Colton VincentC
Lake Elsinore Storm
Age 26
R/R
5'11" / 187 lbs
A
HR +13%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.2 · 2028
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .273 / .311
PA76
HR1
K%27
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30→30
PWR
20→20
SPD
40→40
EYE
42↘30
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2036 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $2M | $-6M | -$8M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | ROK | 3 teams | 237 | 209 | 47 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 68 | 8 | 3 | 0 | .225 | .302 | .301 | .603 | .077 | .324 | 29 | 6 | .261 | 58 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 150 | 137 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .146 | .215 | .161 | .375 | .015 | .202 | 26 | 5 | .180 | -4 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | SD | 76 | 70 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .200 | .263 | .286 | .549 | .086 | .280 | 26 | 7 | .267 | 62 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB 10% | SD | 117 | 106 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .217 | .284 | .330 | .615 | .113 | .282 | 26 | 7 | .272 | 67 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB 20% | SD | 208 | 188 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 55 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .218 | .286 | .335 | .622 | .117 | .282 | 26 | 7 | .275 | 69 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB 33% | SD | 264 | 240 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 70 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .217 | .282 | .329 | .612 | .112 | .282 | 27 | 7 | .276 | 69 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB 43% | SD | 303 | 274 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 81 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .215 | .283 | .325 | .608 | .109 | .281 | 27 | 7 | .274 | 68 | -11 | +1 | -2 | +5 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB 52% | SD | 302 | 273 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 82 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .216 | .284 | .326 | .610 | .110 | .280 | 27 | 7 | .270 | 65 | -12 | +1 | -3 | +5 | +9 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB 70% | SD | 289 | 263 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 80 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .202 | .268 | .293 | .561 | .091 | .278 | 28 | 7 | .265 | 61 | -13 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB 87% | SD | 261 | 237 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 74 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .203 | .270 | .300 | .570 | .097 | .277 | 28 | 7 | .260 | 57 | -13 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | SD | 220 | 199 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 64 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .201 | .271 | .291 | .562 | .090 | .275 | 29 | 7 | .254 | 52 | -12 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +6 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2427 | 2196 | 456 | 87 | 12 | 33 | 170 | 664 | 38 | 25 | 2 | .208 | .276 | .303 | .579 | .096 | .279 | 27 | 7 | .262 | 59 | -113 | +4 | -20 | +43 | +69 | -1.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 588 | 122 | 23 | 3 | 9 | 46 | 178 | 10 | 7 | 1 | .207 | .276 | .303 | .579 | .095 | .279 | 27 | 7 | .262 | 59 | -30 | +1 | -5 | +12 | +18 | -0.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 16 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .308 | .438 | .308 | .745 | .000 | .400 | 19 | 12 | .359 | 133 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +0 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 67 | 58 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .241 | .343 | .379 | .723 | .138 | .333 | 24 | 12 | .327 | 109 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 24 | ROK | ACL Padres | 154 | 131 | 42 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 0 | .321 | .403 | .435 | .838 | .115 | .396 | 19 | 8 | .366 | 139 | +7 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 1.2 |
| 2025 | 25 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 150 | 134 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .179 | .262 | .201 | .463 | .022 | .224 | 19 | 7 | .223 | 29 | -12 | +0 | — | — | +4 | -0.8 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Colton Vincent (OGILVIE) | 26 | 30 | 20 | 40 | 30 | .211/.273/.311 | .100 | .280 | 1 | 1 | 27% | 7% | 62 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Javi Herrera 2007 · AA |
26 | 43 | 40 | 43→45 | 40 | .211/.270/.304 | .093 | .271 | 8 | 6 | 24% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .214/.291/.306 | .092 | .270 | 8 | 6 | 22% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .200/.294/.282 | .082 | .251 | 8 | 5 | 22% | 9% | 63 | -0.3 |
|
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A |
25 | 40 | 41→40 | 44→45 | 43 | .198/.262/.299 | .100 | .269 | 8 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .191/.246/.291 | .100 | .279 | 10 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .147/.198/.242 | .094 | .211 | 11 | 0 | 36% | 5% | 8 | -1.4 |
|
✕Adam Weisenburger 2014 · AA |
25 | 43 | 40 | 41→30 | 45 | .208/.285/.299 | .091 | .281 | 7 | 4 | 27% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .217/.296/.306 | .089 | .280 | 6 | 4 | 23% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .212/.296/.290 | .078 | .266 | 5 | 2 | 20% | 8% | 65 | -0.4 |
