Kristófer Bow — OGILVIE

Kristófer Bow P Tampa Tarpons

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 225 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 24 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 109

ERA4.87

FIP4.87

K%22.3%

BB%12.8%

K-BB%9.6%

ROS IP24

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	0	5	20	4	3	0	0%	1.2	20.0%	15.0%	5.0%	0.0%	3.86	3.31	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	0	5	20	4	3	0	0%	1.2	20.0%	15.0%	5.0%	0.0%	3.86	3.31	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	5	37	190	38	36	3	33%	2.4	14.0%	22.4%	-8.3%	2.1%	9.33	5.88	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	5	37	190	38	36	3	33%	2.4	20.0%	18.9%	1.1%	1.6%	9.33	5.04	—
2024	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	29	0	40	179	43	28	5	0%	1.4	17.8%	18.5%	-0.7%	3.7%	5.45	5.97	—
2024	23	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	29	0	40	179	43	28	5	0%	1.4	17.8%	18.5%	-0.7%	3.7%	5.45	5.97	—
2024	23	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	29	0	40	179	43	28	5	0%	1.4	24.0%	15.6%	8.4%	2.8%	5.45	4.69	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	NYY	23	0	24	101	23	13	3	0%	1.0	22.3%	12.8%	9.6%	3.0%	4.87	4.87	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	NYY	22	0	23	98	22	12	3	0%	1.1	22.4%	12.5%	9.9%	3.1%	4.83	4.85	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	NYY	8	0	8	34	8	4	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	12.5%	9.9%	3.1%	4.83	4.85	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	8	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	22.4%	12.5%	9.9%	3.1%	4.83	4.47	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	190	95	24	0%	1.1	22.4%	12.5%	9.9%	3.1%	4.83	4.47	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		48	5	81	389	62	79	11	10%	1.7	16.1%	20.2%	-4.1%	2.7%	7.11	5.79	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		119	12	200	960	154	194	26	10%	1.7	16.1%	20.2%	-4.1%	2.7%	7.11	5.79	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kristófer Bow (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	22.3%	12.8%	3.0%	—	4.85	22.4%	9.9%	23	-0.02	—	—	—
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	85
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	85
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	84
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	84
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	84
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	83
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	83
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	82
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	82
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	82
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	82
Nelson L. Alvarez R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	26	SU	4.12	23.2%	13.1%	2.4%	.282	4.70	18.5%	9.4%	35	+0.58	2.58	233	81
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	81
Jeff Ames R 2017 · 3.94 FIP	26	SU	3.94	25.1%	13.4%	2.3%	.310	4.65	25.4%	10.8%	79	+0.71	3.85	272	81
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	81
Keagan Gillies R 2024 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	21.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.306	3.91	20.0%	14.4%	74	-0.11	2.93	177	81
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	81
Grant Balfour R 2004 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	24.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.292	4.01	24.8%	8.3%	25	+0.22	2.04	533	81
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	81
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	80