Nick Krauth P Frisco RoughRiders
Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 170 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 33 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 110
ERA4.83
FIP4.83
K%17.3%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%7.5%
ROS IP33
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP
K: -1.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -0.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.11 (33 IP)-0.1WAR
-0.1-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202121ADown East Wood Ducks2020103438792811100%5.113.3%7.5%5.8%3.3%4.304.74
202121ADown East Wood Ducks2020103438792811100%5.118.0%6.4%11.6%2.5%4.303.77
202222A+Hickory Crawdads23178937570291074%3.914.4%8.9%5.5%2.7%4.964.48
202222A+Hickory Crawdads23178937570291074%3.918.7%7.7%10.9%2.7%4.963.97
202323MIX2 levels272411551775431689%4.212.5%8.6%3.9%3.2%6.364.89
202323MIX2 levels272411551775431689%4.214.5%8.3%6.2%3.1%6.364.73
202424MIX2 levels261710850076551065%4.112.3%12.0%0.3%1.6%5.684.44
202424MIX2 levels261710850076551065%4.115.2%11.0%4.2%2.0%5.684.43
202525MIX2 levels15033157261250%2.213.2%8.0%5.1%4.1%5.185.26
202525MIX2 levels15033157261250%2.216.6%7.6%8.9%3.2%5.184.58
▸ 2026 Season
202626MLBTEX663314124144100%5.617.3%9.8%7.5%2.8%4.834.83-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBTEX553313925144100%6.617.9%9.8%8.1%2.9%4.804.81-0.1
202727MLBTEX221251951100%6.017.9%9.8%8.1%2.9%4.804.81-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career221252952100%6.217.9%9.8%8.1%2.9%4.804.43+0.0
/ 200 IP33332008441468132100%6.017.9%9.8%8.1%2.9%4.804.43+2.3
Career1117844719872591845570%4.013.0%9.2%3.8%2.8%5.364.69+3.7
/ 200 IP5035200889116822570%4.013.0%9.2%3.8%2.8%5.364.69+1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Nick Krauth (OGILVIE) 4.83 17.3%9.8%2.8% 4.81 17.9%8.1%33 -0.02
Jake Walters R 2026 · 4.17 FIP 26 SP- 4.17 17.0%9.4%2.4%.316 5.97 15.5%-0.2%72 +1.80 3.46 261 81
Justin Topa R 2027 · 4.05 FIP 27 SP- 4.05 15.1%7.9%2.2%.374 2.66 19.2%12.6%40 -1.39 2.66 259 81
Bryce Morrow R 2027 · 4.48 FIP 27 SP- 4.48 12.8%7.9%2.7%.316 5.59 10.1%-0.2%50 +1.11 4.48 125 80
Jake Dunning R 2026 · 5.65 FIP 26 SP- 5.65 13.4%9.6%4.5%.354 4.21 14.1%2.8%74 -1.44 4.13 120 80
Nolan Sanburn R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 26 SW 4.25 15.0%10.4%2.0%.310 3.91 169 79
Alejandro Martinez R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 26 SP- 4.24 17.5%10.9%2.3%.393 4.44 9.2%3.9%53 +0.20 4.24 166 76
David Griffin R 2026 · 4.94 FIP 26 SP- 4.94 16.6%9.8%3.7%.285 6.04 14.5%4.2%81 +1.10 4.52 239 76
Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 75
Alfonso Sanchez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP 27 SP- 4.81 12.5%9.1%2.9%.346 4.97 14.0%5.3%138 +0.16 4.54 224 75
Jake Walkinshaw R 2026 · 4.66 FIP 26 SP- 4.66 17.5%6.4%4.0%.296 4.92 13.3%3.1%116 +0.26 2.20 286 75
Chase Centala R 2024 · 4.16 FIP 24 SP- 4.16 17.4%6.6%3.1%.361 4.16 124 74
Max Beatty R 2026 · 3.69 FIP 26 SP- 3.69 13.2%6.4%1.6%.309 3.69 117 74
Nick Pasquale R 2026 · 4.73 FIP 26 SP- 4.73 16.8%12.7%2.6%.306 3.97 17.9%6.3%50 -0.76 3.16 308 74
Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.16 FIP 26 SW 4.16 16.1%8.3%2.5%.309 3.28 24.1%13.4%34 -0.88 3.28 252 74
Hector Noesí R 2028 · 4.21 FIP 28 SP- 4.21 17.6%8.1%2.9%.261 4.21 250 73
Brian Edgington R 2026 · 5.05 FIP 26 SP- 5.05 19.3%12.3%3.7%.291 3.81 171 73
Stolmy Pimentel R 2026 · 3.79 FIP 26 SP- 3.79 13.6%10.5%0.9%.379 3.79 143 73
Cody Sedlock R 2026 · 4.83 FIP 26 SP- 4.83 19.9%10.9%3.7%.301 4.18 20.1%7.1%80 -0.65 4.16 378 73
Paul Clemens R 2027 · 5.36 FIP 27 SP- 5.36 14.3%14.1%3.1%.310 4.76 16.9%7.3%200 -0.60 4.76 247 73
Brandt Thompson R 2024 · 4.35 FIP 24 SP- 4.35 19.9%11.0%2.8%.326 4.35 162 72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION23317.6%9.8%1.114.82
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Josh Winckowski ('24)37718.3%8.2%1.134.21
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86