Jaden Woods

P Charlotte Knights

Age 25 LHP 6'1" / 205 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

Scout OFP40ETA2028MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	MIX2 levels	40	1	60	3.75	3.12	27.8%	10.5%	—	K 22.1% · BB 11.8% · FIP 4.08
2025	23	AAPIT	44	0	62	5.81	3.55	22.7%	11.0%	—	K 18.4% · BB 12.1% · FIP 4.32
2026	24	MIX2 levels	46	1	62	3.94	2.97	35.0%	10.5%	—	K 29.4% · BB 10.4% · FIP 3.60
2027PROJ	25	MLBCWS	67	0	70	4.43	4.43	25.5%	11.6%	0.1
2028PROJ48% MLB	26	MLBCWS	32	0	34	4.41	4.40	25.5%	11.3%	0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	27	MLBCWS	44	0	46	4.42	4.43	25.4%	11.2%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff49Control40Command48FB velo50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 90%

CompsPeyton Alford (age 25) · Andrew Walling (age 24) · Robby Ahlstrom (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101109vR 117

ERA4.43

FIP4.43

K%25.5%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%14.0%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4050

CTRL4040

CMD4050

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	10	0	14	54	21	3	0	0%	1.4	28.8%	6.6%	22.2%	0.0%	3.14	1.50	—
2023	21	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	10	0	14	54	21	3	0	0%	1.4	38.9%	5.6%	33.3%	0.0%	3.14	0.80	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	1	60	266	74	28	5	2%	1.5	22.1%	11.8%	10.3%	2.5%	3.75	4.08	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	1	60	266	74	28	5	2%	1.5	22.1%	11.8%	10.3%	2.5%	3.75	4.08	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	1	60	266	74	28	5	2%	1.5	27.8%	10.5%	17.3%	1.9%	3.75	3.12	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	44	0	62	299	68	33	5	0%	1.4	18.4%	12.1%	6.3%	2.3%	5.81	4.32	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	44	0	62	299	68	33	5	0%	1.4	18.4%	12.1%	6.3%	2.3%	5.81	4.32	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	44	0	62	299	68	33	5	0%	1.4	22.7%	11.0%	11.7%	1.7%	5.81	3.55	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	1	62	257	90	27	7	2%	1.3	29.4%	10.4%	19.0%	3.0%	3.94	3.60	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	1	62	257	90	27	7	2%	1.3	29.4%	10.4%	19.0%	3.0%	3.94	3.60	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	1	62	257	90	27	7	2%	1.3	35.0%	10.5%	24.5%	2.7%	3.94	2.97	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	CWS	67	0	70	296	75	34	9	0%	1.0	25.5%	11.6%	14.0%	3.0%	4.43	4.43	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CWS	67	0	70	296	75	33	9	0%	1.0	25.5%	11.3%	14.2%	3.0%	4.41	4.40	+0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	CWS	66	0	69	291	74	33	9	0%	1.0	25.4%	11.2%	14.1%	3.0%	4.42	4.43	+0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	CWS	64	0	67	282	71	32	9	0%	1.0	25.1%	11.3%	13.9%	3.1%	4.47	4.51	+0.0
2031	29	MLB MLE	CWS	61	0	64	270	67	31	9	0%	1.0	24.9%	11.4%	13.4%	3.3%	4.57	4.63	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	CWS	32	0	34	144	37	16	4	0%	1.1	25.5%	11.3%	14.2%	3.0%	4.41	4.40	+0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	CWS	44	0	46	194	49	22	6	0%	1.0	25.4%	11.2%	14.1%	3.0%	4.42	4.43	+0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	CWS	50	0	52	220	55	25	7	0%	1.0	25.1%	11.3%	13.9%	3.1%	4.47	4.51	+0.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	CWS	50	0	53	224	56	26	7	0%	1.1	24.9%	11.4%	13.4%	3.3%	4.57	4.63	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		175	0	184	777	196	88	24	0%	1.1	25.2%	11.3%	13.9%	3.1%	4.48	4.12	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	213	96	26	0%	1.1	25.2%	11.3%	13.9%	3.1%	4.48	4.12	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		140	2	198	876	205	98	21	1%	1.4	23.4%	11.2%	12.2%	2.4%	4.41	3.86	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		141	2	200	885	207	99	21	1%	1.4	23.4%	11.2%	12.2%	2.4%	4.41	3.86	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jaden Woods (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.43	25.5%	11.6%	3.0%	—	4.45	25.3%	14.1%	206	+0.02	—	—	—
Peyton Alford L 2023 · 3.69 FIP	25	SU	3.69	28.0%	12.4%	2.5%	.303	4.09	24.5%	13.4%	175	+0.40	3.48	291	85
Andrew Walling L 2024 · 4.05 FIP	24	SU	4.05	23.4%	13.2%	2.3%	.281	3.73	20.8%	7.5%	52	-0.32	3.14	161	85
Robby Ahlstrom L 2024 · 3.89 FIP	25	SU	3.89	21.9%	11.6%	2.1%	.294	4.02	20.7%	11.1%	120	+0.13	3.79	332	84
Aaron Fultz L 2000 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.7%	9.4%	2.7%	.294	3.88	19.4%	12.5%	180	-0.12	3.46	480	84
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	84
Jared Tobey L 2021 · 4.11 FIP	25	SU	4.11	23.6%	11.8%	2.8%	.341	8.03	20.1%	1.1%	25	+3.92	3.99	158	83
Brandon Hughes L 2021 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	27.0%	11.1%	2.7%	.300	4.59	24.3%	15.3%	149	+0.91	3.68	206	83
Thomas Burrows L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	24	SU	3.99	22.0%	10.5%	2.6%	.276	3.93	26.5%	12.9%	82	-0.06	2.67	271	82
Greg Nappo L 2015 · 3.37 FIP	26	SU	3.37	22.7%	7.5%	2.2%	.267	5.25	16.5%	5.9%	79	+1.88	3.37	144	82
B.J. Ryan L 2001 · 3.96 FIP	25	SU	3.96	22.8%	11.0%	2.5%	.272	2.67	29.1%	19.3%	195	-1.29	1.77	532	82
Jerry Vasto L 2017 · 4.16 FIP	25	SU	4.16	22.2%	10.2%	3.0%	.382	3.52	24.0%	12.5%	38	-0.64	2.89	206	82
Jackson Lancaster L 2024 · 4.48 FIP	25	SU	4.48	24.0%	11.1%	3.6%	.355	5.36	18.3%	4.9%	93	+0.88	4.15	142	82
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	81
Locke St. John L 2018 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	24.7%	10.1%	2.8%	.281	3.51	25.9%	15.4%	109	-0.33	3.07	389	81
Kevin Siegrist L 2014 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	26.4%	11.4%	3.8%	.329	3.61	27.2%	16.8%	176	-0.81	2.13	246	81
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	81
Dario Alvarez L 2015 · 3.47 FIP	26	SU	3.47	26.0%	13.1%	1.7%	.260	3.64	27.7%	17.1%	129	+0.17	3.47	160	80
Bailey Horn L 2023 · 3.91 FIP	25	SU	3.91	21.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.322	4.56	22.4%	11.6%	110	+0.65	3.90	265	80
Elvis Araujo L 2016 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	21.0%	9.8%	2.8%	.308	5.18	22.9%	11.1%	38	+1.09	2.46	120	80
Michael Kirkman L 2012 · 4.06 FIP	25	SU	4.06	25.2%	10.6%	3.2%	.207	3.82	21.0%	6.4%	54	-0.24	2.79	171	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	25.3%	11.4%	1.20	4.46
Hansel Robles ('22)	2.1	61	25.3%	10.2%	1.20	4.11
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. ('16)	1.2	58	24.6%	11.1%	0.93	4.35
J.J. Hoover ('18)	1.4	57	23.8%	11.4%	1.42	4.17
Mac Scarce ('72-'78, 1 WAR*)	1.0	52	25.9%*	12.4%*	1.27*	4.17*
Bill Kelso ('64-'68, 1 WAR*)	1.0	67	23.1%*	11.6%*	1.09*	4.19*
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*