Nick Gonzales

3B Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 28 R/R 5'8" / 193 lbs MLB HR -15%K -5% Svc 2.105 · Ctrl thru 2030

Overview

MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2031

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	25	MLBPIT	387	.270/.314/.398	7	5	98	1.1
2025	26	MLBPIT	408	.260/.302/.362	5	0	86	0.7
2026	27	MLBPIT	608	.303/.367/.388	6	7	119	3.1
2027PROJ	28	MLBPIT	608	.278/.339/.370	7	30	103	2.1
2028PROJ	29	MLBPIT	596	.274/.335/.362	7	25	100	1.6
2029PROJ	30	MLBPIT	584	.270/.330/.352	6	21	95	1.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 5.0 · Next 3 projected WAR 5.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2030Service2.105First FA2031

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Arb-1$4M2029Arb-2$6M2030Arb-3$6M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Chase%90

Whiff%85

Speed84

xwOBA56

Bat Spd40

Avg EV29

Form.280/.348/.362 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .278/.337/.371

CompsNico Hoerner (age 27) · Leonys Martin (age 27) · Craig Gentry (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 105103vR 95

AVG/OBP/SLG.278 / .339 / .370

PA608

HR7

SB30

K%17

BB%7

BABIP329

ISO89

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$32M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

857.4%

xAVG

740.270

POWER45

Barrel%

244.8

Avg EV

2987.5

Bat Spd

4070.3

EYE40

Chase%

9021.1%

SPEED60

Sprint

8428.8

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%16%▲15% over 95 PA (60d) · proj 17%

BB%8%▲9% over 95 PA (60d) · proj 7%

ISO.082▼.060 over 83 AB (60d) · proj .093

HR/BB1.1%▼0.0% over 69 BBE (60d) · proj 1.7%

BABIP.329·.333 over 69 BIP (60d) · proj .329

SLASH.280/.348/.362·proj .278/.337/.371

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 881 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

225

656

—

wRC+

103

◀◀L

wOBA

320

293

◀L

ISO

143

095

◀◀L

BABIP

334

310

◀L

21.3%

17.4%

▶▶R

BB%

4.4%

4.9%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.105 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.7	$23M	+$22M
2028	Arb-1	$4M	+1.6	$12M	+$8M
2029	Arb-2	$6M	+1.2	$8M	+$3M
2030	Arb-3	$6M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$11M		$45M	+$33M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	369	324	98	23	4	18	40	101	4	7	2	302	386	565	951	262	388	27	11	413	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	87	71	27	4	1	2	13	14	2	4	0	380	488	549	1.038	169	446	16	15	455	194	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	316	259	68	20	1	7	43	90	10	5	3	263	388	429	816	166	367	28	14	365	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	77	68	19	4	1	3	7	16	1	1	1	279	355	500	855	221	320	21	9	371	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	128	115	24	8	1	2	6	36	4	0	1	209	272	348	620	139	278	28	5	273	71	-4	-0	+1	+2	+3	0.1
2023	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	443	377	106	27	8	14	53	118	9	4	3	281	383	507	889	225	369	27	12	388	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	387	359	97	19	3	7	18	74	5	5	3	270	314	398	712	128	319	19	5	314	98	-1	-0	+2	+2	+8	1.1
2024	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	154	135	48	14	2	5	15	25	3	0	3	356	431	600	1.031	244	406	16	10	446	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	408	381	99	18	3	5	21	73	2	0	2	260	302	362	664	102	306	18	5	295	86	-7	-1	+4	+2	+9	0.7
2025	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	38	36	7	0	1	0	0	11	1	0	0	194	216	250	466	56	269	29	0	205	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	608	551	167	27	1	6	43	99	13	7	3	303	367	388	756	85	360	16	7	343	119	+13	+0	+2	+2	+13	3.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1531	1406	387	72	8	20	88	282	24	12	9	275	329	381	709	105	329	18	6	317	101	+2	-1	+8	+8	+33	5.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	369	338	78	19	3	11	26	134	4	7	2	231	293	402	696	172	346	36	7	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	316	271	61	18	1	5	31	112	10	5	3	225	327	354	681	129	340	35	10	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	128	115	24	8	1	2	6	36	4	0	1	209	272	348	620	139	278	28	5	273	71	-4	-0	+1	+2	+3	0.1
2023	24	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	443	395	91	22	7	9	35	147	9	4	3	230	308	390	697	159	335	33	8	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	387	360	97	18	3	8	17	74	5	5	3	269	312	403	714	133	319	19	4	314	98	-1	-0	+2	+2	+8	1.1
2024	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	154	139	42	11	2	4	11	32	3	0	3	302	366	496	862	194	354	21	7	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	408	381	98	17	3	5	21	73	2	0	2	257	300	357	656	100	306	18	5	296	86	-7	-1	+4	+2	+9	0.7
2025	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	38	36	6	0	1	0	0	14	1	0	0	167	189	222	411	56	249	37	0	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	608	551	167	26	1	6	43	99	13	7	3	303	367	387	754	83	360	16	7	343	119	+13	+0	+2	+2	+13	3.1
2021	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	456	416	98	24	4	14	32	165	6	11	2	236	300	413	713	178	351	36	7	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	456	395	125	27	5	20	53	115	6	11	2	316	405	562	967	246	401	25	12	421	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	393	339	75	22	1	6	38	140	11	6	4	221	320	345	665	124	348	36	10	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	393	327	87	24	2	10	50	106	11	6	4	266	381	443	825	177	356	27	13	366	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	571	510	115	30	8	11	41	183	13	4	4	225	300	380	680	155	323	32	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	571	492	130	35	9	16	59	154	13	4	4	264	358	470	828	205	348	27	10	362	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	541	499	138	29	5	11	28	106	8	5	6	277	325	421	746	144	328	20	5	328	108	+5	-1	+2	+2	+12	1.9
2024	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	541	494	145	33	5	12	33	99	8	5	6	294	348	453	801	160	343	18	6	352	108	+5	-1	+2	+2	+12	1.9
2025	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	446	417	105	17	4	5	21	87	3	0	2	252	293	348	640	96	303	20	5	286	80	-11	-1	+4	+2	+10	0.4
2025	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	446	417	106	18	4	5	21	84	3	0	2	254	295	353	647	98	303	19	5	288	80	-11	-1	+4	+2	+10	0.4
2026	27	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	608	551	167	26	1	6	43	99	13	7	3	303	367	387	754	83	360	16	7	343	119	+13	+0	+2	+2	+13	3.1
2026	27	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	608	551	167	27	1	6	43	99	13	7	3	303	367	388	756	85	360	16	7	343	119	+13	+0	+2	+2	+13	3.1
2021	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	456	415	98	24	4	14	32	165	6	11	2	236	300	414	714	178	346	36	7	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	393	341	75	22	1	6	38	140	11	6	4	220	320	343	663	123	340	36	10	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	571	512	115	30	8	11	41	183	13	4	4	225	300	379	679	154	322	32	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	541	500	138	29	5	11	28	106	8	5	6	276	325	420	745	144	329	20	5	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	446	419	105	17	4	5	21	87	3	0	2	251	293	346	639	95	301	20	5	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	608	547	167	26	1	6	43	99	13	7	3	305	367	389	757	84	360	16	7	343	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	541	500	138	29	5	11	28	106	8	5	6	276	325	420	745	144	329	20	5	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	446	419	105	17	4	5	21	87	3	0	2	251	293	346	639	95	301	20	5	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	608	547	167	26	1	6	43	99	13	7	3	305	367	389	757	84	360	16	7	343	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	PIT	100%	533	484	135	20	2	7	35	92	9	26	5	279	340	371	711	93	329	17	7	320	103	+2	+3	-0	+2	+12	2.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	PIT	100%	608	552	153	24	2	7	40	105	11	30	6	278	339	370	709	91	329	17	7	320	103	+2	+4	-0	+2	+13	2.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	PIT	100%	596	542	148	22	2	7	39	105	10	25	5	275	335	363	699	89	326	18	7	315	100	-0	+3	-2	+2	+13	1.6
2029	30	MLB MLE	PIT	100%	584	531	144	21	2	7	38	104	10	21	4	270	330	353	683	83	322	18	7	309	95	-3	+3	-2	+2	+13	1.2
2030	31	MLB MLE	PIT	100%	572	521	137	20	1	6	37	104	9	15	3	264	323	341	664	77	317	18	6	301	90	-7	+2	-3	+2	+12	0.7
2031	32	MLB MLE	PIT	100%	550	501	129	18	1	5	35	103	9	9	3	257	316	327	643	69	312	19	6	293	84	-10	+1	-4	+2	+12	0.0
2032	33	MLB MLE	PIT	100%	520	475	119	16	1	4	32	100	8	4	2	250	308	311	619	61	307	19	6	282	77	-14	+0	-4	+2	+11	-0.5
2028	29	MLB CTX	PIT	100%	596	542	149	23	2	7	39	105	10	25	5	274	335	362	697	87	326	18	7	315	100	-0	+3	-2	+2	+13	1.6
2029	30	MLB CTX	PIT	100%	584	531	143	22	2	6	38	104	10	21	4	270	330	352	682	82	322	18	7	309	95	-3	+3	-2	+2	+13	1.2
2030	31	MLB CTX	PIT	100%	572	521	137	21	1	5	37	104	9	15	3	263	323	340	663	76	317	18	6	301	90	-7	+2	-3	+2	+12	0.7
2031	32	MLB CTX	PIT	100%	550	501	129	19	1	4	35	103	9	9	3	257	316	326	643	69	313	19	6	292	84	-10	+1	-4	+2	+12	0.0
2032	33	MLB CTX	PIT	100%	520	475	119	17	1	3	32	100	8	4	2	250	308	310	618	60	307	19	6	282	77	-14	+0	-4	+2	+11	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4353	3976	1064	174	15	45	269	798	70	86	26	268	325	353	678	85	323	18	6	306	95	-33	+7	-7	+18	+94	8.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	159	26	2	7	40	119	10	13	4	268	325	354	678	86	322	18	6	306	95	-5	+1	-1	+3	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	6445	5854	1529	268	32	90	424	1401	111	137	44	261	323	364	687	103	327	22	7	308	95	-31	+10	-7	+20	+107	10.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	154	27	3	9	43	141	11	14	4	261	322	363	685	102	327	22	7	308	95	-4	+1	-1	+3	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1César Hernándezlast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,797 PA	7.2	4,797	71	91	267	341	375	+17	+1	17.8	18.1
/162	664	10	13	+2.4	+0.2	2.5	pk7: 18
#2Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	6.5	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
/162	664	13	19	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Eddie Foster'10-'23 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,317 PA	9.5	6,317	6	195	255*	319*	384*	+23	+20	17.7	17.7
/162	664	1	20	+2.5	+2.1	1.9	pk7: 18
#4Maicer Izturislast yr '13 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,312 PA	5.0	3,312	39	92	269	331	372	+15	+23	13.1	13.4
/162	664	8	18	+3.0	+4.6	2.6	pk7: 14
#5Horace Clarke'65-'74 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,242 PA	7.9	5,242	27	151	264*	314*	351*	+20	+26	13.3	13.4
/162	664	3	19	+2.6	+3.3	1.7	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	7.5	4,961	56	115	270	324	358	+18	+25	12.3	12.1
/162	664	7	15	+2.4	+3.3	1.6	pk7: 12
#6Tony Piet'31-'38 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,914 PA	4.4	2,914	23	80	251*	328*	385*	+10	+10	9.5	9.8
/162	664	5	18	+2.4	+2.3	2.2	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Gonzales (OGILVIE)	28	55	45	60	40	276/337/368	92	329	8	30	17%	7%	103	+1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Nico Hoerner 2024 · MLB	27	57→62	42→45	59→60	51	276/333/385	109	302	10	29	12%	6%	105	+1.7	275/332/376	101	297	8	26	10%	7%	102	+1.5	273/329/366	93	292	7	25	9%	6%	99	+1.4
✕Leonys Martin 2015 · MLB	27	54→56	43→50	58→60	46	260/310/372	112	313	10	31	20%	6%	93	+0.8	240/291/358	118	300	12	27	23%	6%	83	+0.1	241/296/382	141	305	16	24	25%	6%	90	+0.5
✕Craig Gentry 2012 · MLB	28	51→55	39→40	61→60	47	241/305/325	84	289	6	31	18%	6%	81	-0.1	257/325/340	83	311	4	33	17%	7%	91	+0.7	267/336/337	69	324	2	40	17%	7%	94	+0.4
✕Chris Duffy 2007 · MLB	27	58→64	42→45	62→60	44	276/328/388	111	333	8	33	19%	5%	103	+1.6	245/306/355	110	297	8	25	19%	7%	88	+0.4	228/283/334	105	295	7	21	24%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Greg Allen 2022 · MLB	29	53→57	43→45	62→65	46	251/340/370	119	318	9	34	22%	7%	105	+1.7	225/316/340	115	297	9	37	26%	7%	90	+0.6	203/292/312	108	273	8	40	26%	6%	73	-0.2
✕Alcides Escobar 2015 · MLB	28	56→66	38→45	59→55	44	265/296/353	88	301	5	25	14%	4%	83	+0.1	256/288/343	87	291	5	15	14%	4%	78	-0.3	237/281/345	108	288	8	6	20%	4%	75	-0.3
✕Damian Jackson 2002 · MLB	28	52→54	41→45	59→55	51	244/321/357	113	315	7	26	23%	10%	94	+0.9	242/304/347	105	295	7	27	19%	8%	85	+0.2	254/321/349	95	292	7	32	15%	8%	92	+0.3
✕Tim Locastro 2020 · MLB	28	50→53	43→45	60	45	238/327/355	117	285	9	29	19%	5%	98	+1.2	223/310/344	121	268	11	25	20%	6%	88	+0.5	210/293/320	110	261	10	36	22%	5%	75	-0.2
✕Tommy Edman 2023 · MLB	28	53→58	46→50	58→55	48	260/313/394	134	295	13	25	16%	6%	100	+1.3	245/303/393	148	275	16	22	17%	7%	96	+1.0	235/293/384	149	259	18	20	17%	6%	92	+0.5
●Alejandro De Aza 2012 · MLB	28	57→61	45→50	56→55	47	276/327/411	135	332	10	25	20%	6%	108	+1.9	266/324/400	134	325	11	22	20%	7%	105	+1.7	259/321/390	131	318	11	21	21%	7%	102	+1.5
●Esteban German 2006 · MLB	28	56→59	39→45	61→60	51	262/327/354	91	315	5	31	18%	8%	95	+1.0	270/348/379	109	322	6	19	16%	10%	109	+2.0	273/356/383	111	323	4	15	15%	10%	113	+1.2
✕Erick Aybar 2012 · MLB	28	56→63	42→45	57→60	48	270/315/387	118	295	8	23	12%	6%	98	+1.2	274/311/394	120	299	8	18	11%	5%	98	+1.2	275/311/386	111	299	7	16	10%	4%	97	+1.1
✕Jason Bourgeois 2010 · MLB	28	55→58	40→45	60→65	45	264/300/357	93	296	7	32	14%	4%	85	+0.2	260/301/341	81	293	5	37	13%	5%	82	-0.0	260/304/332	72	290	4	42	12%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Myles Straw 2022 · MLB	27	56→60	38→40	56→60	54	261/334/341	80	325	4	27	20%	10%	95	+1.0	232/299/301	69	287	3	23	18%	9%	73	-0.6	227/283/314	88	278	5	24	19%	7%	69	-0.6
●Elvis Andrus 2017 · MLB	28	56→61	41→50	53→60	52	267/323/373	106	297	7	23	13%	7%	98	+1.2	271/319/405	134	304	12	19	15%	6%	104	+1.6	268/313/397	129	300	12	21	15%	6%	98	+1.2
✕Kelby Tomlinson 2018 · MLB	28	57→64	36→40	55→60	51	265/326/334	69	320	3	24	17%	8%	90	+0.6	227/278/283	56	305	2	12	24%	6%	60	-1.6	217/262/253	36	302	0	8	26%	5%	45	-1.6
✕Jon Berti 2019 · MLB	29	50→60	42→45	63→60	46	243/303/359	116	300	9	34	22%	6%	88	+0.4	254/336/380	126	324	12	28	23%	10%	105	+1.7	250/347/372	122	322	12	29	24%	11%	108	+0.8
✕Shawn O'Malley 2016 · MLB	28	53→58	40	59→60	47	253/309/351	98	304	6	24	18%	6%	88	+0.4	236/295/334	98	301	7	16	23%	7%	79	-0.2	228/288/315	87	298	6	12	24%	7%	70	-0.3
●Jerry Hairston Jr. 2004 · MLB	28	53→55	41→50	55	54	251/322/360	109	274	7	26	12%	8%	95	+1.0	259/331/360	101	287	6	19	11%	8%	99	+1.2	262/320/400	138	281	13	15	12%	7%	104	+1.2
✕Tyler Saladino 2017 · MLB	28	52→47	45	56→55	44	254/299/374	120	298	12	23	19%	5%	90	+0.6	219/283/335	116	280	12	16	25%	7%	76	-0.4	198/271/319	122	257	14	15	28%	8%	66	-0.6

Nick Gonzales

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps