Carson Tucker

SS San Antonio Missions

Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs AA HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	21	ALynchburg Hil…	108	.200/.296/.263	1	2	5	—	.133/.213/.184
2026	24	AASD	310	.270/.334/.363	2	15	58	—	.227/.275/.308
2027PROJ2% MLB	25	MLBSD	6	.199/.256/.273	0	0	52	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	26	MLBSD	102	.202/.260/.284	1	2	56	-0.2
2029PROJ42% MLB	27	MLBSD	152	.203/.262/.288	2	3	58	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed71

Whiff%52

wRC+42

Z-Con%41

wOBA37

BB%33

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsChris Roller (age 25) · Logan Warmoth (age 25) · Chris Givin (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .256 / .273

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%6

BABIP276

ISO77

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 27 / POW 31

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT27

scouting grade only

POWER31

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	19	ROK	ACL Indians	—	25	20	3	0	0	1	5	4	0	1	1	150	320	300	620	150	133	16	20	295	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	136	117	16	5	1	1	18	55	1	5	0	137	257	222	480	85	246	40	13	232	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	108	95	19	3	0	1	11	42	2	2	0	200	296	263	559	63	346	39	10	265	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	310	278	75	16	2	2	27	86	0	15	4	270	334	363	698	94	374	28	9	311	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Indians	—	25	22	3	0	0	1	3	6	0	1	1	136	240	273	513	136	113	24	12	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	136	122	11	3	1	1	13	76	1	5	0	90	184	156	340	66	228	56	10	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	108	98	13	2	0	1	8	58	2	2	0	133	213	184	397	51	305	54	7	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	310	286	65	13	2	2	19	105	0	15	4	227	275	308	583	80	332	34	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Indians	—	25	22	3	0	0	1	3	6	0	1	1	136	240	273	513	136	133	24	12	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	ACL Indians	—	25	20	3	0	0	1	5	4	0	1	1	150	320	300	620	150	133	16	20	295	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	136	122	11	3	1	1	13	76	1	5	0	90	184	156	340	66	222	56	10	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	136	117	16	5	1	1	18	55	1	5	0	137	257	222	480	85	246	40	13	232	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	108	98	13	2	0	1	8	58	2	2	0	133	213	184	397	51	308	54	7	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	108	95	19	3	0	1	11	42	2	2	0	200	296	263	559	63	346	39	10	265	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	310	286	65	13	2	2	19	105	0	15	4	227	275	308	583	80	342	34	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	—	310	278	75	16	2	2	27	86	0	15	4	270	334	363	698	94	374	28	9	311	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Indians	—	25	22	3	0	0	1	3	6	0	1	1	136	240	273	513	136	113	24	12	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	136	121	11	3	1	1	13	76	1	5	0	91	184	157	341	66	228	56	10	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	108	97	13	2	0	1	8	58	2	2	0	134	213	186	399	52	305	54	7	176	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	310	288	65	13	2	2	19	105	0	15	4	226	275	306	581	80	332	34	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	310	288	65	13	2	2	19	105	0	15	4	226	275	306	581	80	332	34	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SD	2%	360	331	68	14	2	3	24	102	2	9	2	203	260	280	539	77	281	28	7	246	52	-20	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	SD	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	199	256	273	530	75	276	33	0	242	52	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	SD	31%	330	303	63	13	2	3	22	92	2	8	2	206	264	290	554	84	282	28	7	252	56	-17	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.6
2029	27	MLB MLE	SD	42%	362	332	69	14	2	4	25	101	2	8	2	207	266	293	559	87	282	28	7	254	58	-18	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.6
2030	28	MLB MLE	SD	48%	383	352	73	15	2	4	26	107	2	8	2	207	267	295	561	88	282	28	7	255	59	-19	+1	-1	+4	+8	-0.7
2028	26	MLB CTX	SD	31%	102	93	20	4	1	1	7	29	1	2	1	202	260	284	545	82	276	28	7	248	56	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	SD	42%	152	140	28	5	1	2	10	42	1	3	1	203	262	288	550	85	276	28	7	250	58	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	SD	48%	183	167	35	7	1	2	13	51	1	4	1	203	263	289	552	86	276	28	7	251	59	-9	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	437	400	83	16	3	5	30	122	3	9	3	207	268	300	568	92	283	28	7	250	49	-22	+1	-0	+5	+9	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	123	24	4	7	45	181	4	13	4	207	267	296	562	89	282	28	7	250	49	-33	+1	-0	+7	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1948	1786	352	71	11	18	135	628	11	54	13	197	258	279	537	82	290	32	7	241	49	-71	+3	-1	+15	+30	-2.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	118	24	4	6	45	210	4	18	4	198	259	282	541	84	292	32	7	241	49	-34	+1	-0	+7	+14	-1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#3Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	444	5	10	207	263	294	+5	+3	-0.5	-0.2
/162	664	7	14	+7.1	+4.5	-0.7	pk7: 0
#4Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carson Tucker (OGILVIE)	25	27	31	57	43	201/258/277	76	281	2	7	28%	7%	52	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	40	39→45	53→55	40	192/250/279	87	274	5	16	31%	6%	50	-2.3	189/266/297	108	285	10	16	35%	8%	61	-1.5	173/257/287	114	273	12	16	38%	8%	54	-1.2
✕Logan Warmoth 2021 · AA	25	44→40	37→40	53→55	41	200/269/277	76	312	4	13	34%	7%	57	-1.8	197/277/296	99	311	9	20	36%	8%	65	-1.2	187/271/285	97	288	9	24	35%	8%	58	-1.1
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	187/248/261	74	257	6	6	29%	7%	45	-2.7	202/264/278	76	269	6	7	25%	7%	55	-1.9	194/260/252	58	250	4	5	23%	7%	45	-1.3
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	177/235/240	63	250	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	215/285/296	81	280	8	14	24%	8%	67	-1.1	210/285/284	74	270	8	16	24%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Justin Twine 2021 · AA	25	46→33	38→40	48→50	37	218/259/301	83	300	5	10	29%	4%	57	-1.8	210/252/315	105	363	9	17	42%	4%	59	-1.7	191/223/297	106	362	9	25	48%	2%	42	-1.2
✕Jack Winkler 2024 · AA	25	43→41	39→40	50→55	44	208/271/297	89	274	7	14	26%	7%	61	-1.5	188/250/281	93	257	9	22	29%	6%	51	-2.3	172/236/263	91	235	10	24	30%	6%	39	-2.2
✕Matt Whatley 2021 · A	25	39→37	38→40	52→50	46	189/263/263	75	259	5	15	28%	8%	52	-2.2	193/256/274	81	275	8	10	31%	7%	51	-2.2	172/233/253	81	229	10	8	29%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Dwayne Bailey 2011 · AAA	24	41	35→30	53→50	40	193/248/248	54	285	2	14	32%	6%	41	-3.0	218/278/290	72	315	3	12	29%	7%	63	-1.4	226/291/287	61	329	2	11	29%	7%	63	-0.9
✕Lucas Dunn 2024 · AAA	25	40→39	40	50	44	191/274/286	94	288	8	13	34%	9%	61	-1.5	191/261/280	89	295	8	11	35%	8%	55	-2.0	147/217/217	70	238	6	10	38%	7%	23	-1.8
✕Ryan Metzler 2018 · AA	25	38	36→40	50	34	176/233/243	67	309	4	12	42%	6%	35	-3.4	200/254/286	86	297	8	13	33%	6%	53	-2.1	189/243/265	77	275	8	15	33%	6%	42	-1.1
✕Jose Vinicio 2018 · AAA	25	46→32	38→40	50→55	35	224/246/306	82	297	6	13	27%	3%	53	-2.1	212/240/302	90	297	7	14	30%	3%	51	-2.3	199/218/274	75	281	5	16	31%	2%	33	-1.8
✕Branden Fryman 2023 · AAA	25	37	39→30	50	38	185/228/263	78	252	7	15	29%	5%	37	-3.3	204/242/303	99	290	8	11	31%	4%	52	-2.2	197/221/298	101	278	7	9	31%	3%	39	-1.0
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	38→40	45→40	40	181/259/253	72	263	5	5	31%	6%	49	-2.4	196/275/282	86	273	7	6	29%	7%	61	-1.5	149/252/214	66	204	4	0	27%	8%	36	-0.7
✕Nick Natoli 2013 · AA	25	42	37→30	52→50	51	197/281/273	76	266	4	10	26%	10%	61	-1.5	182/255/252	70	265	4	11	30%	8%	47	-2.6	145/223/193	48	218	1	11	31%	8%	19	-2.9
✕Casio Grider 2013 · A	25	40→39	38→40	56→55	37	192/248/279	87	281	4	18	32%	5%	49	-2.4	198/253/282	84	300	6	23	34%	5%	51	-2.2	188/244/265	77	288	5	30	34%	5%	41	-1.5
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	176/239/272	96	267	8	7	36%	7%	45	-2.7	203/269/313	110	288	10	8	31%	7%	65	-1.2	192/265/298	106	267	9	5	30%	8%	56	-0.9
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Chris Rabago 2019 · AA	26	42	38→40	54→55	44	202/258/287	85	268	4	18	25%	6%	54	-2.0	194/257/283	89	268	7	14	28%	7%	53	-2.1	166/236/231	65	243	6	11	32%	7%	32	-1.2
✕Rand Smith 2012 · A	25	43→39	38→30	49→50	45	206/267/280	74	279	5	13	27%	7%	56	-1.9	211/273/286	75	302	5	8	29%	8%	60	-1.6	193/262/233	41	282	1	4	30%	8%	41	-1.1
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→30	40→45	49→60	38	193/260/279	86	281	7	12	32%	5%	55	-2.0	179/254/280	101	276	9	16	36%	8%	53	-2.1	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9

Carson Tucker

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps