Gabriel Gonzalez

RF St. Paul Saints

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAA40-MANPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP44ETA2028MLB%30%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	AAMIN	246	.344/.429/.509	4	5	128	—	.305/.376/.436
2025	21	A+MIN	156	.319/.386/.529	5	1	116	—	.284/.340/.447
2026	22	AAAMIN	480	.255/.325/.421	16	1	75	—	.228/.283/.357
2026	22	INTLCaribes de An…	46	.395/.435/.721	3	0	223	—
2027PROJ30% MLB	23	MLBMIN	96	.242/.299/.370	2	1	88	-0.1
2028PROJ44% MLB	24	MLBMIN	242	.245/.303/.380	6	2	92	-0.0
2029PROJ51% MLB	25	MLBMIN	285	.246/.305/.385	7	2	94	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$0.4M2033Arb-2$0.4M2034Arb-3$0.6M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Z-Con%79

K%78

Whiff%75

Max EV70

Speed36

BB%25

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 8, comp-based) · star 5% · didn't stick 58%

CompsBrian Rey (age 24) · Willie Cabrera (age 23) · Moisés Sierra (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.242 / .299 / .370

PA96

HR2

K%19

BB%6

BABIP282

ISO112

MLB%30%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT55

xAVG

100.137

POWER47

Avg EV

1082.8

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED41

Sprint

2226.1

DEFENSE43

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	221	188	54	15	4	7	21	36	7	9	3	287	380	521	901	234	313	16	10	387	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A	Modesto Nuts	—	150	126	36	5	1	2	13	21	11	4	1	286	400	389	789	103	330	14	9	365	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	140	126	45	9	0	5	8	21	6	5	3	357	421	548	969	190	400	15	6	429	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	200	181	39	4	0	9	13	43	6	2	0	215	290	387	677	171	233	22	6	304	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Modesto Nuts	—	335	296	103	19	4	9	23	46	9	8	0	348	412	530	942	182	379	14	7	407	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	315	282	72	19	2	4	22	49	9	5	3	255	329	379	709	124	294	16	7	319	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	22	20	5	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	250	318	400	718	150	211	0	5	324	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	148	133	42	7	0	6	9	28	2	2	2	316	368	504	872	188	350	19	6	375	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	246	212	73	19	2	4	26	30	6	5	1	344	429	509	938	165	385	12	11	414	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	156	138	44	12	1	5	13	22	2	1	0	319	386	529	915	210	342	14	8	394	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	48	44	14	1	0	0	1	4	3	0	1	318	375	341	716	23	350	8	2	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	480	432	110	20	2	16	38	82	7	1	4	255	325	421	746	167	280	17	8	331	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	46	43	17	3	1	3	2	3	1	0	0	395	435	721	1.156	326	378	7	4	498	223	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	221	194	35	8	3	3	15	44	7	9	3	180	264	299	563	119	202	20	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	150	130	33	4	1	2	9	29	11	4	1	254	353	346	699	92	314	19	6	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	140	129	32	5	0	4	5	31	6	5	3	248	307	380	687	132	299	22	4	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	200	184	34	3	0	7	10	56	6	2	0	185	250	315	565	130	224	28	5	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	335	303	98	16	3	9	16	61	9	8	0	323	375	485	860	162	359	18	5	367	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	315	288	65	14	2	3	16	64	9	5	3	226	288	319	607	94	271	20	5	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	22	20	4	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	200	273	350	623	150	165	0	5	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	148	136	42	7	0	4	6	34	2	2	2	309	347	449	796	140	352	23	4	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	246	220	67	16	2	3	19	39	6	5	1	305	376	436	812	132	355	16	8	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	156	141	40	9	1	4	10	29	2	1	0	284	340	447	787	163	312	19	6	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	480	443	101	17	2	12	27	98	7	1	4	228	283	357	640	129	263	20	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	221	194	35	8	3	3	15	44	7	9	3	180	264	299	563	119	211	20	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	221	188	54	15	4	7	21	36	7	9	3	287	380	521	901	234	313	16	10	387	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	290	259	67	10	1	6	14	60	17	9	4	259	338	375	712	116	316	21	5	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	290	252	81	14	1	7	21	42	17	9	4	321	410	468	879	147	365	14	7	396	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	535	486	132	19	3	16	27	117	15	10	0	272	330	422	751	150	322	22	5	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	535	477	142	23	4	18	36	89	15	10	0	298	366	476	841	178	329	17	7	369	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	337	309	69	14	2	4	16	64	10	5	4	223	284	320	604	97	267	19	5	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	337	302	77	19	2	5	23	49	10	5	4	255	328	381	709	126	288	15	7	319	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	4 teams	—	598	539	161	35	3	12	38	110	13	8	4	299	359	442	801	143	351	18	6	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA RAW	4 teams	—	598	527	173	39	3	15	49	84	13	8	4	328	398	499	897	171	362	14	8	393	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	526	485	110	19	2	13	30	108	8	1	4	227	283	355	638	128	265	21	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	526	475	127	23	3	19	40	85	8	1	4	267	335	448	783	181	290	16	8	346	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	221	197	35	8	3	3	15	44	7	9	3	178	264	294	558	117	202	20	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	290	257	67	10	1	6	14	60	17	9	4	261	338	377	715	117	307	21	5	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	535	488	132	19	3	16	27	117	15	10	0	270	330	420	750	150	309	22	5	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	337	308	69	14	2	4	16	64	10	5	4	224	284	321	605	97	264	19	5	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	4 teams	—	598	542	161	35	3	12	38	110	13	8	4	297	359	439	798	142	342	18	6	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	526	483	110	19	2	13	30	108	8	1	4	228	283	356	639	128	263	21	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	337	308	69	14	2	4	16	64	10	5	4	224	284	321	605	97	264	19	5	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	4 teams	—	598	542	161	35	3	12	38	110	13	8	4	297	359	439	798	142	342	18	6	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	526	483	110	19	2	13	30	108	8	1	4	228	283	356	639	128	263	21	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIN	30%	588	539	131	25	3	13	35	113	9	5	4	242	299	370	669	128	281	19	6	299	88	-8	-1	-1	-6	+13	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIN	30%	96	89	21	4	0	2	6	18	1	1	1	242	299	370	670	128	282	19	6	299	88	-1	-0	-0	-1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIN	44%	548	501	123	24	2	13	34	105	8	5	3	245	303	380	683	135	283	19	6	304	92	-5	-0	-1	-6	+12	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIN	51%	563	514	127	24	3	14	36	108	8	4	3	246	305	384	690	139	283	19	6	307	94	-4	-0	-1	-6	+12	0.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	574	524	129	25	3	14	37	111	8	4	3	246	306	385	692	140	283	19	6	308	95	-4	-0	-1	-6	+12	0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	580	529	129	25	2	15	38	114	8	4	3	244	306	384	689	139	283	20	7	307	94	-4	-0	-1	-6	+13	0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	579	527	128	25	2	14	39	116	8	2	3	243	304	380	684	137	282	20	7	305	93	-5	-1	-2	-6	+13	-0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	572	521	125	24	2	14	38	116	8	0	3	240	301	373	674	133	281	20	7	301	90	-7	-1	-3	-6	+12	-0.5
2034	30	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	563	514	122	23	2	13	37	116	7	0	2	236	297	365	662	128	279	21	7	296	86	-9	-1	-3	-6	+12	-0.7
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIN	44%	242	221	54	10	1	6	15	46	4	2	1	245	303	380	683	135	283	19	6	305	92	-2	+0	-1	-3	+5	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIN	51%	285	261	63	12	1	7	18	55	4	2	2	246	305	385	690	139	283	19	6	307	94	-2	-0	-1	-3	+6	0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	309	281	69	13	1	8	20	60	5	2	2	246	306	386	692	140	284	19	6	308	95	-2	-0	-1	-3	+7	0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	313	285	69	13	1	8	21	61	4	2	2	245	306	384	690	140	283	19	7	308	94	-2	-0	-1	-3	+7	0.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	313	285	69	13	1	8	21	63	4	1	2	243	304	381	685	138	283	20	7	305	93	-3	-1	-1	-3	+7	-0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	303	276	66	13	1	7	20	61	4	0	1	240	301	374	675	134	281	20	7	301	90	-4	-0	-1	-3	+7	-0.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	295	270	64	12	1	7	19	61	4	0	1	237	297	365	663	129	279	21	6	296	86	-5	-0	-2	-3	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2060	1879	454	86	7	51	134	407	29	9	11	242	302	376	678	135	281	20	7	304	91	-20	-3	-7	-22	+45	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	143	27	2	16	42	128	9	3	3	241	301	374	675	133	281	20	6	304	91	-6	-1	-2	-7	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	6806	6195	1528	289	31	158	418	1350	130	64	41	247	308	380	688	133	289	20	6	303	91	-42	-4	-14	-46	+93	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	146	28	3	15	40	129	12	6	4	247	307	380	688	133	290	20	6	303	91	-6	-1	-2	-7	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Craig Monroelast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,898 PA	4.4	2,898	114	19	253	302	443	-28	-32	3.8	4.3
/162	664	26	4	-6.5	-7.4	0.9	pk7: 5
#3Bob Oliver'65-'75 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,123 PA	4.7	3,123	94	17	260*	297*	445*	-35	-17	3.4	3.9
/162	664	20	4	-7.4	-3.6	0.7	pk7: 4
#4Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA	3.4	2,240	59	12	254	332	411	-40	-26	2.2	2.2
/162	664	17	4	-11.9	-7.8	0.6	pk7: 2
#5Babe Dahlgren'35-'46 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,506 PA	6.8	4,506	82	18	246*	312*	409*	-73	-30	-0.4	2.1
/162	664	12	3	-10.8	-4.5	-0.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.2	2,157	52	11	244	301	380	-23	-11	1.3	1.4
/162	664	16	3	-7.1	-3.3	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Todd Benzinger'87-'95 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,106 PA	4.7	3,106	66	21	254*	300*	408*	-50	-16	-3.2	-1.7
/162	664	14	4	-10.7	-3.4	-0.7	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	23	40→55	40→47	45→41	30	240/297/367	127	281	7	3	19%	6%	88	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brian Rey 2022 · AAA	24	49	45→50	39→45	44	243/305/364	121	282	13	7	19%	5%	91	+0.6	224/280/326	102	278	10	9	22%	5%	72	-0.7	195/243/268	73	241	6	9	21%	2%	41	-0.8
✕Willie Cabrera 2010 · AA	23	52→56	44→50	39→45	45	252/292/371	119	281	11	5	15%	5%	86	+0.3	248/289/359	111	277	8	8	13%	5%	82	+0.0	250/291/359	109	276	6	8	12%	4%	80	-0.1
✕Moisés Sierra 2012 · AA	23	51→57	45→50	44→50	42	253/300/374	122	305	13	11	22%	5%	91	+0.6	246/295/383	137	318	15	11	26%	5%	91	+0.6	243/294/381	137	320	15	11	28%	5%	88	+0.3
✕Oscar Gonzalez 2021 · AA	23	49→56	43→55	43→40	36	243/265/351	108	308	11	6	25%	3%	71	-0.8	259/287/421	162	315	20	3	24%	3%	97	+1.1	260/288/424	164	316	19	1	24%	3%	96	+0.9
✕Malcom Nuñez 2024 · AAA	23	46→47	46→45	42→45	45	230/299/354	124	297	15	5	27%	8%	86	+0.3	227/281/333	106	293	10	4	25%	6%	74	-0.6	226/277/322	96	290	9	2	24%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Chris Durbin 2006 · AA	24	51→53	46→50	41→40	45	250/298/389	138	292	13	6	19%	6%	93	+0.8	229/286/343	114	281	8	6	21%	6%	78	-0.3	216/278/314	98	268	5	3	20%	6%	67	-0.7
✕Cal Mitchell 2022 · AAA	23	47→54	45→50	40→50	39	234/276/357	123	299	14	6	26%	4%	78	-0.3	242/294/377	135	307	14	11	25%	6%	88	+0.5	236/294/376	140	302	15	12	26%	7%	87	+0.3
●Cheslor Cuthbert 2016 · MLB	23	48→56	43→50	46→45	46	235/281/348	113	277	11	7	20%	6%	76	-0.4	251/301/392	141	296	16	4	20%	7%	95	+0.9	255/309/403	148	298	17	1	20%	7%	101	+0.7
✕Colton Welker 2021 · AA	23	47→57	43→45	47→45	42	230/274/338	108	291	10	5	24%	6%	72	-0.7	220/292/328	108	288	11	6	26%	8%	78	-0.3	204/297/280	76	277	6	3	26%	10%	67	-0.3
✕David Winfree 2009 · AA	23	46→50	48→50	43→40	41	233/275/380	148	283	16	3	24%	5%	82	+0.0	237/277/387	150	285	16	5	23%	5%	85	+0.2	238/279/392	153	284	17	6	22%	4%	85	+0.1
✕Lenyn Sosa 2023 · MLB	23	50→53	47→50	39→40	40	248/285/377	129	303	15	4	24%	4%	86	+0.3	241/273/383	142	292	18	4	24%	4%	82	+0.0	241/270/387	146	288	20	3	24%	3%	82	+0.0
✕Christian Villanueva 2014 · AA	23	45→47	48→55	43→50	39	228/279/374	146	290	15	9	27%	4%	83	+0.1	214/261/352	138	262	15	4	24%	5%	71	-0.8	228/286/406	177	263	24	3	23%	6%	93	+0.6
✕Mitch Einertson 2009 · AA	23	46→53	46→50	44→45	40	228/271/360	132	281	12	6	24%	4%	76	-0.4	229/275/347	118	280	12	7	22%	5%	75	-0.5	228/272/331	103	266	12	4	19%	5%	67	-0.6
✕Wes Bankston 2007 · AAA	23	51→56	47→50	43→40	42	253/299/387	134	316	14	6	24%	5%	93	+0.8	226/265/372	146	272	18	4	24%	4%	77	-0.3	228/292/353	125	265	14	0	19%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Edinson Rincon 2014 · AA	23	52→56	42→45	38→30	41	254/286/361	107	304	10	4	20%	4%	81	-0.1	222/271/302	80	292	5	5	24%	6%	62	-1.4	208/261/257	49	281	2	0	25%	6%	46	-1.1
✕Justin Williams 2019 · AAA	23	50→57	46→50	43→45	41	246/288/373	127	309	14	6	25%	5%	85	+0.2	229/281/364	135	310	17	6	30%	6%	82	-0.0	206/264/346	140	279	21	2	33%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Matt Tuiasosopo 2009 · MLB	23	50→53	43→45	43→45	45	238/308/355	117	319	9	5	27%	8%	89	+0.5	220/301/355	135	311	14	7	31%	9%	87	+0.4	221/302/337	116	303	15	2	30%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Evan White 2019 · AAA	23	51→53	44→55	45→40	43	248/300/373	125	325	11	5	26%	6%	90	+0.6	235/288/392	157	314	20	4	30%	6%	91	+0.6	222/276/392	170	290	24	2	32%	6%	85	+0.1
✕Rich Poythress 2012 · AA	24	48→50	48→50	41→40	45	242/295/386	144	289	16	3	22%	6%	91	+0.7	238/298/370	132	275	14	5	19%	8%	89	+0.5	232/296/360	128	263	14	4	17%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2024 · AAA	23	46→47	48→50	43→50	42	229/293/371	141	294	15	5	27%	6%	88	+0.4	218/274/363	145	273	17	10	26%	5%	79	-0.2	210/266/358	149	254	18	11	25%	5%	72	-0.5

Gabriel Gonzalez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps