Nick Krauth — OGILVIE

Nick Krauth P Frisco RoughRiders

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 170 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.17

FIP5.17

K%13.8%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%3.6%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	20	20	103	438	79	28	11	100%	5.1	13.3%	7.5%	5.8%	3.3%	4.30	4.73	—
2021	21	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	20	20	103	438	79	28	11	100%	5.1	18.0%	6.4%	11.6%	2.5%	4.30	3.77	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	23	17	89	375	70	29	10	74%	3.9	14.4%	8.9%	5.5%	3.0%	4.96	4.64	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	Hickory Crawdads	23	17	89	375	70	29	10	74%	3.9	18.7%	7.7%	10.9%	2.7%	4.96	3.97	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	24	115	517	75	43	16	89%	4.2	12.5%	8.6%	3.9%	3.1%	6.36	4.85	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	24	115	517	75	43	16	89%	4.2	12.5%	8.6%	3.9%	3.1%	6.36	4.85	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	24	115	517	75	43	16	89%	4.2	14.5%	8.3%	6.2%	3.1%	6.36	4.73	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	17	108	500	76	55	10	65%	4.1	12.3%	12.0%	0.3%	1.7%	5.68	4.50	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	17	108	500	76	55	10	65%	4.1	12.3%	12.0%	0.3%	1.7%	5.68	4.50	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	17	108	500	76	55	10	65%	4.1	15.2%	11.0%	4.2%	2.0%	5.68	4.43	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	33	157	26	12	5	0%	2.2	13.2%	8.0%	5.1%	4.0%	5.18	5.20	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	33	157	26	12	5	0%	2.2	13.2%	8.0%	5.1%	4.0%	5.18	5.20	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	0	33	157	26	12	5	0%	2.2	16.6%	7.6%	8.9%	3.2%	5.18	4.58	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	TEX	1	1	3	13	2	1	0	100%	3.0	13.8%	10.2%	3.6%	2.9%	5.17	5.17	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	TEX	16	16	95	403	59	40	12	100%	6.0	14.6%	10.0%	4.6%	2.9%	5.10	5.11	-0.2
2028	28	MLB MLE	TEX	15	15	92	391	59	39	12	100%	6.2	15.1%	10.0%	5.1%	3.0%	5.10	5.13	-0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	TEX	15	15	88	373	57	38	12	100%	5.9	15.2%	10.1%	5.1%	3.2%	5.16	5.22	-0.3
2030	30	MLB MLE	TEX	14	14	83	350	53	36	12	100%	5.9	15.0%	10.3%	4.7%	3.4%	5.28	5.37	-0.4
2027	27	MLB CTX	TEX	6	6	36	152	22	15	4	100%	6.0	14.6%	10.0%	4.6%	2.9%	5.10	5.11	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	TEX	9	9	55	232	35	23	7	100%	6.1	15.1%	10.0%	5.1%	3.0%	5.10	5.13	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	TEX	10	10	62	262	40	26	8	100%	6.2	15.2%	10.1%	5.1%	3.2%	5.16	5.22	-0.2
2030	30	MLB CTX	TEX	11	11	65	274	41	28	9	100%	5.9	15.0%	10.3%	4.7%	3.4%	5.28	5.37	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		36	36	218	922	138	93	29	100%	6.1	15.0%	10.1%	4.9%	3.2%	5.17	4.85	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	126	85	27	100%	6.0	15.0%	10.1%	4.9%	3.2%	5.17	4.85	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		111	78	447	1987	259	184	56	70%	4.0	13.0%	9.2%	3.8%	2.8%	5.36	4.72	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		50	35	200	889	116	82	25	70%	4.0	13.0%	9.2%	3.8%	2.8%	5.36	4.72	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nick Krauth (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.17	13.8%	10.2%	2.9%	—	5.15	14.9%	4.9%	276	-0.02	—	—	—
Jake Dunning R 2015 · 5.60 FIP	26	SP-	5.60	13.4%	9.6%	4.4%	.354	4.29	14.1%	2.8%	74	-1.31	4.19	120	83
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	83
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	81
Justin Topa R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	27	SP-	4.15	15.1%	7.9%	2.4%	.374	2.69	19.2%	12.6%	40	-1.46	2.67	280	80
Luis Niebla R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP-	5.12	11.6%	13.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	156	78
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	78
Jake Walters R 2022 · 4.03 FIP	26	SP-	4.03	17.0%	9.4%	2.1%	.316	5.89	14.8%	0.9%	72	+1.86	3.51	261	78
Adam Panayotovich R 2017 · 5.45 FIP	25	SP-	5.45	9.6%	9.0%	3.7%	.375	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	121	77
Alex Sanabia R 2015 · 4.44 FIP	26	SP-	4.44	11.4%	7.9%	2.4%	.358	3.66	11.1%	6.2%	161	-0.78	3.42	378	77
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	76
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	76
David Griffin R 2022 · 4.71 FIP	26	SP-	4.71	16.6%	9.8%	3.2%	.285	5.85	13.9%	4.7%	81	+1.14	4.43	239	75
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	74
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2015 · 5.24 FIP	27	SP-	5.24	11.6%	9.8%	3.4%	.263	4.28	15.3%	5.2%	167	-0.96	4.01	272	74
Fredy Quintero R 2015 · 4.55 FIP	27	SP-	4.55	11.3%	8.9%	2.3%	.375	4.38	15.1%	7.3%	113	-0.17	4.29	241	74
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	74
Nick Pasquale R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	26	SP-	4.74	16.8%	12.7%	2.6%	.306	3.80	17.9%	6.3%	50	-0.94	3.19	308	74
Ernesto Zaragoza R 2019 · 4.35 FIP	26	SP-	4.35	13.1%	10.9%	1.8%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	3.52	239	74
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	74
Noah Song R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	26	SP	6.06	12.0%	13.2%	4.2%	.239	3.84	19.6%	8.0%	114	-2.22	3.68	136	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	79	14.9%	10.1%	1.20	5.16
Chi Chi González ('22)	1.3	64	13.3%	9.0%	1.41	5.44
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77