Colin Burgess

C Rome Emperors
Age 26 R/R 5'9" / 195 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202322A+DET20.312/.450/.37500104—.294/.400/.353
202524AATL160.208/.277/.2922015—.162/.220/.216
202625A+ATL280.187/.281/.2703011—.146/.208/.217
2027PROJMLE26MLBATL330.193/.247/.2713446-0.1
2028PROJ26% MLB27MLBATL22.195/.250/.2750048-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Z-Con%54
K%53
Whiff%42
BB%39
ISO17
Chase%16
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsConnor Justus (age 26) · Stuart Levy (age 26) · Lyle Lin (age 26)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 78 proj PA
wRC+†46
AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .245 / .268
PA78
HR1
K%27
BB%6
ISO77
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE25
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202322 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 2016 5100 331 00 312450375825 62385 1515 387 104 — — — — — —
202524 AAugusta GreenJackets — 160144 30602 11363 00 208277292568 83262 227 260 15 — — — — — —
202625 A+Rome Emperors — 280241 45913 29653 00 187281270551 83239 2310 253 11 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202322 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 2017 5100 241 00 294400353753 59349 2010 322 104 — — — — — —
202524 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 160148 24501 8503 00 162220216436 54220 315 190 15 — — — — — —
202625 A+ MLERome Emperors — 280254 37713 17853 00 146208217425 71192 306 184 11 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 2017 5100 241 00 294400353753 59385 2010 322 104 — — — — — —
202322 A+ RAWWest Michigan Whitecaps — 2016 5100 331 00 312450375825 62385 1515 387 104 — — — — — —
202524 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 160148 24501 8503 00 162220216436 54235 315 190 15 — — — — — —
202524 A RAWAugusta GreenJackets — 160144 30602 11363 00 208277292568 83262 227 260 15 — — — — — —
202625 A+ MLERome Emperors — 280254 37713 17853 00 146208217425 71201 306 184 11 — — — — — —
202625 A+ RAWRome Emperors — 280241 45913 29653 00 187281270551 83239 2310 253 11 — — — — — —
202322 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 2017 5100 241 00 294400353753 59349 2010 322 104 — — — — — —
202524 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 160148 24501 8503 00 162220216436 54220 315 190 15 — — — — — —
202625 A+ MLERome Emperors — 280258 37713 17853 00 143208213421 70192 306 184 11 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202524 A MLEAugusta GreenJackets — 160148 24501 8503 00 162220216436 54220 315 190 15 — — — — — —
202625 A+ MLERome Emperors — 280258 37713 17853 00 143208213421 70192 306 184 11 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEATL 0% 330305 601223 19893 41 193247271518 77260 276 236 46 -21 +0 +0 +6 +7 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEATL 26% 8680 15301 5231 10 195250275524 80261 276 239 48 -5 +0 +0 +2 +2 -0.2
202827 MLB CTXATL 26% 2221 4100 160 00 195250275524 80261 275 239 48 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 2221 4100 160 00 190227238465 48267 275 239 24 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650620 1193000 301770 00 192229240470 48269 275 239 24 -41 +0 +0 +12 +14 -1.5
Career— MLE — 624572 951916 361839 20 166227234461 68230 296 204 24 -10 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650596 992016 381919 20 166227233460 67231 296 204 24 -41 +2 +0 +12 +14 -1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Rome Emperors · 280 PAwOBA .250 → .184 (−65)K% 23.2% → 30.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.21%÷1.000×1.310——30.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.36%÷1.000×0.600—×0.9686.02%
HBP% /PA1.07%—×0.770—×0.9680.80%
Singles /BIP18.18%÷1.000×0.870×0.978×0.96814.97%
Doubles /BIP5.11%÷1.000×0.780×0.978×0.9683.78%
Triples /BIP0.57%÷1.000×0.850×0.978×0.9680.46%
Home runs /BIP1.70%÷1.000×0.880—×0.9681.45%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .250 → .184; ISO .083 → .066; BABIP .239 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAugusta GreenJackets · 160 PAwOBA .255 → .190 (−66)K% 22.5% → 31.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.50%÷0.984×1.360——31.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.88%÷0.985×0.690—×0.9704.67%
HBP% /PA1.88%—×0.780—×0.9701.42%
Singles /BIP20.37%÷1.030×0.920×0.990×0.97017.47%
Doubles /BIP5.56%÷0.977×0.830×0.990×0.9704.53%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.037×0.910×0.990×0.9700.00%
Home runs /BIP1.85%÷1.281×0.800—×0.9701.12%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 107, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .255 → .190; ISO .083 → .055; BABIP .262 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 20 PAwOBA .378 → .322 (−56)K% 15.0% → 18.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.00%÷1.007×1.270——18.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.00%÷0.993×0.710—×0.99810.71%
HBP% /PA5.00%—×0.790—×0.9983.94%
Singles /BIP30.77%÷0.989×0.920—×0.99828.57%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷0.985×0.810—×0.9986.31%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.850—×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.882×0.800—×0.9980.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 98, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .378 → .322; ISO .062 → .052; BABIP .385 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).