|
✕Adam Donachie 2010 · AA |
26 | 38 | 42→45 | 38→30 | 45 | .192/.261/.293 | .102 | .266 | 10 | 3 | 31% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .188/.252/.282 | .094 | .260 | 9 | 3 | 30% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .160/.224/.240 | .080 | .215 | 9 | 0 | 29% | 7% | 21 | -1.5 |
|
✕Tres Barrera 2021 · AA |
26 | 44→43 | 42→45 | 44→40 | 43 | .218/.271/.324 | .106 | .273 | 10 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .213/.282/.319 | .106 | .270 | 11 | 3 | 24% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .200/.272/.301 | .102 | .250 | 12 | 1 | 24% | 8% | 55 | -0.6 |
|
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA |
27 | 41 | 44→45 | 44→40 | 43 | .205/.269/.321 | .117 | .279 | 11 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .216/.284/.361 | .145 | .260 | 15 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .203/.270/.374 | .171 | .212 | 20 | 2 | 16% | 7% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA |
25 | 39 | 43→45 | 43→45 | 46 | .192/.280/.301 | .108 | .265 | 11 | 7 | 30% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .198/.277/.336 | .138 | .251 | 16 | 10 | 27% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .186/.266/.336 | .150 | .221 | 18 | 12 | 25% | 7% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA |
26 | 38 | 44→45 | 47→30 | 44 | .195/.260/.302 | .108 | .268 | 12 | 4 | 31% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .216/.284/.346 | .130 | .306 | 15 | 4 | 32% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .206/.279/.334 | .128 | .290 | 16 | 1 | 33% | 9% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Gavin Collins 2021 · A |
26 | 42 | 43→45 | 42→40 | 43 | .210/.258/.322 | .112 | .252 | 10 | 4 | 21% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .206/.278/.316 | .110 | .265 | 12 | 5 | 26% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .199/.271/.323 | .124 | .239 | 17 | 1 | 24% | 6% | 62 | -0.3 |
|
✕Ryan Ortiz 2014 · AAA |
26 | 40 | 43→45 | 46→40 | 47 | .199/.281/.306 | .107 | .269 | 11 | 4 | 29% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .203/.295/.294 | .091 | .287 | 7 | 4 | 29% | 10% | 67 | -0.5 | .185/.302/.243 | .058 | .271 | 3 | 0 | 28% | 13% | 55 | -0.7 |
|
✕Matt Jones 2018 · AA |
26 | 40 | 43→45 | 38→30 | 46 | .200/.265/.306 | .106 | .250 | 11 | 3 | 24% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .200/.260/.303 | .103 | .299 | 11 | 4 | 35% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .179/.227/.266 | .087 | .314 | 12 | 0 | 45% | 5% | 28 | -0.9 |
|
✕Skip Adams 2006 · A |
26 | 46→36 | 43→45 | 46→45 | 37 | .224/.268/.336 | .112 | .317 | 9 | 10 | 32% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .197/.251/.292 | .095 | .292 | 9 | 9 | 34% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .182/.242/.274 | .092 | .271 | 10 | 9 | 35% | 6% | 37 | -2.3 |
|
✕Wynston Sawyer 2018 · AA |
26 | 46 | 42→45 | 45 | 46 | .223/.294/.332 | .110 | .289 | 9 | 7 | 25% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .221/.292/.327 | .106 | .299 | 9 | 5 | 27% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .206/.283/.301 | .095 | .286 | 7 | 0 | 28% | 6% | 61 | -0.2 |
|
✕Brent Diaz 2022 · AA |
26 | 41 | 43→45 | 45 | 39 | .196/.275/.304 | .108 | .304 | 11 | 8 | 37% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .218/.283/.353 | .135 | .305 | 16 | 9 | 32% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .202/.265/.336 | .134 | .270 | 18 | 9 | 31% | 5% | 61 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jeremy Farrell 2013 · AAA |
26 | 46→38 | 41→45 | 45 | 41 | .219/.284/.318 | .099 | .304 | 8 | 6 | 29% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .203/.265/.302 | .099 | .299 | 8 | 4 | 33% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .195/.252/.294 | .099 | .294 | 7 | 2 | 34% | 5% | 45 | -1.1 |
|
✕Brian Serven 2021 · AA |
26 | 38 | 45→50 | 43→30 | 40 | .195/.250/.317 | .122 | .255 | 13 | 5 | 28% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .193/.251/.326 | .133 | .244 | 17 | 4 | 28% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .182/.252/.278 | .096 | .251 | 12 | 0 | 31% | 7% | 42 | -0.9 |
|
✕Austin Rei 2019 · AA |
25 | 39 | 41→40 | 39→40 | 41 | .189/.265/.285 | .096 | .274 | 8 | 4 | 32% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .195/.267/.290 | .095 | .305 | 8 | 7 | 36% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .130/.211/.194 | .064 | .218 | 4 | 0 | 39% | 8% | 3 | -0.9 |
|
✕Mark Kolozsvary 2021 · A |
25 | 38 | 40 | 41→30 | 41 | .182/.271/.272 | .090 | .282 | 7 | 4 | 35% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .182/.268/.303 | .121 | .290 | 12 | 4 | 39% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .151/.229/.271 | .120 | .228 | 15 | 2 | 39% | 6% | 31 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jan Vázquez 2016 · AA |
25 | 41 | 43→40 | 43→45 | 40 | .202/.270/.306 | .105 | .290 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .219/.292/.313 | .094 | .295 | 8 | 9 | 27% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .217/.296/.306 | .089 | .289 | 8 | 7 | 26% | 7% | 67 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jorge Saez 2017 · AA |
26 | 39 | 44→45 | 44→30 | 42 | .198/.260/.314 | .117 | .277 | 12 | 3 | 32% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .209/.275/.343 | .134 | .298 | 17 | 5 | 34% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .192/.269/.319 | .127 | .267 | 18 | 2 | 34% | 9% | 61 | -0.3 |