Jacob Hinderleider

SS Spokane Indians

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 210 lbs A+ HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	ACOL	313	.231/.301/.317	3	12	15	—	.159/.210/.214
2026	25	A+COL	279	.218/.295/.343	7	9	24	—	.160/.218/.250
2027PROJMLE	26	MLBCOL	329	.178/.233/.260	4	6	38	-0.3
2028PROJ26% MLB	27	MLBCOL	22	.189/.244/.284	0	0	41	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed56

ISO38

Chase%31

BB%28

wOBA17

wRC+14

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsStuart Levy (age 26) · Jason Matthews (age 26) · Tra Holmes (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 78 proj PA

wRC+†38

AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .231 / .258

PA78

HR1

K%36

BB%6

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	24	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	313	281	65	13	1	3	23	113	5	12	6	231	301	317	618	85	367	36	7	280	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+	Spokane Indians	—	279	248	54	8	1	7	26	106	1	9	2	218	295	343	637	125	343	38	9	286	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	313	290	46	8	1	2	14	162	5	12	6	159	210	214	424	55	323	52	4	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	279	256	41	6	1	5	18	143	1	9	2	160	218	250	468	90	310	51	6	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	313	290	46	8	1	2	14	162	5	12	6	159	210	214	424	55	338	52	4	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	313	281	65	13	1	3	23	113	5	12	6	231	301	317	618	85	367	36	7	280	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	279	256	41	6	1	5	18	143	1	9	2	160	218	250	468	90	327	51	6	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	279	248	54	8	1	7	26	106	1	9	2	218	295	343	637	125	343	38	9	286	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	313	291	46	8	1	2	14	162	5	12	6	158	210	213	423	55	323	52	4	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	279	258	41	6	1	5	18	143	1	9	2	159	218	248	466	89	310	51	6	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	313	291	46	8	1	2	14	162	5	12	6	158	210	213	423	55	323	52	4	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	279	258	41	6	1	5	18	143	1	9	2	159	218	248	466	89	310	51	6	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	COL	0%	329	304	53	10	1	4	19	118	3	6	2	178	233	260	493	82	271	36	6	225	38	-24	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	COL	26%	86	80	14	3	0	1	5	30	1	2	0	180	236	265	501	85	272	35	6	228	41	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	COL	26%	22	21	4	1	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	189	244	284	529	95	284	36	5	239	41	-2	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	22	21	4	1	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	190	227	238	465	48	308	36	5	239	23	-2	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	620	119	30	0	0	30	236	0	0	0	192	229	240	470	48	310	36	5	239	23	-46	+0	+0	+7	+14	-2.5
Career	—	MLE		—	756	698	113	19	2	9	42	363	8	25	8	162	218	234	451	72	313	48	6	203	23	-12	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	600	97	16	2	8	36	312	7	21	7	162	218	235	453	73	312	48	6	203	23	-47	+3	+0	+7	+14	-2.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Spokane Indians · 279 PAwOBA .280 → .203 (−78)K% 38.0% → 51.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	37.99%	÷1.000	×1.350	—	—	51.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.32%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.978	6.47%
HBP% /PA	0.36%	—	×0.810	—	×0.978	0.28%
Singles /BIP	26.76%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.047	×0.978	24.92%
Doubles /BIP	5.63%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.047	×0.978	4.79%
Triples /BIP	0.70%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.047	×0.978	0.59%
Home runs /BIP	4.93%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×0.978	4.00%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.

Result: wOBA .280 → .203; ISO .125 → .085; BABIP .343 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AFresno Grizzlies · 313 PAwOBA .277 → .190 (−87)K% 36.1% → 51.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	36.10%	÷0.951	×1.360	—	—	51.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.35%	÷1.096	×0.690	—	×0.980	4.53%
HBP% /PA	1.60%	—	×0.780	—	×0.980	1.22%
Singles /BIP	28.57%	÷1.022	×0.920	×1.032	×0.980	26.01%
Doubles /BIP	7.74%	÷1.055	×0.830	×1.032	×0.980	6.16%
Triples /BIP	0.60%	÷1.017	×0.910	×1.032	×0.980	0.54%
Home runs /BIP	1.79%	÷0.870	×0.800	—	×0.980	1.61%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 111, 3B 103, K 90, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .277 → .190; ISO .085 → .057; BABIP .367 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob Hinderleider (OGILVIE)	26	25	25	50	30	176/231/258	82	271	1	2	36%	6%	38	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Stuart Levy 2019 · A	26	35	38→30	44→40	38	173/241/247	74	265	6	5	35%	6%	40	-3.0	190/250/278	88	303	8	7	37%	6%	50	-2.3	142/198/221	78	234	8	3	41%	6%	14	-1.0
✕Jason Matthews 2023 · A	26	37→31	36→30	49→45	34	172/235/237	65	304	4	8	42%	6%	34	-3.5	169/241/238	69	278	6	10	38%	7%	38	-3.2	166/245/231	65	251	6	9	34%	8%	35	-1.7
✕Tra Holmes 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→30	49→50	36	186/249/254	69	291	4	13	36%	6%	45	-2.7	197/254/282	85	409	7	17	49%	6%	52	-2.2	126/185/161	34	415	3	38	66%	6%	-4	-1.1
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	32	42→40	49→45	42	169/233/265	96	237	10	5	32%	7%	40	-3.0	193/263/284	91	262	8	8	27%	8%	56	-1.9	178/258/254	76	233	6	7	25%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Matt Whatley 2022 · AA	26	40→37	38→40	45→50	44	193/265/267	75	277	6	14	31%	8%	53	-2.1	192/252/281	89	266	10	9	30%	6%	51	-2.2	172/233/253	81	229	10	8	29%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Wade Kirkland 2015 · A	26	37→35	42→45	48→45	32	183/226/288	104	281	8	7	37%	4%	43	-2.8	190/221/270	80	310	7	8	39%	3%	36	-3.4	178/200/239	62	292	6	6	40%	2%	18	-2.0
✕Wyatt Hendrie 2024 · A	25	38	40	51→50	39	184/253/275	91	288	8	9	37%	7%	51	-2.3	193/268/288	95	284	9	12	33%	8%	59	-1.6	167/254/245	78	237	10	16	32%	8%	44	-0.6
✕Cody Bohanek 2021 · AAA	26	39→36	38→40	44→50	39	179/267/255	76	302	6	11	39%	7%	53	-2.1	178/274/281	103	290	9	15	38%	8%	61	-1.5	153/258/253	100	252	9	18	39%	9%	48	-1.3
✕Chandler Seagle 2022 · AA	26	40	38→40	44→45	35	192/246/276	84	282	5	5	32%	4%	48	-2.5	189/239/268	79	291	6	6	35%	5%	43	-2.8	169/217/235	66	268	5	4	37%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Andrew Miller 2024 · A	26	41	40	49→40	39	194/257/283	88	307	8	6	37%	7%	54	-2.0	199/255/309	110	323	12	5	40%	6%	59	-1.7	187/216/294	107	284	14	0	39%	4%	40	-0.8
✕Travis Tartamella 2013 · AA	25	34	38→30	48→30	36	172/214/248	76	250	5	4	33%	5%	29	-3.8	180/221/240	60	267	5	3	33%	5%	29	-3.8	163/200/201	38	244	3	0	33%	4%	10	-1.7
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	36	40	48→45	44	180/253/265	85	263	8	6	33%	8%	49	-2.4	198/272/287	89	298	7	8	33%	8%	60	-1.6	159/252/213	54	251	3	7	34%	10%	34	-0.6
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA	25	35→28	40→45	46→40	35	174/219/264	90	270	7	4	37%	5%	34	-3.5	192/239/303	111	289	12	4	36%	5%	51	-2.2	184/231/297	113	272	14	3	37%	5%	46	-1.6
✕Anthony Garibaldi 2007 · A	26	35	42→40	45	35	180/240/274	94	267	10	9	35%	5%	46	-2.6	190/250/288	98	305	9	8	39%	6%	52	-2.2	144/208/225	81	254	8	5	44%	5%	19	-1.2
✕Zach Watson 2023 · AA	26	36→33	44→45	51→50	32	185/225/299	115	282	13	13	39%	4%	45	-2.7	196/242/313	117	288	12	15	35%	5%	55	-2.0	167/210/287	121	227	14	24	33%	4%	35	-1.2
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	187/248/261	74	257	6	6	29%	7%	45	-2.7	202/264/278	76	269	6	7	25%	7%	55	-1.9	194/260/252	58	250	4	5	23%	7%	45	-1.3
✕Devin Hairston 2022 · AAA	26	34	39→30	49→40	36	171/221/252	81	272	7	7	38%	6%	32	-3.6	199/253/292	93	326	8	9	38%	6%	54	-2.0	177/231/243	66	320	3	3	43%	6%	32	-0.8
✕Zach Cone 2015 · A	25	35→37	40→45	46→45	35	176/233/265	89	282	8	7	39%	6%	40	-3.0	196/240/323	127	291	15	7	37%	4%	57	-1.8	189/227/330	141	266	18	5	36%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Jackson Glenn 2023 · A	25	41	38→40	52→45	40	197/254/282	85	291	5	11	32%	6%	52	-2.2	203/250/304	101	279	10	8	30%	5%	55	-1.9	197/242/299	102	261	11	6	28%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Myles Emmerson 2024 · A	26	39	35→40	47→40	40	186/244/245	59	288	3	5	34%	7%	39	-3.1	195/257/278	83	287	6	5	32%	7%	52	-2.2	182/250/270	88	256	8	2	30%	7%	46	-0.9