Justice Bigbie

OF Erie SeaWolves

Age 28 R/R 6'2" / 200 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	26	AADET	452	.283/.362/.414	12	1	87	—	.261/.317/.357
2026	27	AAADET	129	.252/.328/.313	1	1	60	—	.244/.297/.303
2026	27	AADET	378	.331/.413/.456	7	8	118	—	.311/.373/.408
2027PROJ2% MLB	28	MLBDET	5	.257/.317/.345	0	0	92	0.0
2028PROJ28% MLB	29	MLBDET	135	.254/.315/.342	2	1	90	-0.0
2029PROJ43% MLB	30	MLBDET	148	.250/.311/.337	2	1	88	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Whiff%94

K%93

Z-Con%93

Max EV70

Chase%60

BB%45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJantzen Witte (age 28) · Taylor Davis (age 28) · Ray Chang (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.257 / .317 / .345

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%7

BABIP309

ISO88

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	ROK	FCL Tigers West	—	118	99	25	4	1	2	17	25	1	0	0	253	368	374	741	121	315	21	14	337	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	34	31	12	4	0	1	2	6	1	0	1	387	441	613	1.054	226	458	18	6	461	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	372	330	85	17	5	2	28	89	13	4	2	258	340	358	697	100	346	24	8	318	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	58	51	14	3	0	1	5	15	1	0	0	275	351	392	743	118	361	26	9	331	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	272	243	88	13	0	12	22	34	4	5	1	362	422	564	986	202	382	12	8	430	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	155	138	46	9	1	6	15	28	1	1	1	333	403	543	946	210	381	18	10	413	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	83	72	21	3	0	1	10	10	0	2	2	292	378	375	753	83	323	12	12	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	558	488	121	26	2	4	60	104	5	8	5	248	336	334	670	86	304	19	11	306	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	452	399	113	16	0	12	47	69	2	1	2	283	362	414	775	130	314	15	10	347	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	129	115	29	4	0	1	13	15	0	1	1	252	328	313	641	61	283	12	10	295	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	378	329	109	18	1	7	39	60	7	8	3	331	413	456	869	125	385	16	10	388	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers West	—	118	107	21	3	1	2	9	36	1	0	0	196	265	299	564	103	255	31	8	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	34	32	11	4	0	1	1	8	1	0	1	344	382	562	945	219	413	24	3	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	372	339	70	13	4	1	19	123	13	4	2	206	275	277	552	71	315	33	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	58	52	13	2	0	1	4	18	1	0	0	250	316	346	662	96	341	31	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	272	251	86	13	0	9	15	44	4	5	1	343	389	502	891	159	381	16	6	383	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	155	143	40	7	1	5	10	35	1	1	1	280	331	448	779	168	333	23	6	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	558	506	110	23	2	4	42	122	5	8	5	217	284	294	578	77	272	22	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	452	414	108	13	0	9	32	81	2	1	2	261	317	357	674	97	297	18	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	129	119	29	4	0	1	9	18	0	1	1	244	297	303	599	59	272	14	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	378	341	106	16	1	5	27	73	7	8	3	311	373	408	781	97	373	19	7	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers West	—	118	107	21	3	1	2	9	36	1	0	0	196	265	299	564	103	271	31	8	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers West	—	118	99	25	4	1	2	17	25	1	0	0	253	368	374	741	121	315	21	14	337	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	406	370	81	17	4	2	21	131	14	4	3	219	286	303	589	84	332	32	5	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	406	361	97	21	5	3	30	95	14	4	3	269	348	380	728	111	356	23	7	330	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	4 teams	—	568	524	164	26	1	18	33	114	6	8	4	313	361	469	830	156	368	20	6	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	4 teams	—	568	504	169	28	1	20	52	87	6	8	4	335	403	514	917	179	371	15	9	402	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	