1%	7.4%	3.2%	5.09	4.74	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		70	3	111	465	92	49	20	4%	1.6	19.8%	10.5%	9.3%	4.3%	3.33	5.12	-1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		127	5	200	840	167	88	36	4%	1.6	19.8%	10.5%	9.3%	4.3%	3.33	5.12	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cade Austin (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.19	18.6%	12.6%	3.1%	—	5.08	19.5%	7.3%	206	-0.11	—	—	—
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	90
Chase Plymell R 2023 · 4.23 FIP	25	SU	4.23	19.2%	13.0%	2.0%	.330	4.49	14.0%	6.3%	162	+0.26	3.81	291	89
Rhiner Cruz R 2012 · 4.80 FIP	25	SU	4.80	18.2%	11.5%	3.2%	.335	4.81	10.2%	-1.0%	21	+0.01	3.21	127	89
Vinnie Chulk R 2004 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	17.7%	10.5%	2.4%	.308	3.95	16.9%	9.6%	171	-0.31	2.97	271	88
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	88
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	88
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	88
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	88
D.J. Carrasco R 2003 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	16.1%	10.1%	2.2%	.291	4.66	10.5%	1.4%	150	+0.39	3.23	490	87
Ryan Ledbetter R 2016 · 4.76 FIP	24	SU	4.76	18.5%	12.3%	3.0%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	4.76	124	87
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	87
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	86
Scott Oberg R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	17.0%	11.2%	3.4%	.273	2.92	22.8%	15.6%	188	-2.04	2.54	302	86
Confesor Lara R 2016 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	16.4%	11.0%	2.1%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	111	86
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	86
Morgan McSweeney R 2023 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.1%	12.6%	3.7%	.256	3.56	16.9%	9.7%	85	-1.57	3.20	213	85
Matt Lollis R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	25	SU	4.95	19.2%	14.5%	3.0%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	85
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	85
Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2023 · 4.59 FIP	25	SU	4.59	15.1%	10.4%	2.6%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	218	85
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	85

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	19.3%	12.2%	1.22	5.11
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*