Andrew Miller

C Everett AquaSox
Age 29 R/R 6'3" / 230 lbs A+ K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202325A+/A2 orgs287.231/.323/.3435238—.173/.242/.242
202426A+SEA156.259/.303/.4346040—.192/.224/.308
202527A+SEA39.100/.308/.4003019—.062/.231/.250
2027PROJMLE29MLBSEA200.208/.270/.31943660.0
2028PROJ22% MLB30MLBSEA15.205/.267/.3110065-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2024 A+
ISO80
wOBA59
wRC+48
K%31
Whiff%21
BB%13
CompsAndrés Alvarez (age 27) · David Matranga (age 30) · Aaron Sisk (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj PA
wRC+†66
AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .268 / .316
PA47
HR1
K%30
BB%7
ISO110
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.0-0.12728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202224 ROKACL Mariners — 6858 17211 10180 31 293397414811 121410 2615 368 40 — — — — — —
202325 A+Everett AquaSox — 10596 17502 7352 10 177248292539 115254 337 247 3 — — — — — —
202325 AModesto Nuts — 182155 41803 24481 10 265367374741 110358 2613 336 58 — — — — — —
202426 A+Everett AquaSox — 156143 37706 9450 00 259303434736 175323 296 317 40 — — — — — —
202527 A+Everett AquaSox — 3930 3003 7162 00 100308400708 300 4118 323 19 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202224 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 6862 12111 6260 31 194265290555 97303 389 228 40 — — — — — —
202325 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 10598 12301 5452 10 122181184365 61210 435 173 3 — — — — — —
202325 A MLEModesto Nuts — 182163 33602 16641 10 202278276554 74306 359 254 58 — — — — — —
202426 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 156146 28504 6610 00 192224308532 116271 394 228 40 — — — — — —
202527 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 3932 2002 5232 00 62231250481 188 5913 197 19 — — — — — —
202224 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 6862 12111 6260 31 194265290555 97314 389 228 40 — — — — — —
202224 ROK RAWACL Mariners — 6858 17211 10180 31 293397414811 121410 2615 368 40 — — — — — —
202325 A MLE2 teams — 287261 46904 211093 20 176246257502 80280 387 224 38 — — — — — —
202325 A RAW2 teams — 287251 581305 31833 20 231323343665 112321 2911 304 38 — — — — — —
202426 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 156146 28504 6610 00 192224308532 116282 394 228 40 — — — — — —
202426 A+ RAWEverett AquaSox — 156143 37706 9450 00 259303434736 175323 296 317 40 — — — — — —
202527 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 3932 2002 5232 00 62231250481 188 5913 197 19 — — — — — —
202527 A+ RAWEverett AquaSox — 3930 3003 7162 00 100308400708 300 4118 323 19 — — — — — —
202224 ROK MLEACL Mariners — 6862 12111 6260 31 194265290555 97303 389 228 40 — — — — — —
202325 A MLE2 teams — 287261 46904 211093 20 176246257502 80271 387 224 38 — — — — — —
202426 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 156149 28504 6610 00 188224302526 114271 394 228 40 — — — — — —
202527 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 3932 2002 5232 00 62231250481 188 5913 197 19 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202426 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 156149 28504 6610 00 188224302526 114271 394 228 40 — — — — — —
202527 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 3932 2002 5232 00 62231250481 188 5913 197 19 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202729 MLB MLESEA 0% 200182 38714 14612 31 208270319589 110286 307 266 66 -8 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202830 MLB MLESEA 22% 6862 12201 5211 10 207269315585 108284 317 264 65 -3 +0 -2 +1 +1 -0.2
202830 MLB CTXSEA 22% 1514 3100 150 00 205267311578 106282 337 261 65 -1 +0 -0 +0 +0 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 1514 3100 150 00 214267286552 71333 337 261 42 -1 +0 -0 +0 +0 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650607 1304300 432170 00 214266285551 71333 337 261 42 -27 +0 -20 +12 +14 -2.2
Career— MLE — 665607 10919113 462546 71 180244278523 99277 387 231 42 -5 +0 -2 +2 +2 -0.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650593 10719113 452486 71 180245282527 101278 387 231 42 -27 +2 -12 +12 +14 -1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 A+Everett AquaSox · 39 PAwOBA .315 → .197 (−118)K% 41.0% → 57.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA41.03%÷0.957×1.350——57.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.95%÷0.999×0.710—×0.94812.09%
HBP% /PA5.13%—×0.810—×0.9483.94%
Singles /BIP0.00%÷1.001×0.910—×0.9480.00%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.955×0.830—×0.9480.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.820—×0.9480.00%
Home runs /BIP21.43%÷1.036×0.830—×0.94816.27%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .315 → .197; ISO .300 → .166; BABIP .000 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Everett AquaSox · 156 PAwOBA .316 → .228 (−88)K% 28.8% → 38.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.85%÷1.003×1.350——38.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.77%÷1.082×0.710—×0.9583.63%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.810—×0.9580.00%
Singles /BIP24.49%÷0.992×0.910×1.009×0.95821.71%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷1.040×0.830×1.009×0.9585.51%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.904×0.820×1.009×0.9580.00%
Home runs /BIP6.12%÷1.175×0.830—×0.9584.14%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 98, 2B 108, 3B 81, K 101, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .316 → .228; ISO .175 → .113; BABIP .323 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AModesto Nuts · 182 PAwOBA .331 → .254 (−77)K% 26.4% → 35.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.37%÷1.026×1.360——34.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.19%÷1.013×0.690—×0.9608.62%
HBP% /PA0.55%—×0.780—×0.9600.41%
Singles /BIP28.04%÷0.974×0.920×0.980×0.96024.92%
Doubles /BIP7.48%÷1.050×0.830×0.980×0.9605.56%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910×0.980×0.9600.00%
Home runs /BIP2.80%÷0.883×0.800—×0.9602.44%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 105, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.0 → −4.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .331 → .254; ISO .110 → .085; BABIP .358 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Everett AquaSox · 105 PAwOBA .241 → .173 (−68)K% 33.3% → 43.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.33%÷1.046×1.350——43.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.67%÷0.953×0.710—×0.9684.81%
HBP% /PA1.90%—×0.810—×0.9681.49%
Singles /BIP16.39%÷1.018×0.910×0.999×0.96814.16%
Doubles /BIP8.20%÷1.040×0.830×0.999×0.9686.32%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.023×0.820×0.999×0.9680.00%
Home runs /BIP3.28%÷1.012×0.830—×0.9682.60%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 104, 2B 108, 3B 105, K 109, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .241 → .173; ISO .115 → .078; BABIP .254 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL Mariners · 68 PAwOBA .359 → .228 (−131)K% 26.5% → 38.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.47%÷0.984×1.440——38.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.71%÷1.023×0.620—×0.9458.42%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9450.00%
Singles /BIP32.50%÷1.014×0.820—×0.94524.84%
Doubles /BIP5.00%÷1.132×0.720—×0.9453.01%
Triples /BIP2.50%÷0.900×0.720—×0.9451.89%
Home runs /BIP2.50%÷1.033×0.780—×0.9451.78%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .359 → .228; ISO .121 → .075; BABIP .410 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).