Willy Vasquez

3B Norfolk Tides

Age 25 R/R 6'2" / 191 lbs AAA HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

AAAPROSPECTFG #994Pre-ArbFA 2033

ETA2029FG ETA2027MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	AATB	165	.256/.297/.359	2	6	55	—	.234/.267/.335
2026	24	AAABAL	156	.227/.333/.348	3	8	59	—	.203/.281/.290
2026	24	AABAL	134	.284/.371/.371	2	6	89	—	.273/.333/.355
2027PROJ10% MLB	25	MLBBAL	30	.189/.246/.274	0	1	44	-0.1
2028PROJ35% MLB	26	MLBBAL	118	.194/.252/.291	2	3	50	-0.4
2029PROJ44% MLB	27	MLBBAL	162	.196/.255/.295	3	4	52	-0.6

Next 3 projected WAR -1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.0First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Ext$3M2031Ext$5M2032Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV95

Speed79

BB%68

Chase%36

Whiff%15

Z-Con%12

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsLucas Dunn (age 25) · Gunnar Heidt (age 25) · Brett Auerbach (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .246 / .274

PA30

HR0

K%37

BB%7

BABIP287

ISO36

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT32

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE37

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	DSL Rays 2	—	46	44	16	2	1	0	1	4	0	2	1	364	378	455	832	91	390	9	2	362	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	173	146	42	6	3	2	20	27	4	14	6	288	388	411	799	123	333	16	12	356	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	492	449	115	21	9	10	36	126	3	25	3	256	316	410	725	154	331	26	7	320	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	INTL	Perth Heat	—	44	37	13	4	0	1	7	9	0	2	0	351	455	541	995	189	444	20	16	440	184	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	472	420	98	11	4	16	46	109	2	17	9	233	312	393	705	160	275	23	10	314	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	43	40	9	1	1	1	3	15	0	2	1	225	279	375	654	150	333	35	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	371	344	73	18	2	5	24	118	1	11	6	212	266	320	585	108	305	32	6	263	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	19	14	0	0	0	0	4	7	0	0	0		222		222			37	21	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	165	156	40	6	2	2	7	32	2	6	3	256	297	359	656	103	311	19	4	295	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	156	132	30	5	1	3	20	53	1	8	6	227	333	348	682	121	351	34	13	308	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	134	116	33	4	0	2	15	31	1	6	4	284	371	371	742	86	365	23	11	335	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays 2	—	46	44	11	1	1	0	1	5	0	2	1	250	267	318	585	68	262	11	2	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	173	154	34	4	2	2	12	39	4	14	6	221	294	312	606	91	268	23	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	492	459	96	15	7	8	26	174	3	25	3	209	256	325	581	115	308	35	5	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	472	440	81	8	3	13	26	150	2	17	9	184	233	305	537	120	241	32	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	371	352	63	16	1	4	16	144	1	11	6	179	217	264	481	85	285	39	4	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	165	158	37	6	2	2	5	39	2	6	3	234	267	335	602	101	288	24	3	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	156	138	28	4	1	2	14	64	1	8	6	203	281	290	571	87	338	41	9	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	134	121	33	4	0	2	10	38	1	6	4	273	333	355	689	83	363	28	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays 2	—	46	44	11	1	1	0	1	5	0	2	1	250	267	318	585	68	275	11	2	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays 2	—	46	44	16	2	1	0	1	4	0	2	1	364	378	455	832	91	390	9	2	362	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	173	154	34	4	2	2	12	39	4	14	6	221	294	312	606	91	276	23	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	173	146	42	6	3	2	20	27	4	14	6	288	388	411	799	123	333	16	12	356	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	536	501	104	16	8	8	28	190	3	27	3	208	254	319	573	112	313	35	5	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	536	486	128	25	9	11	43	135	3	27	3	263	327	420	747	156	340	25	8	330	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	515	480	89	9	3	14	29	164	2	19	10	185	235	304	539	119	246	32	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	515	460	107	12	5	17	49	124	2	19	10	233	309	391	701	159	280	24	10	312	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	390	369	67	17	2	4	17	151	1	11	6	182	220	271	491	89	292	39	4	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	390	358	73	18	2	5	28	125	1	11	6	204	264	307	571	103	296	32	7	258	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	165	158	37	6	2	2	5	39	2	6	3	234	267	335	602	101	299	24	3	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	—	165	156	40	6	2	2	7	32	2	6	3	256	297	359	656	103	311	19	4	295	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	290	259	61	8	1	4	24	101	2	14	10	236	305	320	626	85	363	35	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	290	248	63	9	1	5	35	84	2	14	10	254	351	359	710	105	358	29	12	320	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays 2	—	46	45	11	1	1	0	1	5	0	2	1	244	267	311	578	67	262	11	2	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	173	155	34	4	2	2	12	39	4	14	6	219	294	310	604	90	268	23	7	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	536	500	104	16	8	8	28	190	3	27	3	208	254	320	574	112	308	35	5	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	515	479	89	9	3	14	29	164	2	19	10	186	235	305	540	119	241	32	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	390	369	67	17	2	4	17	151	1	11	6	182	220	271	491	89	285	39	4	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	165	157	37	6	2	2	5	39	2	6	3	236	267	338	604	102	288	24	3	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	290	262	61	8	1	4	24	101	2	14	10	233	305	317	622	84	350	35	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	390	369	67	17	2	4	17	151	1	11	6	182	220	271	491	89	285	39	4	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	165	157	37	6	2	2	5	39	2	6	3	236	267	338	604	102	288	24	3	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	290	262	61	8	1	4	24	101	2	14	10	233	305	317	622	84	350	35	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	BAL	10%	340	314	58	10	1	4	21	121	2	10	6	187	244	269	512	82	283	36	6	234	44	-23	-0	-0	+1	+7	-1.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	BAL	10%	30	28	5	1	0	0	2	11	0	1	1	189	246	274	521	85	287	37	7	237	44	-2	-0	-0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	BAL	35%	341	314	59	10	1	5	22	119	2	10	6	191	249	285	534	94	284	35	6	242	50	-20	-0	-0	+1	+7	-1.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	BAL	44%	369	340	65	11	1	6	24	127	2	10	6	193	252	288	540	95	284	34	7	245	52	-21	-0	-0	+1	+8	-1.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	BAL	35%	118	108	21	4	0	2	8	41	1	3	2	194	252	291	544	97	288	35	7	246	50	-7	-0	-0	+0	+3	-0.4
2029	27	MLB CTX	BAL	44%	162	149	30	5	1	3	11	56	1	4	3	196	255	295	549	99	288	35	7	249	52	-9	-0	-0	+1	+4	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	280	257	51	9	1	5	19	97	2	7	5	198	259	300	559	101	293	35	7	248	51	-16	-1	-0	+1	+6	-1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	119	21	2	12	44	225	5	16	12	199	260	302	562	102	293	35	7	248	51	-38	-1	-1	+2	+14	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3121	2892	578	91	22	49	181	1040	20	122	56	200	252	297	549	98	290	33	6	243	51	-61	-1	-1	+4	+22	-3.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	602	121	19	5	10	38	217	4	25	12	201	253	299	552	98	293	33	6	243	51	-39	-1	-1	+2	+14	-2.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	311	5	9	193	248	286	+1	-2	-0.9	-0.4
/162	664	11	19	+2.4	-4.3	-1.9	pk7: 0
#2Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#3Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#4Willy Miranda'51-'59 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,121 PA	3.2	2,121	6	13	216*	271*	286*	+22	-18	-4.9	-3.0
/162	664	2	4	+6.9	-5.6	-1.5	pk7: -1
#5Jackie Hernandez'65-'73 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,609 PA	2.4	1,609	12	25	212*	258*	298*	+16	-16	-5.1	-3.5
