Manuel Pena

SS Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 23 L/R 6'0" / 170 lbs AA HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	AAARI	470	.288/.330/.460	14	2	69	—	.234/.267/.347
2025	21	INTLToros del Este	88	.210/.264/.296	2	1	58	—
2026	22	AAAARI	227	.297/.341/.411	5	3	82	—	.272/.305/.366
2026	22	AAARI	279	.311/.356/.673	26	3	126	—	.264/.302/.552
2027PROJ2% MLB	23	MLBARI	6	.248/.284/.406	0	0	88	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBARI	234	.250/.288/.412	8	2	91	0.5
2029PROJ62% MLB	25	MLBARI	358	.251/.291/.414	12	4	93	0.9

Next 3 projected WAR 1.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$3M2034Arb-2$4M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Z-Con%63

Max EV59

Whiff%49

K%44

Speed41

BB%15

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 18, comp-based) · star 5% · didn't stick 65%

CompsAddison Barger (age 23) · Leonard Davis (age 25) · Juan Francisco (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.248 / .284 / .406

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%4

BABIP309

ISO159

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$36M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$7M	+$6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.4M
2034	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$22M	+$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL D-backs 1	—	222	194	49	5	2	4	26	46	1	17	7	253	344	361	705	108	310	21	12	321	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	158	137	34	7	1	0	20	41	0	1	3	248	344	314	658	66	354	26	13	304	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	128	116	33	3	3	4	10	30	0	4	1	284	341	466	807	181	345	23	8	350	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	237	215	52	10	4	4	17	59	2	5	5	242	303	381	685	140	312	25	7	303	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	229	206	51	9	4	1	19	58	2	8	5	248	317	345	662	97	336	25	8	298	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	491	451	124	27	2	4	33	106	3	10	10	275	329	370	699	95	350	22	7	313	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	470	437	126	27	3	14	24	105	3	2	2	288	330	460	790	172	346	22	5	344	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	INTL	Toros del Este	—	88	81	17	1	0	2	6	21	0	1	3	210	264	296	561	86	254	24	7	253	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA	Reno Aces	—	227	209	62	9	0	5	13	54	1	3	0	297	341	411	752	115	370	24	6	331	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	279	254	79	14	0	26	18	65	1	3	0	311	356	673	1.030	362	317	23	6	432	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 1	—	222	203	32	3	1	2	17	56	1	17	7	158	226	212	438	54	207	25	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	158	144	30	6	1	0	13	56	0	1	3	208	274	264	538	56	335	35	8	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	128	120	24	2	2	3	6	43	0	4	1	200	238	325	563	125	274	34	5	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	237	221	44	8	3	3	11	81	2	5	5	199	244	303	547	104	294	34	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	229	211	43	7	4	1	14	77	2	8	5	204	260	289	549	85	307	34	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	491	462	102	20	1	4	22	148	3	10	10	221	261	294	555	74	311	30	4	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	470	444	104	20	3	8	17	132	3	2	2	234	267	347	614	113	306	28	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	227	213	58	8	0	4	9	65	1	3	0	272	305	366	671	94	353	29	4	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	