Marlon Franco — OGILVIE

Marlon Franco P ACL Giants

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 228 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.91

FIP4.91

K%13.6%

BB%7.7%

K-BB%5.9%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL5050

CMD4040

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	12	0	15	67	17	7	3	0%	1.2	17.3%	13.1%	4.2%	5.8%	5.52	6.50	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	12	0	15	67	17	7	3	0%	1.2	25.4%	10.4%	14.9%	4.5%	5.52	4.87	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	20	1	28	132	28	15	5	5%	1.4	14.4%	14.2%	0.2%	4.9%	6.43	6.39	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	20	1	28	132	28	15	5	5%	1.4	21.2%	11.4%	9.8%	3.8%	6.43	5.03	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	14	8	40	171	30	7	2	57%	2.9	11.9%	5.1%	6.8%	1.5%	2.68	3.54	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	14	8	40	171	30	7	2	57%	2.9	11.9%	5.1%	6.8%	1.5%	2.68	3.54	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	14	8	40	171	30	7	2	57%	2.9	17.5%	4.1%	13.5%	1.2%	2.68	2.78	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	12	9	49	195	46	5	2	75%	4.1	16.0%	3.2%	12.8%	1.3%	1.65	2.87	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	12	9	49	195	46	5	2	75%	4.1	16.0%	3.2%	12.8%	1.3%	1.65	2.87	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	12	9	49	195	46	5	2	75%	4.1	23.6%	2.6%	21.0%	1.0%	1.65	2.06	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	14	5	54	246	51	16	5	36%	3.9	14.1%	8.1%	6.0%	2.5%	5.00	4.32	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	14	5	54	246	51	16	5	36%	3.9	14.1%	8.1%	6.0%	2.5%	5.00	4.32	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	ACL Giants	14	5	54	246	51	16	5	36%	3.9	20.7%	6.5%	14.2%	2.0%	5.00	3.30	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	17	4	39	181	47	12	3	24%	2.3	17.7%	8.3%	9.4%	2.3%	7.15	3.93	—
YTD	23	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	17	4	39	181	47	12	3	24%	2.3	17.7%	8.3%	9.4%	2.3%	7.15	3.93	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	ROK RAW	SF	17	4	39	181	47	12	3	24%	2.3	26.0%	6.6%	19.3%	1.7%	7.15	2.66	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	SF	5	0	5	22	3	2	1	0%	1.0	13.6%	7.7%	5.9%	2.9%	4.91	4.91	-0.0
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	SF	—	—	44	203	50	14	4	—	—	24.6%	6.7%	17.9%	1.8%	6.89	4.05	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SF	60	0	63	266	42	20	8	0%	1.1	15.8%	7.7%	8.1%	2.9%	4.77	4.71	-0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	SF	61	0	64	270	46	21	8	0%	1.0	17.0%	7.6%	9.4%	2.9%	4.66	4.60	-0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	SF	26	0	27	114	18	9	3	0%	1.0	15.8%	7.7%	8.1%	2.9%	4.77	4.71	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	SF	40	0	42	177	30	14	5	0%	1.1	17.0%	7.6%	9.4%	2.9%	4.66	4.60	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		66	0	69	293	48	22	8	0%	1.1	16.5%	7.7%	8.9%	2.9%	4.70	4.26	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	138	63	23	0%	1.1	16.5%	7.7%	8.9%	2.9%	4.70	4.26	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		89	27	225	992	149	78	26	30%	2.5	15.0%	7.8%	7.2%	2.6%	4.44	4.26	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		79	24	200	882	132	69	23	30%	2.5	15.0%	7.8%	7.2%	2.6%	4.44	4.26	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Marlon Franco (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.91	13.6%	7.7%	2.9%	—	4.65	16.4%	8.7%	127	-0.26	—	—	—
Scott Burke R 2018 · 4.55 FIP	24	SW	4.55	14.2%	7.7%	3.0%	.316	5.27	14.9%	6.7%	61	+0.72	4.55	119	90
Bryan Pope R 2022 · 4.48 FIP	23	SW	4.48	13.8%	6.1%	3.2%	.347	4.28	17.7%	7.3%	86	-0.20	3.96	148	89
Hunter Hayes R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	22	SW	4.53	13.3%	9.7%	2.4%	.307	4.49	16.5%	4.0%	155	-0.04	3.34	216	88
Kevin Johnson R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	11.0%	8.5%	2.6%	.302	5.52	9.9%	-2.0%	26	+0.83	4.69	106	87
Connor Johnstone R 2018 · 4.40 FIP	23	SW	4.40	15.7%	7.6%	3.0%	.272	4.51	12.9%	7.9%	166	+0.11	3.78	319	87
Kyle Smith R 2016 · 5.05 FIP	23	SW	5.05	14.7%	8.7%	3.8%	.326	3.31	15.2%	9.5%	76	-1.74	3.31	159	86
Josh DeGraaf R 2016 · 3.90 FIP	23	SW	3.90	15.3%	7.4%	2.1%	.310	4.23	16.4%	9.0%	226	+0.33	3.90	320	85
Devin Burke R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	24	SU	4.27	11.7%	7.0%	2.3%	.275	4.20	13.7%	8.8%	87	-0.07	4.20	149	85
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	84
Felipe Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.18 FIP	23	SW	4.18	13.9%	7.8%	2.3%	.288	5.04	16.5%	6.6%	181	+0.86	3.27	339	84
Melvi Acosta R 2018 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	12.7%	7.4%	1.4%	.341	3.36	18.2%	10.0%	140	-0.38	2.74	357	84
Blake Bass R 2016 · 4.17 FIP	23	SU	4.17	11.4%	6.4%	2.2%	.321	3.47	16.8%	6.6%	108	-0.70	3.18	223	84
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	83
Kelvis Valerio R 2015 · 4.53 FIP	23	SU	4.53	12.9%	10.3%	2.2%	.312	4.18	11.4%	4.0%	190	-0.35	4.14	266	82
Joan Gregorio R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	23	SW	4.29	18.0%	10.2%	2.6%	.269	4.18	21.1%	11.1%	208	-0.11	3.69	301	82
Micah Dallas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	23	SW	4.56	15.1%	5.7%	3.6%	.374	4.23	18.2%	9.5%	152	-0.33	3.60	201	82
Dylan Cumming R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	24	SW	4.11	16.0%	10.7%	1.8%	.311	4.31	18.4%	9.4%	314	+0.20	3.75	406	82
Matt Smith R 2016 · 3.77 FIP	22	SW	3.77	13.0%	6.4%	1.7%	.340	5.04	14.2%	6.7%	115	+1.27	3.77	163	82
Carlos Felix R 2019 · 4.92 FIP	23	SW	4.92	8.7%	6.3%	3.2%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	4.92	121	81
Kurt Heyer R 2015 · 3.75 FIP	24	SU	3.75	12.8%	6.2%	1.7%	.324	3.99	14.1%	7.4%	94	+0.24	3.75	178	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	63	15.5%	7.7%	1.12	4.78
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Josh Fleming ('24)	1.3	51	14.6%	7.5%	1.17	4.77