Trent Palmer

P New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 230 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	23	MIX2 levels	13	13	55	3.90	3.73	27.8%	9.3%	—	K 22.0% · BB 10.4% · FIP 4.79
2023	24	MIX2 levels	4	3	8	2.35	3.75	23.5%	20.6%	—	K 23.5% · BB 20.6% · FIP 3.72
2024	25	MIX2 levels	15	5	27	9.88	4.67	17.5%	21.7%	—	K 12.8% · BB 22.2% · FIP 4.83
2027PROJ	28	MLBTOR	2	2	13	4.97	4.97	20.7%	12.9%	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBTOR	1	1	6	4.99	5.04	20.7%	12.8%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsClay Condrey (age 27) · Vanny Valenzuela (age 28) · Zach Stewart (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 111

ERA4.97

FIP4.97

K%20.7%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%7.8%

Proj IP13

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	16	16	63	266	83	42	0	100%	3.9	23.1%	18.6%	4.5%	0.0%	3.00	3.51	—
2021	22	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	16	16	63	266	83	42	0	100%	3.9	31.2%	15.8%	15.4%	0.0%	3.00	2.47	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	13	55	248	69	23	8	100%	4.3	22.0%	10.4%	11.6%	4.1%	3.90	4.79	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	13	55	248	69	23	8	100%	4.3	27.8%	9.3%	18.5%	3.2%	3.90	3.73	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	3	8	34	8	7	0	75%	1.9	23.5%	20.6%	2.9%	0.0%	2.35	3.72	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	3	8	34	8	7	0	75%	1.9	23.5%	20.6%	2.9%	0.0%	2.35	3.75	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	5	27	143	25	31	0	33%	1.8	12.8%	22.2%	-9.4%	0.0%	9.88	4.83	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	5	27	143	25	31	0	33%	1.8	12.8%	22.2%	-9.4%	0.0%	9.88	4.83	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	5	27	143	25	31	0	33%	1.8	17.5%	21.7%	-4.2%	0.0%	9.88	4.67	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	TOR	2	2	13	55	11	7	2	100%	6.5	20.7%	12.9%	7.8%	2.9%	4.97	4.97	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	TOR	3	3	20	84	18	11	3	100%	6.7	20.7%	12.8%	8.0%	3.1%	4.99	5.04	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	TOR	1	1	6	25	5	3	1	100%	6.0	20.7%	12.8%	8.0%	3.1%	4.99	5.04	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	6	26	5	3	1	100%	6.3	20.7%	12.8%	8.0%	3.1%	4.99	4.66	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	160	96	32	100%	6.0	20.7%	12.8%	8.0%	3.1%	4.99	4.66	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		48	37	153	691	142	114	10	77%	3.2	20.6%	16.5%	4.1%	1.5%	4.52	4.25	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		63	48	200	901	185	149	13	77%	3.2	20.6%	16.5%	4.1%	1.5%	4.52	4.25	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trent Palmer (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.97	20.7%	12.9%	2.9%	—	5.04	20.7%	8.0%	20	+0.07	—	—	—
Clay Condrey R 2003 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP-	5.41	14.9%	10.1%	4.2%	.303	4.07	13.1%	7.4%	29	-1.34	3.18	250	73
Vanny Valenzuela R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	28	SP	4.54	16.3%	11.3%	2.5%	.380	6.25	10.9%	1.2%	25	+1.71	3.26	118	71
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	70
Jake Walkinshaw R 2024 · 4.03 FIP	28	SP	4.03	16.1%	8.5%	2.2%	.244	3.83	15.7%	5.7%	92	-0.20	2.84	310	69
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	69
Noah Song R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	26	SP	6.06	12.0%	13.2%	4.2%	.239	3.80	19.8%	8.3%	116	-2.26	3.68	138	68
Drake Fellows R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	26	SP-	4.97	16.1%	12.7%	2.9%	.293	4.85	14.2%	6.3%	207	-0.12	4.28	282	66
Austin Bergner R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	27	SP	4.84	22.2%	12.5%	3.7%	.325	4.42	18.7%	7.3%	107	-0.42	4.06	464	66
Chi Chi González R 2020 · 4.61 FIP	28	SP-	4.61	17.6%	11.0%	2.9%	.306	4.84	13.6%	7.1%	327	+0.23	4.01	800	66
Jason García R 2021 · 4.76 FIP	28	SP-	4.76	17.7%	13.5%	2.6%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	356	65
Ariel Peña R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SP	3.99	22.5%	12.0%	2.3%	.304	6.07	19.9%	-5.7%	21	+2.08	3.74	223	65
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	65
Luis Niebla R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP-	5.12	11.6%	13.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	156	64
Dustin Nippert R 2009 · 4.09 FIP	28	SP-	4.09	18.0%	9.7%	2.3%	.271	4.49	17.9%	6.1%	57	+0.40	3.83	268	64
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	63
Ramon Ramirez R 2008 · 4.31 FIP	25	SP-	4.31	20.0%	10.5%	2.9%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	182	63
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	62
Troy Miller R 2024 · 5.83 FIP	27	SP-	5.83	15.3%	11.0%	4.8%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	5.09	168	62
Bradin Hagens R 2018 · 4.92 FIP	29	SP-	4.92	14.9%	9.9%	3.3%	.341	5.46	13.2%	0.6%	66	+0.54	3.79	254	62
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.83 FIP	27	SP-	5.83	14.2%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	62