Adrian Quintana

P Modesto Nuts

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 175 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	20	MIX2 levels	8	5	17	5.19	3.79	21.8%	14.1%	—	K 13.6% · BB 18.8% · FIP 4.33
2024	21	MIX2 levels	28	0	43	4.78	3.75	21.1%	7.7%	—	K 15.1% · BB 9.3% · FIP 5.20
2025	22	AModesto Nuts	36	0	49	4.41	4.08	19.9%	10.6%	—	K 14.7% · BB 12.6% · FIP 5.62
2027PROJ	24	MLBSEA	54	0	57	5.57	5.57	14.9%	13.2%	-0.6
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBSEA	24	0	25	5.36	5.31	16.5%	12.3%	-0.2
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBSEA	36	0	38	5.23	5.20	17.4%	12.0%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control40Command35

CompsVictor Santos (age 24) · Dylan Spacke (age 24) · Cooper Adams (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.57

FIP5.57

K%14.9%

BB%13.2%

K-BB%1.7%

Proj IP57

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	12	11	59	224	64	9	3	92%	4.9	19.4%	5.0%	14.4%	1.9%	1.97	3.12	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	12	11	59	224	64	9	3	92%	4.9	28.6%	4.0%	24.6%	1.3%	1.97	2.06	—
2022	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	10	38	181	37	16	7	83%	3.2	14.4%	10.7%	3.7%	5.4%	8.76	6.22	—
2022	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	10	38	181	37	16	7	83%	3.2	20.4%	8.8%	11.6%	3.9%	8.76	4.81	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	5	17	78	17	11	1	62%	2.2	13.6%	18.8%	-5.1%	0.0%	5.19	4.33	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	5	17	78	17	11	1	62%	2.2	21.8%	14.1%	7.7%	1.3%	5.19	3.79	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	43	194	41	15	5	0%	1.5	15.1%	9.3%	5.8%	4.0%	4.78	5.20	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	43	194	41	15	5	0%	1.5	15.1%	9.3%	5.8%	4.0%	4.78	5.20	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	43	194	41	15	5	0%	1.5	21.1%	7.7%	13.4%	2.6%	4.78	3.75	—
2025	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	36	0	49	216	43	23	5	0%	1.4	14.7%	12.6%	2.2%	4.0%	4.41	5.62	—
2025	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	36	0	49	216	43	23	5	0%	1.4	14.7%	12.6%	2.2%	4.0%	4.41	5.62	—
2025	22	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	36	0	49	216	43	23	5	0%	1.4	19.9%	10.6%	9.3%	2.3%	4.41	4.08	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	SEA	54	0	57	241	36	32	7	0%	1.1	14.9%	13.2%	1.7%	3.1%	5.57	5.57	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SEA	55	0	58	244	40	30	7	0%	1.1	16.5%	12.3%	4.2%	3.0%	5.36	5.31	-0.5
2029	26	MLB MLE	SEA	55	0	58	244	43	29	7	0%	1.1	17.4%	12.0%	5.4%	3.0%	5.23	5.20	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	SEA	24	0	25	106	17	13	3	0%	1.0	16.5%	12.3%	4.2%	3.0%	5.36	5.31	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	SEA	36	0	38	160	28	19	5	0%	1.1	17.4%	12.0%	5.4%	3.0%	5.23	5.20	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		60	0	63	266	45	32	8	0%	1.1	17.1%	12.1%	4.9%	3.0%	5.28	4.86	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	143	102	25	0%	1.1	17.1%	12.1%	4.9%	3.0%	5.28	4.86	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		96	26	207	893	141	91	30	27%	2.2	15.8%	10.1%	5.7%	3.4%	4.65	4.91	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		93	25	200	863	137	87	29	27%	2.2	15.8%	10.1%	5.7%	3.4%	4.65	4.91	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adrian Quintana (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.57	14.9%	13.2%	3.1%	—	5.25	17.0%	4.8%	116	-0.32	—	—	—
Victor Santos R 2001 · 4.97 FIP	24	SW	4.97	15.5%	13.4%	2.7%	.231	4.38	16.4%	7.4%	206	-0.59	4.09	602	88
Dylan Spacke R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	24	SU	5.24	16.1%	13.9%	3.2%	.297	4.79	13.6%	0.2%	52	-0.45	2.08	205	85
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	83
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	82
Kender Villegas R 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SU	4.70	13.3%	13.3%	1.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	131	82
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	82
Ryan Vogelsong R 2001 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	14.6%	11.6%	3.7%	.287	4.78	14.9%	5.7%	155	-0.56	3.14	1,184	82
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	82
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	82
Tyler Barnette R 2016 · 4.46 FIP	24	SW	4.46	13.0%	10.0%	2.2%	.333	3.99	10.7%	-3.5%	13	-0.47	3.57	173	82
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	81
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	81
Ian Villers R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	13.2%	11.9%	1.9%	.311	4.23	15.6%	5.2%	59	-0.32	4.23	107	80
James Pugliese R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	24	SW	4.72	12.5%	11.6%	2.2%	.226	—	—	—	—	—	2.52	218	80
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	80
Zach Nuding R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	12.5%	10.5%	2.5%	.236	5.03	12.6%	3.3%	106	+0.27	4.76	146	80
Johendí Jiminian R 2017 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	11.5%	14.0%	3.3%	.300	4.77	13.9%	3.6%	164	-0.93	4.01	419	80
Taylor Grover R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SU	5.03	15.1%	12.9%	2.9%	.229	4.30	18.7%	9.1%	150	-0.73	3.68	239	80
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	80
Kevin Johnson R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	11.0%	8.5%	2.6%	.302	5.52	9.9%	-2.0%	26	+0.83	4.69	106	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	16.3%	12.5%	1.18	5.39
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*