279	261	69	12	0	21	13	79	1	3	0	264	302	552	854	287	281	28	5	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 1	—	222	203	32	3	1	2	17	56	1	17	7	158	226	212	438	54	205	25	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 1	—	222	194	49	5	2	4	26	46	1	17	7	253	344	361	705	108	310	21	12	321	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	286	263	54	8	3	3	20	99	0	5	4	205	261	293	554	87	313	35	7	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	286	253	67	10	4	4	30	71	0	5	4	265	343	383	726	119	350	25	10	325	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	466	432	87	15	7	4	25	158	4	13	10	201	252	296	548	95	303	34	5	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	466	421	103	19	8	5	36	117	4	13	10	245	310	363	674	119	323	25	8	300	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	491	462	102	20	1	4	22	148	3	10	10	221	261	294	555	74	314	30	4	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	—	491	451	124	27	2	4	33	106	3	10	10	275	329	370	699	95	350	22	7	313	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	558	527	124	24	3	10	21	157	3	3	5	235	269	349	618	114	311	28	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	558	518	143	28	3	16	30	126	3	3	5	276	319	434	754	158	332	23	5	330	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	506	474	126	19	0	25	22	144	2	6	0	266	301	464	765	198	323	28	4	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	506	463	141	23	0	31	31	119	2	6	0	305	349	555	904	251	343	24	6	387	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 1	—	222	202	32	3	1	2	17	56	1	17	7	158	226	213	439	54	207	25	8	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	286	264	54	8	3	3	20	99	0	5	4	205	261	292	553	87	308	35	7	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	466	434	87	15	7	4	25	158	4	13	10	200	252	295	547	94	300	34	5	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	491	463	102	20	1	4	22	148	3	10	10	220	261	294	555	73	311	30	4	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	558	529	124	24	3	10	21	157	3	3	5	234	269	348	616	113	306	28	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	506	477	126	19	0	25	22	144	2	6	0	264	301	461	762	197	313	28	4	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	491	463	102	20	1	4	22	148	3	10	10	220	261	294	555	73	311	30	4	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	558	529	124	24	3	10	21	157	3	3	5	234	269	348	616	113	306	28	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	506	477	126	19	0	25	22	144	2	6	0	264	301	461	762	197	313	28	4	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	ARI	2%	604	571	139	24	2	21	25	161	3	6	2	243	279	400	679	157	300	27	4	298	88	-9	+0	+0	+6	+13	0.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	ARI	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	248	284	406	690	158	309	33	0	303	88	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	ARI	43%	542	510	126	22	2	19	24	142	3	6	2	246	284	406	690	160	301	26	4	303	91	-6	+0	+0	+6	+12	1.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	ARI	62%	573	538	132	23	2	20	27	148	3	6	2	246	286	408	695	162	300	26	5	305	93	-5	+0	+0	+6	+12	1.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	ARI	71%	590	553	137	24	2	21	29	152	3	6	2	246	288	408	696	162	300	26	5	306	93	-5	+0	+0	+6	+13	1.5
2031	27	MLB MLE	ARI	74%	596	557	137	24	2	21	31	153	3	6	2	245	289	406	695	161	299	26	5	306	93	-5	+0	+0	+6	+13	1.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	ARI	75%	595	555	135	24	2	20	32	153	3	6	2	244	289	402	690	158	298	26	5	304	92	-6	+0	-1	+6	+13	1.4
2033	29	MLB MLE	ARI	74%	588	549	132	23	2	19	31	153	3	5	3	241	286	396	682	155	297	26	5	301	90	-7	-0	-1	+6	+13	1.0
2034	30	MLB MLE	ARI	73%	579	541	129	23	2	18	30	153	3	5	3	239	283	389	672	150	295	26	5	296	87	-9	-0	-2	+6	+13	0.7
2035	31	MLB MLE	ARI	72%	566	529	124	22	1	17	29	151	3	4	9	235	278	380	658	145	293	27	5	291	83	-12	-3	-3	+6	+12	0.1
2036	32	MLB MLE	ARI	72%	548	514	118	20	1	16	27	149	2	4	52	230	272	368	640	138	289	27	5	283	78	-14	-20	-4	+6	+12	-2.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	ARI	43%	234	220	56	11	1	8	11	61	1	2	1	250	288	412	700	161	310	26	5	307	91	-2	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2029	25	MLB CTX	ARI	62%	358	336	84	16	1	12	17	93	2	4	1	251	291	414	705	163	309	26	5	310	93	-3	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2030	26	MLB CTX	ARI	71%	421	395	99	19	2	14	21	108	2	4	1	251	293	414	707	163	309	26	5	311	93	-3	+0	+0	+5	+9	1.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	ARI	74%	439	411	103	20	2	14	23	113	2	4	1	250	294	412	705	162	308	26	5	310	93	-4	+0	+0	+5	+10	1.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	ARI	75%	445	415	103	20	2	14	24	115	3	4	2	249	293	408	701	159	307	26	5	309	92	-4	+0	-1	+5	+10	1.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	ARI	74%	432	404	99	19	2	13	23	112	2	4	2	246	291	402	693	156	306	26	5	305	90	-5	+0	-1	+5	+9	0.8
2034	30	MLB CTX	ARI	73%	422	395	96	19	1	13	22	111	2	4	3	244	287	395	682	151	304	26	5	301	87	-7	-0	-2	+5	+9	0.5
2035	31	MLB CTX	ARI	72%	410	384	92	18	1	12	21	110	2	3	7	240	283	385	668	146	302	27	5	295	83	-8	-2	-2	+4	+9	0.1
2036	32	MLB CTX	ARI	72%	395	370	87	17	1	11	20	107	2	3	37	235	276	373	650	139	298	27	5	287	78	-10	-14	-3	+4	+9	-1.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3556	3330	819	159	13	111	182	930	18	32	55	246	289	402	690	156	307	26	5	304	81	-47	-16	-8	+38	+77	4.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	609	149	29	2	20	33	170	3	6	10	245	287	397	684	153	306	26	5	304	81	-9	-3	-1	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	8026	7509	1769	307	32	230	400	2201	41	105	114	236	278	377	655	141	300	27	5	288	81	-73	-21	-10	+59	+119	7.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	608	144	25	3	19	32	178	3	9	9	237	278	382	660	145	301	27	5	288	81	-9	-2	-1	+7	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Paul DeJonglast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,500 PA	5.3	3,500	146	29	229	294	416	+36	+35	16.1	16.0
/162	664	28	6	+6.8	+6.6	3.1	pk7: 16
#2Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#3Greg Gagne'83-'97 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,207 PA	9.3	6,207	111	108	249*	297*	394*	+65	+26	13.2	13.0
/162	664	12	12	+6.9	+2.8	1.4	pk7: 13
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	5.4	3,562	118	33	242	282	397	+38	+18	7.1	7.5
/162	664	22	6	+7.1	+3.4	1.3	pk7: 8
#5Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7
#6Deivi Cruz'97-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,375 PA	6.6	4,375	70	16	258*	282*	376*	+44	+19	6.1	6.4
/162	664	11	2	+6.7	+2.9	0.9	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Manuel Pena (OGILVIE)	23	55	50	45	25	241/277/397	156	300	11	3	27%	4%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Addison Barger 2023 · AAA	23	45→49	53→55	46→45	39	228/286/397	168	324	21	7	35%	6%	91	+0.7	226/292/382	156	293	18	7	28%	8%	90	+0.6	222/291/386	164	273	18	6	25%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Leonard Davis 2009 · AAA	25	47→52	54→55	45→50	36	243/278/423	180	311	21	7	29%	4%	94	+0.9	237/274/391	154	306	17	11	28%	4%	84	+0.2	229/266/373	144	296	16	12	28%	4%	74	-0.4
✕Juan Francisco 2010 · MLB	23	49→54	53→60	46→40	33	252/275/426	174	324	21	5	30%	3%	94	+0.9	259/288/450	191	333	22	4	29%	4%	104	+1.6	259/289/463	204	333	24	2	29%	3%	105	+1.0
✕Scott Moore 2007 · MLB	23	46→50	51→55	46→50	41	235/293/396	162	315	19	12	31%	7%	94	+0.9	225/289/385	160	295	18	7	29%	7%	90	+0.6	236/301/378	142	289	16	5	23%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Michael Chavis 2019 · AAA	23	44→46	53→60	48→45	38	231/282/403	172	302	21	5	31%	5%	91	+0.7	236/291/417	181	317	24	6	32%	6%	97	+1.1	229/284/411	182	303	26	5	33%	6%	94	+0.5
✕Reid Brignac 2009 · AAA	23	47→54	48→55	49→50	42	235/279/382	147	289	15	10	24%	5%	84	+0.2	237/277/355	118	293	11	8	22%	5%	77	-0.3	236/275/340	105	288	9	6	21%	5%	72	-0.5
●Luis García Jr. 2023 · MLB	23	53→57	49→60	44→50	42	267/300/423	156	314	16	6	21%	4%	101	+1.4	265/301/408	143	298	15	14	16%	5%	98	+1.2	267/302/451	184	288	23	15	17%	5%	110	+1.8
✕Joey Bart 2020 · AA	23	43	53→55	45→40	38	228/270/395	166	287	21	7	29%	5%	84	+0.2	235/289/374	139	337	16	5	33%	6%	86	+0.3	251/343/392	142	332	17	1	27%	10%	112	+1.0
✕Brandon Laird 2011 · AAA	23	48→50	51→55	43→30	42	244/287/400	155	287	19	3	23%	5%	92	+0.7	231/268/372	141	275	17	2	23%	4%	78	-0.3	225/267/365	141	271	17	1	24%	4%	75	-0.5
✕Jason Martin 2019 · AAA	23	47→52	48→60	47→50	42	236/284/385	149	310	15	12	29%	6%	87	+0.4	231/282/374	143	292	14	12	25%	6%	84	+0.1	226/292/414	187	279	24	8	28%	8%	94	+0.6
●Nolan Gorman 2022 · AAA	22	44→46	50→60	49→45	39	228/274/377	149	301	19	6	31%	5%	82	-0.0	228/292/429	201	304	29	7	34%	8%	101	+1.4	216/289/434	218	282	33	7	35%	9%	102	+1.2
✕Fernando Martinez 2012 · MLB	23	46→56	49→50	45	40	233/287/379	146	293	17	4	26%	5%	87	+0.4	250/300/407	157	323	18	4	27%	5%	98	+1.2	256/305/419	163	331	19	1	27%	4%	101	+0.9
✕Cody Haerther 2006 · AA	23	51→53	52→50	50→45	41	259/299/432	174	312	20	9	24%	5%	103	+1.6	248/295/383	135	297	13	5	20%	6%	91	+0.6	243/295/362	119	293	10	2	20%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Max Stassi 2014 · AA	23	44→45	52→55	44→40	40	232/283/398	167	288	20	4	27%	5%	91	+0.6	212/258/336	124	293	14	3	32%	5%	66	-1.1	216/302/377	161	281	21	0	29%	10%	94	+0.4
✕Brendan Rodgers 2020 · MLB	23	50→55	47→50	47→45	41	247/295/386	139	307	15	7	25%	5%	91	+0.7	250/300/391	141	303	15	4	22%	6%	95	+0.9	257/312/394	138	302	14	0	19%	6%	101	+1.0
✕Eddys Leonard 2024 · AAA	23	46→47	48→50	43→50	42	229/293/371	141	294	15	5	27%	6%	88	+0.4	218/274/363	145	273	17	10	26%	5%	79	-0.2	210/266/358	149	254	18	11	25%	5%	72	-0.5
✕Deivy Grullón 2019 · AA	23	47→45	49→55	41→30	37	238/271/379	141	306	18	2	28%	4%	81	-0.1	230/281/398	168	322	23	4	34%	6%	90	+0.6	211/270/386	176	299	25	1	37%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Drew Gilbert 2024 · AA	23	49→50	49→50	49→45	47	248/313/399	151	299	17	12	23%	8%	101	+1.4	225/300/374	149	266	16	8	22%	8%	91	+0.7	217/301/368	151	248	17	6	20%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Nick Williams 2018 · MLB	24	51→60	51→55	45	37	253/292/417	164	338	18	7	30%	4%	98	+1.2	243/297/410	167	319	20	5	29%	6%	98	+1.2	233/291/390	157	301	19	5	29%	5%	90	+0.3
✕Brett Baty 2024 · MLB	24	50→59	51→50	42→45	45	250/315/406	156	327	20	5	29%	8%	103	+1.6	240/308/395	155	303	20	6	26%	8%	99	+1.2	239/311/392	153	299	20	6	26%	9%	99	+0.9

Manuel Pena

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps