Marlon Franco
P
ACL Giants
Age 23
RHP
6'1" / 228 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133123vR 114
ERA5.04
FIP5.04
K%13.6%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%4.7%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 93 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Giants Orange | 12 | 0 | 15 | 67 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.3% | 13.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.52 | 6.29 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Giants Orange | 12 | 0 | 15 | 67 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.4% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 4.5% | 5.52 | 4.87 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 20 | 1 | 28 | 132 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 5% | 1.4 | 14.4% | 14.2% | 0.2% | 4.6% | 6.43 | 6.22 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 20 | 1 | 28 | 132 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 5% | 1.4 | 21.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 6.43 | 5.03 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 14 | 8 | 40 | 171 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 57% | 2.9 | 11.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 1.3% | 2.68 | 3.47 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 14 | 8 | 40 | 171 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 57% | 2.9 | 17.5% | 4.1% | 13.5% | 1.2% | 2.68 | 2.78 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 12 | 9 | 49 | 195 | 46 | 5 | 2 | 75% | 4.1 | 16.0% | 3.2% | 12.8% | 1.2% | 1.65 | 2.82 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | DSL Giants Black | 12 | 9 | 49 | 195 | 46 | 5 | 2 | 75% | 4.1 | 23.6% | 2.6% | 21.0% | 1.0% | 1.65 | 2.06 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | ACL Giants | 14 | 5 | 54 | 246 | 51 | 16 | 5 | 36% | 3.9 | 14.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 5.00 | 4.18 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | ACL Giants | 14 | 5 | 54 | 246 | 51 | 16 | 5 | 36% | 3.9 | 20.7% | 6.5% | 14.2% | 2.0% | 5.00 | 3.30 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | ROK | ACL Giants | 15 | 3 | 31 | 151 | 39 | 10 | 2 | 20% | 2.1 | 17.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 1.9% | 8.42 | 3.68 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | SF | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.6% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 5.04 | 5.04 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.6% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 5.04 | 5.04 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | SF | — | — | 93 | 411 | 74 | 33 | 10 | — | — | 18.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 2.3% | 6.17 | 4.59 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | SF | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 42 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 4.89 | 4.83 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | SF | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 46 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 4.76 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | SF | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 4.89 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | SF | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 4.76 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 66 | 0 | 69 | 293 | 48 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 4.81 | 4.37 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 138 | 72 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 4.81 | 4.37 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 87 | 26 | 217 | 962 | 143 | 75 | 23 | 30% | 2.5 | 14.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 4.52 | 4.13 | +3.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 80 | 24 | 200 | 887 | 132 | 69 | 21 | 30% | 2.5 | 14.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 4.52 | 4.13 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Marlon Franco (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.04 | 13.6% | 8.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.77 | 16.4% | 7.7% | 127 | -0.27 | — | — | — |
| Kevin Johnson R 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.59 | 11.0% | 8.5% | 2.5% | .302 | 5.48 | 9.9% | -2.0% | 26 | +0.89 | 4.59 | 106 | 89 |
| Scott Burke R 2027 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.84 | 14.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% | .316 | 5.01 | 14.9% | 6.7% | 61 | +0.17 | 4.84 | 119 | 88 |
| Kyle Smith R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.75 | 14.7% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .326 | 3.33 | 15.2% | 9.5% | 76 | -1.42 | 3.33 | 159 | 88 |
| Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.91 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 3.5% | .354 | 3.46 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 89 | -1.45 | 3.06 | 165 | 86 |
| Kelvis Valerio R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.80 | 12.9% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .312 | 4.08 | 11.4% | 4.0% | 190 | -0.72 | 4.03 | 266 | 86 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.02 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 2.1% | .277 | 3.65 | 19.4% | 11.4% | 83 | -0.37 | 3.43 | 167 | 85 |
| Devin Burke R 2027 · 4.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.61 | 11.7% | 7.0% | 3.0% | .275 | 3.97 | 13.7% | 8.8% | 87 | -0.64 | 3.97 | 149 | 85 |
| Bryan Pope R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 13.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | .347 | 4.16 | 17.7% | 7.3% | 86 | -0.60 | 3.87 | 148 | 85 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 85 |
| Connor Johnstone R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.49 | 15.7% | 7.6% | 3.2% | .272 | 4.58 | 12.9% | 7.9% | 166 | +0.09 | 3.90 | 319 | 85 |
| Dylan Cumming R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.25 | 16.0% | 10.7% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.09 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 274 | -0.16 | 3.69 | 366 | 85 |
| Josh DeGraaf R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.94 | 15.3% | 7.4% | 2.2% | .310 | 4.18 | 16.4% | 9.0% | 226 | +0.24 | 3.71 | 320 | 84 |
| Daniel Concepcion R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.38 | 13.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 110 | 84 |
| Joan Gregorio R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.56 | 18.0% | 10.2% | 3.1% | .269 | 4.23 | 21.1% | 11.1% | 208 | -0.33 | 3.60 | 301 | 84 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.50 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .286 | 4.16 | 16.1% | 7.8% | 91 | -0.34 | 3.28 | 252 | 84 |
| Jake Christianson R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.92 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 1.9% | .309 | 4.78 | 16.4% | 6.1% | 105 | +0.86 | 3.92 | 188 | 83 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.22 | 13.9% | 7.8% | 2.4% | .288 | 5.09 | 16.5% | 6.6% | 181 | +0.87 | 3.27 | 339 | 83 |
| Michael Wagner R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.10 | 13.1% | 11.3% | 1.2% | .287 | 4.27 | 16.4% | 4.1% | 84 | +0.17 | 4.10 | 149 | 83 |
| Cooper Adams R 2027 · 5.35 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.35 | 13.0% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .275 | 3.92 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 118 | -1.43 | 2.99 | 197 | 83 |
| Blake Bass R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.07 | 11.4% | 6.4% | 2.0% | .321 | 3.41 | 16.8% | 6.6% | 108 | -0.66 | 3.18 | 223 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 63 | 15.5% | 8.7% | 1.11 | 4.89 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |