Jesus Valdez (P, DSL Rangers Red) prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Jesus Valdez P DSL Rangers Red

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 175 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114106vR 98

ERA4.27

FIP4.27

K%23.0%

BB%8.6%

K-BB%14.4%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 1	9	0	12	44	12	2	0	0%	1.3	27.3%	4.5%	22.7%	0.0%	0.00	1.37	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 1	9	0	12	44	12	2	0	0%	1.3	27.3%	4.5%	22.7%	0.0%	0.00	1.56	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	17	1	40	165	41	9	1	6%	2.3	16.9%	6.8%	10.1%	0.7%	0.91	2.94	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	DSL TEX Blue	17	1	40	165	41	9	1	6%	2.3	24.8%	5.5%	19.4%	0.6%	0.91	2.04	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	11	0	21	91	22	5	1	0%	1.9	16.4%	6.9%	9.6%	1.5%	4.35	3.38	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	11	0	21	91	22	5	1	0%	1.9	16.4%	6.9%	9.6%	1.5%	4.35	3.38	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	11	0	21	91	22	5	1	0%	1.9	24.2%	5.5%	18.7%	1.1%	4.35	2.33	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	TEX	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.0%	8.6%	14.4%	3.0%	4.27	4.27	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TEX	19	0	20	84	20	7	3	0%	1.1	23.2%	8.7%	14.6%	3.0%	4.27	4.26	+0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	TEX	9	0	9	38	9	3	1	0%	1.0	23.2%	8.7%	14.6%	3.0%	4.27	4.26	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	3	1	0%	1.1	23.2%	8.7%	14.6%	3.0%	4.27	3.88	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	70	23	0%	1.1	23.2%	8.7%	14.6%	3.0%	4.27	3.88	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		37	1	72	300	55	20	3	3%	1.9	18.3%	6.5%	11.8%	0.8%	1.75	2.85	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		103	3	200	833	152	54	7	3%	1.9	18.3%	6.5%	11.8%	0.8%	1.75	2.85	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jesus Valdez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.27	23.0%	8.6%	3.0%	—	4.26	23.2%	14.6%	20	-0.01	—	—	—
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.35	22.4%	13.7%	185	+0.62	3.73	223	88
Grant Balfour R 2003 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	26.1%	10.4%	3.5%	.275	3.79	24.4%	12.8%	39	-0.34	2.04	533	87
Blake Goldsberry R 2022 · 3.43 FIP	25	SU	3.43	23.6%	8.3%	2.3%	.257	5.26	23.6%	12.0%	44	+1.83	3.43	117	86
Mitchell Stumpo R 2021 · 3.97 FIP	25	SU	3.97	25.6%	8.0%	3.7%	.299	5.27	22.4%	6.8%	121	+1.30	3.97	158	86
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	86
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	85
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	85
Jonathan Albaladejo R 2008 · 3.46 FIP	25	SU	3.46	22.4%	10.3%	1.7%	.368	5.02	14.0%	3.8%	46	+1.56	2.30	173	84
Garrett Mock R 2008 · 3.57 FIP	25	SU	3.57	25.6%	11.1%	2.2%	.300	4.06	17.1%	7.4%	91	+0.49	3.57	132	83
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	83
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	83
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	83
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	83
José Cisnero R 2013 · 3.86 FIP	24	SU	3.86	20.7%	8.6%	2.6%	.326	4.50	26.1%	14.4%	12	+0.64	2.26	322	82
Josh Lueke R 2011 · 3.24 FIP	26	SU	3.24	20.4%	8.5%	1.4%	.323	4.75	18.7%	12.4%	52	+1.51	2.29	191	81
Trey McLoughlin R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	23.7%	8.4%	3.0%	.295	4.55	20.8%	8.6%	123	+0.76	3.77	245	81
Fernando Salas R 2010 · 4.27 FIP	25	SU	4.27	21.8%	9.8%	3.2%	.276	3.29	23.5%	16.8%	162	-0.98	2.60	539	81
Guillermo Moscoso R 2009 · 3.56 FIP	25	SU	3.56	18.8%	9.4%	1.6%	.311	4.33	15.8%	8.5%	178	+0.77	3.56	486	81
Scott Dohmann R 2004 · 4.44 FIP	26	SU	4.44	24.7%	9.6%	4.0%	.270	4.80	20.6%	8.5%	112	+0.36	4.28	173	81
Jackson Hicks R 2023 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	22.6%	10.5%	2.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	116	81