Colin Burgess — OGILVIE

Colin BurgessC Rome Emperors

Age 25 R/R 5'9" / 195 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION192 act + 128 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†32

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .236 / .237

PA128

HR1

K%28

BB%6

BABIP244

ISO59

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	20	17	5	1	0	0	2	4	1	0	0	294	400	353	753	59	385	20	10	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	20	16	5	1	0	0	3	3	1	0	0	312	450	375	825	62	385	15	15	387	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	160	149	23	5	0	1	7	53	3	0	0	154	208	208	416	54	229	33	4	189	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	160	144	30	6	0	2	11	36	3	0	0	208	277	292	568	83	262	22	7	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	A+	ATL	—	192	172	25	4	0	2	15	58	2	0	0	145	222	203	426	58	202	30	8	190	4	-21	+0	+0	+3	+5	-1.2
YTD	25	A+	ATL	—	192	164	29	5	0	2	22	43	2	0	0	177	280	244	524	67	223	22	11	246	47	-12	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.3
ROS	25	A+	ATL	0%	128	118	21	4	0	1	8	36	1	1	0	178	236	237	474	59	248	28	6	228	32	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
ROS	25	MLB	ATL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						248	0	0	219	26	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	A+	ATL	—	193	173	25	4	0	2	15	58	2	0	0	145	221	202	423	58	200	30	8	190	4	-21	+0	+0	+3	+5	-1.2
TOT	25	A+	ATL	—	320	290	46	8	0	3	23	94	3	1	0	159	228	217	445	59	219	29	7	205	15	-31	+0	+0	+6	+9	-1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	ATL	30%	251	230	43	8	1	3	16	68	3	3	1	187	249	270	519	83	253	27	6	239	41	-17	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.5
2028	27	MLB	ATL	42%	306	279	53	10	1	4	21	82	3	4	1	190	254	276	530	86	256	27	7	246	46	-19	+0	+0	+5	+9	-0.4
2027	26	MLB	ATL	30%	76	70	13	3	0	1	5	21	1	1	0	186	250	271	521	86	253	28	7	231	35	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2028	27	MLB	ATL	42%	128	117	22	4	0	2	9	34	1	2	0	188	252	274	525	85	256	27	7	238	40	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	205	188	35	7	0	3	14	55	2	3	0	186	250	271	521	85	244	27	7	235	38	-14	+1	+0	+4	+6	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	111	22	0	10	44	174	6	10	0	186	249	273	522	87	243	27	7	235	38	-45	+2	+0	+12	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	865	793	145	28	2	9	54	243	11	8	2	183	245	257	502	74	249	28	6	232	36	-63	+1	+0	+15	+25	-2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	110	21	2	7	41	183	8	6	2	185	247	262	509	77	251	28	6	232	36	-47	+0	+0	+12	+18	-1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	20	16	5	1	0	0	3	3	1	0	0	312	450	375	825	62	385	15	15	387	154	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	24	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	160	144	30	6	0	2	11	36	3	0	0	208	277	292	568	83	262	22	7	260	57	-8	+0	—	—	+5	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	204	3	2	193	252	279	+4	+4	-0.3	-0.2
	/162	664	8	8	193	252	279	+11.9	+13.0	-1.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colin Burgess (OGILVIE)	25	30	25	40	25	159/228/217	59	219	3	1	29%	7%	15	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕George Soto 2011 · A	25	34	36→40	44→45	40	169/238/230	61	247	5	8	32%	6%	27	-3.3	190/261/281	91	262	7	8	28%	8%	49	-1.8	163/239/259	97	213	9	7	27%	8%	37	-1.0
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	36	37→40	45→40	39	177/253/247	71	262	5	5	32%	6%	38	-2.6	192/271/279	87	273	7	6	30%	7%	53	-1.5	147/251/218	70	204	5	0	28%	8%	28	-0.7
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	35→37	37→40	43→45	42	172/248/244	72	250	5	8	31%	7%	35	-2.8	192/256/268	76	294	6	7	34%	7%	43	-2.2	166/232/217	51	261	3	3	35%	7%	17	-2.1
✕Ricardo Valenzuela 2016 · A	25	40	39→30	44→50	45	194/254/274	80	246	6	5	23%	7%	43	-2.2	210/264/270	60	256	5	3	19%	7%	46	-2.0	217/265/265	48	254	6	0	17%	6%	43	-0.8
✕Luis Cotto 2006 · A	25	42	37→30	43→45	39	201/242/275	74	270	4	7	26%	4%	38	-2.6	207/269/277	70	300	3	9	30%	7%	51	-1.7	196/270/244	48	298	0	8	31%	7%	40	-0.9
✕Matt McLaughlin 2021 · A	25	43→39	36→30	44→45	45	201/268/266	65	283	3	10	28%	8%	47	-1.9	198/260/278	80	265	6	7	26%	6%	48	-1.9	174/236/237	64	227	5	3	25%	6%	24	-1.9
✕David Masters 2018 · A	25	34→36	39→45	39→40	42	174/233/250	76	234	7	3	28%	6%	29	-3.2	201/268/315	114	280	12	3	31%	7%	61	-1.0	194/263/331	137	266	18	1	33%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Austin Rei 2019 · AA	25	38	40	40	40	187/261/280	94	277	7	4	33%	7%	50	-1.8	192/262/285	93	308	8	7	37%	7%	51	-1.7	123/204/184	61	206	5	0	40%	8%	-2	-1.0
✕Cristopher Navarro 2023 · AA	24	38	34→30	46→45	35	183/227/233	50	283	3	6	35%	5%	20	-3.8	189/242/261	72	274	4	6	31%	6%	35	-2.8	168/225/233	65	237	3	2	29%	6%	18	-0.8
✕Erick Castillo 2018 · AA	25	42	36→30	46→30	40	202/250/263	61	266	4	3	25%	5%	39	-2.5	206/253/282	76	265	6	5	24%	5%	45	-2.1	192/250/234	43	239	4	0	20%	4%	29	-0.9
✕Chad Noble 2013 · AA	25	38	35→30	43→30	39	183/226/237	54	252	2	4	28%	5%	20	-3.8	199/243/268	69	263	4	6	25%	5%	37	-2.7	192/228/245	53	245	2	2	22%	4%	22	-1.4
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	42	186/246/261	75	259	6	6	30%	7%	37	-2.6	202/265/279	77	274	6	7	26%	7%	50	-1.8	195/263/252	57	256	4	5	24%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Beau Seabury 2010 · A	25	41	36→30	42→45	36	194/246/257	63	300	4	6	35%	5%	35	-2.8	206/254/288	82	304	6	5	33%	5%	47	-1.9	197/237/272	75	288	6	1	32%	4%	33	-0.8
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2018 · A	24	42	36→30	43→45	38	202/249/266	64	290	4	8	31%	5%	39	-2.5	210/257/285	75	300	4	7	30%	5%	47	-1.9	205/259/264	59	286	2	4	27%	5%	40	-1.2
✕J.J. Franco 2017 · A	25	41	36→30	37→45	42	194/246/256	62	260	3	5	26%	6%	35	-2.8	212/283/267	55	298	2	6	26%	9%	54	-1.4	214/294/251	37	301	0	4	26%	10%	52	-0.5
✕Randy Gress 2010 · A	25	36	37→30	42→40	35	177/217/249	72	265	5	5	34%	5%	20	-3.8	203/258/295	92	294	8	6	32%	6%	50	-1.7	184/248/273	89	258	11	0	32%	6%	40	-0.5
✕Stuart Turner 2017 · AA	25	41	39→40	46→45	44	200/261/282	82	264	6	7	26%	7%	49	-1.8	186/240/258	72	264	6	6	30%	6%	33	-2.9	147/193/189	42	215	4	1	33%	5%	-7	-1.2
✕Bubba Hollins 2021 · A	25	44	37→30	42→45	42	208/260/281	74	265	4	4	23%	5%	47	-1.9	209/276/301	92	290	7	6	29%	6%	61	-1.0	193/267/275	83	273	6	5	29%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Carlos Diaz 2018 · AAA	25	42	34→30	39→50	37	201/230/248	47	262	2	8	24%	3%	25	-3.5	223/265/300	77	281	6	8	22%	5%	54	-1.4	268/299/325	57	307	4	3	14%	4%	69	-0.1
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	39	41→40	44→45	42	192/253/287	94	265	8	6	30%	6%	47	-1.9	193/247/294	101	286	10	6	34%	6%	46	-2.0	150/200/249	98	218	12	0	36%	5%	11	-1.4