Fabian Machado — OGILVIE

Fabian MachadoRF FCL Mets

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 94 proj PA

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .256 / .260

PA94

HR1

K%35

BB%7

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Mets 2	—	128	113	23	7	0	1	9	36	4	3	2	204	286	292	578	88	282	28	7	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	DSL Mets 2	—	128	107	30	10	0	1	15	25	4	3	2	280	389	402	791	121	349	20	12	356	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	FCL Mets	—	37	29	3	1	0	0	7	11	1	0	0	103	297	138	435	34	167	30	19	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	FCL Mets	—	37	25	3	1	0	0	11	7	1	0	0	120	405	160	565	40	167	19	30	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	2 teams	—	137	123	16	3	0	0	6	67	5	3	0	130	201	154	356	24	271	49	4	164	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	2 teams	—	137	118	24	5	0	0	11	45	5	3	0	203	299	246	544	42	316	33	8	255	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	NYM	—	94	86	17	3	1	1	7	33	1	1	0	198	266	291	557	93	288	35	7	240	42	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	NYM	30%	148	134	27	5	1	2	11	49	2	2	1	201	272	299	571	97	290	33	7	252	51	-8	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.6
2027	24	MLB	NYM	30%	45	41	8	1	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	195	267	293	559	98	289	33	7	241	43	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	45	41	8	1	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	195	267	293	559	98	280	33	7	241	43	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	115	14	0	14	43	217	14	14	0	194	265	289	553	95	280	33	7	241	43	-42	+3	+0	-7	+18	-2.9
Career	—			—	544	485	86	19	2	4	40	196	13	9	3	177	258	249	508	72	282	36	7	224	30	-43	+1	+0	-6	+15	-3.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	103	23	2	5	48	234	16	11	4	178	260	250	510	72	282	36	7	224	30	-51	+1	+0	-7	+18	-4.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	DSL Mets 2	—	128	107	30	10	1	15	25	4	3	2	280	389	402	791	121	349	20	12	356	130	+4	-0	—	—	+4	0.8
2023	20	ROK	FCL Mets	—	37	25	3	1	0	11	7	1	0	0	120	405	160	565	40	167	19	30	311	96	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	27	24	3	1	0	1	16	2	1	0	125	222	167	389	42	375	59	4	195	7	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	21	ROK	FCL Mets	—	110	94	21	4	0	10	29	3	2	0	223	318	266	584	43	309	26	9	270	65	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fabian Machado (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	186/256/260	74	288	1	1	35%	7%	42	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/255/258	80	271	7	11	34%	9%	40	-2.4	199/285/312	113	313	12	8	37%	9%	68	-0.5	163/272/277	114	257	15	5	39%	11%	52	-0.5
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39	40→45	50→45	37	189/243/279	90	293	7	9	36%	6%	40	-2.4	181/265/289	108	254	11	5	31%	9%	54	-1.4	161/255/263	101	223	11	3	31%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Chris Hess 2018 · A	23	39→34	37→45	49→30	38	187/245/270	83	282	3	5	33%	6%	39	-2.5	194/251/308	114	284	11	4	34%	4%	52	-1.6	181/239/309	128	257	14	1	34%	4%	46	-1.6
✕Daniel Berg 2008 · A	23	37	39→40	45→40	39	180/245/262	82	274	6	4	35%	6%	37	-2.6	203/273/289	86	313	6	4	34%	7%	56	-1.3	201/278/285	84	310	6	2	34%	7%	54	-0.7
✕Romer Cuadrado 2021 · A	23	43→37	41→40	46→45	38	205/260/302	97	309	8	5	35%	6%	53	-1.5	200/250/312	112	377	14	5	47%	6%	52	-1.6	165/213/260	95	327	16	0	52%	6%	20	-1.9
✕Franklin Hernandez 2010 · A	23	40→36	40→45	48→40	34	194/231/288	94	283	6	4	33%	4%	37	-2.7	196/237/286	90	284	7	6	32%	4%	39	-2.5	143/175/201	58	202	5	3	31%	3%	-14	-1.2
✕Julio Carrion 2022 · A	23	39	38→40	50→45	42	187/268/265	78	282	6	5	33%	7%	49	-1.8	180/252/267	87	346	8	5	46%	7%	42	-2.3	150/225/232	81	315	9	4	51%	7%	19	-1.5
✕Kyle Robinson 2012 · A	23	35	41→45	51→30	39	178/228/284	107	247	8	4	31%	6%	36	-2.7	206/255/295	89	301	5	5	31%	6%	49	-1.8	210/260/311	101	314	5	1	33%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Brock Carpenter 2018 · A	23	37	41→40	48→30	42	184/257/280	96	282	10	6	36%	8%	47	-1.9	201/263/302	101	330	8	6	38%	7%	55	-1.4	188/249/306	119	317	7	3	40%	7%	46	-0.7
✕Lazaro Benitez 2023 · A	23	42	40→45	45→40	38	199/260/301	102	291	5	7	32%	6%	53	-1.5	220/267/306	86	305	5	6	28%	5%	56	-1.3	240/274/305	65	322	2	0	25%	4%	58	-0.4
✕Brady Allen 2023 · A	23	41	40→45	49→45	42	191/270/275	85	313	8	6	39%	9%	52	-1.6	198/266/334	136	303	15	6	37%	7%	65	-0.7	192/258/344	151	287	18	5	38%	7%	62	-0.7
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Ben Johnson 2017 · A	23	37→31	39→50	43→45	31	177/225/266	89	301	7	6	42%	5%	29	-3.2	182/234/262	80	334	6	12	45%	5%	32	-3.0	122/174/152	31	251	4	26	50%	4%	-24	-1.6
✕Edison Sanchez 2013 · A	22	36	40→45	45	39	175/245/267	92	285	7	3	39%	7%	39	-2.5	196/260/290	94	335	8	4	41%	6%	51	-1.7	192/258/279	88	335	8	3	42%	6%	44	-1.0
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	42	-2.3	199/264/283	84	349	5	9	41%	7%	51	-1.7	149/237/238	89	307	4	14	47%	8%	28	-0.6
✕Ulrich Bojarski 2022 · A	23	36→43	39→45	46→45	29	173/215/257	84	314	7	6	46%	4%	22	-3.7	183/240/307	124	406	15	8	54%	6%	47	-1.9	110/176/297	187	208	31	4	63%	5%	17	-0.7
✕Gilbert Gomez 2015 · A	23	42→35	37→40	42→50	46	192/272/273	81	300	4	8	34%	10%	52	-1.6	182/255/263	81	285	5	9	34%	9%	42	-2.3	104/179/148	44	165	2	5	36%	8%	-20	-2.0
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	41→37	38→40	46→45	45	193/275/270	77	281	5	9	31%	8%	53	-1.5	176/256/248	72	256	5	8	31%	8%	40	-2.4	158/238/217	59	235	4	6	32%	7%	21	-2.5
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Curtis Washington Jr. 2023 · A	23	42	37→45	51→60	41	196/255/271	75	299	4	15	34%	7%	43	-2.2	195/261/261	66	303	4	21	34%	7%	43	-2.2	183/242/293	110	265	12	30	34%	6%	41	-0.9