Sean Heppner — OGILVIE

Sean Heppner P Lynchburg Hillcats

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 57 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 157149vR 141

ERA6.54

FIP6.54

K%12.3%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-7.7%

ROS IP57

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2525

CTRL2020

CMD2020

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	6	0	12	57	15	11	1	0%	1.9	19.5%	22.8%	-3.3%	2.7%	6.94	5.82	—
2024	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	6	0	12	57	15	11	1	0%	1.9	19.5%	22.8%	-3.3%	2.7%	6.94	5.82	—
2024	21	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	6	0	12	57	15	11	1	0%	1.9	26.3%	19.3%	7.0%	1.8%	6.94	4.47	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	33	0	42	213	35	35	1	0%	1.3	12.2%	19.4%	-7.2%	0.5%	5.79	4.81	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	33	0	42	213	35	35	1	0%	1.3	12.2%	19.4%	-7.2%	0.5%	5.79	4.81	—
2025	22	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	33	0	42	213	35	35	1	0%	1.3	16.4%	16.4%	0.0%	0.5%	5.79	4.24	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	CLE	54	0	57	241	30	48	7	0%	1.1	12.3%	20.0%	-7.7%	2.9%	6.54	6.54	-1.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CLE	55	0	58	244	36	43	7	0%	1.1	14.6%	17.7%	-3.1%	2.9%	6.16	6.06	-0.9
2029	26	MLB MLE	CLE	55	0	58	244	39	42	7	0%	1.1	16.0%	17.0%	-1.1%	2.9%	5.93	5.86	-0.8
2028	25	MLB CTX	CLE	24	0	25	106	15	19	3	0%	1.0	14.6%	17.7%	-3.1%	2.9%	6.16	6.06	-0.4
2029	26	MLB CTX	CLE	36	0	38	160	26	27	5	0%	1.1	16.0%	17.0%	-1.1%	2.9%	5.93	5.86	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		60	0	63	266	41	46	8	0%	1.1	15.5%	17.3%	-1.9%	2.9%	6.02	5.56	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	130	146	25	0%	1.1	15.5%	17.3%	-1.9%	2.9%	6.02	5.56	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		39	0	54	270	37	54	3	0%	1.4	13.7%	20.1%	-6.4%	1.0%	6.04	5.03	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		145	0	200	1006	138	202	10	0%	1.4	13.7%	20.1%	-6.4%	1.0%	6.04	5.03	-3.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sean Heppner (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.54	12.3%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.96	15.3%	-2.1%	116	-0.58	—	—	—
Noah Takacs R 2024 · 5.77 FIP	22	SU	5.77	12.5%	16.4%	3.0%	.301	5.68	13.4%	-2.3%	91	-0.09	5.25	130	88
Dylan Rheault R 2015 · 5.75 FIP	23	SU	5.75	6.5%	14.9%	2.4%	.288	4.11	14.1%	4.8%	96	-1.64	3.88	198	86
Kelvin Vasquez R 2017 · 6.26 FIP	24	SU	6.26	15.0%	23.2%	2.7%	.247	5.06	14.5%	-0.2%	48	-1.20	5.01	180	85
Jairo Beras R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	24	SU	5.47	15.0%	20.3%	1.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	110	84
Roman Phansalkar R 2022 · 6.38 FIP	24	SU	6.38	13.5%	18.4%	3.8%	.245	4.77	17.4%	4.0%	147	-1.61	4.33	164	84
Jake Gozzo R 2021 · 7.10 FIP	24	SU	7.10	14.3%	30.2%	2.5%	.200	5.35	15.8%	-0.7%	129	-1.75	4.32	162	83
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	83
Chay Yeager R 2024 · 5.60 FIP	21	SU	5.60	13.1%	15.7%	2.9%	.261	4.20	22.8%	12.5%	56	-1.40	4.20	110	83
Darvin Garcia R 2023 · 5.89 FIP	24	SU	5.89	13.4%	19.6%	2.6%	.277	4.94	15.5%	-3.1%	80	-0.95	2.97	212	82
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	82
Johendí Jiminian R 2017 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	11.5%	14.0%	3.3%	.300	4.77	13.9%	3.6%	164	-0.93	4.01	419	82
Jack Hartman R 2022 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	15.1%	20.3%	2.5%	.357	3.99	19.5%	8.6%	143	-1.79	3.46	161	82
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	81
Leandro Linares R 2018 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	16.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	1.93	134	81
Abel Brito R 2024 · 6.24 FIP	23	SU	6.24	14.0%	23.6%	2.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	147	81
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	81
Conner O'Neil R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	12.8%	13.6%	3.7%	.340	6.92	16.4%	4.1%	26	+1.14	2.89	115	81
Jake Ehret R 2017 · 5.64 FIP	24	SU	5.64	12.3%	15.8%	2.9%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	173	81
Dallas Woolfolk R 2021 · 6.62 FIP	24	SU	6.62	12.9%	21.9%	3.3%	.324	5.12	14.0%	0.7%	50	-1.50	5.12	100	80
German Taveras R 2016 · 6.41 FIP	23	SU	6.41	10.9%	15.7%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	108	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	14.3%	18.2%	1.11	6.21
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Denny Bautista ('10)	1.1	45	17.3%	12.7%	0.85	5.89
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99