558	506	110	23	2	4	42	122	5	8	5	217	284	294	578	77	275	22	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	—	558	488	121	26	2	4	60	104	5	8	5	248	336	334	670	86	304	19	11	306	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	452	414	108	13	0	9	32	81	2	1	2	261	317	357	674	97	302	18	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	—	452	399	113	16	0	12	47	69	2	1	2	283	362	414	775	130	314	15	10	347	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	507	460	135	20	1	6	36	91	7	9	4	293	354	380	734	87	352	18	7	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	507	444	138	22	1	8	52	75	7	9	4	311	392	419	811	108	357	15	10	364	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers West	—	118	107	21	3	1	2	9	36	1	0	0	196	265	299	564	103	255	31	8	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	406	368	81	17	4	2	21	131	14	4	3	220	286	304	591	84	323	32	5	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	4 teams	—	568	524	164	26	1	18	33	114	6	8	4	313	361	469	830	156	361	20	6	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	558	506	110	23	2	4	42	122	5	8	5	217	284	294	578	77	272	22	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	452	415	108	13	0	9	32	81	2	1	2	260	317	357	674	96	297	18	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	507	459	135	20	1	6	36	91	7	9	4	294	354	381	735	87	347	18	7	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	558	506	110	23	2	4	42	122	5	8	5	217	284	294	578	77	272	22	8	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	452	415	108	13	0	9	32	81	2	1	2	260	317	357	674	96	297	18	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	507	459	135	20	1	6	36	91	7	9	4	294	354	381	735	87	347	18	7	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	DET	2%	380	347	90	14	1	5	27	73	3	4	2	261	321	352	674	91	314	19	7	304	92	-4	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	DET	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	257	317	345	663	88	309	20	0	299	92	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	DET	28%	481	439	114	18	1	7	35	94	4	4	2	258	318	349	667	91	312	20	7	301	90	-6	+0	-1	-3	+10	0.0
2029	30	MLB MLE	DET	43%	343	312	81	13	1	5	25	69	3	1	1	254	315	344	659	90	309	20	7	298	88	-5	-0	-2	-2	+7	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	DET	28%	135	123	31	5	0	2	10	26	1	1	1	254	315	342	656	88	307	19	7	297	90	-2	-0	-0	-1	+3	-0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	DET	43%	148	135	33	5	0	2	11	30	1	1	1	250	311	337	648	87	304	20	7	293	88	-2	-0	-1	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	283	258	64	10	0	4	21	56	2	2	2	248	310	333	643	85	300	20	7	295	88	-4	-0	-1	-2	+6	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	147	23	0	9	48	129	5	5	5	248	310	332	642	84	300	20	7	295	88	-9	-1	-3	-4	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3683	3360	873	142	12	56	251	786	44	38	22	260	320	359	679	99	321	21	7	299	88	-13	+0	-3	-6	+23	0.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	154	25	2	10	44	139	8	7	4	260	319	359	679	99	321	21	7	299	88	-8	+0	-2	-4	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	3.4	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
/162	664	15	9	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
#2Buster Mills'34-'46 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,546 PA	2.3	1,546	14	23	261*	324*	390*	-12	+4	2.4	2.4
/162	664	6	10	-4.9	+1.5	1.0	pk7: 2
#3Jim Holt'68-'76 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,735 PA	2.6	1,735	19	8	268*	307*	390*	-17	+12	1.2	1.9
/162	664	7	3	-6.4	+4.6	0.5	pk7: 2
#4So Taguchi'02-'09 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,524 PA	2.3	1,524	19	39	268*	320*	372*	-8	-8	0.9	1.2
/162	664	8	17	-3.7	-3.3	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Alex Presley'10-'17 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,502 PA	2.3	1,502	29	30	265*	309*	397*	-12	-10	0.6	0.9
/162	664	13	13	-5.3	-4.6	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	288	4	2	257	314	348	-2	+0	0.2	0.2
/162	664	9	4	-4.0	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 0
#6Jolbert Cabrera'98-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	18	38	247*	295*	354*	-3	-9	-1.1	-0.7
/162	664	8	16	-1.4	-4.0	-0.5	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justice Bigbie (OGILVIE)	28	55	40	40	45	259/319/349	90	314	3	3	19%	7%	92	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jantzen Witte 2018 · AAA	28	50→54	39→45	43→45	48	239/300/332	92	292	6	7	20%	7%	80	-0.1	232/285/339	107	307	10	8	26%	6%	76	-0.4	240/289/356	116	307	13	6	25%	6%	79	-0.2
✕Taylor Davis 2018 · AAA	28	52→53	42→45	40	50	250/300/357	108	281	8	3	14%	7%	86	+0.3	228/284/316	88	271	8	3	18%	7%	71	-0.8	209/274/265	56	248	6	0	18%	8%	54	-0.7
✕Ray Chang 2012 · AAA	28	52→55	40	41→40	47	246/299/340	94	287	7	3	16%	6%	82	-0.0	225/270/291	66	269	4	4	17%	5%	59	-1.6	235/281/299	64	283	2	1	17%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Carlos Lopez 2017 · AAA	28	56→62	40	43→40	47	267/312/363	96	313	6	6	17%	6%	91	+0.7	266/316/340	74	320	4	4	17%	7%	88	+0.4	271/326/325	53	326	1	1	16%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Brian Hernandez 2017 · AAA	28	49→59	41→45	39→40	42	239/278/332	93	294	8	4	22%	5%	72	-0.7	259/299/361	102	309	9	4	18%	5%	86	+0.3	281/319/382	101	321	9	1	15%	5%	95	+0.7
✕Brian Barden 2009 · MLB	28	48→53	42→45	41→45	45	234/288/335	101	286	9	4	21%	6%	76	-0.4	246/295/357	111	309	11	5	23%	6%	84	+0.2	260/307/375	115	327	11	3	23%	5%	92	+0.3
✕Guillermo Heredia 2019 · MLB	28	51→59	41→45	37→45	52	247/322/345	98	280	9	6	15%	8%	93	+0.8	229/306/359	130	282	12	6	22%	8%	90	+0.6	216/298/349	133	281	11	2	25%	8%	85	+0.1
✕Edgar Gonzalez 2006 · AAA	28	51→56	43→45	41→50	45	244/299/364	119	311	9	7	24%	7%	88	+0.4	257/312/377	120	317	11	10	21%	7%	95	+1.0	262/319/379	117	318	11	9	20%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Christian Colonel 2010 · AAA	28	50→54	43→50	41→45	46	244/291/358	114	282	11	6	18%	6%	83	+0.1	219/285/311	92	278	8	6	22%	8%	70	-0.8	209/280/282	73	267	4	2	22%	8%	59	-0.6
✕Yonathan Daza 2022 · MLB	28	54→61	39→45	47→50	46	257/305/346	89	310	6	8	19%	6%	84	+0.2	261/311/347	86	310	5	6	16%	6%	87	+0.4	272/319/348	76	320	3	4	15%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Alejandro Gonzalez 2014 · AAA	28	49→52	42→45	42→50	46	235/307/339	104	299	9	8	24%	7%	85	+0.2	232/299/331	99	306	9	6	26%	6%	80	-0.1	227/291/310	83	311	7	4	27%	5%	71	-0.5
✕Alex Hassan 2016 · AAA	28	54→56	40→45	43→45	46	255/308/351	97	327	6	3	23%	7%	87	+0.4	224/288/302	78	299	5	6	25%	8%	69	-0.9	191/271/221	30	267	2	3	26%	9%	43	-1.4
✕Mike Vento 2006 · AAA	28	50→51	45	38→30	45	244/303/370	126	294	11	4	21%	6%	91	+0.6	243/296/364	121	297	12	5	21%	6%	86	+0.3	236/278/354	119	284	12	3	21%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Rubén Tejada 2018 · MLB	28	50→60	41→40	38→50	50	239/299/344	104	271	8	3	15%	7%	83	+0.1	226/283/319	93	273	8	6	19%	6%	72	-0.7	214/274/276	63	270	4	5	21%	6%	55	-1.1
✕Oscar Ramirez 2008 · AAA	29	52→58	41→45	38→45	50	248/322/345	97	293	8	8	18%	8%	93	+0.8	253/331/361	108	311	8	6	20%	8%	99	+1.3	251/329/355	104	311	8	3	20%	8%	96	+0.6
✕Ruben Agramon 2012 · AAA	27	54→56	40→45	44→45	45	255/302/346	91	318	7	9	21%	6%	84	+0.1	252/296/345	93	315	6	7	21%	5%	81	-0.1	264/306/352	88	324	4	4	19%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Yancarlo Angulo 2016 · AAA	29	52→54	42→45	44→55	43	249/305/355	106	308	8	9	21%	5%	88	+0.4	223/285/314	91	281	7	7	22%	6%	71	-0.8	206/271/282	77	262	4	4	22%	6%	56	-1.0
✕Enrique Osorio 2013 · AAA	28	52→55	43→45	42→50	50	253/314/364	110	282	11	11	14%	7%	93	+0.8	255/301/358	103	288	10	14	15%	5%	86	+0.3	260/302/355	95	291	8	17	13%	4%	84	+0.1
✕Humberto Castro 2019 · AAA	28	52	40	46→45	47	249/311/338	89	282	7	9	14%	5%	86	+0.3	231/285/308	77	268	5	9	15%	5%	70	-0.9	230/279/273	43	267	0	5	13%	3%	57	-1.0
✕Santiago Espinal 2023 · MLB	28	56→55	42→45	44→50	52	269/326/375	106	303	9	10	14%	8%	100	+1.3	248/302/344	96	279	8	10	14%	7%	84	+0.1	240/292/316	76	270	6	9	13%	6%	73	-0.3

Justice Bigbie

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps