Clark Candiotti — OGILVIE

Clark Candiotti P Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 237 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 60 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 119

ERA5.39

FIP5.39

K%21.1%

BB%16.4%

K-BB%4.7%

ROS IP60

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL3030

CMD4545

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	17	17	48	225	65	31	4	100%	2.8	22.2%	15.8%	6.4%	2.4%	5.77	4.52	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	17	17	48	225	65	31	4	100%	2.8	22.2%	15.8%	6.4%	2.4%	5.77	4.52	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	17	17	48	225	65	31	4	100%	2.8	28.9%	13.8%	15.1%	1.8%	5.77	3.41	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	36	178	44	25	4	0%	1.2	19.5%	15.8%	3.7%	2.8%	7.93	4.97	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	36	178	44	25	4	0%	1.2	19.5%	15.8%	3.7%	2.8%	7.93	4.97	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	36	178	44	25	4	0%	1.2	24.7%	14.0%	10.7%	2.2%	7.93	4.17	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	SD	57	0	60	253	54	42	7	0%	1.1	21.1%	16.4%	4.7%	2.9%	5.39	5.39	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SD	56	0	59	247	53	39	7	0%	1.0	21.3%	15.8%	5.5%	3.0%	5.31	5.32	-0.5
2029	28	MLB MLE	SD	54	0	57	240	51	37	7	0%	1.1	21.4%	15.4%	5.9%	3.1%	5.29	5.33	-0.5
2028	27	MLB CTX	SD	20	0	21	89	19	14	3	0%	1.1	21.3%	15.8%	5.5%	3.0%	5.31	5.32	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	SD	31	0	33	139	30	22	4	0%	1.1	21.4%	15.4%	5.9%	3.1%	5.29	5.33	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		52	0	55	232	50	36	7	0%	1.1	21.4%	15.6%	5.8%	3.1%	5.30	4.95	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	131	25	0%	1.1	21.4%	15.6%	5.8%	3.1%	5.30	4.95	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		47	17	85	403	85	64	10	36%	1.8	21.0%	15.8%	5.2%	2.5%	6.70	4.72	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		111	40	200	952	200	151	24	36%	1.8	21.0%	15.8%	5.2%	2.5%	6.70	4.72	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Clark Candiotti (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.39	21.1%	16.4%	2.9%	—	5.32	21.4%	5.7%	115	-0.07	—	—	—
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	86
Dennis Sarfate R 2008 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.0%	16.7%	2.2%	.263	4.81	19.8%	5.9%	23	+0.39	4.42	103	82
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	80
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	80
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	79
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	79
Sean Isaac R 2018 · 4.20 FIP	25	SW	4.20	24.2%	16.3%	2.0%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	155	78
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	78
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	78
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	77
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	77
Carter Loewen R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	23.1%	15.0%	2.2%	.312	4.16	20.0%	11.9%	23	-0.10	2.67	145	77
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	77
Juan Paniagua R 2016 · 4.57 FIP	26	SU	4.57	17.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.246	4.75	12.9%	-1.0%	29	+0.18	4.57	151	77
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	77
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	77
Esmerling Vasquez R 2010 · 4.37 FIP	26	SU	4.37	22.9%	14.6%	2.5%	.278	4.23	12.5%	1.5%	62	-0.14	3.70	204	76
Eric Cerantola R 2024 · 4.65 FIP	24	SW	4.65	25.7%	16.6%	2.9%	.245	3.74	26.2%	15.9%	100	-0.91	3.37	270	76
Dusty Isaacs R 2018 · 5.26 FIP	26	SU	5.26	19.3%	14.1%	3.7%	.287	3.16	26.8%	20.6%	26	-2.10	3.16	253	76
Matt Lollis R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	25	SU	4.95	19.2%	14.5%	3.0%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	21.3%	15.9%	1.16	5.33
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82