/162	664	5	10	+6.6	-6.8	-2.1	pk7: -2
#6Skeeter Webb'38-'48 * career totals — 11 seasons, 2,453 PA	3.7	2,453	3	33	210*	251*	293*	+18	+0	-7.6	-5.7
/162	664	1	9	+5.0	+0.0	-2.1	pk7: -4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Willy Vasquez (OGILVIE)	25	24→32	47	50	37	185/242/267	82	283	4	9	36%	6%	44	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Lucas Dunn 2024 · AAA	25	40→39	40	50	44	191/274/286	94	288	8	13	34%	9%	61	-1.5	191/261/280	89	295	8	11	35%	8%	55	-2.0	147/217/217	70	238	6	10	38%	7%	23	-1.8
✕Gunnar Heidt 2018 · AA	25	39→41	42→45	47→50	39	194/249/297	103	282	10	12	34%	6%	54	-2.0	200/253/299	99	308	9	13	36%	6%	55	-1.9	206/258/303	97	296	7	9	31%	6%	55	-1.3
✕Brett Auerbach 2024 · AA	25	36→34	44→45	50→55	37	186/243/297	111	279	13	19	37%	6%	52	-2.2	214/278/321	107	308	9	14	31%	7%	70	-0.8	228/299/342	114	318	8	12	29%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	40	39→45	53→55	40	192/250/279	87	274	5	16	31%	6%	50	-2.3	189/266/297	108	285	10	16	35%	8%	61	-1.5	173/257/287	114	273	12	16	38%	8%	54	-1.2
✕Isaac Galloway 2015 · AA	25	38→42	40→45	52→55	31	191/218/284	93	286	7	16	35%	3%	38	-3.2	208/243/307	99	287	9	21	30%	4%	53	-2.1	205/252/344	139	272	17	25	31%	5%	63	-0.6
✕T.J. Steele 2012 · AA	25	40→34	42→45	53→50	33	201/228/311	110	274	10	17	30%	3%	48	-2.5	201/240/305	104	281	9	15	31%	4%	51	-2.2	174/212/252	78	249	6	13	32%	4%	26	-1.2
✕Jordan Brewer 2023 · AA	25	41	43→45	55	39	196/272/302	106	305	11	19	37%	7%	64	-1.3	198/265/307	109	269	10	15	29%	7%	63	-1.4	188/254/292	104	245	10	16	27%	7%	53	-1.1
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA	26	38	43→45	51→50	41	189/264/294	105	291	11	14	37%	8%	59	-1.6	201/274/303	102	294	9	14	32%	8%	65	-1.2	190/290/284	94	249	9	24	25%	10%	64	-0.3
✕Max Burt 2022 · AAA	25	41→35	42→45	49→55	37	205/252/307	102	288	10	9	32%	5%	57	-1.8	192/247/306	114	275	13	21	34%	6%	55	-1.9	169/229/255	86	251	9	26	34%	5%	35	-1.6
✕Cadyn Grenier 2022 · AAA	25	41→38	40	48→50	40	193/269/287	94	312	8	10	38%	8%	59	-1.6	199/282/297	98	293	8	13	32%	9%	67	-1.1	177/274/267	90	254	6	16	30%	11%	55	-1.3
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	176/239/272	96	267	8	7	36%	7%	45	-2.7	203/269/313	110	288	10	8	31%	7%	65	-1.2	192/265/298	106	267	9	5	30%	8%	56	-0.9
✕Osvaldo Duarte 2021 · AA	25	42→47	42→45	50	35	204/249/309	105	307	9	16	36%	5%	55	-1.9	191/245/278	87	327	6	12	41%	6%	47	-2.5	150/203/211	61	279	2	11	44%	5%	14	-2.0
✕Jose Torres 2024 · AA	24	36→34	42→45	53→55	37	183/238/282	98	269	11	17	35%	6%	47	-2.6	184/237/284	100	283	11	14	37%	6%	47	-2.6	172/225/269	98	261	12	14	38%	5%	36	-1.7
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	41	40	50	39	199/252/285	86	292	8	15	33%	6%	52	-2.2	206/261/299	93	307	8	12	33%	6%	59	-1.7	148/205/185	37	247	3	8	39%	6%	9	-1.0
✕Cale Iorg 2011 · AAA	25	38→41	42→45	47→50	32	191/226/291	101	283	10	12	36%	4%	43	-2.8	176/213/266	90	259	8	13	34%	4%	32	-3.6	153/190/229	76	219	7	14	33%	3%	12	-2.5
✕Marty Bechina 2022 · AAA	25	35→34	45	48→45	31	182/230/307	125	291	13	8	41%	4%	49	-2.4	193/265/309	116	308	12	9	39%	7%	63	-1.3	170/257/275	104	275	11	8	39%	8%	50	-1.6
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	39→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/261/307	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	204/263/312	108	293	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/309	114	278	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Joe Cronin 2019 · AA	25	37	40→45	45→50	44	180/271/269	89	284	8	7	36%	9%	57	-1.8	194/276/296	102	294	9	11	34%	8%	64	-1.3	166/256/268	102	246	9	13	34%	9%	49	-1.2
✕Connor Kopach 2021 · AAA	26	39→32	44→45	54→55	37	192/252/308	116	294	12	18	37%	6%	57	-1.8	187/254/289	102	354	10	16	46%	7%	55	-2.0	111/190/186	75	238	11	21	54%	8%	6	-1.6
✕Jaylen Palmer 2024 · AAA	24	33→43	42→45	54→55	37	158/242/257	99	308	11	23	48%	9%	44	-2.8	186/261/300	114	343	12	21	45%	8%	60	-1.6	185/261/296	112	334	12	22	45%	8%	55	-1.0

Willy Vasquez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps