Justin DirdenRF
Biloxi Shuckers
Age 29
L/R
6'3" / 209 lbs
AA
BB +10%HR +7%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .266 / .330
PA170
HR4
K%37
BB%7
MLB%2%
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.4peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-14M | $-14M | +$0.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | A | 2 teams | 350 | 302 | 60 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 135 | 9 | 10 | 4 | .199 | .301 | .361 | .662 | .162 | .315 | 39 | 10 | .288 | 79 | -8 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | 2 teams | 549 | 494 | 118 | 31 | 4 | 20 | 34 | 179 | 15 | 12 | 3 | .239 | .308 | .439 | .747 | .200 | .328 | 33 | 6 | .319 | 103 | +2 | +1 | +0 | -6 | +16 | 1.3 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 364 | 328 | 60 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 139 | 3 | 4 | 3 | .183 | .247 | .311 | .558 | .128 | .281 | 38 | 7 | .240 | 42 | -24 | -0 | +0 | -4 | +10 | -1.8 |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 88 | 81 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 42 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .148 | .198 | .210 | .408 | .062 | .293 | 48 | 6 | .176 | -7 | -11 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 170 | 155 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 62 | 1 | 3 | 1 | .206 | .268 | .335 | .603 | .129 | .304 | 36 | 7 | .269 | 64 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +5 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB 9% | MIL | 243 | 221 | 46 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 86 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .208 | .274 | .344 | .618 | .136 | .301 | 35 | 7 | .272 | 66 | -9 | +0 | -2 | -3 | +7 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB 19% | MIL | 245 | 223 | 46 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 86 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .206 | .272 | .341 | .612 | .135 | .299 | 35 | 7 | .272 | 66 | -9 | +0 | -3 | -3 | +7 | -0.8 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB 29% | MIL | 236 | 214 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 82 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .201 | .269 | .318 | .587 | .117 | .297 | 35 | 8 | .270 | 65 | -9 | +0 | -4 | -3 | +7 | -0.9 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB 43% | MIL | 213 | 193 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 75 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .202 | .270 | .326 | .597 | .124 | .296 | 35 | 8 | .266 | 62 | -9 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +6 | -1.0 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB 57% | MIL | 175 | 159 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 63 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .201 | .266 | .327 | .593 | .126 | .294 | 36 | 7 | .260 | 57 | -9 | +0 | -5 | -2 | +5 | -1.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2633 | 2370 | 488 | 97 | 23 | 67 | 194 | 949 | 37 | 39 | 13 | .206 | .276 | .351 | .627 | .145 | .306 | 36 | 7 | .275 | 68 | -94 | +3 | -17 | -28 | +75 | -6.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 585 | 121 | 24 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 234 | 9 | 10 | 3 | .207 | .277 | .356 | .633 | .149 | .307 | 36 | 7 | .275 | 68 | -23 | +1 | -4 | -7 | +18 | -1.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 101 | 83 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 3 | .289 | .398 | .542 | .940 | .253 | .357 | 26 | 12 | .399 | 163 | +7 | -1 | — | — | +3 | 0.9 |
| 2021 | 24 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 249 | 202 | 54 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 40 | 74 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .267 | .403 | .535 | .938 | .267 | .364 | 30 | 16 | .409 | 171 | +20 | +1 | — | — | +7 | 2.9 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 142 | 128 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .242 | .307 | .398 | .706 | .156 | .318 | 28 | 7 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 407 | 349 | 113 | 32 | 5 | 20 | 41 | 94 | 13 | 7 | 2 | .324 | .414 | .616 | 1.030 | .292 | .391 | 23 | 10 | .441 | 196 | +44 | +1 | — | — | +12 | 5.7 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 364 | 316 | 73 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 37 | 108 | 3 | 4 | 3 | .231 | .317 | .396 | .713 | .165 | .312 | 30 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -1 | -0 | — | — | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 88 | 79 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .177 | .244 | .241 | .485 | .063 | .286 | 36 | 8 | .220 | 27 | -7 | +1 | — | — | +2 | -0.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Justin Dirden (OGILVIE) | 29 | — | — | — | — | .201/.266/.330 | .129 | .304 | 4 | 3 | 37% | 7% | 64 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Mark Contreras 2022 · AAA |
27 | 38 | 49→50 | 50→55 | 37 | .194/.258/.343 | .149 | .284 | 16 | 15 | 36% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .203/.264/.339 | .136 | .292 | 16 | 23 | 35% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .192/.256/.306 | .115 | .275 | 14 | 30 | 34% | 6% | 50 | -1.2 |
|
✕Brandon Hicks 2015 · MLB |
29 | 36→40 | 50 | 46→50 | 41 | .190/.266/.341 | .151 | .284 | 18 | 7 | 38% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .188/.260/.304 | .116 | .308 | 13 | 8 | 40% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .166/.236/.251 | .085 | .293 | 9 | 8 | 44% | 8% | 28 | -1.3 |
|
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB |
29 | 42→41 | 45→55 | 49→50 | 40 | .211/.264/.333 | .122 | .283 | 13 | 11 | 30% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .207/.271/.370 | .163 | .326 | 22 | 14 | 41% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .151/.220/.316 | .164 | .233 | 26 | 18 | 47% | 7% | 40 | -0.9 |
|
✕Tim Pahuta 2012 · AA |
29 | 39 | 52→55 | 44→40 | 36 | .213/.248/.376 | .163 | .278 | 21 | 5 | 32% | 4% | 68 | -0.5 | .211/.256/.365 | .154 | .275 | 18 | 5 | 30% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .193/.241/.339 | .147 | .245 | 17 | 2 | 29% | 5% | 54 | -1.1 |
|
✕Grayson Greiner 2022 · MLB |
29 | 40 | 44→45 | 47→30 | 40 | .200/.262/.313 | .113 | .299 | 13 | 4 | 36% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .195/.259/.307 | .112 | .360 | 12 | 6 | 45% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .163/.227/.268 | .105 | .321 | 15 | 3 | 51% | 7% | 28 | -0.9 |
|
✕Taylor Featherston 2019 · MLB |
29 | 38→45 | 45→50 | 54→50 | 37 | .192/.249/.311 | .118 | .281 | 13 | 12 | 35% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .183/.238/.309 | .126 | .331 | 15 | 9 | 47% | 5% | 47 | -1.9 | .155/.208/.283 | .128 | .303 | 17 | 5 | 52% | 4% | 25 | -2.6 |
|
✕Matt Skole 2019 · AAA |
30 | 37→39 | 48→50 | 47→40 | 44 | .197/.260/.338 | .141 | .252 | 17 | 4 | 29% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .206/.282/.350 | .144 | .283 | 17 | 4 | 31% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .193/.282/.343 | .150 | .260 | 20 | 0 | 32% | 11% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Jake Hager 2022 · MLB |
29 | 36→46 | 48→50 | 52→50 | 40 | .194/.248/.334 | .140 | .266 | 17 | 10 | 34% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .203/.262/.317 | .114 | .278 | 10 | 9 | 29% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .194/.252/.288 | .094 | .273 | 7 | 7 | 30% | 6% | 44 | -0.8 |
|
✕Kevin Richardson 2010 · AAA |
29 | 36 | 48→50 | 43→40 | 35 | .191/.246/.323 | .132 | .283 | 17 | 3 | 38% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .200/.247/.340 | .140 | .324 | 17 | 5 | 42% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.237/.332 | .141 | .307 | 18 | 2 | 42% | 4% | 49 | -0.8 |
|
✕Kellin Deglan 2021 · AAA |
29 | 43→34 | 45→50 | 49→40 | 36 | .209/.268/.333 | .124 | .321 | 13 | 6 | 38% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .194/.258/.299 | .105 | .297 | 11 | 9 | 36% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .160/.246/.264 | .104 | .251 | 14 | 4 | 39% | 7% | 38 | -0.5 |
|
✕Patrick Dorrian 2023 · AAA |
27 | 38→37 | 50→55 | 47→45 | 41 | .196/.266/.350 | .154 | .290 | 19 | 6 | 38% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .196/.260/.343 | .147 | .289 | 18 | 6 | 37% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .181/.245/.318 | .137 | .261 | 18 | 5 | 37% | 7% | 49 | -1.0 |
|
✕Ryan Aguilar 2022 · AA |
27 | 38→41 | 43→45 | 50 | 41 | .181/.265/.280 | .099 | .307 | 11 | 12 | 42% | 9% | 52 | -1.6 | .204/.296/.339 | .135 | .334 | 15 | 13 | 39% | 10% | 80 | +0.4 | .217/.319/.382 | .165 | .335 | 19 | 13 | 37% | 12% | 95 | +0.9 |
|
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2019 · AAA |
28 | 45 | 47→50 | 47→45 | 39 | .224/.271/.354 | .130 | .303 | 15 | 10 | 31% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .234/.282/.385 | .151 | .334 | 17 | 10 | 34% | 5% | 85 | +0.7 | .237/.283/.399 | .163 | .342 | 20 | 6 | 35% | 5% | 87 | +0.4 |
|
✕Chris Shaw 2023 · AAA |
29 | 44 | 43→55 | 49→30 | 40 | .196/.271/.306 | .110 | .353 | 10 | 10 | 44% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.271/.344 | .153 | .359 | 19 | 7 | 47% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .128/.227/.288 | .160 | .223 | 24 | 2 | 52% | 11% | 36 | -1.0 |
|
✕Corey Ray 2022 · AAA |
27 | 41→36 | 47→50 | 49→55 | 34 | .203/.250/.338 | .134 | .320 | 15 | 10 | 40% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .205/.246/.362 | .157 | .304 | 19 | 14 | 38% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .170/.208/.329 | .159 | .248 | 21 | 16 | 40% | 4% | 37 | -1.4 |
|
✕Michael Rosamond 2006 · AAA |
28 | 41 | 47→55 | 49→45 | 39 | .212/.263/.343 | .132 | .290 | 15 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .213/.256/.365 | .152 | .322 | 18 | 9 | 38% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .201/.237/.370 | .169 | .311 | 21 | 6 | 42% | 4% | 60 | -0.6 |
|
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA |
27 | 34→30 | 47→50 | 50 | 44 | .181/.258/.318 | .137 | .259 | 15 | 13 | 35% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .189/.267/.321 | .132 | .273 | 16 | 12 | 35% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .160/.249/.296 | .136 | .218 | 19 | 12 | 36% | 9% | 46 | -1.0 |
|
✕Bret Boswell 2023 · AAA |
28 | 43→41 | 47→50 | 50→45 | 41 | .208/.277/.339 | .131 | .319 | 15 | 11 | 38% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .196/.265/.325 | .129 | .304 | 13 | 9 | 37% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .152/.231/.275 | .124 | .234 | 12 | 4 | 38% | 9% | 33 | -1.2 |
|
✕Ryan Fitzgerald 2023 · AAA |
29 | 38→44 | 51→55 | 44→45 | 42 | .204/.266/.370 | .166 | .256 | 18 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .210/.273/.363 | .153 | .278 | 16 | 9 | 29% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .225/.292/.365 | .140 | .286 | 14 | 7 | 25% | 7% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Quincy Latimore 2017 · AA |
28 | 41→42 | 48→50 | 46→50 | 41 | .210/.264/.348 | .138 | .277 | 16 | 8 | 30% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .214/.263/.345 | .131 | .291 | 16 | 7 | 31% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .216/.254/.339 | .124 | .283 | 17 | 6 | 30% | 4% | 57 | -0.8 |